While I was out playing with “Man Flu”, am I the only one to notice that TWO
FED Apparatchiks [Rosengren, Kaplan] have decided to resign from the FED,
after reports have started to surface of their COMPLETE CORRUPTION in
profiting off their own FED decisions … “nice work if you can get it, huh”? … of
course, the resignations have nothing to do with utter corruption, and are
“health related” and the tried and true “I need time with my family” bullshit
these assclowns always trot out trying to save their own skins … “hey OK, you
caught me … now just let me retire and be quiet with the millions I’ve made,
OK”? … ZH has the story in the link below for those of you that have missed it.
https://www.zerohedge.com/news/2021-09-27/boston-feds-rosengren-resigns-
days-after-questions-about-his-trading-surfaced
Over the weekend and between 10+ hour “naps”, the realization comes full circle,
as I look at DAX40 [yea, used to be DAX30 but it’s now the DAX40], this market
does us no favors … 1) the spread is blown out ‘till Europe shows up for their
“pre open” session, and even then it can be a “deal killer”, which means
whatever happens in the Asian session can’t be captured without paying a very
heavy “vig” price … and if the ChiComs drop some market moving news, the
ranges will take off right along with the spread … 2) and that means a good portion
of the time, you can come into the European session and the day is literally
already over, thank you very much ChiComs.
A better alternative is the DOW30, warts and all … yea, we get what we want, but
sometimes we can get a bunch of things we don’t want, namely slippage on fills
… but the reality is, you want volatility, and a market that usually moves? … you
want big, decent ranges? … you want the “Plunge Protection Team” [PPT] on
your side? … sure we do! … OK, then we got to take the bad with the good, and
hopefully sidestep the obvious landmines, cuz this is only 1 of 3 markets that
resides permanently in the “88/6/6” paradigm of trading … the other 2, SP500 &
NDX100, got bigger problems than the DOW30 from my perspective, with only
the NDX100 not tradeable at Turnkey cuz of slippage on fills about 99.99% of the
time that is outrageous in scope.
Onto the scam, criminal NYSE open, where the “Chipmunks” will be fed by the
corrupt, front running, scumbag Wall Street banks, and nobody sees “nothing”
… seems like every single day sees worse abuses than before … why should
today be any different? … and yes, here comes the “pre Chipmunk” run higher
by the ILLEGAL bank prop desks with under 30 minutes to the cash open,
pumping futures higher now into the open, where the Chipmunks can get their
stock fills higher natch! … who cares? … obviously nobody! … and today’s
scam opening will be no different than all the others … pathetic, but no more
so than the political, cultural, & moral rot already evident in the “U.S. of China”,
led by “Taliban Joe” who wants to know where his pudding is.
The DOW30 as I write is in meltdown mode, right along with the “Spoos” &
especially NDX100 … debt hike limit showdown, rising 10 YR rates, and Spicoli’s
admission today at the “Clown College, House of Lords edition” [a/k/a the Senate]
that inflation might be higher, AND MORE ENDURING, than we anticipated
… “gee, ya think dumb ass”? … markets not liking this particular brand of
stupidity, and quite frankly it’s that time of year anyway [Sep - Oct] … the DOW30,
an hour after the cash open, seeing -400 at its worst before a dead cat bounce
… “hey Chipmunks, you guys happy yet”?
From any given trading day perspective, the normal bell curve is instructive,
directly below.
The red square area are where the big down days of DOW30 fall into, currently for
2021 about a 5% probability of occurring on any given trading day … and the dirty
little secret when you get out into this area, especially when you pass the
-3 standard deviation zone [-3 “sigma”], is that you are entering a zone of trading
that has no rules … it’s the “Twilight Zone”, and relying on rules in here is
laughable cuz there simply aren’t any … this is what causes hedge funds to go
bankrupt … this is also the back “6” of the “88/6/6” paradigm, and avoiding
losses in here is paramount, cuz they will wipe out anything & everything in the
front “94” … what took you 6 months to make, takes 2 hours to lose PLUS MOAR!,
so the goal has got to be to avoid getting the call from Sil & Paulie!
The very real problem for traders in this “Twilight Zone” of hell for buyers, isn’t
the signal or the fact the market goes up some points from your fill … the
problems are twofold … 1) slippage is magnified costing you money on the way
in, and 2) the turnaround lower on the red spike is gonna get you obliterated from
the scumbag LP who doesn’t really want the order, and thus you end up with a
price you can’t believe how bad it is … under normal trading conditions [the other
95% of the time] the trading algorithm is almost “Hoover Dam” FLAWLESS … get
back here where the lines get “blurry”, and here is where the problems can mount
up in a hurry! … as I write, we got a 650+ index point range … that’s about 150%+ of
the current 20 Day Range MA … “from the back of the “Thelma & Louise” Cadillac,
I can see the cliff dead ahead … umm ladies, WTF are you doing”?!
We are way above the 20 Day Range MA for the DOW30, an hour and change from
the cash open, and that makes this market especially treacherous & dangerous,
as general bank scumbaggery + higher slippage [both absolutely GUARANTEED!]
is in the cards for everyone … and given the news flow, conditions could get a
helluva lot worse before they get better in the days ahead … and already I’ve seen
some absolutely criminal behavior by Turnkey’s LP in the DOW30, who is most
likely an HFT paying them for order flow info … if any of you did this they would
put you in jail, but none of these assholes have to worry cuz they pay the “skim”,
whereas you wouldn’t pay the crooks anything … that’s the difference!
Europe closed now … not that they matter much anyway anymore, but today at
least they put the hammer down on the Chuckleheads coming into the open, as
rate rises caught the Chuckleheads flat footed … this looks to be a very rough
New York afternoon for “Stonks” bulls, but always remember the “Plunge
Protection Team” [PPT] stands “at the ready” to rally markets like the DOW30
quickly & smartly, at the first hint of the selling pressure abating … not for you
Skippy, for the scumbag banks, and of course for their own “skim” … hey, bills
gotta be paid and mistresses got needs … wouldn’t surprise me to see another
“stick save” attempt in the last half hour by the PPT.
Well, with the meltdown not being the most conducive of circumstances to get
buy signals, we nevertheless got one buy signal in the DOW30 today
… TURNKEY PAMM UP SLIGHTLY.
Over in crypto, did nothing today for “The Syndicate” … BTC simply not moving
much, outside of a buy stop hunt that lasted about 3 minutes before getting
crushed as stocks opened and then went “Thelma & Louise” … oh well, onto
tomorrow.
… outta here … “the future looks so bright, I need sunglasses”! 😎
… Onward & Upward!!
-vegas
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