CRYPTO TICKER

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Showing posts with label binary options. Show all posts
Showing posts with label binary options. Show all posts

Sunday, September 24, 2023

SUNDAY UPDATE: SCALP TRADING AS A QUASI BINARY OPTION

“When you know you HATE working for a living, and then discover trading!!”


It’s easy for people, when struggling with trading, to point a finger at a

successful trader and say, “well yea, he’s just a born trader”, and by de facto

definition, somehow the gene pool skipped over your Mom & Dad and said

“what’s the point?” … however, what’s really going on when I hear shit like

this, and quite frankly it’s been directed at me my whole professional career

by others, is a misunderstanding of an important process few people really

understand … cuz what somebody really means when they say others are

“born traders” and they’re not, is THAT THEY DON’T HAVE THE NECESSARY

HABITS ALL SUCCESSFUL TRADERS HAVE! … 1) dedication to learning

markets in their entirety … OK, call it an addiction … 2) discipline & patience,

which are FREE by the way, and are LEARNED BEHAVIORS … 3) finding the

right markets [lowest total cost to trade] and equally important understanding

the brokerage house you’re at and how they work and make money, and

getting yourself the best deal possible … 4) once you’ve gotten the first 3 down

pat, FIND OR CREATE a trading model that accomplishes what it is you’re

trying to do … a scalping algorithm is useless if you’re a position trader and

vice versa! … understand that trading model backwards & forwards, and most

importantly understand its limitations and when it breaks down … there is no

“Holy Grail” in trading, and every model has at least ONE drawback that leads

to trouble, and quite frankly most have a Helluva lot more than one

… avoiding trouble and THEN MAKING MONEY IS THE RIGHT APPROACH!

… and 5) when you have all of this, attack your chosen market like

“Attila The Hun” and don’t stop trading until your bank balance looks like

your cell phone number with area & country code! … NOW, YOU’RE A BORN

TRADER!!!!!


And believe me, there will be challenges galore in spite of success … we live in

the era of central bank manipulation via their BFF scumbag LP banks, and

nobody has a choice in the matter when it comes to trading … you either figure

out how to escape their clutches and/or get them to work for you, or you FAIL

… it’s a binary process they’ve instituted, and most markets can kiss the idea of

the concept of a “fair & honest free market” right down the toilet … the rise of

crypto in the last decade has helped change the trading industry in ways it

wouldn’t have changed on its own … that’s why Apparatchiks & POLS hate

crypto, cuz they can’t control, manipulate, and/or cheat it like they do fiat, and

therefore it’s a systemic threat.


I have always been a scalper my entire professional career … it gives a trader

MAX freedom from those who seek to assert control over a market … whether

private groups or government via central banks, what’s the difference? … the

difference is only that private groups seek to assert control to make money, and

therefore create volatility, which helps traders … POLS & Apparatchiks seek

control to PUNISH TRADERS BY CRUSHING VOLATILITY AND EXERT POLICY

THAT IS USUALLY IDIOTIC WHILE ATTEMPTING TO ESCAPE CONSEQUENCES

FOR THEIR ACTIONS … in other words, it’s propaganda for financially

educated Sheeple!


There is no question in my mind, and it is my learned opinion only cuz I can’t

get actual “proof” cuz there is no such thing as transparency or accountability

in trading markets any longer from the big actors … the offshore brokerage

houses are joined at the hip with either bank LP’s or very large HFT’s [High

Frequency Trading firms like Citadel, Black Rock, Virtue, etc.] so as to increase

profit through underhanded techniques … while they technically might not be

illegal, they sure as Hell are immoral … and they involve bullshit “variable

bid/offer spread games” on a constant basis where they claim your trading

platform [most notably MT4 or MT5] is giving you the highest bid for selling and

the lowest offer for buying from a multitude of “Tier 1” liquidity providers [LP’s],

when in fact they only ever use 1 or maybe 2 of these banks or HFT’s, and the

bids & offers employ “mystery ticks” up in the offer when you go to buy, and

“mystery ticks” lower in the bid when you go to sell … and while you might

think your house has “tight spreads”, in fact it’s all bullshit and they’re in reality

50%+ higher than you thought when you go to trade … and nobody but nobody

did it better than Turnkey when they were still around, and now that they’ve

merged with Coinexx, these Asshats employ it as well.


And if that’s not bad enough, we don’t know if any of these brokerage houses

sell your customer data to an HFT, with all of your accounts trading habits

… we’re talkin’ millions of dollars here … remember RobinHood & the HFT

Citadel? … but, like I said, crypto changed a lot of that, and at least the HFT’s

are better for us as traders than the scumbag banks.


Which brings me to IQCENT and the markets they offer that can’t be beat

anywhere! … go ahead, I dare you, go find them somewhere else and then let

me know via email where there’s a lower total cost to trade, cuz I definitely want

to know … although I list 4 crypto markets to trade, there are more than that at

IQCENT, but these are the top 4 IMHO, and unless there’s a specific reason to

stray from these, all I see is trouble in trading the others, mostly cuz of lack of

liquidity and VIX … and the 4 are, BTCUSDT, ETHUSDT, DOGEUSDT, &

XRPUSDT … BOTH BTCUSDT & ETHUSDT have 1 penny bid/offer spread with

no commissions, so it’s literally impossible to find another house that can beat

that … IMHO, ETHUSDT makes for the best overall conditions. 


And if you don’t want to trade crypto for some reason [like it ain’t movin’!], over

in FX the only obvious choice is EURUSD … 0.1 - 0.2 PIP BID/OFFER SPREAD

WITH NO COMMISSIONS … lowest cost to trade you’ll find anywhere! … I

highlighted in a previous blog how IQCENT makes their money, and they do it

through HIGHER VIX on spikes UP/DOWN … again, another big benefit for a

successful scalper, when you “buy the dip & sell the RIP!” … other markets can

make good “day trading”, but not necessarily good scalping vehicles to trade

… for scalp traders YOU ABSOLUTELY NEED THE LOWEST COST AVAILABLE

IN THE MARKETPLACE, ALONG WITH ZERO SLIPPAGE … from my

experiences, you get that at IQCENT … you most certainly don’t get it at Coinexx

cuz of commissions + slippage.


I mentioned the other day about reorienting your thinking towards scalping, and

bringing yourself around to view scalping as a specific condition of binary

options … a “quasi” model if you will … cuz here’s the deal folks … using VIDYA

& the stochastic oscillator, we can pinpoint very well with a very good & high

probability, when scumbag banks are about to either resume a short term trend,

OR “flip the script” and fade spec order flow … cuz remember, to a bank they

don’t want to move a market that hurts the direction of their positions, so they

engineer moves up/down so spec order flow is faded on spec buy/sell signals

… I’ve noted in the past that this is “buy or sell fuel” ready to hit the market,

and we see this all the time in FX and crypto pairs … and so we get the

appropriate move like clockwork! … contrast this with an OTC Binary Option,

where the entire process has no basis in fact in the real world … it’s make

believe trading among house clients, so they say … the entire system is being

run by an “AI generated software system”, much like casinos use with

progressive slot machines linked to each other via numerous casinos linking

thousands of slot machines, and the casino groups involved set the various

“win ratios” of the slots system … it’s guaranteed money for the casinos, and

it’s guaranteed losses for the people who play IN THE COLLECTIVE … but

binary options ain’t progressive slots! … you’re only ever gonna get a payout

of anywhere from 90% - 98% of your bet, there’s no “bet a dollar on a trade

and win $100K” … the biggest drawback I see from very short term

expirations, e.g. 5s and/or 15s bets, is the preponderance of moves that

happen within a fraction of a second from expiration that turn winners into

losers … that ain’t any real market that moved, it was the computer system

fucking you and taking your money! … it’s why OTC options have much

higher payout ratios than regular, normal markets … basically the house is

playing “bookie”, and in this closed system not available to outsiders

outside the brokerage house, the AI software can do whatever the fuck they

want to price to insure the house always wins … THAT VERY MUCH ISN’T

THE CASE WHEN SCALPING ANY MARKET LIKE CRYPTO OR EURUSD.


You cannot use regular m1 MT4 or MT5 charts for binary options, cuz like I said

they are NOT real markets, so real market charting is USELESS! … IQCENT

licenses a charting service like Trading View [TV] to host the feed from the

IQCENT computer center and then feeds them the streaming data that’s

generated by the “AI software” … and that’s what you can chart with on the

IQCENT PLATFORM, OR ANY OTHER HOUSES’S PLATFORM … just remember,

it ain’t real, it’s made up, so it can [and will] do anything it wants … and what it

wants is your balance! … the only drawback to thinking that scalp trades are

“quasi binary trades”, is when traders can’t or won’t take a small loss when the

buy fuel [or sell fuel in shorting] doesn’t show up as expected from an algorithm

signal … and so the breakdown of the individual trader in terms of discipline

comes back to bite him/her right in the ass … however, on the flip side, there

are times when you get long and it just keeps going higher second-after-second,

minute-after-minute, and you get a whole lot more from the trade than a PIP or

two … in essence, though, when you break it down, there are quite a few

positive similarities to binary options … I’ll have more on OTC binary options

next week from the 30s perspective, so for those interested, stay tuned.


Sometime during the week, I’ll also post to “Download Links” the XAGUSD mq4

code for support / resistance in the 4 “Risk Model” [RM] zones of volatility

… silver looks to be particularly well defined for a price explosion when gold

erupts, and with new pricing via a new HFT LP, it makes sense to include silver

as an adequate supplement to gold from a trading perspective.


Directly below, this week’s 20 Day Range MA’s for selected markets … I’ve

expanded the list to include New York session average & median for ETHUSDT,

which when it moves is right there with EURUSD FOR THE BEST MARKET TO

TRADE … PERIOD! … onto the week.  


click on table to enlarge

… OUTTA HERE … “The future’s so bright I need 2 pairs of sunglasses 😎😎,

and my own Brinks armored truck” 💓!! … Onward & Upward!!


-vegas



Thursday, August 31, 2023

THE HAL9000 RUNS EVERYTHING

 

“Markets as you’ve known them, no longer exist!!”

Think of the OTC [meaning no banks, just specs] Binary Options as a market run

by the HAL9000 inside of a basketball with definable limited boundaries … and

that ball is shoved up/down to keep this artificial derivatives market inline with

the broader market it’s supposed to represent but actually doesn’t … it’s just a

made up construct to make you feel better ,,, and you have to understand that in

order to clean up in binaries, regardless whether you do 5s, 15s, or 30s

expirations [they all have their own pros & cons in order to get the 95% and

sometimes in BTC the 98% payout ratio], YOU HAVE TO MAKE THE TRADES

THE COLLECTIVE SPEC COMMUNITY ISN’T MAKING … the HAL9000 makes

sure the collective loses, with moves in the last second or two to take it all

away! … I’ll cover this in more detail in the days ahead.


For the last 20 hours or so, I’ve been fighting light stomach flu … “el puko mucho

every 37 minutes on the button!” … as I started the blog, that cycle fortunately

has been broken … I didn’t trade today cuz of it, and I’ve officially morphed into

a Pansy … no worries, from the looks of today, just another scam job pre NFP

Idiocy … be back 100% tomorrow just in time for another NFP Friday, oh joy oh

fun … can’t hardly wait … onto tomorrow.


…  OUTTA HERE … “The future’s so bright I need 2 pairs of sunglasses 😎😎,

and my own Brinks armored truck” 💓!! … Onward & Upward!!


-vegas



Wednesday, August 30, 2023

BINARY OPTIONS = FREEDOM FROM GOVERNMENT EVIL

 

“Roller coasters run by criminals … the banks always win!!”

So lemme get this straight … all this year and last, government has lied about

jobs created, wages, inflation, productivity, & housing … markets rally on the

“strong” growth … then over the course of the last week or two, we learn of all

of the downward adjustments to these scam reports by government whiz kids,

highlighted by today’s “unexpectedly” horrendous JOLTS data … and “Stock

Bellies” melt UP on the “bad news is good news” bag of bullshit … and all that

selling gets washed away in a matter of a few hours … Spicoli’s “hawkishness”

from Cowboy land out in Wyoming during J-Hole, simply a faded memory

… quite frankly, somebody tell me who believes any of the FED Lounge Lizards

with their “higher for longer” mantra?


“Markets” [cough, bullshit, cough] turn on a dime and for the most part go

straight up/down until the PANIC fuel runs dry, at which point the scumbag banks

reverse order flow, take the ship down, and now it’s the other direction faster

than the speed of tears hitting the floor … and when they're long from all of that

spec selling and they need the tide to turn, time to roll out either an Apparatchik

or two for some “helpful” comments, or wait for a bogus report that bails them

out … rinse / repeat, and am I the only one who sees this horseshit or what?

… markets, what’s left of ‘em, are nothing but bank steamrollers on steroids

… and it’s aptly called “pain trading” … the way out is binary options! … give the

“middle finger’ to banks & government and learn how to beat the collective spec

community and profit! … there’s a reason more people trade binary options than

trade futures or CFD’s … there’s a reason IQCENT has OVER 1+ MILLION active

clients [and growing] … there’s a reason why building an account up is relatively

easier to do in binary options rather than CFD’s … it’s twofold … 1) elimination

of high risk that comes with quick, sharp changes in market sentiment &

direction, and 2) consistently better results over time utilizing both up/down

trading models without #1.


Consider the following scenario … I got $200 and I trade utilizing the new options

algo [Binary Options Algorithm v3] … I only trade “OTC Options” cuz of the very

high payout ratios, 95% or even higher to 98% … even though I see a win/loss

ratio of GREATER THAN 90%+, let’s assume you trade and have a 70 / 30 win ratio

… for the sake of mathematical simplicity, let’s assume you do 20 trades per day,

which would make your trading session anywhere from 2 - 5 hours long, and that

each “binary options bet” is = 0.5% of your account balance [higher / lower

depends on your risk appetite] … and yes, I fully realize this is a conservative

approach, but I want to make a point here using tiny amounts of money and

making you realize what’s not only possible but probable, so stay with me … that

means you bet $1 [200 * .005], and given your win ratio of 70 / 30, you won 14 and

lost 6 trades … that would be 14 * 0.95 = $13.40 … you lost $6, so your net is

$7.40 … given your starting account balance of 200, that = a return 3.7% … STAY

AS CLOSE TO THIS AS POSSIBLE AS YOUR ACCOUNT GROWS!


And what this means, is that after 2 months of trading [40 days], you have ~ $850,

and are earning about $35 per day … after 4 months of trading [80 days], you have

~ $3,600, and are earning about $140 per day … after 6 months of trading

[120 days], you have ~ 15,600, and are earning ~ $600 PER DAY … SO, FROM

PRACTICALLY NOTHING TO SIX FIGURES PER YEAR [~$150,000] WITHIN 6

MONTHS!! … if this doesn’t make you say “Howdy Doody”, then I don’t know

WTF it’s gonna take to get a person up off his/her ass and JUST DO IT BABY! 


What will stop most people from doing this? … patience & discipline and doing

“stupid shit” cuz you couldn’t follow simple rules, and/or trading markets that

aren’t widely followed and not volatile enough … Hell, even when Bitcoin is

“DEAD”, it’s volatile enough for a 30 second bet … throw in U.S. “Stock Bellies”

during the North American day, the Hang Seng 50 at night, and if need be come

night time at the 8 PM EST open, try Brent Crude Oil … and I haven’t even listed

USDCNH, USDJPY, or any of the YEN crosses when they’re at 95% or greater

payout! … from this list alone, there’s plenty to keep the up/down arrows

humming along! … the figures I mentioned above can be calculated at the

following link for those wishing to individualize your potential trading returns.


https://www.calculator.net/future-value-calculator.html


And quite frankly, if I was in my 20’s+ and facing a dead end future, with or without

a useless degree from the bullshit “woke” indoctrination camps or not, I’d crawl

backwards & drag my naked ass over broken glass for miles to raise $200+ bucks

and do this … I WANT FREEDOM! … I want to live my life like I want to live it, not

by some arbitrary standard set by corporate America & corrupt government! … I’d

be maniacal about the process, and set about shaping my life around trading

… and back-in-the-day that’s what I did when there were only futures to trade … I

did what I had to do … it’s soooooooo much easier now! … so my advice is simple

… JUST FUCKING DO IT!


From what “The Mrs.” & Miss Gimpy tell me, trading the 30s binaries in

ETHUSDT [Ethereum] is a better trade than BTCUSDT [Bitcoin], cuz despite the

fact the payout is 3% better in BTC at 98% [which, let’s be honest, ain’t much],

ETH has better price action and much less “fuck you at expiration with a wild

swing that loses your bet in the last 1 second” action … watching the tick chart

in BTC and you can see this happening a lot … not as prevalent in ETH although

it has its moments as well, but on the whole since we’re talking about winning

bets, and not gigantic price moves where there’s a big difference, they swear ETH

is a better crypto binary bet than BTC …using that logic, which makes sense, I’m

gonna be looking at some of the other crypto pairs that have consistent 95%

payout ratios, like XRP, DOGE, and maybe Solana [SOL] … we’ll see.


As an alternative to the SuperTrend indicator, cuz some don’t like the fact it gets in

the way of the chart, and as we all know you can get the same information from

other mathematical indicators, you can use the “momentum oscillator” [mom],

which is in the IQCENT Trading View chart library of indicators … put the

“length” = 8, and the “source” = hl2 … pick any color you want … when the

“mom” changes from down to up, “buy” for a 30s bet … could also work with

15s, but I haven’t done any work with that expiration so it’s only a guess at this

point … nothing to say you can’t have both up there on the chart either, so

there’s always that … directly below, a screenshot with the “mom” oscillator in

BTCUSDT from today.


click on chart to enlarge

No trades today for the PAMM … outside of the criminal, money laundering NYSE

open where action is basically a roulette wheel of bullshit, after the first 30 - 45

minutes, DOW30 can’t do anything … can’t even move 100 points … how pathetic

is that? … crude oil is dead, and gold is in the morgue as well … end of August

action waiting for NFP Idiocy on Friday … trading action just seriously FUBAR

… onto tomorrow ... for "The Syndicate" some very light BTCUSDT binary option

trades and we're UP SLIGHTLY.


…  OUTTA HERE … “The future’s so bright I need 2 pairs of sunglasses 😎😎,

and my own Brinks armored truck” 💓!! … Onward & Upward!!


-vegas