THE FED IS ENGINEERING THE NEXT FINANCIAL CRISIS

 

“Grab the popcorn as the FED manipulates the SP500!”

Before I get to the insanity of what happened yesterday afternoon, when

financial markets got “shocked” by FED minutes of the last meeting at

information they’ve been given for 3 fucking weeks, I would be remis if I didn’t

comment on the complete “clown show circus” going to happen today cuz it’s

“Jan. 6” … oh yes, right up there with Pearl Harbor, and 9/11 if you dare to

have your intelligence assaulted by Loon Libtards … expect the usual virtue

signaling, pearl clutching, and hyperbole by Libtards who get sent to their

“safe space” when Starbucks is out of raspberry latte … and you somehow

think Vlad or Xi are afraid of this bunch of losers led by “Taliban Joe”?

… Bwahahahaha! FJB!

Now to the FED Lounge Lizards … they caused the problem, now they want to

“soft land” expectations about the asset bubble,so they become uber hawkish

… all the while they will protect the level of the SP500 to stay ABOVE 4500 AT

ALL COSTS … and the battle between 4500 - 4700 is gonna be a B. I. Itch … and

if by chance in the days ahead interest rates on the 10 YR. Treasury climb above

1.79% [currently at 1.71%], and the SP500 does break 4500, watch how fast the

Lounge Lizards led by Spicoli change their tune and suddenly become uber

doves again … don’t worry, they’ll find a reason, and pump it to the blind

sycophants at CNBC & Dumberg, who will vigorously report on it with glee … and

it’ll be time to pump the asset bubble once more to the moon … cuz here’s the

dirty little secret … the FED, no matter what they say, CAN’T RAISE RATES

AGGRESSIVELY, cuz if they do the interest on the federal debt won’t be able to

be paid and the “U.S. of China” defaults … this isn’t my opinion,

IT’S A MATH FACT!

The only way they can stop the rise of asset bubbles, or slow the growth, is to

“talk tough”, and thus hope to take some of the air out of the proverbial

BUBBLE balloon … it won’t work cuz humans panic … and so, either we get a

full blown crash that makes 2008 look like a soft correction, or they cave and

reverse course once the SP500 gives up the 4500 level … and they’ll use the

“Plunge Protection Team” [PPT], CNTRL-P machine that goes “Brrrrrrrr” 24/7/365,

and anything else they can think of to pour hundreds of billions if not trillions into

the CORRUPT FINANCIAL system so 1) zombie corporations can continue to float

debt cheaply to use for stock buybacks, which props prices artificially, and 2) they

can please their masters by not letting stock prices collapse, thus insuring when

they retire from the FED, that the corner office with window views of nice parks

and that 7 digit “consulting fee” will be waiting for them from virus, scumbag

banks … this is the “payback”, the “quid pro quo” when nobody is looking in

the future … buckle up, it’s gonna get interesting beyond belief in the

weeks / months ahead … “cuz make absolutely no mistake about this … the FED

ONLY CARES ABOUT THE LEVEL OF THE SP500 … NOTHING ELSE MATTERS

… NOTHING”!

After seeing yesterday afternoon’s blitzkrieg panic to the downside in everything,

even though plenty of the  Lounge Lizards for days if not weeks have been saying

this, markets acted with surprise at the FED’s hawkish talk … so I knew going to

bed last night that when I woke up early this AM, that most likely SHTF will

happen in the Asian session, and as a result ranges get blown out, and then

everything dies … and as the sun comes up in New York, that’s exactly the

scenario that got played out … gold and oil before Europe had even started have

passed their respective 20 Day Range MA’s, and so what’s left here for the rest of

the day? … “Spoos” getting buffeted around like a ping pong ball around the

close from yesterday, as I’m sure the PPT was active all night long … got to

protect “Stonks” at all costs, and while a few tech stocks get monkey

hammered, it’s the indices that matter, with the SP500 the king

… long live the king.

Meanwhile, after getting mauled yesterday afternoon, this morning in Europe

crude oil goes on a blistering rally that takes it up to $79+ … can’t figure this

out for any reason that’s sane … simply makes no sense … and the parabolic

curve in oil continues to march higher, as oil is up over $11 in 12 days … and

when it ends, look the hell out below, CUZ IT WILL BE FAST & VICIOUS!

It’s NOON in New York, and the criminal open at the NYSE is past us, where the

“Plunge Protection Team” [PPT] shows up and blasts “Stonks” higher, for 2

reasons … 1) protect the downside and change attitudes, and 2) to bail out

scumbag banks who have been buying the selling since yesterday’s close

… cuz after all, how’s an Apparatchik supposed to get rich with trading “skim”

if the banks aren’t allowed to make money! … yes, that would truly be a shame

wouldn’t it? … do they give you that deal?

The 10 YR. Treasury hasn’t moved at all this morning, holding onto rate gains

from yesterday … crude oil I haven’t even looked at cuz it went past its 20 Day

Range MA before the day even began … gold a nightmare from the long side in

a rate hike environment, and if the 10YR rate can’t move, then gold doesn’t move

either … that leaves the ‘Spoos”, where since the NYSE open has been a joke

… welcome to manipulation central! … meanwhile crypto exhibiting all of the

classic symptoms of the “dead cat bounce” from yesterday’s debacle to the

downside in BTC … what a “shitshow circus” that was … BTC simply mirroring

the SP500 almost tick for tick, and there’s very little interest in buying … there’s

panic selling, and then there’s short covering that spooks the rats … and that’s it!

What would the day be like without a DOUBLE REVERSAL in “Spoos” .. cuz after

yesterday’s shitfest, government manipulators gotta be manipulating to shape

attitudes towards “Stonks” … never mind inflation and higher rates, there’s the

PPT with the CNTRL-P machine … it works until it doesn’t … these people should

be in jail, and the fact they aren’t and do it with impunity, tells you everything you

need to know about the most corrupt financial system ever seen in history … just

hope & pray you don’t get caught in it when it ends, cuz what can’t be sustained

won’t be! … “the “U.S. of China” has a date with financial hell coming up … it’s

not a question of “IF” but “WHEN” … my guess is, when both the Ruskies &

ChiComs back their respective currencies with gold, the gig is up in the U.S.

… and that day is coming faster than you think”!

And like clockwork, once the double reversal is put in and the shorts fucked in

“Spoos”, there’s nothing left to do … as I have said many times, double

reversals almost always go NOWHERE once the second side is put it cuz the

order books are wiped clean … first the longs get screwed, then it’s the slow

crawl to the top for the shorts to take it … well, in the shorts … with both sides

of the order book wiped clean, what’s left? … exactly what the PPT manipulators

like to see, cuz they hate all specs!

Only one algorithm buy signal today in the SP500 for the Turnkey PAMM

… UP SLIGHTLY.

The “Spoos” the only thing to trade today, since both oil & gold “verboten” before

the day even began cuz they overran their respective 20 Day Range MA’s … the

spread today in oil was good to OK, seeing 2 cents to 3 cents most of the U.S.

session … why the hell they couldn’t do this the other day is beyond me, but today

with a $3.35 range, all of a sudden they discover religion? … WTF! … but it

doesn’t matter, as yet again there’s nothing here but serious chop once the U.S.

day gets going, and now crude is off over $1 from its high made much earlier

… gold has seen about a $6 - $7 range for the last 6 - 7 hours and is caught in

some serious bullshit chop with rates not moving one iota today but simply sitting

after “bigly & yuge” gains yesterday … again the 20 Day Range breached to the

upside before the New York day even began, and since then it’s been nothing

short of pure bullshit.

The algo signal in the “Spoos” came right after the low, and since the algo was in

scalp mode, that’s what I did … not very happy with Turnkey’s thieving HFT LP,

who stuck us with a half an index point slippage on liquidation … thieves, pure

and simple, but whaddaya gonna do? … it’s not like I don’t know who they are

… what pisses me off is Turnkey trying to tell me they are the very best … right,

sure they are, what a frickin’ joke … and after that it was hours to the next algo

signal which didn’t come until after the DOUBLE REVERSAL HIGH had been

made … knowing what I know about double reversals, why would anybody get

long on a signal that’s relatively close to the high when there’s a good sized

probability price isn’t gonna go anywhere … and that’s what happened, as the

algo signal never became reality cuz there was no confirmation of further price

gain … it just kept sliding lower … and now here we are in mid afternoon, with

the “Spoos” collapsing back down to “UNCH-ED” on the day … we got the

“dead cat bounce”, but even that can’t hold cuz rates aren’t budging an inch

from yesterday’s gains in yield on the 10YR Treasury … and if you need live

10 YR quotes, either Bloomberg or Trading View have them for free  … right

now, eyes are fixated on the 10 YR. and whether or not the 1.79% yield gives

way to upwards towards 2% … if that happens, gold is gonna get mauled, and

the PPT will have its work cut out for itself keeping the “Spoos” from sinking

… and with rates doing NADA today, gold has nowhere to go … can’t rally

can’t break, and all we see is order flow chop from the scumbag bullion

dealer banks front running futures … that’s it, and there simply is no impetus

for gold to move, so if you trade it today, you’re risking dollars to make

pennies, which is not ideal to say the least … that’s why I was in the “Spoos”,

although trading conditions haven’t been that good … Turnkey’s LP’s have

boosted the spread by 0.1 - 0.2 index points and slippage is an issue today,

as I found out first hand … again the thieving, but tell me something I don’t

already know.

Meanwhile, crypto is a train wreck … trading conditions are terrible, with almost

no interest in BTC, and that makes trading it very tough, cuz nobody is reaching

for either bids or offers until they see the SP500 move, and then all of a sudden

everybody and their brother wants in and BTC goes up / down $150 … meanwhile,

nothing is really happening and like the “Spoos” the “dead cat bounce”

phenomenon has been achieved … now what, cuz it looks very heavy still, and

when this shit decides to go lower, it doesn’t mess around, as yesterday

afternoon proves … unless price starts to rally soon back over 45K, BTC looks

set to challenge the 40K area and the sell stops that go with it … as for today,

though, there isn’t anything here to trade … no trades today for “The Syndicate”

in crypto … if it ain’t there, you simply wait … doesn’t matter if you like it or not,

you wait, cuz if you don’t you hand money to “whales” and LP’s churning price

at your expense … that doesn’t get anybody to “millionairehood”!

Tomorrow is another “oh joy, oh fun” NFP Idiocy Day … can’t hardly wait

… hopefully shit behaves overnight so I got something to trade when I get up

…  outta here … “The future’s so bright I need sunglasses”!! 😎

… Onward & Upward!

-vegas

IT’S SIMPLE … IMMORAL SOCIETY, IMMORAL MARKETS

 

“Sure, sure they are!”

The U.S., if it’s not already there, is headed for civil war … “normalcy, as you

once knew life to be like IS OVER SHEEPLE!” … a thoroughly corrupt Congress,

abysmal POLS [especially Libtard Communitst Dems], and a cultural society that

has rotted long ago into the sewer, away from anything moral & just … “you

wanted Libtards, this is what you get … enjoy the riots, looting, murders, and

scumbags of every description running loose, cuz that’s what you voted for … the

new vogue religion is government, and all the “isms” they can propagandize to

grasp power, while their strong arm tactics of ANTIFA & BLM do their street work

of pure terrorism… and in a few short weeks, if “Creepy Uncle Joe” and his

sidekick socialist / communist / anarchist / looney tunes VP puppet candidate are

able to steal the election via ballot fraud, you’re gonna find out up close &

personal just how much your freedoms & wealth are taken away from you … for

the children, of course … enjoy the panic”!

Meanwhile over in finance land, without much fanfare or outrage, JPM just got

fined another $1 Billion Dollars for gold & silver manipulation … “ho hum, another

day for the criminal RICO enterprise known as J.P. Morgan … excuse me,, but why

isn’t anybody in management in jail"? … well, we all know the answer to that one

don’t we? … “All animals are equal, but some are more equal than others” … so

what’s ever going to stop the overt & criminal manipulations seen in markets

about every 5 minutes? … nothing, nothing at all.

Quite frankly, everyday a new excursion into terror, as the manipulations become

bigger and more frequent, especially in “Stock Bellies” … 100% thoroughly

corrupt … and today, like most, Apparatchiks out on the wires moving markets

with BS, cuz after all nothing else matters … straight up / straight down, take your

pick … turn on a frickin’ dime and then kill everybody on the other side … rinse,

repeat, as often as necessary and steal as much money as you can with the

manipulations … spread it around to the POLS, Apparatchiks, & regulators and

who’s gonna B. I . Itch that matters? … “I don’t think it’s possible to have A MORE

CORRUPT FINANCIAL SYSTEM THAN WHAT WE HAVE NOW, EVEN IF SOMEBODY

SET OUT TO MAKE ONE! … and it isn’t any better in other markets, which

sometimes are even worse than “Stock Bellies”, gold being a perfect example

right along with the rest of FX … today seeing one of the BOE Dipweeds from

their faculty lounge talk about having NIRP in their “toolbox” … “right, cuz it’s

worked so well for the Japanese over these last 40 years hasn’t it? … good grief,

where is anybody with any brains”?

The DAX30 today, playing the role of “quasi NDX100”, flying around with ZERO

purpose, but going “panic city” on multiple occasions both up & down, cuz why

not? … the usual assortment of EU & Brit Apparatchiks on the wires today

causing mischief with their BS, and in the process attempting to fill the mistress

funds … more than half the day completely chaotic & out of control, but now that

Europe is closed trading has quieted markedly … well, that only means time for

the scumbag Wall Street banks to take over, and “oh boy, can’t wait” isn’t

something that enters my vocabulary.

One algorithm trade signal in the DAX30 today … TURNKEY PAMM / MAM UP

SLIGHTLY … [yesterday + today = almost UP 0.1%]

We should be getting more signals, but aren’t cuz the entire week so far has been

almost straight up / straight down, turn on a frickin’ dime and move as fast as

humanly possible the other direction … and today sees only a very brief period of

time where the market actually “traded”, and that’s where the signal showed up

for a very good high probability scalp … it would be nice to get “normal”, but I’m

not sure normal exists anymore … whatever, I take it as it comes.

Outta here … until tomorrow … Onward & Upward!! 

-vegas

SUNDAY UPDATE: WHY GOLD, WHY NOW?

 

“Grows every day & WILL NEVER be paid down … only inflated away!”

To be brutally clear, I never left gold trading, it left me … now that the complete

idiocy of the March 2020 gold pricing scam between futures and spot has ended,

mostly IMHO due to the HFT’s entering into the LP scene, it now can be looked

at again with a different set of eyes … cuz make no mistake, gold is a completely

different market than it was pre-pandemic 6 months ago … let’s be real here, gold

is NOT anywhere near a perfect market, but then again name for me one that is?

… crickets to be sure … stock indices a complete joke cuz of the slippage, and

quite frankly EVERY FX non dollar cross the same … tight bid/offer spreads in

crosses are a “fantasyland of delusion”, where your fill isn’t even close to what’s

being quoted, and the scumbag LP’s can do whatever they want with your order

… major dollar pairs are better [thanks to the HFT’s], but their inconsistent IVIX

INDEX levels day-to-day are a major problem … ditto for crude oil … dead one

day, bat poo crazy the next, stop on a dime and drift, and then a POL and/or

Apparatchik says something and it’s rinse & repeat … all of these markets

beholden to the manipulator POLS & Apparatchiks that control them.

Sure, I wish XAUUSD bid/offer spreads would go back to where they were

pre-pandemic, back in the teens [cents per Oz.], but that isn’t going to happen

anytime soon … most likely never … so, it becomes a question of what’s

“acceptable” and what isn’t … what’s acceptable are spreads in the “thirties''

[cents per Oz.] OR BELOW … what’s unacceptable is anything above that … given

the heightened volatility, increase in daily ranges, increased awareness of the

need for physical  gold around the world by the public, AND increased buying of

gold by central banks, notably Russia, China, & India, while at the same time

government debt via the CNTRL-P machine goes berserk, and most days should

see very good volatility levels … although from last week, Thursday & Friday

were pitiful for gold.

There’s another big reason why gold, why now … and that reason is that the

bullion banks are no longer willing to go blindly along with the FED’s “Rally

Protection Team” [RPT] and sell futures contracts as the price goes higher … they

got burned by the FED on policy change before, and it ain’t happening twice!

… as the chart below shows, the March 2020 debacle in price saw massive 50%

reductions in open interest, and the meteoric rise to new all time highs on

August 11, 2020 only saw a small increase in open interest … and with the very

fast & vicious price slaughter of August 11 & 12 [Asian session], open interest

again fell … it’s now back to levels 3 -5 years ago when price was clearly a lot

lower … so, where’s the scumbag bullion bank selling?

click on any chart or table to enlarge

Fact is, IMHO, there are probably more metals desks that are interested in

positioning long than positioning short, and using various options strategies like

“short gamma”, to hedge … and while the RPT is still there, unless the FED shifts

its policy away from basically ZERO INTEREST RATES, gold has a very long way

to go on the upside … outside of everybody and their brother getting long and

crowding the position, what’s gonna stop it? … government fiscal & monetary

sanity? … “yea sure, go with that and sleep with the fishes”!

Directly below, the IVIX INDEX levels for XAUUSD [spot gold] & XAGUSD [spot

silver] for last week … please read the footnotes!

And as long as the HFT’s can keep the spread sane in XAUUSD, meaning it’s

acceptable, I’ll trade it … and if they don’t, I’ll simply look at EURUSD & GBPUSD

and see if they are trading in an acceptable manner … ditto with crude oil … quite

frankly, I’d love to see spot silver [XAGUSD] get reasonable, but I’d be surprised

if that happens … that market is wild on steroids, so I don’t see the HFT’s going

below 1.5 cent bid/offer spreads … currently they are around 2.5 - 3.0, which is too

high … in any event, now that the froth has been cleaned out of gold [for the

moment], it’s time to remember what Palladium did first, before gold, when it went

to new all time highs, as it consolidated before taking off again … that chart

directly below … and somehow if people are stupid enough to vote for “Looney

Tunes Libtard” Rule come November, look out above!

And that little black rectangle is about where we are on the trajectory for gold

… price hits an all time high by a little, then gets clobbered down, and then look

what happens next … and given governments everywhere proclivity for FUBAR &

QE infinity, there’s only one possible conclusion to how this plays out … so onto

gold, and let “the pony run wild”!

… until tomorrow … Onward & Upward!!

-vegas