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Showing posts with label "Trade For A Living!". Show all posts
Showing posts with label "Trade For A Living!". Show all posts

Wednesday, May 6, 2020

THE CHANGING NATURE OF THE TRADING BIZ

“10 years ago, who would have thunk it possible!”

Today, before I get to Cable trading, I want to focus your attention to the
cryptocurrency space, specifically Bitcoin [BTCUSD] … while you can go to the
corrupt CME and trade Bitcoin futures, the volumes are meaningless and the
contract is “financially settled” at expiration, so it’s a cash settlement and not a
“Bitcoin” settled contract … well, I can trade fractions of 1 BTC, currently trading
around $8900 per 1 BTC, and I don’t have to trade it in $5 increments of price
demanded by the futures contract … and if you’re not “into” crypto or BTC, you
should be … ignorance is no excuse … and up ‘till now, what’s held BTC trading
somewhat at bay from going mainstream like FX, is that the bid/offer spread AND
round turn [RT] commissions are quite high.

But make no mistake, the moves and the ranges are there for some fantastic
money making, as well if you do “stupid shit” to lose your account … and no, I’m 
not talking about the mainstream crypto exchanges like Coinbase, Binance,
Bitpay, Kraken, or Gemini, where getting crypto is your first step [and hopefully
only step] and then you take delviery of BTC in your account. Nope, I’m talkin’
about TRADING crypto, specifically BTC, at offshore brokerage houses … some
like PRIMEXBT, CRYPTO ROCKET, EVOLVE, and others coming online almost
every week have NO KYC requirements … give them an email address, fund with
BTC from any e-wallet, and you’re ready to trade in minutes, but that comes with
a price … and that price is usually a higher bid/offer spread and higher RT rates
as well.

There’s another player in town, and that’s “COINEXX” … trade crypto like you’re
trading EURUSD or USDJPY … the very best BTC bid/offer spread conditions
I’ve seen, usually between $0.25 - $3.00, and RT rates that are meaningless
… how meaningless? … currently less than $0.09 for a 1 lot RT trade .. and given
the way this stuff moves, less than 9 cents isn’t the reason you’ll succeed or fail
… current 20 Day Range MA for this week is about $425 … there’s more info over
on the sister blog at traderzoocrude.blogspot.com as I’ve transitioned away from
crude oil entirely, and the website is now focused solely on crypto … quite frankly,
crude oil CFD’s are D.E.A.D. … extreme bid/offer spreads, high slippage,
commissions to boot,  and scumbag LP banks make the oil CFD’s unattractive
… and to make matters worse, most house oil CFD’s DO NOT reflect front month
oil futures, but instead you get a back month blend … yea, screw that … so instead
of creating a new website, and who knows maybe years from now oil comes back
into favor, I’m simply transitioning to the future of trading.

Why is BTC the future of trading? … cuz it’s non manipulative by government and
in order to push the price down, you have to own it first … you don’t go to
Coinbase, or any of the others, plunk down some fiat and get “short” Bitcoin
… but in order to trade BTC derivatives, you go to offshore brokerage houses and
trade it like you would the Euro or Yen, and therefore get leverage and the ability
to “bet” whether price goes up or down on what’s happening in the CASH
BITCOIN MARKET … and given the nature of the world post virus, where every
central bank has their CNTRL-P machines on high, and the fact that on
May 13, 2020 Bitcoin has a “halving”, where miners get paid half what they get
now for verifying actual BTC transactions on the block chain, BTC is the “gold
standard” of crypto ready to take over the world.

Quite frankly, all I care about in trading anything are the conditions of trading it,
and if the IVIX [intraday volatility] is high enough to make the costs of trading it
beneficially in my favor … if you want a market that moves, has probably the best
IVIX going of any market trading, AND you have the ability if you desire to hold
your account balances in BTC, so whatever you make in dollar terms is
immediately converted to BTC and added to your account, or if you lose
subtracted from your account, the BTC trading at COINEXX is the place to be
… much more over on the sister site … my point though is simple: if you’re not
trading BTC you should be, and the only reason I’m not trading it for the
PAMM / MAM is the fact that Turnkey doesn’t currently offer crypto trading … if it
did with the conditions found at COINEXX, it most likely would be the only thing I
would trade … “WTF, why would you need anything else”?

Today offers a textbook example of what happens in BTC when SHTF quickly
… cuz at COINEXX, the spread blows out to about $15+ when BTC goes from
about 9080 to over 9200+ in less than 3 minutes … in fact about a $150 rise to the
top … before that explosion, spread was between $0.30 - $$2.00, and near the top
it widened out to about $15, maybe $20 for a second or two … and this happens
cuz in the cash market liquidity evaporates on big spikes up or down, until
somebody shows up and puts “Humpty” back on the wall again … here about
5 - 10 minutes after the initial spike, the BTC spread is still “fat” around $8, worse
than PRIMEXBT but you have to consider that commissions at PRIMEXBT ARE
50X LARGER THAN COINEXX, currently around $9 versus COINEXX at 9 cents!
… and by any standard still way better than CRYPTO ROCKET.

BTC approaching $9300, and the spread back down to about $3 … so like in
anything else that trades on the MT4 or MT5, when SHTF and conditions get a
little bat shit crazy, the bid/offer spread widens … the difference here though, at
COINEXX, is that there are NO SCUMBAG LP BANKS MAKING THE MARKET IN
BTC!… it’s a worldwide market made up by millions of crypto traders large and
small, and it’s the actual cash market demand [good or bad] for actual Bitcoin
that drives price … no central bank CNTRL-P machine matters here, and the FED
right along with the rest of them can GFY! … and it matters, cuz in this market
it’s a pure “fear & greed” cycle at work, and that shows up in the M1’s better than
any analysis I could offer, and that means quit literally the trading algorithm is
better than excellent at spotting buys/sells than any other market traded, BAR
NONE! … BTC really moving now, with the M1’s enjoying AVERAGE RANGES of
about $25, with the spread between $3 - $5 … when it eventually settles down, the
spread will return to normal.

But what I want to highlight here, is the simple fact that BTC gives quite a lot of
buy/sell signals, and if you have to pay upwards of $10 for a cost to trade, how
do you take advantage of scalps that present themselves to you, if price only
goes $12 - $15 dollars before reversing … under “normal” condition, you can’t
… but if the spread is normal around $0.30 - $3.00, and your RT commission is
about 9 cents for a 1 lot [1 BTC], you can … costs matter, and even on a rather
small account I’m talkin’ about thousands of dollars a year you’re handing the
brokerage house for nothin’ to trade … why would you do this?

The BTC algorithm, absolutely “nailing” this market to the wall on the rally & the
liquidation … I have different conditions for BTC, that can be used in Cable and
other MT4 or MT5 markets, that when applied give superior returns … I’m in the
process of UPDATING the e-book “Trade For A Living!” to take into account BTC,
and it should be finished here in the next week or two … it’s easy, comprehensive,
AND IF YOU FOLLOW IT [big “if”], your shipload of cash will be waiting for you!
… but, and I can’t over emphasize this enough, you absolutely have to have a
LOW COST solution for BTC, that gives you MAX PROFIT, and that spells
COINEXX for BTC trading … sorry other houses, it doesn’t matter how good you
“were” … I’m talkin’ money here, and if it’s way cheaper for the same trade
someplace else, I’m not handing you thousands of dollars per year just cuz you
want me to … how many of you FX traders, trade at a place with a 3 PIP EURUSD
or USDJPY bid.offer spread? … raise your hands & show me … “oh, I don’t see
a lot of hands, now do I … wonder why that is? … cuz maybe the standard now
is around ½ a PIP … and if the house you were trading at now suddenly raised
the spread to 3 PIPS and it stayed there, what would you do? … EASY PEEZEE,
you’d call the money movin’ van & get the hell outta there ASAP … and this isn’t
any different!

Up in the upper right hand column of the website, there’s a LOGO link to
COINEXX to sign up for either demo or live account through my affiliate link
… sign up for the demo takes less than 1 minute, and make sure you choose the
MT5 platform … as always, being an affiliate only means the brokerage house
gives me a small percentage of your RT commissions when you trade, AND IT
DOESN’T RAISE THE COST of your bid/offer spread one penny … it’s a
“WIN-WIN-WIN” scenario for everybody … you get the best trading conditions
PLUS A FREE COPY of “Trade For A Living!” at no cost, the brokerage house
gets increased biz, and I receive a small revenue stream for all the work I do,
without it costing you one penny … OR, trade someplace else, pay more, and
send me $100 in BTC to my e-wallet … quite frankly I don’t care, but I’m betting
you do! … and btw, all those who have already received “Trade For A Living!”,
will automatically receive the updated e-book when finished, so if that’s you don’t
worry you’ll be among the first to get it.

About half an hour from SHTF in BTC this early A.M. in New York, and the trade
has settled down and the bid/offer spread has returned to about $1 - $2 with the
occasional blimp up when there’s a small spike … and with that move, BTCUSD
@ COINEXX has [so far] a day’s range of approximately $378, which is still under
the 20 Day Range MA for this week at about $425 … so, this isn’t a “one off”
type of day, but rather typical of BTC in the greater scheme of things … you want
to see bat shit crazy, tune into the sister blog traderzoocrude.blogspot.com when
the range is over $1000+ for the day … and that which is usually true in any
market as price goes higher over time, the ranges go higher with them … imagine
the ranges when BTC is at $100,000 per 1 BTC … you think this is nuts? … just
wait! … much more on COINEXX & BTC over on the sister blog, which btw is now
100% focused on crypto, specifically BTCUSD … ONE more item to mention
… leverage for BTC trades at COINEXX IS 5X, but inside your back office portal
you can choose to accept the margin bonus, which bumps up leverage to 10X
[10% of notional] … e.g, you want to trade 1 BTC = approximately 9400 … margin
would then be $940 for the trade.

OK, moving over to the “land of the living dead”, meaning FX in its current state
of drift & bullshit bank manipulation schemes, so far today about 11 minutes of
action [down] in Cable as sell stops under 1.24100 were taken out back and
slaughtered as the European session took over from the “Chuckleheads” in Asia
… and since that, go back to sleep Skippy, you ain’t missing a “Hoover Dam”
thing … we got M30’s that are barely 10 PIPS deep via the range, and again it’s
like watching paint dry … ONLY now, it’s a slow painful drift up as the banks
squeeze the shorts out drip by frickin’ drip, with the occasional 5 PIP pop UP
from nowhere out of the blue … no volume to speak of, liquidity atrocious, and
there is literally ZERO FLOW of price quotes … it’s simply lurch up, lurch back,
sit for 20 - 30 seconds, rinse & repeat inside a 20 PIP “Flyng Wedge of Death”
[FWD] for over 3 hours now … what a bucket of dog poo … “somebody needs
to sacrifice a virgin, or somethin’, to get this shit movin’ … c’mon man you’re
killing me here”!

Today sees ADP report over 21 million job lost in ‘Murica in April … but sure, no
doubt the “Stock Bellies” to new highs cuz SkyNet loves a worldwide
cataclysmic depression, which of course means that the faculty lounge Twits
will print MOAR!, and I can’t wait for the $100 loaf of bread … only in the
fantasyland of delusion, Unicorns, & fairy tales does this make any sense
… welcome to the FED casino!

What do you do with a market that simply refuses to trade, and is nothing but
stop hunts and little else? … what? … cuz Cable today is about as bad as I’ve
ever seen it … sure, the range says over 100 PIPS … yea great, about 80% of that
on 2 sell stop hunts out of nowhere that lasted but a few minutes, then followed
by ZILCH buying interest … and then it just simply sits and farts inside M1’s that
sometimes aren’t 2 PIPS deep in range … this is just pathetic … and then I look
over at BTC, and just roll my eyes.

One algorithm buy signal in GBPUSD today … PAMM / MAM UP LITERALLY
PENNIES, ON A SCRATCH TRADE THAT MADE COMMISSIONS BUT VERY
LITTLE ELSE.

And when I’m in it, and it doesn’t move like it’s supposed to, it’s a bad time to say
to yourself, “oh, it’s alright, it’ll go higher … maybe … please? … oh shit, now
wut”? … and outside of “Stock Bellies” index NDX100, which is in its own
delusional universe of a QE orgasm, there really isn’t another pair anywhere that
has acted well today … and certainly NOT anywhere in FX … “meh, it is what it is,
and we simply move on to tomorrow”.

… outta here … until tomorrow mi amigos … Onward & Upward!! 

Have a great day everybody!

-vegas


Sunday, March 22, 2020

SUNDAY UPDATE: BE CAREFUL WHAT YOU WISH FOR

“I finally caught the ball of yarn! … now what?”

And here we are, with volatility in everything full retard basket of kittens on meth,
and could ya lighten up a little? … fat chance of that happening anytime soon.
With the entire world hunkered down in the WUHAN CHINESE VIRUS pandemic,
it’s a question of which market is worse than the next one, which economy gets
destroyed more, and which market second-to-second is either killing longs or
shorts? … and when this shit is over, if the world doesn’t hold the CCP [Chinese
Communist Party] responsible and demand reparations of some kind, then you’ll
know for sure who’s writing the checks for the world going forward … who’s in
the tank covering for the ChiComs, and who isn’t … scumbags, scumbags
everywhere!

In tomorrow’s blog post, I’m gonna have a table of bid/offer spreads currently
listed on the trading platforms of TURNKEY FOREX [MT4], PRIMEXBT
[Proprietary Platform], & CRYPTO ROCKET [MT4] … I’ll be looking at the most
popular trading markets, and at 3 different times of the day … 1) near the China
open [9 PM EST in New York], 2) near the European open [4 AM EST New York],
& 3) near the U.S. open [8 AM EST New York] … as I have stated previously,
PRIMEXBT is great for Bitcoin [BTCUSD], small account FX notional under
50,000, and their newest release of “PRIMEXBT TURBO”, which is binary options
in 30 second [BTC only], 1 minute, & 5 minute intervals for BTCUSD, ETHUSD,
USDJPY, EURUSD, GBPUSD, EURJPY, WTI CRUDE OIL, & XAUUSD.

CRYPTO ROCKET is quickly becoming a favorite brokerage house of mine, for a
number of reasons … 1) fantastic customer service & help available 24/7, 2) NO
KYC as all you need is an email address [Proton email out of Switzerland is
FREE, private, anonymous, & secure], 3) account balance can be held in US
dollars and/or Bitcoin [BTC], you choose AND you can go back & forth, 4) great
selection of markets to trade including markets that both PRIMEXBT &
TURNKEY DON’T OFFER CURRENTLY … A) STOCK CFD’S, currently offering
65 international companies, at 100 shares = 1 lot, 5% margin [20X], minimum
trade volume = 0.01 [1 share], max trade volume = 10,000 lots, which is 100,000
shares … RT COMMISSION = $.06 per share … B) many more crypto pairs than
PRIMEXBT [TURNKEY doesn’t currently offer crypto trading], including
BCHUSD, DASHUSD, NEO, OmiseGO, Santiment, Tron, Monero, & ZCash to
name just a few, and in 1 lot size volumes that make commissions not that big
of a deal … e.g., RIPPLE [XRPUSD] is 1 lot volume = 100,000 RIPPLE … C) offers
spot gold in EURUSD [XAUEUR] & platinum if you want it [PLTUSD], and
5) open 24/7/365 with crypto trading around the clock every day including
weekends & Holidays … it never closes.

I’m not going to cover it today, I’ll tackle it in a future blog post coming up soon,
but using CRYPTO ROCKET for “hedging” 1) popular stocks you might own like
AAPL, AMZN, GOOG, etc., 2) physical precious metals you own, or 3) crypto
you hold, like BTC or RIPPLE, etc. ... learn to protect your investments via
dynamic hedging … like I said, more later. 

It’s never been easier to get started … go up top and use my affiliate link to open
an account at CRYPTO ROCKET … once you sign up, create a demo account in
under a minute and see for yourself … do it, and let me know about it, and I’ll
send you “Trade For A Living!” for FREE … or don’t do it, and send me a $100
in BTC … I mean seriously, whaddaya want from me?

Directly below, the “FX VIX MATRIX TABLE” for the current week. For sake of
easy tabulation & data retrieval, all FX is taken from CRYPTO ROCKET with their
commission schedule.

click on ANY table or chart to enlarge

FX
GBPUSD, GBPEUR, & USDJPY


Outside of the Soros “Bank of England” clusterfark back in October 1992, which
happened over the course of 6 days, and saw Cable go from about 2.00 to right
around 1.40, I’ve never seen GBPUSd this goofy & unstable … even in its “pit
trading” days of VIX glory, it wasn’t as volatile as what we’ve seen the last couple
of weeks, and in the process has taken EURGBP and made it crazy as well. 

GBPAUD, GBPCAD, & GBPCHF


The cable crosses have gone insane, with bid/offer spreads that have ballooned
to the point of making only GBPCHF tradeable, the other 2 here seeing spreads
upwards of 15+ PIPS the entire week.

AUDUSD, AUDJPY, & GBPNZD


Both AUDUSD & AUDJPY have certainly “come alive” here lately … AUDUSD a
commodity currency linked closely with China, and AUDJPY the classic
“risk on / risk off” cross for money flows, although viewing it solely in that
context can be tricky when the correlation suddenly disappears … spreads
decent, and both are tradeable IMHO … GBPNZD has gone insane, and with
spreads that are over 20+ PIPS, not even worth looking at as a viable trading
cross at the moment .. maybe later, but not now.

PRECIOUS METALS
XAUUSD


Spot gold certainly has gotten extremely volatile … certain times of day, the
bid/offer spread can exceed $2+ per OZ., and then there are times when it is
normal around 15 - 25 cents per OZ. … don’t trade it when the spread is nuts,
you’re only giving money away for free.

XAGUSD


The problem with silver, has always been its volatility to the downside when
SHTF, and this last week is no exception, when on Monday the 16th, silver got
“monkey hammered” more than once for over 50 cents per OZ. in seconds
… sell stops will only guarantee you get filled at the bottom of the move, and
IMHO makes silver untradeable as a market … but hey, to each his own.

Directly below, the “STOCK INDICES VIX MATRIX TABLE” for the current week.
Again, like for FX, all data is from CRYPTO ROCKET with their commission
schedule.


STOCK INDICES
DOW30


I look at the numbers from the VIX table, and then the chart, and I have a very
hard time seeing a viable market here… if you like a stock index with a 10 index
point spread, that can go hundreds of points back & forth within a minute or two,
and like to subject yourself to some of the worst slippage imaginable on fills,
then be my guest and have at it.

SP500


DAX30 & NDX100


AUD200, CAC40, & FTSE100


IBEX35 & ESTOXX50


HANG SENG 50 & NIKKEI 225


In general, I’ve never seen a group of markets more FUBAR in all my life
… maybe, and I say this with a grain of salt … maybe … maybe the AUD200 &
the CAC40 stock indices can be traded, but the others I have no doubt will hurt
you no matter what you do … slippage on fills is the great unknown, and you
will get no favors from the scumbag LP bank on that front.

I’m gonna give the PAMM / MAM results another week for data … it just looks
better … so look for that to be up next week in the Sunday update … over on the
sister blog site [ www.traderzoocrude.blogspot.com ] I lay out today a scenario
for complete financial freedom utilizing crypto …. do yourself a favor and read it
cuz it’s worth thinking about … another wild week in store for us, as the world
“locks down” from the KUNG FU FLU … stay safe everybody … until tomorrow
mi amigos … Onward & Upward!! 

Have a great rest of your weekend everybody!

-vegas