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Wednesday, November 30, 2022

EXTREME VIX HAS LED TO BROKEN MARKETS

“The perfect metaphor for FX!!”


Lackluster would be an appropriate word … nah, I’d rather go with complete

bullshit … whatevs, it explains FX, and pretty much every other market as well

… maybe it’s cuz of ADP along with GDP this morning, then Spicoli goes “blah

blah, yada yada at 1:30 PM EST, so we’ll see, but 15 hours into this day and it’s

nothing short of a “chop mess” … many days I sit here and wonder aloud, “can

this get any worse?” in a rhetorical sense, and then it does … ADP a miss to the

downside, GDP right in line … and it all leads to chop, at least in USDJPY.


And here come the red spikes from Hell … did one of the “Idiot Sycophants” in

Biden’s regime say something? … or just another complete screw job from

scumbag banks looking for sell stops to buy cuz they’re too short selling into

strength? … in other words, it’s a broken market … welcome to the casino.


And if you have taken the time to study and understand the trading algorithms I

have provided [you’re welcome], all 3 of them, you should know that what fits

nicely into this bag of shit central banks have cooked up for the trading public

is binary options … used in conjunction with the algorithm, it’s a slam dunk for

profits cuz we don’t need moves over time, we just need panic and/or FOMO for

1 minute … just check out a chart for yourself and see … and if you have a bias

against options in general or binary option specifically, put aside your bias and

get in the game! 


First red spikes, now green spikes, and all I can say to those on the wrong side

of this clusterfark is, “how’s that defining risk going in your trade, when they

gap it against you and blow your stop apart?” … swimmingly I suppose, cuz it

can’t be contained like you want … use the algorithm in conjunction with binaries,

AND IT CAN BE DEFINED.


Here is something to consider … since we can define risk in options, and I know

that in most markets the algorithm’s effective win rate is ABOVE 90%+, we can

calculate with some precision of accuracy, what happens when you NET “X”

AMOUNT OF TRADES … for example, suppose any person started with $100

… he/she wants to risk 1% on any trade, and wishes to NET 8 winning trades … in

other words, he/she wants to win $8 before quitting for the day … where is he/she

at, in terms of money 3 months later [60 trading days]? … directly below, the

future value calculator will tell us.


click on calculator to enlarge

What’s important to remember here, is that each trade maintains THE SAME

LEVERAGE OF 1% OF CAPITAL … and there are no withdrawals … between days

40 - 55 you’ll start making $200 - $500 PER DAY, so if that fits inside your

“wheelhouse”, here’s your battle plan spelled out for you … if you need/want

more, deposit more and do more trades and you’ll hit your goal, especially if you

do both buy & sell algorithm signals as explained in the manual … this doesn’t

represent an exact battle plan, but it does give anyone a rough blueprint,

especially if you have limited funds or a very small trading account … directly

below, the link to the future value calculator, so you can do your own planning.


https://www.calculator.net/future-value-calculator.html


So far this week, “Miss Gimpy” has literally killed the binaries in both EURUSD &

USDJPY … she watches both on a split screen with both algos running [MT4

platform & IQCENT platform algo] for perspective, and is trading for about 5 - 6

hours before stopping for the day … she loves it cuz she knows the MAX risk no

matter what horseshit the scumbag LP banks pull via stops, so it’s a relatively

very low stress free trading environment for her … she bets $1 per $100 in her

account [1%] per bet and puts no limit on the number of NET trade wins … by

design, this is a conservative approach to trading the binaries, as many people

will want a higher risk threshold a lot higher than 1%… she stops when FX slows

down after the London Fix, whenever that is … seriously, what’s not to like here?

… the only caveat here is that you’re pretty much limited to FX pairs, which have

the highest payout ratios, generally 75% - 85% … “Stock Bellies”, crude oil if it’s

offered, crypto, and commodities like gold have piss poor payout ratios and thus

must be avoided.


We’re now about an hour from head Lounge Lizard Spicoli speaking … so far, FX

an adventure in nightmares … relatively speaking, rather low ranges based on

20 Day Range MA’s [so far], something we seem to see a lot of these days

… Spicoli on tap, this should be interesting … “well now, this escalated quickly

didn’t it?” … the key word here is “moderated”, whatever the Hell that means in

Orwellian FED Speak … spikes galore across the spectrum of markets … what a

shitshow circus this whole farce has become.


Multiple algorithm signal trades today, both in USDJPY & EURUSD … PAMM UP

SLIGHTLY … we still need to see higher ranges, although the “Trading Ratios”

[TR] have been acceptable most of the day … just too much chop with spikes

from Hell, both up and down that go nowhere … with slightly higher ranges that

becomes a moot point cuz the market has better movement … still, we ain’t seein’

it, and trading conditions lend themselves to binary options better than they do

regular trading … still, the signals are there, it’s simply a function of which ones

are worthy of trading via market setup … not all trades are created equal, which

is true in regular trading but not true in binaries.


Who knows from minute to minute what this Apparatchik Dope will say next and

reverse price … he certainly has a history of it … these massive swings in price

in seconds is what has led to the casino moniker for markets … it’s not healthy

and it’s not good, but who cares? … who indeed … onto tomorrow.


… OUTTA HERE … “The future’s so bright I need 2 pairs of sunglasses 😎😎,

and my own Brinks armored truck” 💓!! … Onward & Upward!! 


-vegas






Tuesday, November 29, 2022

NOTHING IS A GAMBLE IF YOU WIN

 

“The trick is to ALWAYS find out how & then do it!!?”

Overnight, I didn’t see any news from the ChiComs … that isn’t necessarily good

or bad, but markets are taking it as a slight positive for some reason … the

protests & riots haven’t stopped, I can assure you … we live in an era of bank

manipulation, but what trumps that is the fact that money flows are as large [and

getting larger] as I’ve ever seen them, and therefore price moves take time … this

lends itself very well to binary options, cuz the expiration is so quick in terms of

time, that once the move starts, it can’t be undone or reversed for some multiple

of minutes.


Today is a perfect example of this … “Trading Ratio” [TR] for USDJPY &

GBPUSD hanging right around 3 EVEN, which quite frankly isn’t very good for

trading in the traditional way … but for binary options, once an algorithm buy/sell

signal is triggered, all we care about is one thing, and that is if long it’s higher

and if short that it’s lower … if so, “winner winner, chicken dinner” … whether it’s

0.1 PIPS higher [if long], it’s as good as being 50 PIPS higher … higher is higher,

whereas in traditional trading people are looking for moves … what if the moves

are small, or they don’t come, then what?


The other advantage of binary options is “RISK MANAGEMENT” … AND THIS IS

A HUGE ADVANTAGE, DON’T OVERLOOK IT! … with options, [any kind of

options] from the most sophisticated exotic strategies to simple binary options

SHOULD LIMIT RISK, not keep it open ended, that leads to “toes up” for your

account … to that end, a losing trade by definition in binary options is only

slightly higher than what you win … there is no way in Hell traditional trading

offers this to you, and if you think it does, you’re delusional … anybody who ever

got their stops run by scumbag banks, or suffered massive slippage on fills,

PLEASE RAISE YOUR HAND! … [if I had six arms with 6 hands, they’d ALL be in

the air!] … oh my, that’s a lot of hands I’m seein’ … and what this allows us to do

is go for “NET WINS”, and why “Payout Ratio” [PR] on wins is so important and

needs to be at 75% or higher … in the pdf manual over in “Download Links”, I

show that with using the trading algorithm, our expected return on each $1 bet,

per bet, is roughly $0.57 … your goal should be to 1) first raise your account

balance from something relatively meaningless, and then 2) figure out what the

approximate $$ per day income figure you want, remembering at all times to use

low leverage [risk 1% - 3% on each trade, that way no single trade can hurt you,

cuz the power of the algorithm is in the ACCUMULATION OF TRADES] … DO

THIS and within weeks [not months or years], you got your trading income with

very little stress, without having to spend most of the day praying for a

catchable move. 


And while there are plenty of houses to open an account, IMHO “IQCENT” offers

the most advantages for the trader, over and above others … they don’t have the

highest payout ratio going, but they make up for that in other areas, like also

having a decent selection of CFD’s, good mix of FX pairs for options, weekly

contests, deposit / withdrawal in BTC, and very liberal ID upon first withdrawal

that is friendly to anyone and everyone … add it all up, and they come out on top

IMHO … over in the right hand column is the affiliate link to sign up … using that

link to sign up doesn’t cost 1 cent to anybody, nor add one cent in terms of cost

to anybody either … it does rebate to me a few pennies, which helps me bring

content to my readers … however, if you don’t want to, then don’t, simple as that.


Turning to today’s bag of central bank bullshit, a/k/a financial markets, it’s been

a while since I’ve seen this many markets so screwed up, they don’t know

whether to laugh or cry … FOMO & sheer fear creating spikes from Hell, booth up

& down, with nowhere to go once they’re done … and then there’s the ChiComs

each day, setting the tone with idiotic COVID policies … highly ironic considering

they caused all of this … that starts the avalanche in the Asian session, which

ends when Mrs. Watanabe & gal pals, right along with the Chuckleheads, lose

their collective donkeys and markets die hitting Europe … and the U.S. session is

nothing but FED PIE HOLE speak, and little else … what bullshit … today’s New

York ranges [so far] in FX are embarrassing they’re so low … cue the broken

record … “WTF, what do I have to do, move to frickin’ Thailand, to get decent

trading action?” … then towards the London Fix, everything shits the bed

… never mind those moves to the upside threatening to hit a new high for the day,

cuz now the lows are in play … still, ranges are anemic and pathetic, and unless

something happens to change the course of things, another day where the 20

Day Range MA’s come “bigly & yuge” under their respective averages … TR’s

have picked up slightly since earlier this morning, and are hanging around the

4 level … that’s good if the market is moving somewhere … not so good if it’s

simply chop, cuz it simply means it gets to nowhere quicker and forces you out.


There have been signals of course, but many of ‘em negated cuz of too high

MFI’s, a general reluctance to move anywhere, and straight shot FOMO or panic

moves where scumbag LP banks front run orders, and then fade the market when

those order flows die … in other words, small mini “V’s” up and down to set off

buy/sell signals from the most popular indicators for specs … and once they get

specs leaning the wrong way, it doesn’t take much to get ‘em to panic the other

way … rinse, repeat, and how many days do we see this horseshit … never

enough movement to get anything of substance going, just enough to kill most

long/short over leveraged specs. 


If we simply had slightly higher ranges we would have a lot more signals cuz

there’s “room to run” … since today is what it is, one algorithm buy signal in

USDJPY … PAMM UP FRACTIONALLY … not at all thrilled with my entry fill, but

“B.I. Itching” to SLIPPAGE FX is useless & pointless … liquidation was excellent

though, so overall things were OK … quite frankly, spent most of the day

watching Cable and USDJPY … did a fair amount of binary option bets, along

with “Miss Gimpy” [who btw is now fully recovered from her fractured leg on

Memorial Day … the nickname, though, will stay forever.], waiting for ranges to

be extended … apparently, that’s asking for too much … dunno, but with “Stock

Bellies” drifting, and having a lid put on ‘em by the FED Lounge Lizards at every

opportunity, and oil conditions not improving at “SLIPPAGE FX”, we don’t have

many options to explore … this 30 - 40 PIP back & forth yo-yo over multiple

hours is bullshit, but there isn’t anything I can do about it … onto tomorrow. 


… OUTTA HERE … “The future’s so bright I need 2 pairs of sunglasses 😎😎,

and my own Brinks armored truck” 💓!! … Onward & Upward!! 


-vegas




Monday, November 28, 2022

GEOPOLITICS COME INTO PLAY … TROUBLE IN XI LAND

“Could the “ChiCom Kung Fu Flu” be his downfall!!?”

If we in the West are hearing about riots and protests in China, 2 things you can

take away from the news with total certainty … 1) it’s a lot worse than being

portrayed, and 2) somebody in Xi’s camp, possibly in the military, want him gone

… this could get interesting.


Welcome to “clown world”, inside the world’s largest casino, where one hopes

the lunch buffet is better than the trading action … I came into today around

5 AM EST, and after seeing the dollar get monkey hammered lower, thought the

best case scenario would be in Cable … err, no … shit can’t even hit a range of

100 PIPS, while YEN and EURUSD are screaming … now with the sun rising and

the U.S. ready to come back after the biggest “Beefaroni & Raman Noodle

Holiday” evahhhhhhhhhh [used to be known as Thanksgiving, but 6 Indians

in New Mexico find that offensive, so you’re a racy-ist, bigoted pig if you don’t

abide by the “woke” Libtards doing their best to ruin your life.].


So with New York gearing up, the entire space can go tapioca … cue up the

broken record … “WTF, do I have to move to frickin’ Thailand or what?”

… decent action seen in the Asian session, so what else is new? … but that’s the

Asian session, and now we got to deal with New York, a completely different

animal, where “chop” is the mantra “Hoover Dam” near every day … now at just

past the London Fix, and everything that was moving is stuck in mud … FX pairs

as a group muddling along with barely acceptable trading conditions

… “Trading Ratios” [TR] as follows at the London Fix … GBPUSD = ~ 5,

EURUSD = ~ 4, USDJPY = ~ 4.5, & GBPJPY = ~ 4.5 … again, all acceptable if the

markets are moving, but they ain’t moving, they are simply chopping at a faster

than usual rate, with more than all of them having their fair share of spikes from

Hell followed by “rinky dink” m1’s … in other words, very INCONSISTENT VIX

across the FX board … “Stock Bellies” just about dead, and crude oil getting the

“Thelma & Louise” treatment cuz of trouble in ChiCom land.


Reversal day in Cable, as the post London Fix sees a new low for the day

… earlier, we had a new succession of highs … well, that ended quickly enough

… still nothing to get excited about, as Cable is a long ways away from its 20 Day

Range MA … even with the choppy conditions, and less than ideal movements,

the binary options trades appear to be working extremely well with the trading

algorithm … an anecdotal cursory look in USDJPY, and the last 10 buy signals

were higher 1 m1 later … I mean, whaddya want? … as it becomes apparent with

every passing minute that 20 Day Range MA’s aren’t going to be achieved in the

spot FX CFD’s, trading here becomes a real crapshoot, even with TR’s slightly

above 4. 


Mighty spikes that go absolutely nowhere, especially in USDJPY which on some

days has become a nightmare, is a problem when chop sets in, and if slippage is

an issue, it gets exponentially worse … over in energy today, WTI Crude Oil with

an approximate $3.40 range, and Brent about $3.70 … while OPEC+ can control

supply, they can’t do shit about demand, cuz that falls to the ChiComs, which if

the riots and protest get any legs from here could really put a dent in oil demand

going forward … can WTI hit the 60”s? … meanwhile Natty Gas just hangs each

day with an approximate 50 cent range, high spread, and traders there watch the

weather forecast for the midwest like a hawk watches for rodents … unfortunately,

the high spread makes it untradeable as a CFD, nobody that I know of has a binary

option on it, and up & until there’s a place to trade it that makes sense, we got to

leave it alone … before Turnkey did the unthinkable and merged with Coinexx,

they had a very good spread going … that disappeared the second Coinexx got

their slimy fingers on it and ruined it … so, maybe in the future it can be traded,

we’ll see what happens.


One algorithm buy signal today in GBPUSD … PAMM UP SLIGHTLY … not the

kindest of entry fills, but not the usual “bend over” you sometimes get from

“SLIPPAGE FX” … liquidation was excellent, right on the bid price … the rest of

the week has key data coming out, with another NFP Idiocy day coming Friday

… so, you’d maybe figure today is the worst of the bunch for the week in terms of

trading conditions and ranges … let’s hope so, this chop resulting in few

algorithm signals is bullshit … however, overnight it will be all eyes on China for

further riot & protest news and developments … it will move markets. 


… OUTTA HERE … “The future’s so bright I need 2 pairs of sunglasses 😎😎,

and my own Brinks armored truck” 💓!! … Onward & Upward!! 


-vegas