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Showing posts with label mystery tick. Show all posts
Showing posts with label mystery tick. Show all posts

Sunday, September 8, 2019

SUNDAY UPDATE: HOW LONG CAN THE FED KEEP GOLD DOWN?

“Currency debasement & gold manipulation its function for 106 years!”

The horse is out of the barn now … gold has been caged up for upwards of 7+
years by the “Rally Protection Team” at the FED & BIS, and the question for me
as a professional trader is simple: “can this market ever settle the hell down
anymore and be traded, or is the action of late gonna be the norm going
forward”? … there’s a strong case to be made that life in gold is a lot like Dorothy
in the “Wizard of Oz” … “hey babe, you ain’t in Kansas anymore”.

POLS & Apparatchiks run everything now … this paradigm  is firmly set in stone
… $20 - $30+ ranges, often times going back & forth at will on vapors, can be
expected to continue, with the global monetary easing cycle lending full support
as the negative interest rate freight train picks up speed, and the fiscal condition
of the U.S. headed off a cliff ready to go full retard “Thelma & Louise” sometime
in 2024, also lending support in the background … right now the FED, through
their various faculty lounge Twit Pie Holes, are doing everything they can to
“jawbone” stocks higher and gold lower, with their “Everything is F-ing Awesome
Baby!” bullshit about anything related to the economy or world finance in general
… but, it’s just talk, and their hope is the HFT algos can pick up on key words and
“goose” stocks higher and gold lower … Friday a perfect example, as Spicoli is in
Switzerland at some mutual admiration society giving an “awe shucks” speech
and taking softball questions from hacks, so he can tee up the ball and deliver
what he wants the MSM to print and talk about.

What pisses me off to no end as a trader, is how gold reaches bottoms now and
the totally chaotic conditions that are in place by design by the scumbag bullion
dealer banks … again, Friday a perfect example … at EVERY bottom, it’s widened
spreads, bid/offer quotes that are $1+ from tick-to-tick, and slippage that can only
be described as horrendous and I’m being kind … it’s a clusterfark of epic
proportions … and that’s the good news!

Often lately, it’s simply a “mystery tick” low ball print and within milliseconds it’s
back off the bottom by $2+ … even if I’m right there on the red spike down and
click “buy”, I’m gonna get filled on the way back up, cuz the fucking bank isn’t
going to give me an honest price … they’ve just bought the spec sell stops, and
they are goosing the shit out of bids higher so they can off load the buys from
literally seconds ago … the offers go wide and fast, and I’m supposed to buy this
shit in that environment? … no mi amigos, cuz it’s a trap … cuz once they fill me
and others, they’ll start the process of bleeding it lower again … you don’t buy
rallies in gold and expect to make money, cuz all that’s being done to you is the
“Comex Con Game”.

On both Thursday and Friday, I had buy signals that got blown through price
faster than the market could have ever expected to fill me fairly at … I hit the buy
button, and it’s a guessing game where I get filled $1 - $3 higher … now what?

So the question is, is this the norm now? … can I expect shit like this going
forward pretty much every day? … and when FED bullshit no longer works, what
does gold do then? … what happens when $50 - $75 ranges start showing up?
… $100+ ranges? … is there even gonna be a market in those kind of conditions?
… I don’t think any of this is “rhetorical” stuff … the silver market got ruined
years ago as a trading market in conditions just like this … decades past, silver
was one of the most heavily traded futures markets around … now, it’s a ghost of
its former self cuz most specs won’t trade it and know it’s more manipulated than
ever before by JPM, HSBC, and others … is this the fate of gold going forward?

Directly below, our 20 Day Range MA’s for selected markets … even Cable is
starting to show some life … it’s not there yet, but it’s getting better.

click on any chart to enlarge





Friday’s action in stocks a real stunner given it was an NFP Friday … gold &
silver still seeing VIX headed higher, even with a day or two sprinkled in where
not much goes on, and then SHTF and it just explodes in microseconds.

Not a good close for gold on Friday, and it looks like some testing of 1500 is going
to happen earlier rather than later this upcoming week … we’ll see starting tonight
… until tomorrow mi amigos … Onward & Upward!!

Have a great rest of your weekend everybody!  

-vegas







Tuesday, February 12, 2019

JUST ANOTHER DAY INSIDE THE MANIPULATION MATRIX

“Question is, can you feel the fingers!?”   

It’s all about the “skim” … over the years & decades nothing really has 
changed but the technology … names have changed, and the banks have 
replaced the “Commodity Cowboys” who used to run things, where the “skim”  
was executed by politically connected & protected brokers and their bagmen, 
and the money shoved upstairs … today, it’s the banks and their HAL9000 
multi million dollar computer systems, that front run EVERY order, thus 
insuring millions of times a day a few bucks gets plucked for the Elites that 
run things … from those that peddle the propaganda, all the way down to the 
guy dropping the garbage bag full of cash off in some Pol’s / Apparatchik’s / 
regulator’s / or large hedge fund manager’s garage.

After a while, every trader on earth seems sedated and numbed to the 
constant assault, but sooner or later comes around to the inevitable … “either 
learn how to defeat the manipulators, or they defeat you! … cuz quite frankly, 
we ain’t in Kansas anymore Dorothy, and what’s more important than winning? 
… not getting whacked as your first priority”.

Over the last couple of days, I read with extreme interest, about a court case 
involving Vampire Squid [GS] … it seems a very big client is suing them cuz 
he thinks he was defrauded by their HFT arm … his lawyers want to depose 
Squid’s computer programmers & Ph.D. mathematicians … why? … cuz it’s 
the programmers & math quants who can speak to the computer codes 
“INTENT” … what’s the purpose of this line of code, what is the firm trying 
to do here? … as expected, Squid vehemently objected and fought the 
subpoenas, and the trial judge ruled in Squids favor … the defense has 
appealed, and that’s where we’re at now, in the appeals process.

Squid says their proprietary algorithms would be compromised, and their 
secrets exposed, thus costing them potentially billions of dollars … the defense 
says they need the testimony under oath so that the developers can speak the 
truth as to the firms “intent”, as to the nature of the trades. Perhaps it’s a 
coincidence, but maybe Squid knows something the rest of us don’t, cuz from 
just recently released articles on ZH, Squid is “considering” leaving the 
trading business in commodities. The link directly below.

trading-after-abysmal-q4-revenue 

“Well, perhaps they’ve been tuned in to the above mentioned lawsuit, cuz as 
anybody with a brain would know, if they’re made to testify under oath, Squid is 
toast … the whole purpose of HFT is to front run customer orders and then 
prearrange the fills higher if buys, and lower if sells, than they would otherwise 
have gotten if the process was fair … and once the Squid domino falls, who’s 
next”? [Well, we can’t have that now, can we?] Imagine, a gold market free 
from the daily manipulations of the usual suspects? 

And so today as New York sees sunrise, we diddle around 1311 -12, with the 
usual accompaniment of spikes up/down, bullshit mystery ticks, and stop 
hunts initiated by the banks … nothing new under the sun … and everybody 
and their brother now considers it to be SOP [standard operating procedure] 
… does anybody even remember what an honest market looks like anymore?

Since we’re talking about buckets of shit, let me proceed directly to today’s 
gold trading … ho hum, another day caught in the “Flying Wedge of Death” 
[FWD], a scumbag bullion dealer LP’s BFF, where “MoMo” traders get their 
ass handed to them by whipsawing momentum back & forth for no reason 
… “well, to be fair there is a reason, just not one traders are gonna like, cuz it’s 
nothing but dealer manipulation front running orders the entire day on zero 
volume, even less liquidity, and no interest except those playing the MT4 
indicators game … which btw, will leave you poorer for the experience”.

Afternoon now in New York, and this day is a complete waste … so what else 
is new? … I have no idea what gets gold to move, other than some scumbag 
LP bank wanting it to move … news, “fun-der-mentals”, or anything else 
doesn’t seem to have any affect … “it’s nothing more than “whack--a-mole” 
with the banks, and that’s pretty much the whole enchilada”. What I do know, 
is that if gold gets above 1375, GTFO of the way cuz the potential for a price 
explosion is clearly present … until that time, it’ll be like watching the fattest 
kid in 6th grade running up a hill with his pants falling down … higher, but 
not pretty.

Sadly, nothing to do in another very tight range day for New York … about $6 
from the tips, which is pathetic given the news cycle, and almost every bit of 
that on the downside … like I said earlier, just another manipulation day 
inside another FWD, and add up all the “mystery ticks” up/down on dealer 
front running … it’s the only thing that makes the “Hoover Dam” thing move 
… so what else is new? And with that, I’m outta here … can’t take another 
second of watching this “shitshow circus” mystery spike theater … what these 
markets have turned into, some days makes me sick … these aren’t markets 
folks, these are illusions of markets cuz most people today don’t want to believe 
the truth … it’s easier to think otherwise … until tomorrow mi amigos 
… Onward & Upward!!

Have a great day everybody!

-vegas

OUR TURNKEY FOREX “PAMM/MAM” IS OPEN AND
OPERATIONAL, AS WELL AS OUR C2 OPTIONS ADVISORY 
SERVICE.  DETAILS IN “DOWNLOAD LINKS” SECTION IN 
RIGHT HAND COLUMN. START YOUR JOURNEY FROM 
WHERE YOU ARE AT TO “ESCAPE TO SUCCESS”!









 



 

Monday, December 3, 2018

VICTORY! … THE MAFIA DONS MEET

“A G20 group photo for the album!”

The self anointed meet yet again over the weekend … and again, the public is 
fed a heaping pile of bullshit as to what it accomplished, other than wasting jet 
fuel and good champagne on a group of thugs, dictators, SJW’s, and bullshit 
artists, who for the most part couldn’t operate a hot dog stand at a baseball 
game and turn a profit. Villainy, treachery, and general “scumbaggery” on 
parade, that would bring jealous tears to the eyes of a bullion dealer.

And since the world didn’t end as a result of any of the Mafia Dons getting 
stupid, it’s complete victory in financial markets … gold up about $10 after an 
otherwise lackluster start to the Asian trade, as the “Chuckleheads” and Mrs. 
Wantanabe & Gal Pals finally panic bought the stuff with both hands … “well, 
you know what that likely means for New York, so don’t get your hopes up this 
trading session has anything in it other than bullshit dealer chop … could be 
wrong, we’ll see, but for the most part history in this “shitshow circus” says 
otherwise when the range is above average coming into New York”. And just 
when ya think Mrs. Wantanabe & Gal Pals might have bitten the dust, here 
they come after the fresh checks have cleared, buying the G20 news like 
chumps, so the bullion dealers can make them pay later in the day … “Oy, 
some things never change”.

Sadly, though, the Clinton’s & Bush families couldn’t make it to the  
“thugs & hypocrites” convention … the former hustling $11 tickets for the 
2016 crying tour, and the latter planting senior somewhere … “Oh well, 
there’ll be other opportunities for graft, corruption, & bribery”! Meanwhile, here 
at the hacienda, the Mrs. says to me, “hey, did Hooker & blow prices go up in 
Buenos Aires, as a result of this idiotic confab”? … and she’s lookin’ at me for 
an answer? … and I’m supposed to know? … WTF? … and I look at the dog 
for an answer and he says, “Did somebody mention bacon”? And that’s what 
passed as “critical analysis” at my house … and I thought figuring out gold 
was tough!

New York opens and it’s dead … so far, no volume, no liquidity, and things 
look dull as dishwater … good grief … the usual gaggle of spikes up/down 
going nowhere inside a tight band … already I’m weeping. And here at 15:30 
server time, gold gets its first “mystery tick” of the day, as buy stops are set off 
and then drops like a rock in water … so far, same old shit, different day, but
things are looking up.

And then comes the “Thelma & Louise” $3 drop on Powell not speaking before 
Congress on Wednesday … it got cancelled … “oh wait, the news headline 
forgot to mention Wednesday is a day of mourning for Bush 41 and markets are 
closed along with Congress … whoops … nevermind … so now the longs get 
wiped out on bullshit … just another day in bullion hell”.

Given the news over the weekend, I would hope gold could see something more 
normal in terms of a New York range … with 2 hours to go, we got about $6, 
which is frickin’ pathetic … granted, stuff could still happen, but it isn’t 
looking good … the “Great Bullion Wall of Selling” is looking formidable above 
1235, as bullion dealers doing everything in their power to quelch any and all 
rallies … they just continue to sell 100 lot after 100 lot with borrowed FED 
money until the buying dries up, longs get nervous and push price lower on 
selling, where they then stand there and buy it back from you … rinse, repeat, 
and you got the central trading idea from the dealer’s perspective.

This 1230 - 1240 area is extremely dangerous from a trading perspective 
… longs cuz when the buying dries up it falls quickly back … shorts cuz any 
move slightly higher will unleash an avalanche of buying off the daily, weekly, 
and especially monthly charts, and who knows where that ends up on the 
upside … I sense a very high nervousness in the trade from both sides. The net 
effect, is we sit up here hour after hour between 1232 - 1234 where the bullion 
dealers simply wait out the longs, knowing sooner or later they get 
uncomfortable not seeing price move higher and then puke.

One algorithm buy signal trade today … PAMM up a few bucks. No trades in 
the C2 options advisory signals service.

When it won’t go, it won’t go, so bail and come back later … and so far today, 
most of the algorithm signals to buy have been negated due to a lack of 
volatility … yea sure, we’re about $10 - $11 higher on the day, but most of that 
came late in Asia and late in Europe as well … so far, New York has about a 
$6 range, which is well below the 20 Day Range MA, and trading action hasn’t 
been anything to write home to Mommy about, with the usual spikes up/down 
from hell sprinkled in to spice things up for those who overstay their positions 
… “gold almost never disappoints in that respect”! The action today has been 
slightly better, but still, overall it’s disappointing given the weekend news and 
moves in other markets.

The good news? … “well, after watching the usual suspects shove gold sharply 
higher overnight, New York hasn’t really been able to break price … about the 
same level ± $2 from where they left off, and that has to be viewed as a positive 
… not much to hang your hat on, but usually New York would 
“monkey hammer” price and we’d be lower for sure”. Going forward into this 
week, the key for price isn’t can it go higher, the key is when it breaks what 
happens next? … does it bounce back or does it sit and go sideways? … and 
from those breaks, can any momentum be generated to challenge the 
1235 - 1240 area and take out the massive stops above those levels?

Onto tomorrow … I’m outta here … until tomorrow mi amigos 
… Onward & Upward!!

Have a great rest of your weekend everybody!!

-vegas

OUR TURNKEY FOREX “PAMM/MAM” IS OPEN AND
OPERATIONAL, AS WELL AS OUR C2 OPTIONS ADVISORY 
SERVICE.  DETAILS IN “DOWNLOAD LINKS” SECTION IN 
RIGHT HAND COLUMN. START YOUR JOURNEY FROM 
WHERE YOU ARE AT TO “ESCAPE TO SUCCESS”!