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Showing posts with label flying wedge of death. Show all posts
Showing posts with label flying wedge of death. Show all posts

Wednesday, March 6, 2024

LIFE IN THE CRYPTO NUTHOUSE

 

“We’re all Chimps just chasing ENDLESSLY REPEATING chart patterns!!”

Yes, that seems “normal” doesn’t it? … after getting monkey hammered into

oblivion late yesterday afternoon, both ETH & BTC go orbital in the Asian and

early European session, and I hit my screen this AM, and ETH has already got

an approximate $470 range … sure, perfectly normal in the nuthouse located

in “The Twilight Zone” … worse for BTC, where I don’t have a clue how anybody

mitigates risk exposure in a market that goes up/down at the speed of light

… get on the wrong side of this trade, and the HFT LP will skewer you worse

than shishkabob at a barbecue. Normal models of volatility “off the charts”,

especially the m15, where RM=4 isn’t holding anything … these are dangerous

markets!


RM = 3 & RM=4 HOLDING SUPPORT AND RESISTANCE ON THE M1, reflecting

the highest volatilities we’ve ever seen in ETH … bid/offer spread is all over the

place, so you can’t buy up spikes and expect any decent fill … today starts the

same as every other day in recent memory, with Asia & Europe blowing it up,

and then NY in an “extend & pretend” keep the gains while setting off sell stops

and then rinse & repeat … we have yet to see Asia and/or Europe maul the shit

out of crypto and then for the NY session to bring it back up … how likely is

this to continue?


Well here we are with this massive “bigly & yuge” range and the criminal,

money laundering NYSE open about to commence, and the last 4 hours in

ETH a complete chopfest bag of shit, giving new meaning to the “Flying Wedge

of Death” [FWD] yo-yo from Hell … typical … the “extend & pretend” starting

early today … seriously, what’s left? … maybe we get some movement maybe

we don’t, but history isn’t kind when shit like this happens, and we got a

“Twilight Zone” range for the day and the day hasn’t even started!


In this month-long runup in price, we’ve yet to see Asia & Europe go lower and

then have positive flows in NY, with both the m15 and m1 going higher,

WITHOUT the range already being blown to shit earlier in the day … we’ve

gotten some FOMO flows to be sure, but in order for those to work profitably,

you better see action heretofore unseen in markets … and of course, that’s what

we’ve seen! … but for how long? … you keep buying FOMO, and when it burns

out you’re screwed … remember, EVERYTHING has to happen at some point,

but that doesn’t mean it’s the optimal way to trade … hang your hat on

consistency, not wishful thinking that may or may not ever happen in your

lifetime … how do you make a living from that?


The upshot from this setup scenario that we’ve seen lately is not optimal … from

a scalping perspective, it means the m15 is spending way too much time in

negative price slope for the session I’m trading [NYSE], and that usually means

rough and quick m1’s up followed by nasty ass downdrafts … flip that around

and I’ll do larger volumes cuz the “wind” is at our backs for the trade, but I’m

not about to get blindsided by killer m1’s going deep red and forcing me to sell

a “Thelma & Louise” trip down … you wanna see slippage? … trust me, there’ll

be slippage that will choke a horse!


Only one PAMM trade today in ETH … every day waking up and seeing price

already having exploded higher in Asia or early Europe is bullshit … WE’RE UP

SLIGHTLY … ONTO TOMORROW. 


… OUTTA HERE … “The future’s so bright I need 2 pairs of sunglasses 😎😎,

and my own Brinks armored truck” 💓!! … Onward & Upward!!


-vegas





Friday, February 23, 2024

THE DAY THAT WASN’T

 

“Imagine the heartbreak I felt yesterday when told it was Thursday!!”

I dunno … 1) senior moment? … 2) trader amnesia? … 3) the “Tooth Fairy”

granted me a wish? … or 4) pre “rubber room” therapy gone wrong? … the

fam voted last night [“The Mrs.”, Miss Gimpy, the dog], and it was a 3 - 0

landslide for #4 … today, I’ll be very careful about putting on any kind of sweater

or sweatshirt when they ask if I’m “chilly” … so, without further ado, welcome

to Friday for the second time this week!


The SP500 [“Spoos”] in a delusional world of FOMO … and you somehow think

the Dopes at the FED will cut rates with “Spoos” now at 5100? … why?

… meanwhile the Banana Republic printing presses run wild, as nobody in the

Uniparty gives a shit cuz it’s an election year … “hey, I’m actually an ILLEGAL

HONDURAN, so where can I get me one of those NYC debit cards with $3K a

month put on it, with no ID, no verification, NO FUCKING NADA?! … me and

my 8 kids need to fund our drug empire don’tchaknow! … meanwhile homeless

VETERANS live under a fucking interstate bridge cuz the VA is useless and

worthless beyond shame … please, tell me again how the Banana Republic

survives!


Some pre market NYSE “Scumbaggery & Fuckery” hitting the tape right before

the open … what else is new? … now into the NY afternoon, a sloppy bag of shit

day where the high so far has been the NYSE open, followed by a drift lower

where algorithm indicators have been negative the vast majority of the day

… some pockets of “rally juice”, but basically 3 steps down, 2 up and MOMO

changes quickly … the $50 approximate range in ETH, although adequate, is

nothing to write home about …. Again, Asia and early Europe has better trading

action, something we’ve seen plenty of these last few weeks … on the plus side

of things, the bid/offer spread in ETH at Coinexx has remained tight, coming in

between $.06 - $0.30 most of the day including active rally minutes

[i.e. no blowouts] and the RT commish is 6 cents per 1 lot … add it all up and

it’s superior to BTC at the moment.


We’ve seen this week in both BTC & ETH, what I call the 2 hour “Flying Wedge of

Death” [FWD] yo-yo from Hell marathon of alternating screwing stops on both

sides of the ledger … then no follow through of course, and essentially we’re at

where we were on Monday, with very little in terms of dollar up or dollar down in

price the entire week … for months now, we’ve seen Fridays turn into semi

Holidays [even the second ones of the week!], where action literally sucks … it’s

not a very good moving day … we might be in for “time corrective” activity,

rather than any serious price erosion, but that remains to be seen in the

days ahead.


Only one PAMM trade today … fills adequate … shit just wouldn’t move, so time

to say adios! … WE’RE UP SLIGHTLY … and since it’s officially Friday, blog

update on Sunday … cya then!


… OUTTA HERE … “The future’s so bright I need 2 pairs of sunglasses 😎😎,

and my own Brinks armored truck” 💓!! … Onward & Upward!!


-vegas



Tuesday, February 13, 2024

LIFE WITH BRANDON … “BITCH ASSES” & INCOMPETENCE

 

“The Banana Republic is in the best of hands isn’t it!!?”

Oh no hot inflation now too?!! … must be Trump’s fault … or Putin & Tucker

Carlson … and now watch Longs puke “Spoos” … probably won’t last long,

but who knows? … pet rabbits get nervous being long the top don’tchaknow?

… gosh, who coulda ever seen this coming? … once the money laundering

NYSE opens, let’s see how BTC reacts … quick shot lower off the CPI

not-so-good-news, but it’s early yet.


Quite frankly, the only ad the GOP needs to run this election season is a 30

second spot with the following chart … no commentary needed for those

with a functioning brain [sorry, contest not open to residents of Illinois,

New York, or Kalifornia.]


click on any chart to enlarge

But, since it’s the GOP, and they’re known for fucking up the obvious, don’t

hold your breath … facts the Uniparty doesn’t want you to see or know.


Finally, can you spot the moment on the following chart where “Taliban Joe”

took office and started to FUBAR the middle class? [Hint for Libtards: it’s where

“REAL” wages went from UP [green] under Trump to RED [down] with senile Joe

at the helm … facts are a B.I. Itch aren’t they Libtards?



“WHAT, ME WORRY?”


And once the dust settles from the C-4 explosion, there ain’t trading shit

anywhere … NYSE range about $500 -$600 (so far) as we move to the NY

afternoon in a yo-yo “Flying Wedge of Death” [FWD] scenario of pure horseshit

… and today points out in spades what “markets” [cough, bullshit, cough] have

become … nothing but lottery tickets! … BTC feeling the heat cuz they ran it up

so fast recently, and besides, higher rates ain’t good for anything … ask gold

… one hint though to keep in mind once the dust settles … what do the up M1’s

look like relative to the down m1’s … and today the down m1’s are steeper and

much faster to the punch, telling you once short covering is done it’s elevator

down “el quicko mucho”! … and that’s after the sigma miss on CPI into the

NYSE open … when that scenario reverses, BTC will go up!


Only one trade for the PAMM today … we’re UP SLIGHTLY … action ugly, sloppy

but the fills were OK and the spread was decent around $25 … action worse in

the “Spoos”, where after the NYSE open, 4 hours later it’s only got a 25 index

point range with about an hour and half to the close … sure, shit can happen at

any moment, but still how pathetic is that? … onto tomorrow.


… OUTTA HERE … “The future’s so bright I need 2 pairs of sunglasses 😎😎,

and my own Brinks armored truck” 💓!! … Onward & Upward!!


-vegas





Thursday, February 1, 2024

THE WORST COLLECTION OF TRADING MARKETS EVER

 

“And the markets they manipulate!!”

I can’t ever recall markets as a whole being this bad in terms of trading action,

ranges, and overall daily and/or session VIX … summer of 1992 comes to mind

as the world stopped for the Bush / Clinton / Perot clusterfark, and then in

October of that year everything literally exploded as the Brits decided not to

join the E.U. and keep the Pound … Spicoli yesterday threw cold water all over

rate cuts, as he goes back & forth fucking markets at will to keep the “bubble

markets” [a/k/a “Stock Bellies] basically unchanged to slightly higher for his

masters the Rothchild's banking group [which by the way, owns the FED].


Now today another “hurry up & wait” for tomorrow’s NFP Idiocy, where more made

up numbers will move markets for 2 minutes before dying … and I can’t help but

wonder, if the ETF’s in Bitcoin won’t be more of the “tail wagging the dog” as we

go forward, and we get less and less of an independent moving Bitcoin price, and

more of mainstream manipulation from the institutions fucking around with the

ETF’s? … kind of like how GLD messes with the gold price when the FED gets the

manipulative hair up their ass and borrows gold to sell and crush the price … will

this happen in the crypto ETFs? … my guess is it will.


I have to assume going forward into 2024, that conditions in crypto will stay

muted and that BTC pricing will be as erratic as the weather … some days great,

but most likely are gonna be pure shit … and given that, it makes more sense to

trade Ethereum [ETHUSDT] than BTC, simply cuz the pricing is better with lower

spreads … today a great example of that, as ETH spreads go into the pennies

range [$0.06 - $0.20] while BTC stays at $25 - $35 … sure, ETH could use better

ranges as 5 of the last 7 days have been crap, but so has BTC so it’s not as if

ETH traders are getting penalized at the expense of BTC, now are they?


Another low volume, do nothing day in crypto with subpar ranges and VIX

… ETH about a $30 range for its multi hour effort, although it took a few trips

back & forth to get the dreaded “Flying Wedge of Death” [FWD] yo-yo from Hell

horseshit … I doubt seriously any NFP bullshit is gonna light the fire tomorrow,

but we’ll see … onto tomorrow.  


… OUTTA HERE … “The future’s so bright I need 2 pairs of sunglasses 😎😎,

and my own Brinks armored truck” 💓!! … Onward & Upward!!


-vegas



Friday, September 22, 2023

ETHEREUM SCALP TRADING DYNAMICS … PART 3


“Trading successfully is “learned behavior” … ain’t nobody born with it!!”




You always have to ask the following question when trading at any brokerage

house … “how does this place make its money, and from whom?” … nobody is

there to give shit away, and nobody works for free … we all know how places like

Coinexx makes its money, which is through “bid / offer variable game bullshit”

AND slippage, which they split in some kind of arrangement with their lead

broker … it ain’t from commissions cuz they are very tiny … in addition, since

they’ve gone the HFT route for LP’s in markets like gold & crude oil, more than

likely they get paid from the HFT for customer information in the millions of

dollars … that’s how they get paid.


Over at IQCENT, from the FX & CFD side of their operations, ignoring their

binary options operations, they aren’t giving anything away either … so with

the lowest total cost to trade in crypto [BTC, ETH, DOGE, & XRP] and EURUSD

that you’ll find anywhere, how do they make dinero? … they do it through

excess volatility [VIX] on moves up/down, and split the true price from your fill

against their hedge with the LP … e.g., you buy ETHUSDT on an up spike and

get filled 15 cents higher than the normal “basis” spread found at Phemex or

Binance, or maybe even with the group of LP’s that Coinexx uses … first

problem is that you bought the up spike which guarantees a shit fill, just like

every other house in existence cuz they ain’t your friend … they’ll take that

extra 15 cents and spilt it between the LP and the house … do this all day,

every day, hundreds of thousands of times, and what appears meaningless

to you IS BIG BUCKS TO THE HOUSE & LP! … that’s how they make their

money.


And from where I’m sittin’, that “volatility tax” amounts to about 1.2X - 1.3X

higher VIX at IQCENT … now, if your entry is correct, this is highly beneficial

cuz it means you’re gonna get a bonus on liquidation by that “Vix tax” … if

your entry sucked, YOU PAY THE TAX! … it’s as simple as that! … and this

applies to the other crypto pairs if you prefer to trade them, or EURUSD if you

prefer to trade traditional FX … you’re either the statute or the pigeon, so be the

pigeon! … this is the essence of what it means to be a scalper in the traditional

sense of being a “floor trader” … costs are meaningless, and it’s like standing

at an ATM and taking money when done right! … so, before you go wading into

any of the crypto pairs or EURUSD, do very small orders to get your bearings

and trade timing down to an “art” … what you make is not the issue here and

nobody cares about your 7 cent profit or loss on some trade … what the issue

is, IS PROFITABLE TRADING THROUGH DISCIPLINE & PATIENCE, AND

RINGING THE REGISTER! … rinse / repeat … “If you can make $1, you can

make 1 million MOAR!”


Clear your head for a second and ponder this … is not scalping as I’ve

described it in part 1 & part 2, a “quasi form of binary options trading”!? … a

tiny bit of more risk, but more potential gain as well … very short term, and no

attempting to beat the “AI computer system” that defeats collective specs over

5s, 15s, or 30s in OTC binary options … and the ability to exit the trade and not

be forced to wait for expiration, where 1 second before it expires it either goes

lower against your “buy”, or if you’re short it goes higher right before

expiration … either way you lose … it’s a highly rigged game, especially at the

short end of 5s expirations … but when you scalp, you avoid all of this

… especially in crypto this is the case, but I’m not so sure if you’re trading

EURUSD, where IMHO risk is higher than imagined or desired … what it comes

down to is basically “buy the dip, sell the RIP!” … and for decades this is what

Locals on the trading floor did to make 6 digits a year or more, without

worrying about where anything went up/down from day-to-day, and could

have cared less if it “went to ZERO” or went to the moon … in other words,

“trade it, don’t date it!” … all I give a shit about is making dinero RIGHT

NOW, and the quicker the better … now rinse / repeat … what a great life it

was! … and then technology and fucking scumbag banks messed it all up,

and inserted themselves into every trade being done … but, the upside to

all of this, is that it’s available to everybody cuz the banks think your money

is actually their money, and since your a Doofus Newbie who doesn’t know

Mr. Jack “Diddly” Squat, it won’t take much time for that money to find its

rightful owner [which ain’t you!] … this is why people paid hundreds of

thousands of dollars to stand in a trading pit!


I will also mention, that IMHO after watching ETHUSDT closely now for weeks,

that there is a definite bullish bias to the trade at IQCENT … way more often

than not, the basis between Coinexx and IQCENT is on the “+” side of the

equation as it relates to price differentials, and quite often we see the basis

expand very quickly to the approximate +$1 level IQCENT OVER COINEXX

… either traders getting long or panicking shorts, who really cares which, tend

to favor this differential … keep this in mind if you plan on trading ETHUSDT

from the short side … in addition, don’t sell the other crypto pairs short in

terms of trading volumes, liquidity, and/or moves up/down … both DOGE [Doge

Coin] & XRP [Ripple] have decent ranges, plenty of “Trend Vix”, and just as

many opportunities as either BTC or ETH … it simply comes down to what

you’re comfortable with as a trader and whether or not a particular crypto pair

fits well with your style of scalping … if I’m a Newbie and don’t know which to

trade, I’d deposit a small amount of money via crypto, trade very tiny [almost

meaningless] volume sizes, and try all of them to see which you like best

… forget cuz who cares whether or not you make / lose a penny … the point is

to become profitable via “buy at 1 sell at 2” or “sell at 2 buy at 1”, and the

ability to train yourself given my instructions and guidance, and then doing

it to convince yourself you have the ability … OK, so just do it!


And if the crypto pair you’re trading goes extraordinarily slow, switch over to

EURUSD, where although somewhat riskier, the volume amounts and very high

leverage can make a “bigly & yuge” difference in your bottom line … again, it

depends on your risk profile … although IMHO crypto is better overall, when

EURUSD has any movement whatsoever, it’s right there with crypto for scalping

… if you follow the VIDYA & STOCHASTICS, and the rules I’ve laid out, anybody

will be fine trading EURUSD, unless it gets ridiculously slow and choppy … and

just like in the crypto pairs, you have to watch carefully the “basis” between

IQCENT EURUSD AND either a ZERO SPREAD PLATFORM LIKE FUSION

MARKETS, OR COINEXX IN EURUSD … often times this “basis” can swing

wildly, and you need to know what’s normal and what isn’t, what’s a great place

to get in [long / short / liquidation], and where you’re gonna get ripped off for

your scalp … this isn’t “sit on the beach and sip margaritas & watch the money

roll in”, this requires discipline & patience while you’re sitting there at your

screen to trade … if this somehow bores you, then go work for a living, and

let me know how much you like that … “if it was all as easy as the YouTube

Grifters make it out to be, your Uncle Eddy would already be doing it!”


I could just as easily have named this 3 part series using EURUSD instead of

ETHUSDT … cuz when EURUSD moves at all, with a 0.1 or 0.2 bid/offer spread

and no commissions, it’s like picking up [name your denomination!] bills up

off the ground while you’re walking … just like the trading floor! … and it’s far

cheaper with no commute! … and from my experiences with IQCENT, there has

been ZERO slippage off of EURUSD trades, something Coinexx could learn

from but obviously don’t … even the “1 lot Pond Scum traders” from yesteryear

could stand there for 6 - 7 hours and pick up $20 bills off the floor all day long

… some of these guys could trade 400 - 500 times in that period … not

suggesting you do that, just explaining what people can do when properly

motivated, disciplined / patient, & somewhat very aggressive … and you can’t

do it when costs are too “Hoover Dam” high and/or you have slippage that

kills you … this is why it’s important to understand how the house makes their

money … I much prefer the approach IQCENT takes, cuz slightly greater VIX

on moves is to your benefit if you trade right … and if you don’t trade right,

they will gladly take your money every time you click a button on that order

ticket box … GUARANTEED! … and quite frankly, that’s better than screwing

everybody with horseshit “variable spread games” & slippage any day of the

week!


And if you’re sitting out there and reading this and can’t decide which market to

trade, it’s a pretty easy formula … 1) pick the cheapest LOWEST cost to trade

cuz it puts money in your pocket, and 2) it has to be moving up/down, preferably

like its pants are on fire … one-way straight shots ain’t gonna do a scalper any

good, cuz it doesn’t create the opportunity you need to make trades … and

currently, any of the 4 crypto pairs I’ve mentioned fit the bill along with

EURUSD … THAT’S IT … there, I solved it for you! … you’re welcome!


Turning to today’s “Slots-A-Rama” bullshit, inside the world’s largest rigged

casino, even with rates going slightly lower, a FED PIE HOLE pisses all over

risk on with another “higher for longer” quip, and on a Friday that means get

out of Dodge City and leave everything alone … crypto must have taken a

sleeping pill or something … gold, dead up & until rates can actually move

lower, and EURUSD goes on the yo-yo “Flying Wedge of Death” [FWD] ride

inside another pathetic range … although, up to the London Fix, it was trading

rather well, even with a shit range … good for scalping only, not so good for

everybody else … again, trying to trade gold and I feel like the treasure hunter

who comes up empty with bags of sand … ranges simply awful despite decent

bid/offer spread, and the trading action very lackluster … didn’t even get a $10

range for the entire day … no trades for the PAMM, not for lack of effort or

desire, simply cuz there’s nothing to do with a market that is asleep at the

switch for the moment …over at IQCENT, some early ETHUSDT trades, and

when that died on the vine when the sun came up in New York, multiple trades

in EURUSD, and we’re UP APPROXIMATELY  0.3% on light volumes … as I said,

although the session range sucked, good up/down action for scalps based on

VIDYA & STOCHASTICS … be back for the Sunday blog update … until then.


… OUTTA HERE … “The future’s so bright I need 2 pairs of sunglasses 😎😎,

and my own Brinks armored truck” 💓!! … Onward & Upward!!


-vegas