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Wednesday, June 30, 2021

THE EVERYTHING RIGGED BUBBLE

 

“Trust me Mom, it’s work! … where normal people simply can’t relate!”

We are in the final market paradigm of technology married to manipulators with

the CNTRL-P machine, and quite frankly I can’t see this paradigm of trading

disappearing and being replaced unless there’s a complete societal revolution

and the end of central banks, especially the FED … P.E.R.I.O.D. EXIT QUESTION:

“Excluding the scumbag banks who position themselves as the middleman in

every stinkin’ trade on earth, what is the one group that makes money UNDER

ALL TRADING CONDITIONS?”


EASY PEEZEE: “It’s the HFT’s [High Frequency Trading firms] … and in the final

analysis, what do these HFT’s do? … they’re SCALPERS … granted, they’re at

the extremes of scalping, enjoying technological advantages retail specs don’t

have, but at the end of the day that’s what they do … do they worry about

“up / down”? … are they “trend followers”? … hell no they aren’t, they’re strictly

“buy at 1, sell at 2” all day long, every nanosecond of every trading day … and

they’re the clear winners”!


And in the “rigged bubble”, which is pretty much all of the traditional financial

markets you’ve come to know over the years, there is no such thing as “trend”

anymore … take for example GBPUSD for 2021 … we’re in the last day of the

Q2 2021, and for 2021 there have been 63 down days [if today closes down] and

65 up days … look at the last 5 years on a weekly and/or monthly chart … take

out the idiotic scam known as BREXIT, and the last days of the pandemic hoax of

March 2020, and where has Cable “trended” to over this time? … right, nowhere!

… now do EURUSD & anything else you want, and let me know where the major

trends are for easy pickin’s for you position traders … you’re gonna run out of

money before your lottery ticket hits!


It isn’t until you realize in this “rigged bubble”, that all that matters are 2 things

… 1) central bank manipulation & QE forever, and 2) where is the second by

second order flow so scumbag banks can fade specs and make money to pay for

everything? … everything else is simply bullshit and/or propaganda … and it’s all

allowed to flourish cuz the banks take their profit and send some “skim” upstairs

to the POLS, Apparatchiks, & regulators worldwide so they can “see nothing”

while their crypto e-wallets get filled. 


And what that means if you want to make consistent money “trading”, is to learn

where the buying or selling from specs is going to come from and when … “fear

& greed” still move things over the very short term, and it’s where banks get their

very best fills before fading order flow.


The days of Cable being “The Widow Maker” are over … that’s not to say it can’t

have individual days that are bat shit crazy [BSC], but as a consistent paradigm,

that era no longer exists … same goes for the rest of FX … and for gold, it’s too

early to tell only a day into Basel 3 … quite frankly, trading “should be” all about

following big money and using their tactics against them for your advantage

… LET THEM DO THE WORK! … why let them screw you? … make them work for

you! … in other words Skippy, be the casino not the customer.


Turning to today’s manipulations … I’m extremely disappointed in Turnkey’s gold

market … bid/offer spread + RT commish + SLIPPAGE = TOTAL COST TO

TRADE = 28 - 35+ CENTS PER OZ., and that’s unacceptable … it could well be

higher if gold is moving and more volatile than normal … just another market

they’ve ruined with scumbag LP’s that won’t make a fair & honest market … the

only thing they have is traditional FX, the rest is shit … if you look at the daily

range in the New York session, this cost is 2% - 4% each time you trade … and

if you pay this, you’re nuts … Cable for its part, putting in another crap day

… better than the other pairs, but that’s not saying much … ADP job numbers at

08:15 AM EST [New York], so maybe that’s slowing things down some

… we’ll see.


ADP a slight beat, but not that big of a deal … Chili’s & Applebee’s again providing

the bulk of gains in jobs, so I guess U.S. economic prosperity depends on eating

out, by people who only have jobs waiting on other people eating out! … right, go

figure this one out … half the day’s range into the report in 14 minutes to the

downside … now weighing on FX pairs … post ADP, EUR with a 28 PIP range,

JPY with a 22 PIP range, and Cable with a 57 PIP range … hard to see where any

action is gonna come from, but as we head into the London Fix in 2 ½ hours, there

should be some Q2 ending flows … but who knows, this is Summer and nobody

seems to care … these ranges so far and their subsequent trading action are

beyond pathetic, but it’s what we’re stuck with … I can only make hay with what

I’m given! 


And there it is, the comical, criminal London Fix for FX … brought to you everyday

by Pepto Bismol, for all of the corporate & institutional dumb asses that rely on

scumbag banks to fill their FX needs … ripped off almost every single day of the

year, why should it be any surprise today’s double reversal in Cable [new low,

new high, new low in the European session] should see a new low for the day

right at the “Fix” … ohhh, somebody got “fixed” alright … I’d ask where the

regulators are, but everybody already knows the answer to that. 


Only 1 algorithm buy signal today in GBPUSD … TURNKEY PAMM UP SLIGHTLY.


Combine yesterday & today, and it’s up 0.1%, and today sees only a very brief

window of “buy mode” opportunity via the “P5 Algorithm” … given the very low

daily range of only 57 PIPS, it’s tough to get the algo parameter syncing in the

same direction for buys … again today, like the last 4, more selling opportunities

than buying, but you have to remember we don’t know which way the market is

going until it shows us its hand … early on it looked like it was gonna be an up

day, and then BOOM!, down goes Frazier, and while gold rallies the major pairs go

lower … go figure … and so the absolute need IMHO for the 60 SMA, LOW for

signal direction … otherwise, too many false positives to make your life miserable

… are you gonna take that 5th trade after 4 in a row losers [buy or sell what’s the

difference?] cuz that’s what you’ll face quite frequently if you ignore the 60 SMA

LOW … some don’t mind … I mind … and it’s why it’s there!


Now post “Fix” [cough, bullshit, cough] the trade becomes a joke into the criminal

New York afternoon, where volumes disappear further and “scumbaggery” rises

along with mystery slippage, thanks to the likes of JPM, Squid, and the other virus

scum making a so called “market” … thanks, no thanks … however, I will remind

people that I’m thrilled with 1) how the “P5” algorithm keeps scalpers out of

trouble, and 2) even with the worst volumes & liquidity that we’re subject to right

now in Cable and the other major dollar pairs, it still makes money if you do what

you’re supposed to do!


No matter what governments do in the future to “Stock Bellies”, gold / silver,

and/or crypto, there will always be FX, simply cuz it dwarfs other markets in terms

of size and volumes cleared … and it’s the mechanism banks enjoy via their “tied

at the hip” relationship with central banks, that pays for EVERYTHING banks do

… and of course, the “skim” sent to POLS, Apparatchiks, & regulators … it’s there

everyday, and it ain’t going away anytime soon, if ever ... with the lowest costs to

trade of anything available, it’s ideal for scalpers, especially in the age & era of

“trendless” markets, thank you very much central bank manipulators … and that

very much favors our TURNKEY PAMM.


Meanwhile over in crypto, simply a graveyard of widened bid / offer spreads,

disappearing volumes from specs who’ve gotten cleaned out, and liquidity a real

issue at times … talk about 180 degrees different from 2 months ago, well this is

it! … No trades in crypto today for “The Syndicate”.


 … outta here … “the future’s so “GOLD”-en bright I need sunglasses”! ðŸ˜Ž

… Onward & Upward!! 


-vegas




Tuesday, June 29, 2021

SO MUCH FOR BASEL 3 & GOLD EXPLODING HIGHER

 

“Peter trades gold!”

What a joke … the Asian session without incident … Europe dead as usual and

almost entirely worthless … then the sun comes up on criminal Wall Street banks

and the FED, and right on cue shortly after 08:00 AM EST [New York] gold pukes

mightily some $25, and as we all know, what comes next? … why the “Loser

Formation” of course, cuz once the order books have been picked clean of sell

stops from the usual dopey retail specs, there isn’t anything left but crumbs … why

have a market when you can just sit and cry?


Then there’s FX, where if it gets any slower, bingo at the old folks home will look

by comparison “exciting” … for major currency pairs today is embarrassing, but

who knows maybe all the hot money is waiting for tomorrow’s end of quarter

balancing to see some movement … don’t hold your breath.


Then, if you want to get a good laugh, wander over to “Stock Bellies”, where

nothing matters but printed CNTRL-P QE “dollar cow chips” from the FED that

supports “Stonks” every second of every day … and the rotation nightmare

among the indices continues without slowing down … someday this shit ends,

and the explosion lower will water eyes, cuz there will be no getting out.


Meanwhile crypto meanders, with tiny moves in ETH & BTC, but the alt-coins are

dead … quite frankly, only time will bring this complex back after those that got

clobbered going full retard FOMO get over the pain.


Cable down for the 4th day in a row … in the European session, only one

algorithm buy signal, but dozens of sell signals … you simply take the good with

the bad and deal with it, cuz if you go both sides of the ball, there will be days the

market literally kills your account … and as far as LOW VIX is concerned I can’t

imagine VIX being any lower under any circumstances other than Holiday … this

is bad, but the algorithm handles it and keeps us out of trouble, no matter the pair

… into the London Fix, and yes, more dumb ass corporations & institutions sure

are getting “fixed” alright … “I simply can’t comprehend just how fucking stupid

these people are for trusting banks”!


During the European session, only 1 algorithm buy signal in GBPUSD

… TURNKEY PAMM UP SLIGHTLY.


Some very slight upward bias since the London FIX, but volumes and trade action

are about as bad as it can get and still be open … this is truly pathetic, and I want

no part of this clusterfark in a New York afternoon … hopefully, tomorrow’s end

of month / end of Q2 rebalancing will produce something better in Cable than the

garbage we’ve seen the last 3 trading days … so we’ll see.


Over in crypto some light upwards moves in BTC & ETH, but for the most part

the complex is dead … alt-coin trading conditions are horrible … no trades today

in anything for “The Syndicate”.


… outta here … “the future’s so “GOLD”-en bright I need sunglasses”! 

… Onward & Upward!! 


-vegas




Monday, June 28, 2021

SHHHH! … I’M HUNTING WABBITS!

 

“Hunting Elmer FUDD markets!”

Ever feel like you’re Elmer Fudd hunting wabbits? … and we awake today with

a real yawner … gold with a slightly higher bid/offer spread by about 10 cents

per OZ. … which is wholly unjustified given its trading action, but whaddaya

expect with the bullion banks gone and most likely replaced by HFT’s that fill

the vacuum?


After 15+ hours, GBPUSD 70+ PIP range for the day gets put in during the

Asian session, and Europe of course dies … now at the London Fix, and this

Monday is a joke for range and trading action … however, the algo did its job,

keeping you out of the infamous “Flying Wedge of Death” [FWD] in a small range

… larger ranges and the FWD is usually no problem cuz the distance between the

tips is wide enough to take advantage, but the smaller ones are killers … gold for

its part, now into the Basel 3 era, and I’m not impressed at all … bid/offer spread

at Turnkey too “Hoover Dam” high, and with slippage, you’re gonna need 28 - 35

cents for the bid to move just to break even … and with shit New York ranges,

that’s way too much to pay to trade it … so unless the spread goes down into

the teens, gold won’t be seeing me.


One item to note for “The Period 5 Algorithm” … for slightly more aggressive

traders than “pure conservative” in their style, I recommend changing the

LWMA, period 5, LOW to LWMA, period 5, HL/2 … this gives a slightly better

response time off lows, and cuts the number of trades potentially missed due

to the market moving higher quickly … if you want to leave it on “LOW”, fine

leave it on “LOW” … this is more of a trader style change than anything

fundamentally different.


Rally Cable and then slam it into the London Fix … ohhh, somebody got “fixed”

alright, the dumb ass corporations & institutions that trust scumbag banks to

give them fair & honest fills … and while Friday’s range in Cable into the New

York afternoon was abysmal, both it and today prove how effective “The Period

5 Algorithm” is in first keeping you on the right side of the scalp, and keeping

you out of disaster trades that quickly rebound and piss you off to no end.


Meanwhile over in “Stock Bellies”, another excursion into the abyss where first

the Chipmunks get fed, and then the DOW30 gets “monkey hammered”, and

then follows the “Loser Formation” … good luck with this FED manipulative

shit … quite frankly, the FED is killing VIX for all to see … come back in August

for Jackson Hole, and until then go fishing, cuz I doubt seriously there’s

anything to see in “Stock Bellies” until then at the earliest.     


One algorithm buy signal in GBPUSD … TURNKEY PAMM UP SLIGHTLY.


I made the LWMA “apply to” field switch from “LOW” to “HL/2”, after the first trade

and then we missed the next signal cuz the market moved too fast away from the

buy signal … I had been contemplating the switch since yesterday night, but

stuck with the original conservative approach … if I had switched earlier, we

would have had a good day, instead of only up slightly … but no worries, cuz the

algo did its job today magnificently given the trading conditions … quite frankly,

given Friday & today, you’d be hard pressed to find 2 piss poor days any worse

than these two going back months & months … the fact that both days not only

kept traders out of trouble but made money, proves the efficacy of the algorithm

… and I would add, that anybody that chose the short side instead of the long 

side of Cable, would have done considerably better … I stick with the one side

[long] cuz if I knew with certainty where it was going I wouldn’t need any

algorithm cuz all I would have to do is either buy or sell and keep adding

… then liquidate … and within months I’d have all the trading money in the

world … and since this isn’t possible [sorry “Holy Grail” enthusiasts!], I’ll stick

to one side so I don’t get chopped up in yo-yo action [like today].


Including gold [XAUUSD, which is part of FX], I got 3 other FX pairs up on my

screen … EURUSD, EURJPY, & GBPJPY … today from these other 3 pairs, much

better buy signals in terms of 1) the parameters being in sync with market action,

and 2) profitable runs once the signals were given … understand though, you

can get caught playing “Whack-A-Mole” with these as a group, and spend all of

your time running back & forth among pairs … and about the time you get to one

pair another one takes off, and you end up missing everything … all I’m saying is,

the other pairs today had better profitable days than Cable did standing alone

… don’t worry, every dog has his day to ride the fire truck and feel like “King”,

and every dog has those days when the fleas won’t leave him the hell alone. 


Most likely this is the slowest day of the week … end of month / Q2 2021 flows

will start tomorrow, so that has the potential to move pairs some … Stonks” look

& feel hopeless ‘til Jackson Hole, and gold trading conditions look too be worse

than pre Basel 3 … meanwhile, while BTC & ETH rally some today, the alt-coins

simply sit … just a disaster in terms of trading action … no trades today in

crypto.


… outta here … “the future’s so “GOLD”-en bright I need sunglasses”! ðŸ˜Ž

… Onward & Upward!!


-vegas