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Monday, June 14, 2021

CLEAR SKIES? … OR THE EYE OF A HURRICANE?

 

“Unlimited QE … “Stonks” can never go down … problem? … Wut problem!?”

“Stonks” love inflation, just ask the 1970’s and early ‘80’s … err, wait cuz they

suffered mightily … now with the 2 biggest set of Dopes ever to head the U.S.

into the next financial quagmire, with policy choices that are literally insane, it

seems a good time to review “Stock Bellies”, specifically the DOW30

[a/k/a “The Tulip Bulb 30”] … the belief that the FED is protecting “Stonks” is

widespread among traders / investors, and has been since unlimited QE showed

up … there’s a whole new generation of folks who believe “bear markets” last

about 1 - 5 hours [tops], and if it really gets ugly maybe a few days … and the

entirety of the indices space is ruled by the “88/6/6” paradigm … BUT FOR HOW

LONG?


The “U.S. of China” is running into the math here … [I know Barbie, math is

“racy-ist” and hard, but nonetheless totally REAL!] … and while it hasn’t gotten

ugly yet, today so far, the DOW30 is down for the 6th trading day in a row, where

in the previous 5 days, the “Chipmunks” get fed at the NYSE open, and then all

hell breaks loose to the downside in seconds … not exactly comforting for longs

is it? … what can the Faculty Lounge Lizards at the FED do? … all they know is

CNTRL-P 24/7/365, and “Brrrrrrrrrrr” goes the money printing machine … at some

point, it doesn’t matter anymore!


Well, that escalated quickly didn’t it? … gold gets monkey hammered, and again

I have to ask the question of, “is this FED led to save JPM and the other bullion

banks from their “unallocated” shorts that have to be closed by Friday’s close of

June 25”? … and suddenly the topic of “talking about talking about tapering" hits

the financial MSM … how convenient isn’t it? … and when the shorts are covered,

watch this “talk” disappear!


And again for gold, ALL of the action is in either the Asian session or the

European session right up until the NYSE opens … and then let the bullshit

commence, as today shows with perfect clarity!


The DOW30 not liking this tapering talk one bit, and with indices at or near record

highs and at all time nosebleed levels, we could be at the start of the back 6% of

the paradigm … dunno yet, but rallies are awfully short lived and very shallow in

scope … and it makes for ugly scalping, and for those looking to be LONG, we

aren’t even close on the m15 to be in “buy mode” … in gold, there was volume

pre NYSE open, but since then it’s been a disaster … think that’s an accident?

[there are no accidents in trading] … and like much of Friday, this is bullshit to

the downside and just something to deal with … meanwhile, silver is “UNCH’D”

and that should tell you all you need to know about gold and the “scumbaggery”

around the Basel 3 stuff happening in 2 weeks, and how the banks are being

bailed out by the FED … “who do I email to get this deal”?


We’re into the early afternoon of the criminal New York session, and like many

times before, it’s “speed of light … crickets” … Loser formation, and have a nice

day … I mean, it is what it is, what can I say, cuz unless you want to sell the break

there’s nothing to do in the DOW30, and in gold, once the “scumbaggery” around

the NYSE open was done, it’s been straight sideways with volumes shrinking by

the minute … this is a disgrace, led entirely by the FED … I can’t wait for these

scumbag banks to be out of precious metals trading … and in “Stonks” the

biggest rally of the day [20 points, big whoop] comes at 1:30 PM EST on

shrinking volume as well, and the trading action is pathetic … there simply is

no “pop” to price movement, simply a crawl, and this isn’t what I’m looking

for … Oy!


Meanwhile, crypto is dead, with some BTC bounce over 40K on an Elon Musk

tweet … other than that, stone cold D.E.A.D. across the alt-coin board, with ONT

having an approximate range of 500 ticks, where its 20 Day Range MA is sitting

at 330 and a few weeks ago was over 1800 ticks … talk about a contraction in

VIX, this is a collapse! … today even ETH in a pitiful range of only approximately

$150, with a 20 Day Range MA of over $400 … [help!, I’m melting!] … and

suddenly, in an act of pure hilarity, here come the scumbag HFT LP(s) at Turnkey

in ETHUSD, and the bid / offer spread is under $2 … “I guess ripping people off

with $7 - $20 spreads when it was moving, ain’t quite workin’ for ya anymore, am

I right or am I right? … so now, with hat in hand and biz crumbling you want me

to trade this? … how does fuck off sound? … keep it there for a month and I’ll

consider it … geesh, what a bunch of scumbags”!


FED meeting tomorrow and Wednesday, and boy does Spicoli have a juggling

act ahead of him on Wednesday, where the bullshit coming from him will be so

fast & furious, you’ll need hip boots to withstand the torrent … of course he’ll

lie, and then talk out of both sides of his mouth like all Apparatchiks & POLS

do and give bones to each side of the fence and leave everyone with a headache

that listened to this shit … 5 minutes after he’s done, nobody will remember

anything he said. He’s gonna be asked about “talking about talking about

tapering” and when, with enough caveats to make anything meaningless … look

it’s pretty simple … THE FED CANNOT RAISE RATES IN ANY MEANINGFUL WAY

EVER AGAIN CUZ OF THE FOREVER QE CNTRL-P AND THE TRILLIONS NEEDED

FOR DEFICIT SPENDING … the U.S. of China is fucked and everybody with a

brain knows it, and the hope of all of these FED Lounge Lizards is to NOT BE

THERE when SHTF … who knows when it starts in earnest, but start it will, either

sooner or later, cuz there is no choice anymore of paying any of this

astronomical debt off … it gets wiped away via hyperinflation!


It’s after 2 PM EST, and I’m pulling the plug on gold and the DOW30, for any

possible trade via the algorithm in day trade mode … it ain’t there, and if it

shows up, there isn’t enough time to let any market work like it should … from a

scalping buy mode perspective, volumes suck so badly, the parameter settings

for a scalp buy are skewed cuz of the pathetic volumes once New York gets

going … in other words, “buy fuel” becomes an illusion for profitable success

cuz there ain’t no volume to speak of, and the trade becomes simply a “coin flip”

… is this your strategy then? … well, it ain’t mine!


No trades in anything today, and most likely tomorrow and Wednesday get

progressively worse in terms of trading action, up until 2 PM EST on Wednesday

when SHTF and we can expect some major explosions in price somewhere

… sure, we could get some surprises, and if we do I’ll be here to capture them,

but I’m not expecting any cuz as ZH aptly notes, this is Spicoli’s most important

FED meeting of his career, and that means “hurry up and wait”! … we’ll see.


 … outta here … “the future’s so “GOLD”-en bright I need sunglasses”! 😎

… Onward & Upward!!


-vegas



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