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Showing posts with label vapors. Show all posts
Showing posts with label vapors. Show all posts

Thursday, January 16, 2020

FED SECRETS: VAPOR MOVES AT NIGHT

“That time the FED sent “Terminator” back in time to rig the stock market!”

Scary as it sounds, it almost seems plausible … after all, when you have the
CNTRL-P machine at your disposal with no oversight from the hapless clowns in
D.C., once “Peter Pan” Kuroda showed them how to do it, what’s to stop them?
… they simply print more than your ability to sell … who cares if future
generations get to pick up the pieces, cuz all that matters for the faculty lounge
Twits sitting in the Eccles building are those future 7 digit gigs at Squid or JPM
… and so the stock scam continues without a hiccup.

Want to sell? … “sure, go ahead, we’ll just print another $100 billion today, and
once you’re done, we’ll either ramp the “Tulip Bulb 30” in your face, OR we’ll bid
the shit out of it in the dark when nobody is around except pajama traders in Fiji,
and you’ll wake up the next morning with a case of mournful regret”. 

And so, in the latest iteration of the Ponzi scheme known as stocks, we see
another overnight ramp on “vapors”, with new recorder-er-er-er highs on nothing
but “Plunge Protection Team” [PPT] buying, along with the other central banker
usual suspects bidding stocks higher on nothing … and why not? … who’s gonna
stop ‘em? … so what if the U.S. is approaching Venezuela & Zimbabwe in terms of
money printing? … Wall Street is too busy partying, and the scumbag banks are
making hundreds of millions, if not billions of dollars, playing the pre-arranged
Treasury debt scam with the FED to worry about anything … quite frankly, why
do we even have a market, when everything is simply money printing a go-go?

Oh wait … right, “fun-durr-mentals”! … yea, that’s the ticket … only if your
completely intellectually bankrupt, would anyone ever care to go down that road
… the entire Washington, D.C., Wall Street, Deep State, & military industrial
complex is so utterly corrupt and immoral, it defies human belief … throw in
cultural, educational, & total societal rot, and when the end comes, you better not
be the one exposed with your wealth sitting anywhere near the U.S. … and while
the music still plays, and nobody wants to notice, the chess board is being set
up for your destruction on so many different levels, that if you’re not cognizant
of WTF is really going on, there’s no hope for you when it comes time and your
enemies say “Checkmate”! … and like most, you’re probably sitting around and
giddy over the stock markets rise and the value of your 401(k), or whatever it is
you’ve placed your faith … “what they pump up, they can take away faster … to
rely on government is the ultimate blind faith disaster”!

Well, here we are, another PPT fucking joke of an NYSE open, where trees grow to
the sky at an ever expanding rate … tell me again about “fun-durr-mentals” … I
guess when you print upwards of $100 billion a day for the banks to rape & pillage
and add via pre-arranged treasury debt trades, nothing seems expensive
… certainly if you handed me millions a day in free money, why would I care what
I bought tulips bulbs at? … now that the morons at the FED have seen to it repo
rates can never go higher, cuz that might mean a rise in interest rates and we
can’t have that cuz it would blow the living shit out of the budget, what’s to
worry about if you pay never seen before historical valuations for companies
that produce shit, earn nothing, but have a Board of Directors that only buy back
shares so EPS can go up due to less float in the shares? … why doesn’t the FED
just print 100 Quadrillion dollars and buy everything, and everybody is rich
beyond belief? … why fucking pretend with this “market” shit, like it exists when
it doesn’t? … “Dr. Goebbels, please call your office or pick up the white courtesy
phone”!

It’s gotten so bad, even the pundits at “Dumbberg” are noticing it … directly
below, a link to an article on ZH that highlights my point.


Always nice when the sun is shining to notice that it’s in fact daylight, and it
comes as some kind of revelation to those buying the bubble assets … almost
as revealing as the faculty lounge Twits who are blowing the bubble ever higher,
and then protesting that maybe they shouldn’t … only just a little, cuz that will
give them cover when the whole fucking thing blows up and they can say they
warned everybody … scumbags, scumbags everywhere!

And anybody that bothers to read the ZH article will notice, by keeping rates
artificially low, Zombie companies that should have gone bankrupt long ago,
borrow money at ridiculously low interest rates to buy back their own stock,
thus adding to the global debt pile while enriching themselves and producing
nothing … but it’s OK with the FED, just don’t blame anybody in the faculty
lounge when it all burns the fuck down at some point and wipes out your
financial assets you thought were safe and secure … and if you believe they got
your back, check out my beachfront property in Kansas, where you’ll surely
appreciate and want to own!

“Seriously, WTF is this I’m lookin’ at in the “Tulip Bulb 30” … into the P.M. in
Gotham, and we can’t rally and we can’t break … oh sure, you can get chopped to
pieces in total manipulative bullshit, as the banks pick your trading method to
shreds with “false positives” that go nowhere … 3 hours into this clusterfark, and
we don’t even have a 50 index point range from the extreme tips … “oh, no
worries, we can “vapor move” this shit hundreds of points higher overnight on
literally nothing, but in the NYSE session it’s nothing but “protect & defend” the
gains, so the chumps can buy the top hoping for more” … not that anything else
is better, as VIX & IVIX is shredded everywhere in all markets as I write … gold?
… don;t make me laugh … Cable? … IVIX shot last week after year end flows
gave all of us a “false positive” for an IVIX breakout … crypto? … BTC dead
above 8K, and the costs to trade it is very expensive … crude oil? … without a
real war, this complex is dead … nothing but shit all around us … “somebody go
get my hip boots”!

Well, with 90 minutes to go in this “market”, if you can call manipulation a market,
even Christmas Eve was more active than this … No trades today, what a pile of
shit … I can’t take another minute of this stuff doing literally nothing … outta
here early … until tomorrow mi amigos … Onward & Upward!! 

Have a great day everybody!

-vegas



Thursday, January 2, 2020

VOLATILITY HIDES TRADER SINS

“Did you pass or fail!?”

OK, you might fool some of the other elephants, but the herd ain’t gonna fall for
it … and in trading, we are the only fools! … fools to believe the truths of trading
come from life experience and/or education … EXIT QUESTION: “if true
knowledge makes you a “winning trader”, doesn’t that mean that knowledge can
be passed on to others, and within some period of time, the entire world are
“knowledgeable” traders and everybody is a winner”? … well, how can that be in
a “zero sum” game that has consistently shown over time that 10% make all the
money, and 90% make all the deposits to the other 10”? … I seem to have
uncovered a great paradox here, or have I”?

The amount of outright lies, half truths, and bullshit alone regards “trading” could
fill half the Pacific Ocean, but here’s the “dirty little secret” … “everything has to
happen eventually, and in that toxic soup of probability, all of your “bad habits”
and “stupid shit” might make you money … and looking at that elephant so poorly
dressed up as a tiger, you as a “oh, I so wanna believe” human fall into the trap
of assuming you’ve discovered something when you haven’t … what you’ve
actually discovered is that IVIX [intraday volatility] bailed your donkey out of
trouble and saved you, not your “trading genius”.

For over a century, it used to be common “knowledge” in trading markets, that
certain levels of volatility always had to be there … after all, markets are the
human “fear & greed” cycle at work, and that leads to volatility … then came the
“Japanification” of certain markets in the 1990’s and most didn’t notice or care
cuz it was all in Japan … then came the financial crisis of 2008, and from that we
now have central bank manipulation all over the place … “it’s quite simple really,
they got the CNTRL-P machine and we don’t! … and for years afterward, nobody,
including me, wanted to believe what our eyes were telling us as professional
traders … namely, that trading “heresy & blasphemy” was being committed by
the government … “surely this would end soon, right? … well no actually, one set
of commandments was destroyed and another written into stone”!

The only truth in trading are probability wave functions, and if you doubt me, then
get ready for account destruction … I can’t help but chuckle when I see
‘Hucksters” on the internet selling worthless crap … the common thread of course,
is that your wallet is under attack … I would simply say by comparison, that
nothing I write, publish, or offer is going to make anybody suffer financially by way
of their bank card … I’ve got proven performance AND I show you how to do
everything with NO COST TO YOU, and quite frankly tell you and everybody else to
use a demo first and see for yourself.

Fact is, the only truth in trading is that the foundations of volatility are built on
shifting sands, and that when you get right down to it, your trading model MUST
take this into account and be able to adjust to it … nothing can be assumed … and
that’s exactly the premise behind “Traders Course II” [TCII].

GBPUSD today sees one good algorithm call … TURNKEY PAMM / MAMM UP A
HAIR SHY OF 0.1%.

Really a strange day trading action wise in Cable … yes, the day’s range is good,
but the intraday trading action from the European open to the close sucked … way
too many very tiny range M1’s followed by spikes, as it seems the market isn’t yet
ready to get down to 2020 business yet … that was followed by a nice rally after
U.S. stocks opened on the NYSE, but then Cable fell out of bed again, going
“Thelma & Louise” down stair steps … so far so good with Cable at Turnkey, as
fills and execution times were acceptable … I didn’t say great, I said acceptable
… PRIMEXBT beats the shit out of them on execution time … but I can’t complain.

Turning to the Tulip Bulb 30” … well, just keep your eyes peeled on the electricity
usage of the CNTRL-P machine … it’s humming along on MAX, and remember,
“stocks must never be allowed to go lower ever again” … until they do of course
and the back end of the “88/6/6” paradigm shows up, and SHTF so badly it splatters
over everybody invested in stocks rather quickly.

Today’s “vapors” moves in stocks come courtesy of the ChiComs, who over the
Holiday cut their Reserve ratio for banks, thus injecting massive amounts of
liquidity into banks … the HFT’s see this and go nuts, and we open 200+ higher at
new recorder-er-er-er highs [until a few hours from now where its rinse & repeat]
… some days you just can’t make this shit up it’s so “effed up”, but manias, even
ones created by dumb ass FED Twits, come to an end … problem is, when the end
comes it will take no prisoners & trap pretty much all investors who have nothing
but greed in their eyes … it won’t trap us, cuz I trade it, I don’t invest in it … I
simply use the manipulators to do their dirty work for us, and make us money
… nothing more, nothing less … again today, a pathetic range for the DOW30,
although it’s early, but it shows no signs of galloping higher … maybe it does,
maybe it doesn’t, I simply wait for the corrections and buy the break … then wait
for the usual suspects to rampo stocks … I could care less if the DOW30 is at
5,000 or 50,000 or anywhere in between … it’s an ATM, nothing else.

One algorithm buy signal in the DOW30 … FX CHOICE PAMM / MAM UP 0.2%.

… until tomorrow mi amigos … Onward & Upward!!

Have a great day everybody!

-vegas


Tuesday, November 26, 2019

DOWN THE RABBIT HOLE

“Which way do you go!?”

Thanks to government, standing at the corner of “Success” & “Failure” has
become a complete Ponzi scheme, akin to arranging the deck chairs in first class
on the Titanic, so you can get good seats while the orchestra plays … never mind
the entire boat is going down, cuz you’re too busy focusing on choice of seats,
blissfully unaware of the risks of the catastrophic failure about to happen … and
so, your supposed “choice” here, between “success” of getting a good seat
versus “failure” of getting a bad seat towards the rear, is a false construct.

Granted, the picture I’ve painted here is absurd, but the best way to point out
absurdity is to be completely absurd! … I drive the point home to be obvious
… nobody could be that stupid! … and yet, in real time as the ship was sinking
the orchestra played on!

And what I’m saying to you is that the financial community plays with you
constantly, offering you choices that are in reality “non-choices” … in other
words, just cuz you took the step towards “success” when reading the road
sign, doesn’t mean your going to encounter “success” as you start walking
down the road … and that’s cuz you’re down the rabbit hole, where the only rule
is, there are no frickin’ rules! … and so, under the rubric of government
observation, government rules, and finally government permission, you’re
allowed the illusion of success, when in reality there’s nothing but bad choices
and which one makes the most sense under less than than ideal circumstances
… and while on the surface it may appear that all of your moves were
successful, do you realize you’re on a chessboard where you can’t see all of the
moves that hurt you, by a player who most definitely doesn’t have your best
interests at heart?

I’m going to pose to you a simple question: “what’s happened in the world
financially since the end of 2014”? … of course, if I ask 100 people, I’ll get 120
different answers, but I would be surprised if any spoke of crypto as a game
changer … excluding QE inflated stocks in the U.S., what have other, more
traditional asset classes delivered? Gold at the end of 2014 was at about $1200,
today it’s at about $1475, a gain of a little over 20% … crude oil at the end of
2014 was at about $54 per barrel, today it’s at about $58 per barrel, a single digit
gain over approximately 5 years.

Where was Bitcoin at the end of 2014? … Bueller? …. Bueller? … well, it was at
approximately $110 per 1 BTC, today it’s over $7,000 per coin … strip away
miners BTC for mining the “proof of work” now and into the future, and
excluding coins that are lost forever, there remains a “float” of about 16,000,000
BTC’s in existence, and there can’t be anymore … how much sovereign debt is
held at negative interest rates worldwide? … approximately $17 trillion! … why
the hell would anybody enter into a lending agreement and guarantee
themselves a loss? 

The premise behind John McAfee’s prediction of $1 million dollars per BTC in a
couple of years, is that all of the idiotic money in negative yeilding debt will flow
into crypto, and viola!, $1 million bucks per coin … by the same token, where is
Apple, Google, & Amazon gonna go from their inflated QE stock price? … and
while most might raise an eyebrow at my analysis, remember, “we’re all down the
rabbit hole now, and there ain’t no rules … it’s anything goes, and if you think the
predictable is what’s gonna happen, I’ll take the alternative approach and bet the
farm it won’t be”!

The “game changer” here with crypto, especially trading it via PRIMEXBT [or a
similar venue], is that it never closes, can’t be manipulated by government, and
millions of people worldwide trade it 24/7/365, where there is NO central exchange
to be fucked with … all with anonymity, privacy, security, and the ability to move
money in seconds to wherever you want it so you can spend it, invest it, or trade
it! … in other words, “fear & greed” are the primary factors in trading it, just like
in the roaring 80’s, when pits ruled the world … here, though, the entire world is
the pit, with no centralized bully who can change the rules at a whim, or take
away your money cuz they have the authority to do it … so, if you’re wondering
why over the last 5+ years why volumes & liquidity of EVERYTHING TRADED VIA
COMMODITY OR STOCK EXCHANGES HAS GONE DOWN WITH A VENGEANCE,
wonder no more, cuz the world’s “hot money” and the world’s biggest traders
have left the building and told interest rate markets, stock indices markets, &
commodity markets to go pound sand!

Anybody but me remember how volatile the USDJPY pair used to be prior to
2014? … remember those heady days where it looked like FX VIX would always
be high? … remember USDJPY having 200 - 400 PIP ranges, with intraday moves
that made your eyes water? … “well, where the fuck is that now Skippy”?!!
… when’s the last time USDJPY had a 100+ PIP range for the day? … how many in
the last 6 months? … “Hoover Dam” few, that’s how many … so where did all
those Asian session traders go? … EASY PEEZEE: they’re all trading crypto now
24/7, and making/losing a fortune … right along with every hot dollar that’s
underground and can’t be shown to government, for fear of confiscation via
taxes … and you know what? … that’s a shipload of money Skippy! … you’re
gonna need a bigger group of ships!

Turning to today’s manipulated mess in the DJPI30 [Dow Jones Propaganda
Index 30] … “trade deal optimism” [please be patient while on hold, your operator
is laughing his ass off and will resume his duties shortly] … OK, how many
fucking times have I seen this shit over the last year? … I’m guessing about 200,
but it could be more, each time good for multiple 100+ point bursts in the
propaganda index … as long as it keeps working, don’t expect the Apparatchiks
or the HFT’s to stop using it to prop stocks ever skyward, in the greatest hyped
Ponzi scheme ever to hit the world … “but no worries, CNBC says everything is
fine … and the FED says everything is fine … remember back in 2007, when
Greenspan & every government Apparatchik in the world said everything was
fine? … remember Bawney Fwank, who said there could never be a housing
crisis? … head … sand … no worries, right”? If only Goebbels were alive to see
this, he’d shake his head in disbelief.

Late morning in Gotham, and if you think this is an honest market, I got some
beachfront property to sell you in Kansas … cheap! … another complete “circus
shitshow” of price manipulation in the DOW30, where the “Plunge Protection
Team” [PPT], other central banks [hello SNB], and the scam known as corporate
buybacks, all place bids protecting price, then cancel said bids [price drops for a
couple of minutes], then the bids come back, shorts panic and we scoot higher
in seconds … in other words, just another “protect & defend” the QE bullshit that
happened overnight on “vapors”, and launder the gains … nice work if you can
get it, all backed and propped up by a corrupt FED.

Crypto sort of slow today, in comparison with yesterday’s torrid pace … crude oil
again today dead meat walking, so nothing there as well … nope, just stocks
meandering around like Zombies with a bias slightly higher at the moment
… intraday VIX just completely pathetic … you got more trading activity in corn
spreads than this shit today so far.

But, speaking of crypto and BTC in particular, again today you see a range that
makes everything else on the board look pathetic by comparison … this is a
market that has 80’s & 90’s market volatility baked into the cake, where you can
expect to see 3% - 5%+ daily moves … however, 2 important items here; 1) this
market never closes, so there’s no bullshit with opens and closes affecting price,
and 2) there’s no central exchange, like the corrupt CME, where you’re forced
into things you don’t want to be forced into … nope, this is a market that is
global, decentralized, and has millions upon millions of players, where
government is at a total loss at how to control it, reign it in, and try and get their
grubby fingers on it to fuck it up beyond all recognition … trust me, the global
elites are terrified of this shit, and how the world’s population in droves is
migrating to it faster than they can ever imagine … a world completely devoid of
government bullshit and the flow of money … now that’s something I’m truly
excited about!

Mid to late afternoon, and this day has been a waste of time from a trading
perspective … 6 hours of bullshit inside about a 40 index point range, with the
usual assortment of spikes from hell, both up/down to make things uncomfortable
for anyone who enters into any trade, no matter long or short … in this kind of
environment only the scumbag banks win … so, I sit and wait patiently for an
algorithm signal to trade … won’t come today, that’s for sure … until tomorrow
mi amigos … Onward & Upward!!

Have a great day everybody! 

-vegas