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Thursday, July 19, 2018

DO TREES GROW TO THE SKY?

“Oh look! … the NDX100!”

With the Hang Seng on “vacation”, and losing its intraday volatility [versus 
normal], it’s a good time to focus on NDX100 … “when does this tree cease to 
grow to the sky”? … directly below the monthly NDX100 candlestick, covering 
the last 6 years.


Today, another trading day of uneventful action, where the entire day since the 
NYSE open has literally been ± 20 index points around the 7364 level … could 
be the Summer doldrums, or the market is cooling off from its torrid pace … in 
any event, after the close today we get Microsoft earnings, and next week we get 
the 800 LB. gorilla in the room, Amazon … how this stuff can keep going up 
with zero correction is beyond me, but unlike other professional traders who’ve 
gotten carried out the door “toes up” in the last 6 years predicting the top, I 
simply go with the flow … and make no mistake, this stuff flows better than 
any other index on the board!

Now, no matter what the NDX100 does, we are uniquely positioned to take 
advantage of any gains from here, as well as profit from days on the downside 
… as I’ve said in the past, but will repeat again today, “the PAMM is simply an 
ETF with no overnight or weekend exposure, with far less risk, and many times 
better profit opportunities … and while I would’ve loved to have been here a year 
ago, we’re here NOW, the DOW30, DAX30, & SP500 be damned … the scumbag 
LP’s in those markets run their own stops, pre-program the HAL9000 to hand 
out dreadful slippage like Halloween candy, and generally rob you every single 
chance they can get away with; which is every time you trade … not so in the 
NDX100 … live and learn! Throw in the Hang Seng when it’s volatile enough to 
hang around [generally, that would be ranges consistently over 500 points, along 
with decent intraday volatility], and via the “Explosion Algorithm” returns will be 
phenomenal”. More on this in tomorrow’s blog post.

Turning to today’s markets … Hang Seng, “fugetaboutit”! … volatility 
overnight as pathetic as I’ve seen lately, and you simply have to leave it alone 
when it goes “sleepy time” … that brings us to the NDX100, where trading 
action is about as bad as yesterday … brief moves up/down correlating with 
the gyrations in USDCNH and the “China tariffs story”, but other than that a 
pure waiting game … “we haven’t moved more than 20 points from the opening 
bid all day, and as I write, we’re in the last hour of trading doing nothing but 
chopping around … Microsoft after the close … who knows what that brings”. 
Market hitting new lows for the day, here in the last hour, and as a rule of 
trading I have used forever, you don’t buy breaks in the last hour of trading, 
not cuz there’s no chance of a slight rally, simply cuz longs getting trapped into 
the close can make the down moves brutal as hell, and a lot uglier than you 
think possible, and how you gonna make that loss back with less than 60 
minutes to the bell?

Only one trade today … PAMM up slightly.

Simply a “throw away day”, what else can you say? … 20 points either way 
isn’t going to please anybody, but unless you can make it move [I can’t], what 
are the alternatives? … “trust me, when it moves we’ll be there to go with it”.  
And with this crap day and such a tight range, I lowered volume somewhat to 
give me some flexibility in case of trouble … didn’t need it, but isn’t hindsight 
great?

All told, NDX100 lower on the day and we’re up money … no matter the 
amount, cuz if your money is in an ETF, you’re down … with up days, volumes 
will be higher and I’ll be hanging on trades longer … why? … to capture  
“pony rides” in price, and also take advantage of wider ranges to the upside in 
general.

I’ve been busy with personal biz these last couple of days after trading, and 
that continues today … PAMM Spreadsheet will be fully updated after 
tomorrow’s trades. And with that I’m outta here … until tomorrow mi amigos 
… Onward & Upward!!

Have a great day everybody!!

-vegas

OUR TURNKEY FOREX “PAMM/MAM” IS NOW OPEN AND
OPERATIONAL; SEE “PAMM/MAM MONEY PROGRAM” IN
“DOWNLOAD LINKS” SECTION IN RIGHT HAND COLUMN
FOR DETAILS [VIEW ONLINE AND/OR DOWNLOAD] AND
START YOUR JOURNEY FROM WHERE YOU ARE AT TO
“ESCAPE TO SUCCESS”!





 




 

Wednesday, July 18, 2018

WHADDAYA GONNA DO?

“OK market guru, what the hell do you do when volatility collapses?!”

Today’s blog post, is in no way rhetorical … “seriously, what the hell do you 
expect from me when intraday volatility literally collapses upon itself”? Last 
night’s H33HKD, the biggest trading joke I’ve seen to date … not even a 200 
point range before the Lunch break, and one signal that went totally nowhere, 
and most likely if taken would have been a loser … fast forward to today’s 
NDX100, and since the open we’ve seen about a 30 point range.

Over the last year, I’ve battled corrupt markets, and even more corrupt 
scumbag LP banks on the MT4 trading platform … “if it’s not outrageous 
spreads that creep in [hello crude oil], it’s slippage that is at times criminal 
… when the PAMM gets mugged and held up like a 7-11 robbery, am I supposed 
to just “take it” and shrug? … is that what people want? … well, not gonna 
happen on my watch, so I move on, despite the lies and deceitful bullshit I’m 
given by both Turnkey and the scumbags at the banks … in case you haven’t 
figured it out by now, they’ll say anything to keep you trading”.

The good news? … those days are behind us. Now, all we need is one key 
ingredient.

And so, before I can really “make hay” with any algorithm, not just the 
 “Explosion Algorithm”, I need honest markets with fair fills … I’m sick and 
tired of getting bent over the barnyard railing and told, “hey, it’s Ok, that’s 
what we do”!

Right now, on the entire MT4 trading platform, and using Turnkey as the 
brokerage house, there are only 3 markets worth a shit to trade, where the 
volatility is good to excellent, the spreads excellent, and most importantly the 
fills usually have no slippage … and if they do it’s very minor; they are 
1) H33HKD, 2) NDX100, and 3) USDCNH … with maybe XAUUSD thrown in, 
if that market can ever get any of its volume and customers back to trade it 
… a very big “IF” at the moment … but these are the ONLY markets; 
everything else is an invitation to get robbed.

Sorry, but since the first of July, H33HKD intraday volatility has fallen off a 
cliff and gone “Thelma & Louise” … buy signals are few and far between, and 
the ones we are currently getting are shit … not cuz the algo isn’t working, it’s 
cuz volatility has collapsed and the parameters of the signals have collapsed 
with it, thus making extremely tiny moves much more important than they are. 
In other words, you can’t trade it when it slows down or you’re asking to get 
“monkey hammered” when VOL comes back … and “when” that happens, all 
those little winners get eaten up with 1 loser and you’re still down money.

Ok, that moves us into the U.S. day, where the best market is NDX100 … good 
volatility, probably the very best spread by industry norms, and no slippage 
that I’ve witnessed … again, what the hell am I supposed to do when our 
oscillator buy signal almost gives a buy signal after a 5 point decline? … “sure, 
tell me again how this is defined as a “break” and we’ll go from there” … what 
do you expect from a 30 point range over hours where there’s nothing but  
“drift” and the market sits about half way in its range for the day? 
… DIRECTLY below, the last 2 hours as I’m writing.

“Yea, I’m all ears … tell me “experts” … how do you trade this crap”?

But like I said, the good news is that the PAMM is finally positioned in the 
markets it needs to focus on, and with the “Explosion Algorithm”, the days of 
getting mugged and robbed by scumbag LP’s are O.V.E.R. And while I 
completely understand the desire for massive profits, the one ingredient we 
need is INTRADAY VOLATILITY!! … and when we don’t get it via the 
signals, there isn’t anything I can do about it to make it move … it moves when 
it wants. Yesterday, unfortunately, I was more involved in LP fills than market 
focus in the NDX100, and the melt up I missed … “that’s over and done with 
… this won’t happen again, I can assure you … if it melts up, we WILL BE 
THERE and positioned properly”!

For those in the PAMM, or those who are thinking of joining, I’ve got the 
correct markets to be involved in for excellent profit, and the days of losing 
equity due to “scumbaggery” from the LP’s is over. The “Explosion Algorithm” 
is perfectly coordinated to “make the most-est risking the least-est”!, and 
performance will reflect that going forward. Today saw volumes higher on the 
trade I made. Most days, when things are “normal”, we’ll see 6 - 12 very good 
trades … today has seen ONE, cuz we’ve only gotten one legit signal the entire 
day! [The other was a buy signal off an 8 point NDX100 decline … big whoop] 
“Again, whaddaya want me to do, flip a coin and go all in”?

So, my point today is to simply tell everyone that we are perfectly positioned, 
with respect the PAMM … “sure, I’m not happy about the issues we’ve faced 
over these last months with scumbag LP’s, and the money we’ve donated to them 
… I’d be surprised if anybody would be … but I also know that both the 
H33HKD & the NDX100 aren’t gonna just sit still, and when they “do their 
thing”, we’ll be there to position ourselves correctly. I’m not one to make excuses, 
and when confronted with problems I do my utmost to solve them … me and staff 
have done that … all we need now is for something to move like it has in the past 
… and while “talk is cheap”, just keep your eyes firmly focused on PAMM 
performance going forward”.

Turning to today’s markets … overnight the H33HKD just completely dead 
… and quite frankly, until VOL picks up, I’m not gonna bother staying up and 
staring at a screen that looks and acts like paint drying! … we’ll be back when 
BOTH ranges & intraday volatility returns to normal, cuz without it, this 
market is dangerous as hell.

Only one trade today … PAMM up what it basically lost yesterday.

The only legit signal all day, and I’m in this thing for over 5 minutes and it 
can’t do Mr. Jack Squat … a little pop higher and I’m out, looking for the next 
signal, which never comes the rest of the day. This is what happens when things 
die … “you, me, or anybody else can bitch all they want, but we can’t make it 
move if it doesn’t want to, and doing “stupid shit” trades, or jacking leverage way 
up, isn’t gonna get us to the promised land”.

So, a disappointing day with one signal and one trade … and though we only 
had one signal, volumes are higher today and going forward. “I can tell you this 
right now … if NDX100 goes higher from the open, we’ll be there! … there aren’t 
gonna be any more “melt ups” from the NYSE open that we miss … granted, 
overnight action I got no control over, and if it’s higher early on, then it’s higher 
early on and there’s nothing we can do about it … but we will be positioned 
LONG from the NYSE open if it goes higher”!

And while I didn’t think a few weeks ago, the NDX100 would fit perfectly 
inside the “Hang Seng Explosion Algorithm”, the truth is it fits perfectly and 
trades better than H33HKD! So, like I said, we’re positioned perfectly in the 
PAMM for the days/weeks/months/years ahead … “sorry it took so long to 
finally get us here, but we’re here NOW, and that’s all that matters”!

Still haven’t updated the PAMM Spreadsheet from yesterday and today … will 
do that tomorrow.

Going forward, all you need to watch are the levels of volatility … I’ll point out 
the H33HKD when it picks up, but any large moves in NDX100 should equate 
to big bucks for us … with the perfect algorithm, appropriate increases in 
trading volume, AND normal volatility, we are positioned right where we need 
to be … watch & learn, it’s gonna be something to see over H2 2018! And with 
that, I’m outta here … until tomorrow mi amigos … Onward & Upward!!

Have a great day everybody!!

-vegas

OUR TURNKEY FOREX “PAMM/MAM” IS NOW OPEN AND
OPERATIONAL; SEE “PAMM/MAM MONEY PROGRAM” IN
“DOWNLOAD LINKS” SECTION IN RIGHT HAND COLUMN
FOR DETAILS [VIEW ONLINE AND/OR DOWNLOAD] AND
START YOUR JOURNEY FROM WHERE YOU ARE AT TO
“ESCAPE TO SUCCESS”!