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Showing posts with label TNT & Crickets. Show all posts
Showing posts with label TNT & Crickets. Show all posts

Tuesday, December 11, 2018

FIND YOUR SEAT AT THE TRADING TABLE

“Let the scumbag LP BANKS work for you!”


Today’s blog is a little different, cuz I’m writing it in conjunction with what 
I’m doing over in the crude oil blog … “essentially, over the next couple of 
days, I’m laying out trading strategies most of you are not familiar with, but 
when once you “get it”, and your brain gets freed from the one dimensional 
“buy or sell and hope it works” mantra offered to the other 99% of traders by 
brokerage houses, you’ll clearly see that you can get the scumbag LP banks to 
work for you, no matter which way they decide to screw people and run the 
market wildly … simply put, join the “fleecing team” and forget price direction; 
all that matters is intraday volatility”!

So, whether you want to trade traditionally, or entertain strategies more 
appropriate to market conditions, trading derivatives in your favorite major 
market becomes a whole lot more profitable [“and that’s why you supposedly 
trade … right? … to make money, right? … Ok then, for the vast majority of 
spec traders, THIS IS A BETTER WAY”!], than what your used to seeing and 
getting from traditional brokerage houses both in the U.S. and offshore as 
well. 

Oh yea, I know … many of you consider yourselves “sophisticated” traders 
… well, I got a NEWS FLASH for you: “if you’re NOT familiar with NADEX, 
or the derivatives traded on NADEX, you’re missing the boat, and quite simply 
aren’t as “sophisticated” as you think you really are … trust me, I know from 
first hand experience”!

There aren’t many people in the world that are in my “club” … I’m in my 5th 
decade of trading experience full time … I was in the “pits” for about 10 years 
… I’ve seen and experienced every market panic, in multiple markets, in the 
entirety of modern financial trading … I’m co-author of a best selling trading 
book, and have written extensively for many years … and yet, a few months 
ago I was first introduced to NADEX by Cousin It, who I thought was messin’ 
with me when he first mentioned it … I thought, and couldn’t have been more 
wrong, that NADEX was some “fly by night” European binary options bucket 
shop, that simply fleeced the unwary of money. “In other words, my hubris of 
being soooooo sophisticated and experienced, outweighed what was clearly before 
me, and I initially rejected it cuz I thought I already knew enough about the 
world of trading, there wasn’t anything that I thought was “new” to me, to get me 
to take a look at it … but when I finally did, besides feeling like an idiot, my head 
almost exploded! … where the hell has this stuff been? … well, right in front of 
me, that’s where it’s been”! 

And so, take it from one that knows … don’t sit there and tell me the subject 
matter is too complicated … that’s bullshit … or, that there isn’t enough time 
in your life to learn new things … we’re all here [supposedly] to make money, 
and the higher your reward / risk trades are, the more you use the scumbag 
LP banks to actually help you in your positions, and the greater the volatility 
is … simply means you’re gonna make more money in shorter time, than you 
originally thought was possible … “so, do what I did … wake the hell up and 
smell the coffee, put your “big girl panties” on, and then dive right in to take full 
advantage”!

As I stated yesterday over on the crude blog, in addition to WTI Crude Oil, 
there are 20 other major markets, with accompanying derivatives [yes, 
including gold], that are actively traded … the crude blog today sees an 
example of a “binary arbitrage strategy”, that if you don’t find attractive, then 
you literally need to go home … I put one on this morning for the signals 
service, and you definitely need to check it out!

All of which, sadly, brings me back to gold … another shit overnight trade in 
Asia & Europe, with no volume, zero liquidity, and another tiny range … “if 
this was a prize fight, the ref would have ended this bullshit many rounds ago 
… this is terrible & pathetic”! I don’t know what’s happened for sure, but the 
bottom line is that gold has turned into one of the worst, if not the worst, 
trading markets on the board.

Noon in New York, and quite frankly, gold sucks … it’s a familiar story of late 
I know, but nonetheless the truth … this stuff isn’t even pretending to be 
trading … nothing to do but sit and wait. The only reason it has a $7 range, is 
the “Thelma & Louise” drop in 100 seconds to the low, followed by the very 
quick move back up … and now we sit again. So far, after 5+ hours, New York 
has about a $6 range, and that coming in a handful of M1’s that were spikes 
from hell … get caught in this the wrong way, and it is almost impossible to 
gain anything back given the action … nothing really else to say about this.

Late afternoon, and like yesterday, I can’t take another second of gold bullshit 
… it simply can’t move and is dead in the water … a corpse at the frickin’ 
Morgue has a stronger heartbeat … can’t rally, won’t break, and what little 
action this market does see, about 1 minute per hour, sees some mystery spike 
from hell to clean out some stops, and as quick as it starts, it dies and goes 
back into hibernation … in other words, nothing but bullion dealer bullshit, 
with the sole intent to enrich themselves at your expense … a quick check at 
the CME, shows estimated volume [as I write] at approximately 200,000 
contracts … WTI Crude Oil, by comparison, has approximate volume of 
420,000 contracts, more than double, and this is the slowest day in over a 
month for WTI.

No trades in the PAMM today, or in the C2 options signal advisory … nothing 
to do!

We just saw a move lower in gold, which after sitting and doing literally zero, 
in terms of price action, simply vaults lower in seconds to hit a new low, and of 
course now sits again … where did the selling come from? … most likely 
somebody long who simply can’t take it anymore and liquidated with a dealer’s 
loving help … “and this is the pain of gold lately … namely “TNT & Crickets”, 
where there’s no way to capture anything unless you simply buy/sell and HODL 
& then pray some the dealers don’t screw you on a stop hunt … NEWS FLASH: 
this ain’t trading”. We’re at the same price we were at 4 days ago, with very 
little to show in terms of movement … and that movement? … try $6 for 4 
days … truly pathetic. Nothing really anybody else can add to what is a 
market that acts like it wants to die.

Well, I’m not giving money away just to trade … our proprietary “volatility 
heat map”, which measures intraday volatility, is so low, you need an electron 
microscope to read it … bottom line is, you enter a trade in this shit, and you 
end up making pennies and risking dollars … and this is a losing proposition, 
which is why I sit, and why the PAMM sits. Soon enough, gold will come to life 
[I think]!

Onto tomorrow … and now, please visit our sister site 
www.traderzoocrude.blogspot.com and read my comments over there. 
Today’s blog post contains a lot more than just what we did in oil today, and 
everyone should be interested in the NADEX RUT2000 trade I did this 
morning in the binaries, for our signals service, that was totally RISK FREE  
with guaranteed profit! … “yes, you heard me right”! The crude oil blog page 
isn’t only about crude oil … it’s also the other 20 markets as well, and if 
guaranteed profit doesn’t pique your interest, nothing ever will! So, sign up 
and follow us over there as well … I’m outta here … until tomorrow mi 
amigos … Onward & Upward!!

Have a great day everybody!!

-vegas

OUR TURNKEY FOREX “PAMM/MAM” IS OPEN AND
OPERATIONAL, AS WELL AS OUR C2 OPTIONS ADVISORY 
SERVICE.  DETAILS IN “DOWNLOAD LINKS” SECTION IN 
RIGHT HAND COLUMN. START YOUR JOURNEY FROM 
WHERE YOU ARE AT TO “ESCAPE TO SUCCESS”!















 

Friday, December 7, 2018

REJOICE! … IT’S FRIDAY!

“Maybe the dog realizes it’s an NFP Friday!”

Oh yes, another NFP Friday … oh joy, oh fun, as the Department of Unicorns 
& Fairy Tales releases seasonally quadruple adjusted waitress & bartender 
employment numbers this morning at 8:30 AM EST … and if it’s like usual 
NFP Friday’s, we’ll get 10 minutes of “TNT”, quickly followed by the rest of 
the day “Crickets” … “quite frankly, I’m not feeling the vibe, so that today’s 
report is nothing more than a wad of warm spit to markets everywhere … just too 
many other concerns at the moment for this number to matter … maybe wage 
growth, or hourly earnings inside the report can shake things up, but I think it’s 
gonna have to be sigma misses to matter”.

And that takes us to Friday position squaring, and more than likely chop, 
more chop, and then mercifully it closes … could be all wet, but again today all 
eyes are on the oil complex and stock indices … what’s OPEC gonna do with 
the Ruskies & announced production cuts, and can the SP500 NOT crash into 
the weekend? … outside of that, the usual “Brexit” bullshit infects Europe and 
traders await next week for some British closure.

Oil traders look to the OPEC meeting in Vienna for some market guidance, 
although I’m not really sure who takes these assclowns seriously anymore 
… “if their lips are moving, they’re lying”, is more than likely the best approach 
to take, when one of the Apparatchiks strolls to the microphone to wax 
eloquent … bottom line is that they’ll say anything while pumping double 
MAX, and hope you don’t notice.

Take everything before the NFP numbers, and everything 30 minutes directly 
after the NFP numbers, and throw it away … noise not worth bothering with 
or commenting on … since then? … 2+ hours in, and gold’s got about a $3 and 
change range, doing nothing but inching higher then slamming lower … “WTF 
is anybody supposed to do with this”? … it’s not a rhetorical question. Gold is 
very slowly working higher, and unless you want to bite off “bigly & yuge” risk, 
your only choice here is to position it and pray like hell the bullion dealers can’t 
tank it … knowing bullion dealers the way I do, I don’t think you want to take 
that bet … better to wait for them to tank it, which they surely will, not chase 
price, and get price you want instead of what they give you.

Afternoon in New York, and while gold remains relatively strong, price action is 
terrible … there is no volumes clearing, price gaps on the M1 from close to open 
the next minute, and liquidity is non existent … if you had to go in and either 
buy or sell a lot of gold, you have my well wishes and prayers. “To be blunt, there 
isn’t anything here … there’s no there there … maybe you can make pennies, but 
you’re risking dollars … in other words a typical NFP Friday, where after 
cleaning out orders on bullshit mystery ticks and gaps higher/lower, the market 
dies and traders hit the exit gate … out the door for the weekend”. Assuming the 
afternoon is going to be worse than the morning post NFP, I’m not at all 
interested in hanging around and playing with dealers.

No trades in the PAMM today, nor in the C2 options signal advisory.

Our C2 options advisory still has bullish positions on in gold, that I put on in 
mid November, and that are working well … I’d like to see some kind of break 
in gold on a “washout”, so I can take advantage of theta decay over the 
Holidays, and a greater appreciation of the gold price into 2019 … when we get 
it, I’ll do more positions in GLD … until then, why enter bullish positions 
unless you get a pullback?

I wrote yesterday about crude oil … I’ll have more in the update blog on 
Sunday. Today is/was a waste in gold … typical Friday, regardless the NFP, 
where there isn’t much interest … after the NFP garbage, not even a $4 range 
from the tips … extremely pathetic trading action … I would say, though, that 
gold is supported at lower levels by the markets perception of a turn in interest 
rates and the end of the hiking cycle the FED is currently on … the market 
now, isn’t even expecting but a 12 bps. hike in rates in all of 2019, and is 
looking for lower rates in 2020 … this is a far cry from the FED’s “dot plot” of 
3 or even 4, 25 bps. rate hikes by the end of 2019 … unless that somehow 
changes in the weeks and months ahead, I don’t see gold getting significantly 
weaker in price.

I’m outta here early today … I can’t take watching the paint dry on the wall, 
with zero going on … whatever gold wants to do, it's gonna do it without me 
... until Sunday mia amigos … Onward & Upward!!
 
Have a great day everybody!!

-vegas

OUR TURNKEY FOREX “PAMM/MAM” IS OPEN AND
OPERATIONAL, AS WELL AS OUR C2 OPTIONS ADVISORY 
SERVICE.  DETAILS IN “DOWNLOAD LINKS” SECTION IN 
RIGHT HAND COLUMN. START YOUR JOURNEY FROM 
WHERE YOU ARE AT TO “ESCAPE TO SUCCESS”!