THE FIRST CASUALTY OF WAR IS THE TRUTH

 

“Are you a wanted fugitive of the “thought police”? … liberalism is a disease!!?”

I’m old enough to remember when the “fourth estate” [that would be the MSM for

you dumbed down Biden voters] held truth to power and went after government

corruption, malfeasance, and pure stupidity … now, all we have is propaganda

bundled up as North Korean news, whose only job is to try and make you think

everything government does is just dandy and for your own best interest … when

the press eventually sides with government in taking away all of your freedoms,

cuz that’s the real objective here, it’ll be too late to do anything about it … but by

all means, keep voting for idiot Libtards, who not only hate you cuz you’re a

“rube” and can’t be trusted to “think right”, but you’re dumb enough to keep

voting for them so they know you’re stupid and will accept anything, no matter

how dumb it is or against your own beneficial interest.

“Every hour that goes by, and another bank doesn’t go under, is a “victory” for

stocks!” … I read this yesterday and couldn’t stop laughing for about an hour

… that’s the “official” mantra now being floated by the Goebbels Institute arm of

Biden Communists who implore you not to make things worse by making their

boss look like an idiot … NEWS FLASH: “Biden doesn’t need any help to look

like an idiot.”

Can you spare $54 billion? … I just need a small favor for a while, as my

“Sugar Daddy” [that would be Saudi Arabia investors] has decided to cut me off

and not give me a further advance on my allowance … can you believe that?

…thank goodness the SNB [Swiss National Bank] turned the CNTRL-P machine

on and pumped up a small but helpful token of appreciation … I mean, you know,

I can pick up $54 billion practically anywhere, but it’s nice to have “friends” in

high places … “SO!, EVERYTHING IS FINE NOW!” … [Bwahahaha!] … so here’s

what the corrupt SNB did for Credit Suisse [CS] … financial “scumbaggery &

fuckery” taken to new heights … it “loaned” them money to buy back their

deeply discounted bonds on the open market at pennies on the dollar, and retired

the bonds at “par” on their books, thus generating instant & immediate profit

that they now call “capital” … voila!, instant capital! … what a fucking joke.

Sadly, that’s the answer all of the Elitists around the globe buy into … throw

massive amounts of CNTRL-P money into any problem and hope beyond hope it

goes away … well, at least until you’re no longer an Apparatchik and the mob

can’t blame you any longer … by the time SHTF, you’re comfortably parked in

that corner office of Squid or JPM with a 7 digit “consulting fee salary” giving 10

minute speeches at company sponsored chicken dinners for the sales force

… cuz if there’s one thing you can absolutely count on, it’s this … at some point

in the future, whoever is responsible for floating a corrupt, inefficient, negligent,

and wasteful bank named CS the largesse it needed to not go under [and it still

may], will end up in said corner office hitting it big cuz of the “quid pro quo”

.,, nobody will report on it, and nobody will remember … except me, I know

exactly how this shit works!

This is exactly what gold, and especially Bitcoin, seek to remedy … take fiat out

of the hands of the corrupt POLS, who create inflation and destroy wealth for

short term political & personal gain, and allow nobody to manipulate

counterparty risk cuz there ain’t none! … this truth is like showing Dracula the

cross, and throwing him a clove of garlic at the same time … POLS &

Apparatchiks shriek in horror at the thought.

Well, it’s sunrise in New York, and cuz no banks have gone under since Europe

opened, “everything is fine now!” and “Stock Bellies” can rally so that the

trading arms of the still solvent banks can offload shit they bought from those

that panicked in the selloff, and folks can “sell low buy high” as the natural

course of events … rinse, repeat, this is how the “Stock Bellies” game is played,

and if the banks get in trouble, they just make a call to the appropriate central

bank, and not coincidentally some Apparatchik is suddenly at a microphone

and it’s “elevator up” time once again.

I am “tweaking” the v2.1 algorithm parameters, as the trading universe we now

trade in, that didn’t exist 10 days ago but does now and into the future, is now

moving markets at FASTER THAN the “speed of light”, rendering too many

buy/sell signals obsolete … “it’s there, and then it’s gone” … it’s always moved

fast, but if anything the latest world financial crisis developments highlight in

spades the value of “rumors” & bullshit Wall Street is infamous for … “trade first,

get details second … remembering, the he who panics first gets to panic again

later!” … this shit isn’t gonna stop, and is only gonna get worse … and the 2

main beneficiaries of this are gold & USDJPY … on the m5 HAS Indicator, change

the MA period to “2” … on the m1 HAS indicator, change the MA period to “4”

… this keeps the ratio of m5 to m1 at roughly 5:1, versus 4 something to 1 before,

but more importantly makes the signals a Helluva lot faster than before … when I

developed the algo, before the latest “crisis”, I didn’t think I needed to be this fast

cuz in a slower market environment “false positives” may sneak in … I don’t think

“slow” is something markets are gonna have to deal with again

… maybe occasionally, but not consistently … the world has forever changed.

Turning to today’s “Slots-O-Fun” inside the casino, never … I MEAN NEVER

… underestimate the ability of government to change the rules or alter the

playing field to make sure 1) banks make money so the “skim” keeps coming,

and 2) specs will get SCREWED ROYALLY following common sense trading, and

taking positions based on news headlines … and BINGO!, BANGO!, BOOM!, just

like that the approved government whores at JPM line up to “save” Republic

Bank from their $25 Billion capital hole … see my shocked face … and gold goes

“tapioca” faster than Biden’s brain not working … first you pull in all the

“Chumps”, then you take their money … nice work if you can get it.

Before that, Miss Gimpy got skewered on a gold fill, and I got to listen to her

scream, B.I. Itch, complain, and B.I. Itch some more dealing with Coinexx

… gold today simply a nightmare … panic up / panic down / “V” shaped bottoms

/ inverted “V” shape tops /// and the slippage simply awful … seriously, these

Asshats should be indicted, but tell me something I don’t already know? … I

think it’s pretty clear that, although it’s a new trading universe we’re in now, gold

isn’t the trading vehicle it appears … USDJPY a vastly superior scalping / short

term pair to trade, and the dynamics of the trade are pretty clear cut … 1) moves

in close correlation most of the time with the direction of yield in the 2 YR.

Treasury Note [direction, not range of PIPS] … 2)  if that’s the day’s game plan,

then “risk on / risk off” [RORO} takes over and moves in the “Spoos” will guide

YEN … gold shares some of this, but has a vastly different dynamic, even though

USDJPY & GOLD correlate well … just after the London Fix, I’ve switched my

primary focus to USDJPY … gold of course will remain in my crosshairs, but to

get me to trade it I’m gonna need to see excellent setups from the algorithm … for

every 20 we get from USDJPY, maybe gold gives you 1… without the slippage and

other associated horseshit LP’s are famous for … I’m not trying to play

“Whack-A-Mole” with the MT4, I’m just attempting to find the BEST pair that gives

us what we want from trading via the algorithm on a CONSISTENT basis … sure,

like I’ve said, there isn’t anything traded that rates 10 out of 10 … everything has

warts & blemishes, but nothing pisses me off more than slippage, and gold is

right at the top of that list.

How about a DOUBLE REVERSAL WITH HUGE RANGE for the day? … sure, why

not? … USDJPY giving out FREE plutonium balls … no need to jump out the

window, just take the lid off and wait 20 minutes … but from a short term trading

perspective, it’s hard to argue that USDJPY isn’t the best trading vehicle … I

thought gold was just as good … I thought wrong, and today proves it … of

course, since I switch over to USDJPY, it goes on a 3 hour straight up [off the m5]

blitzkrieg cuz JPM and others are saving Republic … short rates immediately

climb, “Stock Bellies” soar on the news that the world isn’t gonna end, and

USDJPY takes off and never looks back … well OK, tomorrow is another day, and

the way things now trade, every day is it’s own bull / bear market so tomorrow

could be vastly different. 

One thing for sure, though, is that the version 2.1 algorithm models short term

price behavior better than anything I’ve ever developed or created … and the

more bat shit crazy [BSC] a market becomes, the better the modeling

performance … all that’s needed is tight spread and as little slippage as possible

… gold sometimes fits that bill, but too many times doesn’t … USDJPY, unless

the BOJ is intervening, almost always is OK … no trades for the PAMM today

… gold completely “squirrely” the entire day, and conditions there not anywhere

ideal … any questions, ask MIss Gimpy … I’m gonna try and trade the first part

of the Asian session tonight, and if YEN moves I’ll do some algorithm trades if

appropriate … then attack it again near the European open going forward … I

think this will give us MAX flexibility and profit potential … quite frankly,

USDJPY never sleeps any longer, it’s always doing something and being

squeezed … the world seems to demand it! … onto tomorrow!

… OUTTA HERE … “The future’s so bright I need 2 pairs of sunglasses 😎😎,

and my own Brinks armored truck” 💓!! … Onward & Upward!! 

-vegas

THE TRADING WORLD IS SCREECHING TO A HALT

 

“Dear Manipulators: GOOD always triumphs over EVIL!!”

Oh boy, another fun filled Friday at the casino … and the world is catching on to

the fact the entire shitshow circus of U.S. trading is the only thing that matters,

and why trade “off hours”? … after the U.S. opens for money laundering &

corruption, just wait 30 minutes for the 0DTE jockeys to whipsaw markets and

whether you’re buying or selling you’ll get your price without worry … today’s

OVER / UNDER for reversals is 1 ½ … mostly cuz it’s Friday, and once the skim is

set, more than likely people head for the exits … but who knows, cuz there’s

always plenty of participants that never want the game to end, and will scam the

system right up to the closing bell … “how come “Stock Bellies” and “Stonks”

aren’t open on Saturday?”

And it isn't just in indices or shares, cuz if you bother to look, everything on the

board is going to the shitter overnight from lack of trading activity … gold and

crude oil VIX being ruthlessly savaged lower, and by the looks of FX the last few

days, nobody seems to give a shit up & until some POL or Apparatchik says

something off the official narrative & consensus and surprises a market … then

it’ll move “el quicko mucho” before it dies again … trading? … WTF is that? … the

sun coming up in New York, and ranges for the FX majors so low, you wonder if

the entire space wouldn’t be better served at the morgue … quite frankly, the

financial sphere is only mirroring western societal collapse on every front

… moral decay, the complete loss of the rule of law, the rise of authoritarianism,

etc. … you could go down the list for another 30 minutes, but the important thing

to remember is markets are not immune to despotic behavior and the

consequences that follow from it … a great article over on ZH today, making this

point in spades, the link directly below.

https://www.zerohedge.com/geopolitical/von-greyerz-prepare-10-years-

destruction

Here’s the money chart that sums financial conditions up rather well.

click to enlarge

I have been stressing to Miss Gimpy, who a year ago was a “20 something” skull

filled with bullshit, attending university majoring in “nothing”, but who now is a

successful trader making money and can’t believe she was so stupid for buying

into the bullshit, that to take part of your earnings and BUY PHYSICAL GOLD

[1/10 OZ COINS MY FAVORITE], and keep it forever until you’re “old & gray”

… that would be like 50 years from now … in other words, “STACK!” … take

physical possession of an amount you feel comfortable holding and that can get

you out of the clutches of government if SHTF, to escape to someplace safe & free. 

Keep the rest at an online bullion house with integrity, honesty, accountability,

and oversight, in a country that makes sense and isn’t beholden to the

Corruptocrats in the U.S. … at present, my recommendation is Bullion Star,

located in Singapore [the link in the right hand column]  … cuz at some point,

you can count on the fact that the bankrupt U.S. will attempt to confiscate

personal wealth … “it’s better to be 10 years too early, than 1 day too late!”

About 2 hours to go to the criminal NYSE open, and GBPJPY has a 51 PIP range

… WTF is this!? … all you can do is laugh at this shit … I highlighted yesterday

the logic pitfalls of trading when you have a very small range … and by any

definition, this is pitiful … “Stock Bellies” woke up a little yesterday on fake news

from a FED PIE HOLE that maybe this summer would see a pause in rate hikes

… that’s not what he said, but who cares? … the 0DTE options jockeys took over,

and bought calls, sold puts, and away we go to the upside cuz the dealer

community [scumbag banks like JPM, Squid, Citibank, etc.] who took the other

side were forced to delta & gamma hedge as the day proceeded to the close

… understand, they have no choice in the matter but to buy, buy, and buy some

more to hedge exposure … and in this day and age of anything can & will happen,

inside “The Twilight Zone”, the first rule of trading kicks in …and that rule is

simple … “the first rats to puke & panic and jump ship cuz it’s on fire and sinking,

get to panic again later! … the “deer in headlights” traders get carried out on a

stretcher … if you want to keep your job as a bank trader, which do you do?”

SP PMI’s and ISM numbers coming out at 9:45 AM EST and 10 AM EST,

respectively today … both will set the tone for traders, especially in the bond

market, and whether or not the 10 YR. Treasury stays above 4% and keeps going

higher, or whether the numbers are soft enough versus expectations to see them

go below 4% … all of this of course, in the context of next Friday’s most

important jobs number EVAHHHHHHH! … trust government numbers?

… Bwahahaha! … what a circus shitshow.

Now into the New York afternoon, words escape me … looking at Cable/Yen with

a 56 PIP range for the entire day, I mean whaddya do with this shit? … it isn’t that

the algorithm signals don’t work, cuz they do … it’s the fact nothing is going

anywhere … am I supposed to make a trade, hang onto it for who knows how

long, and then liquidate with a fraction of a PIP gain or loss? … if I’m lucky maybe

I can squeak out a few PIPS, but is this the kind of trade I’m looking for?

… Hell no! … forget 90 PIPS, it can’t even get to frickin’ 60 PIPS!, with a 20 Day

Range MA of 165 PIPS … 67% in the hole, which is unreal, and quite frankly I

didn’t think it was possible given its value this week at 165 PIPS … I’m only

laughing cuz it’s better than crying … meanwhile, “Stock Bellies” rallying like

there’s no tomorrow, cuz why not? … all that matters is 0DTE positioning, and

since the world didn’t end with today’s release of “who cares” numbers, and

Biden hasn’t gotten us into WWIII while chuckling about fentanyl deaths from

grieving mothers, it’s all bullish … can it correct and trade some? … Hell no, in

the bubble penny stocks of the mighty tech NDX100, it’s straight up the fucking

wall, right along with the “tulip bulbs” over in the DOW30 … close your eyes and

buy Mortimer, BUY! 

And so here we are, another day of move to the high, turn and move to the low,

rinse / repeat … you simply can’t make the assumption that range is gonna

expand, UNTIL IT DOES … and when it does, at least FX markets trade … can’t

say the same with “Stock Bellies”, cuz over in that arena the “tail wags the dog”

with 0DTE options the driving force behind practically every move price makes

… in the meantime, close-to-close VIX dropping faster than Biden’s brain working,

and market moving up/down shenanigans thanks to 0DTE seeing higher intra day

VIX, all inside shit ranges … with the exception of the tech bubble NDX100, which

is moving nicely … but the DOW30 & the SP500, to put it nicely, ain’t doin’ shit!

… ranges dropping “el quicko mucho”!

An attempt this afternoon, over on ZH by some of the Wall Street crowd,

defending the use of 0DTE options … since about 90% of them always expire

worthless with dealers the primary sellers of premium to large buyers of put/calls

and or straddles, WTF did you expect the thieves over at JPM et al to say? … sure,

go ahead, try and convince me it’s “all good for the marketplace” … what a crock

of self serving bullshit … see for yourself at the link below.

https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/forget-volmageddon-0dte-add-noise-

untradable-mess-not-driving-downside-risk

Like I said earlier, I’m at a loss for words describing GBPJPY and its inability to

move over the last 2 days … price action wicked & choppy with ZERO trend

… just a little up, then a little down, rinse & repeat … neither Cable or YEN doing

much, and even if they do move a hair, they’re moving in the same direction … if

this pair continues to stall, I’ll move over to USDJPY … I’m not gonna sit here and

watch the cross die on the vine … USDJPY has settled down from its bat shit

crazy [BSC] price moves from 2022 … still has decent VIX, as measured by its 20

Day Range MA, currently at approximately 132 PIPS, but more importantly

maintains about 80% of that range in the European session open to the London

Fix … that gives us about 100 PIPS to work with, which for the v2.1 trading

algorithm is plenty … since we’re on the VPS platform, and not at Turnkey any

longer, I haven’t had any problems with fills or latency in FX … Yen over at

Turnkey was a nightmare … Coinexx appears to have gotten their shit together, at

least in FX … [now work on your CFD’s!] … come Monday, I’ll make the switch

and trade USDJPY … Cable/Yen can wallow in its own bath water.

From the looks of things, over in “Stock Bellies” the NDX100 is getting the

volume and the moves … the DOW30 risk / reward simply stinks given its range

… whether that’s due to 0DTE or other factors I dunno, but quite frankly I could

care less why, only that it does … if USDJPY dies on the vine come the NYSE

open, or later towards the London fix 90 minutes later, I’ll easily make the switch

and trade the NDX100 … both markets are not mutually exclusive to each other,

but I’d have to say USDJPY has a better chance of sleeping than the NDX100

… but who cares? … numbers on a screen … “JUST FRICKIN’ MOVE WILL YA!?”

Again, no trades for the PAMM today, as I waited patiently for Cable / Yen to move

… it didn’t … and now I got a second coat of aqua toenails, and I had to put

another few bucks into the swear jar as my neck veins exploded … blog update

on Sunday.

… OUTTA HERE … “The future’s so bright I need 2 pairs of sunglasses 😎😎,

and my own Brinks armored truck” 💓!! … Onward & Upward!! 

-vegas