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Friday, September 22, 2023

ETHEREUM SCALP TRADING DYNAMICS … PART 3


“Trading successfully is “learned behavior” … ain’t nobody born with it!!”




You always have to ask the following question when trading at any brokerage

house … “how does this place make its money, and from whom?” … nobody is

there to give shit away, and nobody works for free … we all know how places like

Coinexx makes its money, which is through “bid / offer variable game bullshit”

AND slippage, which they split in some kind of arrangement with their lead

broker … it ain’t from commissions cuz they are very tiny … in addition, since

they’ve gone the HFT route for LP’s in markets like gold & crude oil, more than

likely they get paid from the HFT for customer information in the millions of

dollars … that’s how they get paid.


Over at IQCENT, from the FX & CFD side of their operations, ignoring their

binary options operations, they aren’t giving anything away either … so with

the lowest total cost to trade in crypto [BTC, ETH, DOGE, & XRP] and EURUSD

that you’ll find anywhere, how do they make dinero? … they do it through

excess volatility [VIX] on moves up/down, and split the true price from your fill

against their hedge with the LP … e.g., you buy ETHUSDT on an up spike and

get filled 15 cents higher than the normal “basis” spread found at Phemex or

Binance, or maybe even with the group of LP’s that Coinexx uses … first

problem is that you bought the up spike which guarantees a shit fill, just like

every other house in existence cuz they ain’t your friend … they’ll take that

extra 15 cents and spilt it between the LP and the house … do this all day,

every day, hundreds of thousands of times, and what appears meaningless

to you IS BIG BUCKS TO THE HOUSE & LP! … that’s how they make their

money.


And from where I’m sittin’, that “volatility tax” amounts to about 1.2X - 1.3X

higher VIX at IQCENT … now, if your entry is correct, this is highly beneficial

cuz it means you’re gonna get a bonus on liquidation by that “Vix tax” … if

your entry sucked, YOU PAY THE TAX! … it’s as simple as that! … and this

applies to the other crypto pairs if you prefer to trade them, or EURUSD if you

prefer to trade traditional FX … you’re either the statute or the pigeon, so be the

pigeon! … this is the essence of what it means to be a scalper in the traditional

sense of being a “floor trader” … costs are meaningless, and it’s like standing

at an ATM and taking money when done right! … so, before you go wading into

any of the crypto pairs or EURUSD, do very small orders to get your bearings

and trade timing down to an “art” … what you make is not the issue here and

nobody cares about your 7 cent profit or loss on some trade … what the issue

is, IS PROFITABLE TRADING THROUGH DISCIPLINE & PATIENCE, AND

RINGING THE REGISTER! … rinse / repeat … “If you can make $1, you can

make 1 million MOAR!”


Clear your head for a second and ponder this … is not scalping as I’ve

described it in part 1 & part 2, a “quasi form of binary options trading”!? … a

tiny bit of more risk, but more potential gain as well … very short term, and no

attempting to beat the “AI computer system” that defeats collective specs over

5s, 15s, or 30s in OTC binary options … and the ability to exit the trade and not

be forced to wait for expiration, where 1 second before it expires it either goes

lower against your “buy”, or if you’re short it goes higher right before

expiration … either way you lose … it’s a highly rigged game, especially at the

short end of 5s expirations … but when you scalp, you avoid all of this

… especially in crypto this is the case, but I’m not so sure if you’re trading

EURUSD, where IMHO risk is higher than imagined or desired … what it comes

down to is basically “buy the dip, sell the RIP!” … and for decades this is what

Locals on the trading floor did to make 6 digits a year or more, without

worrying about where anything went up/down from day-to-day, and could

have cared less if it “went to ZERO” or went to the moon … in other words,

“trade it, don’t date it!” … all I give a shit about is making dinero RIGHT

NOW, and the quicker the better … now rinse / repeat … what a great life it

was! … and then technology and fucking scumbag banks messed it all up,

and inserted themselves into every trade being done … but, the upside to

all of this, is that it’s available to everybody cuz the banks think your money

is actually their money, and since your a Doofus Newbie who doesn’t know

Mr. Jack “Diddly” Squat, it won’t take much time for that money to find its

rightful owner [which ain’t you!] … this is why people paid hundreds of

thousands of dollars to stand in a trading pit!


I will also mention, that IMHO after watching ETHUSDT closely now for weeks,

that there is a definite bullish bias to the trade at IQCENT … way more often

than not, the basis between Coinexx and IQCENT is on the “+” side of the

equation as it relates to price differentials, and quite often we see the basis

expand very quickly to the approximate +$1 level IQCENT OVER COINEXX

… either traders getting long or panicking shorts, who really cares which, tend

to favor this differential … keep this in mind if you plan on trading ETHUSDT

from the short side … in addition, don’t sell the other crypto pairs short in

terms of trading volumes, liquidity, and/or moves up/down … both DOGE [Doge

Coin] & XRP [Ripple] have decent ranges, plenty of “Trend Vix”, and just as

many opportunities as either BTC or ETH … it simply comes down to what

you’re comfortable with as a trader and whether or not a particular crypto pair

fits well with your style of scalping … if I’m a Newbie and don’t know which to

trade, I’d deposit a small amount of money via crypto, trade very tiny [almost

meaningless] volume sizes, and try all of them to see which you like best

… forget cuz who cares whether or not you make / lose a penny … the point is

to become profitable via “buy at 1 sell at 2” or “sell at 2 buy at 1”, and the

ability to train yourself given my instructions and guidance, and then doing

it to convince yourself you have the ability … OK, so just do it!


And if the crypto pair you’re trading goes extraordinarily slow, switch over to

EURUSD, where although somewhat riskier, the volume amounts and very high

leverage can make a “bigly & yuge” difference in your bottom line … again, it

depends on your risk profile … although IMHO crypto is better overall, when

EURUSD has any movement whatsoever, it’s right there with crypto for scalping

… if you follow the VIDYA & STOCHASTICS, and the rules I’ve laid out, anybody

will be fine trading EURUSD, unless it gets ridiculously slow and choppy … and

just like in the crypto pairs, you have to watch carefully the “basis” between

IQCENT EURUSD AND either a ZERO SPREAD PLATFORM LIKE FUSION

MARKETS, OR COINEXX IN EURUSD … often times this “basis” can swing

wildly, and you need to know what’s normal and what isn’t, what’s a great place

to get in [long / short / liquidation], and where you’re gonna get ripped off for

your scalp … this isn’t “sit on the beach and sip margaritas & watch the money

roll in”, this requires discipline & patience while you’re sitting there at your

screen to trade … if this somehow bores you, then go work for a living, and

let me know how much you like that … “if it was all as easy as the YouTube

Grifters make it out to be, your Uncle Eddy would already be doing it!”


I could just as easily have named this 3 part series using EURUSD instead of

ETHUSDT … cuz when EURUSD moves at all, with a 0.1 or 0.2 bid/offer spread

and no commissions, it’s like picking up [name your denomination!] bills up

off the ground while you’re walking … just like the trading floor! … and it’s far

cheaper with no commute! … and from my experiences with IQCENT, there has

been ZERO slippage off of EURUSD trades, something Coinexx could learn

from but obviously don’t … even the “1 lot Pond Scum traders” from yesteryear

could stand there for 6 - 7 hours and pick up $20 bills off the floor all day long

… some of these guys could trade 400 - 500 times in that period … not

suggesting you do that, just explaining what people can do when properly

motivated, disciplined / patient, & somewhat very aggressive … and you can’t

do it when costs are too “Hoover Dam” high and/or you have slippage that

kills you … this is why it’s important to understand how the house makes their

money … I much prefer the approach IQCENT takes, cuz slightly greater VIX

on moves is to your benefit if you trade right … and if you don’t trade right,

they will gladly take your money every time you click a button on that order

ticket box … GUARANTEED! … and quite frankly, that’s better than screwing

everybody with horseshit “variable spread games” & slippage any day of the

week!


And if you’re sitting out there and reading this and can’t decide which market to

trade, it’s a pretty easy formula … 1) pick the cheapest LOWEST cost to trade

cuz it puts money in your pocket, and 2) it has to be moving up/down, preferably

like its pants are on fire … one-way straight shots ain’t gonna do a scalper any

good, cuz it doesn’t create the opportunity you need to make trades … and

currently, any of the 4 crypto pairs I’ve mentioned fit the bill along with

EURUSD … THAT’S IT … there, I solved it for you! … you’re welcome!


Turning to today’s “Slots-A-Rama” bullshit, inside the world’s largest rigged

casino, even with rates going slightly lower, a FED PIE HOLE pisses all over

risk on with another “higher for longer” quip, and on a Friday that means get

out of Dodge City and leave everything alone … crypto must have taken a

sleeping pill or something … gold, dead up & until rates can actually move

lower, and EURUSD goes on the yo-yo “Flying Wedge of Death” [FWD] ride

inside another pathetic range … although, up to the London Fix, it was trading

rather well, even with a shit range … good for scalping only, not so good for

everybody else … again, trying to trade gold and I feel like the treasure hunter

who comes up empty with bags of sand … ranges simply awful despite decent

bid/offer spread, and the trading action very lackluster … didn’t even get a $10

range for the entire day … no trades for the PAMM, not for lack of effort or

desire, simply cuz there’s nothing to do with a market that is asleep at the

switch for the moment …over at IQCENT, some early ETHUSDT trades, and

when that died on the vine when the sun came up in New York, multiple trades

in EURUSD, and we’re UP APPROXIMATELY  0.3% on light volumes … as I said,

although the session range sucked, good up/down action for scalps based on

VIDYA & STOCHASTICS … be back for the Sunday blog update … until then.


… OUTTA HERE … “The future’s so bright I need 2 pairs of sunglasses 😎😎,

and my own Brinks armored truck” 💓!! … Onward & Upward!!


-vegas


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