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Sunday, September 10, 2023

SUNDAY UPDATE: CHANGE ALWAYS COMES IN SILENCE

 

“They think we don’t notice! … Ohhhhhh, but we do!!”

Longtime readers know that for weeks / months / years, I’ve been screaming at

houses like, first Turnkey when they were around, and then Coinexx for the last

couple of years, to do something / anything with these Asshole liquidity

providers [LP’s], and force them to offer us “fair & honest” markets via their

bid / offer quotes, and when they won’t listen, get rid of them faster than a bad

rash … and for what seems like forever, every phone call with management

types, every email I send ends up in the “junk mail” box … with what I imagine

comes with haughty laughter and giggles aplenty.


Just as an example, let’s look at XAUUSD, run by the criminal, mob style RICO

syndicate known as the LBMA [London Bullion Market Association] … tied at the

hip with the BIS [Bank of International Settlements, the central bank of central

bankers] & the equally criminal enterprise known as the COMEX [gold futures],

you’re looking historically at one of the worst markets on the planet for

“spoofing”, front running of orders, and criminal behavior in filling stops [buy

stops as well as sell stops] … and for those doubters out there, just go look up

all the recent court cases, both civil & criminal, and then get back to me.


There is absolutely no excuse to run a market like XAUUSD [Spot Gold] with an

approximate 30 cent bid / offer spread [often times MOAR!] … throw in

horrendous slippage on fills [DUH!, market conditions, DUH!] and the criminal

butchering of stops, and until recently trading this market is worse than putting

money into a slot machine at a bar … “they rob you blind on winning trades,

and pour salt in your stab wound on losing trades and take MOAR!” … if you

think this market is run “fairly & honestly” with these conditions, you got a

screw loose!


And I’ve been screaming at them forever to do what’s necessary to change

things, not only in gold but crude oil & “Stock Bellies” as well … and quite

frankly, it’s been “crickets” from them, where if you can get them to talk to you

they’ll tell you they’re just the middleman brokerage house and have nothing to

do with spreads, how they’re set or established, and everything is out of their

hands … oh really? … OK, so why don’t you tell them to “shape up or ship out”

cuz your customers are getting hosed? … and then get new LP’s … digging

deeper you find out there most definitely exists what’s known as an “LP Club”,

and those brokerage houses that don’t toe the line and support the scumbag

LP’s, will find themselves as a brokerage house with no LP’s, as they refuse to

give you service to their proprietary platforms … now, it should make perfect

sense to anybody wondering why all of the houses don’t give a shit about your

rotten fills or how bad you think you got screwed.


So why do the scumbag banks even need a brokerage house middleman?

… EASY PEEZEE: "They’re there to deal with customer bullshit the bank doesn’t

want to deal with” … and for that they get a piece of the spread / slippage /

commissions [if any] pie … the bank wants complete anonymity, secrecy, privacy,

and nothing to do with the trading customer … and maybe if you’re a big enough

volume trader at “House A”, and the accounts manager sees the “mugging /

robbery / rape” of your fill, he/she might throw you a bone and either rebate a

part of the loss or give some free commission trades to try and mollify you, so

you’re not as pissed off as before, and give the impression they “care” … trust

me, they don’t!


The other day, I get to my screens and Miss Gimpy is already up & trading

… and she says to me, “hey, look at gold and the spread at Coinexx” … my first

thought was, “where have these Assholes blown the spread out to now? … and

I’m mildly surprised to see the bid/offer spread in gold at 5 - 7 cents [RT

commission of about 2 cents per OZ. at Coinexx], where not insignificantly it

held the entire day … she decides to call them and ask if they got a new  LP or

group of LP’s in gold … and of course, their comment is “NO, nothing has

changed.”


Why do I say “of course”? … cuz offshore brokerage houses WILL NEVER EVER

EXPLAIN ANYTHING REGARDING THEIR OPERATIONS, THEIR MARKETS, THE

LP’S THEY USE OR DON’T USE OR WHY THEY USE THEM, OR ANYTHING

RELATING TO TRADING IN GENERAL … now STFU and get back to trading!

… you will never find out from them who filled your order, or why exactly it’s off

the market, other than the “standard operating procedure” [SOP] comment of

“DUH!, market conditions, DUH! … they will NEVER EVER SAY ANYTHING IN

CHAT OR IN AN EMAIL THAT GIVES THE SLIGHTEST HINT AS TO WHAT THEY

ARE DOING OR HOW THEY ARE DOING IT, AND/OR NOT DOING … AND THEY

OPERATE THIS WAY, CUZ THEY NEVER KNOW WHERE THAT NEXT LAWSUIT IS

GOING TO COME FROM!


Quite frankly, I know COINEXX, LIKE EVERY OTHER BROKERAGE HOUSE, is a

bunch of LIARS, HYPOCRITES, AND COMPLICIT WITH THE THIEVING LP’S

THEY USE FOR FILLING ORDERS, SIMPLY CUZ ALL OF THE OFFSHORE ONES

GET KICKBACKS FROM THE BANKS AND/OR HFT’S … so of course, Coinexx is

never going to let anybody know that they have replaced that scumbag bank LP

in gold, who is a member of the LBMA [probably JPM or BofA], and replaced

them with a multi TRILLION DOLLAR HFT [e.g., Black Rock, Citadel, or maybe

Virtu] … and if I had to bet, I’d bet that the HFT is also paying Coinexx for

customer trading information, to the tune of tens of millions of dollars, to know

all of the gory details of each accounts trading habits, volume sizes, stop levels,

etc., stripped of personal details cuz they don’t care about shit like that … I’ll go

further! … my guess is, is that it’s the same HFT that took over the WTI &

BRENT CFD’S AND MADE THEM 1 - 2 PENNY SPREAD MARKETS … they did

oil first, and in the process showed the house how it’s done … we’re not

supposed to notice, BUT WE DID! … now comes gold and silver, and the LBMA

thieves are out the door!


But, we ain't ever gonna know “officially” this is what happened, cuz nothing is

ever divulged to the public … nothing! … and the main reason I think this is the

most likely scenario, rather than the LBMA just trying to raise revenue by cutting

the spread, is cuz the spread has come in from about 25 - 30 cents to 5 - 7  cents

in one single swoop … LBMA scumbags are greedy fucks and you know it!

… how likely is it they make that gigantic cut from the 25 - 30 cent level to 5 - 7

cent level? … I don’t think so … as an aside, I’ve been screaming at Coinexx

forever about houses like Fusion Markets, where their XAUUSD market has been

at the 5 - 7 cent level for quite a while … I’ve said to Coinexx, “do you think

Fusion is intentionally LOSING MONEY by offering gold at 5 - 7 cent spread?

… are they that fucking stupid? … no, they aren’t! … so why don’t you use their

LP’s and do the same?!!” … why should I pay 30 cent spread when I can pay

6 cents? … you offer me nothing to justify that extra free money! … and if I’m a

decent trader, over the course of a year, that “free money” I’m handing you is

in the THOUSANDS OF DOLLARS! … why can’t you get up off your collective

asses and bring this market to your clients? … well, the answer is money of

course … cuz you got to recognize that under the old regime, they got a piece

of everything, including the thieving slippage from the LBMA scumbag bank

… now, along comes the “win / win” scenario, where the TRILLION DOLLAR

HFT PAYS THEM MILLIONS, AND THEIR CUSTOMERS GET A BETTER

MARKET, which should see higher trading volumes! … even for a complete

dumb ass brokerage house owner operator, what’s not to like about this?


And they can crow about how they’re bringing better trading to clients all they

want, and I get that, but I’m under no illusions it’s anything but they make more

money than before … “Fuck the client”, your money is our money you’re just

holding it for a while before we collect it back from you! … but no doubt, it does

benefit us as potential gold traders, even with gold VIX getting monkey

hammered … they did it first with oil, proving to the house they could & would

deliver the goods … now comes gold & silver … the only thing that could screw

this up, is if the brokerage house comes to the conclusion they’re getting hosed

by the HFT for some reason and cuts the deal off, and we wake up the next day

and spreads are back to 25 - 30 cents in gold … and if that happens, I’ll be the

first one all over management cuz I know it won’t be happening at Fusion

Markets, and stinks of a “bait & switch” marketing scheme dreamt up by some

MBA who can’t trade his/her way out of a wet paper bag … so we’ll see what

transpires here in the coming days / weeks … but this idea nothing has changed

is BULLSHIT!


Speaking of gold given the new spread, directly below first the m15 for Friday’s

trade, and then below that, in succession the m1 from 15:00 server time

[8 AM EST] to 22:30 server time [3:30 PM EST]





click on ANY chart to enlarge

On the m1’s, in the “RSX OF MOMENTUM” oscillator, please notice that I have 4

lines … 75 & 85, and then at the bottom 25 & 15 … this is the smoothed

momentum oscillator that is from 0 - 100, and readings on the top in this 75 - 85

“zone” are telling you price momentum to the upside is getting dangerously

HIGH … likewise, readings at the bottom in the 15 - 25 “zone” are telling you

price momentum to the downside is getting dangerously LOW … in both cases

market reversals are coming! … where we get the real extremes are when price

momentum is above 85 or below 15 … now, you can expect real soon price

reversal, or at a minimum price moving sideways to take away price momentum

… it is not unusual to see this oscillator going up while the price action is going

sideways to down, simply cuz it’s telling you momentum in your price direction

is waning … THIS IS A MOMENTUM OSCILLATOR, NOT A PRICE OSCILLATOR!


My default setting for the “RSX OF MOMENTUM” OSCILLATOR is 7, 7 … that’s

what it’s set at for gold … in most other markets I’ve found the settings at 9,9 to

be more effective … find your specific market and experiment with the settings

you think match up best at tops and bottoms.


For example, in USDJPY from Friday around the NYSE open [16:30 server time,

9:30 AM EST], we see the following for m15 and m1 directly below.




Hopefully, the problems experienced over at IQCENT with their platform are over

… over the weekend, I’ve gotten several emails from management apologizing

profusely, and while nice, just fix the “Hoover Dam” thing and let’s move on

… cuz here’s the deal … when functioning correctly, there is no better place to

trade CRYPTO [BTC, ETH, DOGE, XRP] and the FX pairs EURUSD & USDJPY

… in fact, not just from the perspective of the LOWEST TOTAL COST TO TRADE,

there are SIGNIFICANT OPPORTUNITIES to engage in arbitrage for scalpers

… and for that, due to the nature of the rest of the industry standard regarding

“gas fees” [commissions], where BTCUSDT IS THE PREMIERE TRADING

VEHICLE, the ability to trade and PROFIT while the rest of the trading world is

praying for a $30 move so they can breakeven on their position, means there

are literally MULTIPLE dozens if not hundreds of trades per day in the $10 - $20

scalp range WE CAN MAKE BUT OTHERS CAN’T!


You can scour the internet and research brokerage houses ‘til you’re blue in the

face, you won’t find any better trading deal than what IQCENT delivers in

BTCUSDT … yes, there are some “quirks” you have to learn and bring yourself

up to speed on, otherwise you end up buying high / selling low, so you can’t do

“stupid shit” when trading Bitcoin, but somebody tell me where else you gonna

find A 1 PENNY BID / OFFER SPREAD WITH NO COMMISSIONS? … and not just

in BTC, but in ETH, DOGE, & XRP as well, if you like to trade those … WHERE!?

… and if you’re literally dying to make money from trading, THIS IS THE

MARKET TO GRAVITATE TOWARDS CUZ CONDITIONS SIMPLY CAN’T GET

ANY BETTER!


From a strictly LOWEST COST TO TRADE MAKE MONEY perspective, the crypto

pairs cannot be beaten by any other market … hands down they are the clear

WINNER … doesn’t matter if you love ‘em or hate ‘em, THEY ARE AVAILABLE for

you to trade and profit … granted, the one drawback to the crypto pairs is their

limited leverage of 10:1, and when you get 500:1 marginable leverage with

EURUSD, and 300:1 marginable leverage with USDJPY, and you have the

LOWEST COST TO TRADE IN THE WORLD AVAILABLE TO ANYBODY, if those

pairs can maintain any kind of session VIX, they are as competitive as crypto

… right now EURUSD lags badly and USDJPY is holding its own, but slipping as

intervention fears mount … crude oil at 1 - 2 cent spreads challenges crypto, but

it to doesn’t have much “ooomph” in the VIX category right now, with some days

seeing really bad “Trading Ratios” [TR] and trading action … gold with 5 - 7 cent

spread with a meaningless round turn [RT] commission of about 2 cents per OZ

at Coinexx, can compete with crypto, even with lower VIX that sees ranges under

$15 per trade session … but FX, gold, & crude aren’t open 24/7/365 like crypto,

and given our trading conditions of a 1 penny spread and no commissions, even

when Bitcoin looks and feels like death warmed over with barely a pulse, it still

movies $300 - $500 in a 4 - 6 hour timeframe … you can’t sit there and

“blah blah, yada yada” and talk to me about making money and then tell me,

“oh yea, I hate crypto” for some unknown reason … I’m not your MOM or your

psychiatrist, I’m here to make money, and 1) in case you haven’t noticed I

HATE giving money away for nothing, and 2) I refuse to overpay to trade

anything … why the Hell do you think I paid all that money and commuted all

those years going into and out of Murder, Illinois to trade on the trading

floor? … cuz I liked the place? … Puleeezzzzeeee, gimme a fucking break here,

it was the one and only place to trade at the lowest possible rate and be at the

center of trading action … ain’t no other reason! 


Directly below, the current week’s 20 Day Range MA’s of selected markets … I’ve

updated BTCUSDT, and now include the NY session 12 hour day from

12:00 - 24:00, and show both the “average” and “median”, as like USDJPY we

can often get wild and crazy days that skew the averages … it’s nice to have the

“median” to compare to make sure the data isn’t skewed heavily.


click on table to enlarge

Tomorrow on the blog, I’m gonna spend some more time with gold & Bitcoin

[BTCUSDT] … let’s hope the spread in gold can hold and let’s hope as well

IQCENT got their shit together over the weekend and fed the Gerbils running the

Hamster wheel, so the platform works … big week for data with the CPI fairy tale

bullshit on Wednesday … onto the week! 


… OUTTA HERE … “The future’s so bright I need 2 pairs of sunglasses 😎😎,

and my own Brinks armored truck” 💓!! … Onward & Upward!!


-vegas




















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