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Wednesday, August 9, 2023

USDCNH & CRUDE OIL … LIKE BITCOIN, ONLY BETTER!

 

“If you’re gonna risk your money, make it count for something!!”

Depending on where you trade USDCNH, and where their servers are located, if

you trade at IQCENT their day begins and ends at 8 PM EST … yesterday saw

that daily range of just a hair under 500 PIPS for 8/8/2023 ... IMHO it trades better

than Bitcoin! … I didn’t say it has better “trading conditions”, I said it trades

better … purer moves, and a more consistent daily range above 300+ PIPS … it’s

not gonna be like on one day you got a 400 PIP range, and the next it’s 75 PIPS

… that kind of shit only happens with the European pairs and USDJPY … in many

ways, the correlations of current day USDCNH and 30 - 40 years ago pit traded

futures in Swiss Franc are unbelievably very close … it simply moves and

doesn’t fuck around, and you’ll find coming from trading other FX that the

number of 30 - 40+ PIP moves are many times higher than what you’re used to,

AND it doesn’t take multiple hours to get them! … just one Helluva great pair to

trade IMHO [if the spread is right]!


And it’s not like you’re trading some minor pair nobody has any interest in … this

is by far the fastest growing FX pair on the planet, and in April of 2022 it was the

5th most heavily traded … I got no idea where it is now in terms of FX ranking,

but I’d bet it’s higher and gaining rapidly on the 3 front runner major pairs … and

let’s be honest here, China if it isn’t already will have the largest economy in the

world bypassing the U.S. Banana Republic … it’s the major goods manufacturer in

the supply chain, and I don’t see the world giving up on goods! … and of course,

the state run PBOC banks run the show, but keep in mind they’re superior

capitalists to the Clowns on Wall Street and at the FED … and what happens to

trading activity when USDCNH is gold backed? … what then? … it’s coming.


Meanwhile, over in the fantasy land of brokerage house Dickheads, the question

becomes, “who you gonna believe, your lyin’ eyes or more lies from people who

wouldn’t know the truth if it bit them in the ass?” … I must be gettin’ under

somebody’s skin that matters cuz out-of-the-blue I find myself on a 3-way call late

yesterday afternoon with people who say they’re concerned about the “quality &

care” of the brokerage house experience … well now, ain’t that special?

… cutting to the chase, can you believe anything they say? … I told ‘em I don’t!

… cuz if you’re gonna say it, THEN MAKE IT SO on my screen! … how frickin’

hard is that? … you say I should be seein’ 1 - 2 cent spread in crude oil, then

fucking explain 3 - 5 cents on a day it moves! … you say I should be seein’ a

4 - 4.5 spread in USDCNH, then explain yesterday’s almost ALL DAY spread of

7 - 10 PIPS! 


And before you open your Pie Holes, I already know the standard operating

procedure [SOP] for market wannabes in management that you somehow think

I’ll buy … sorry, I ain’t buyin’ the “DUH!, market conditions, DUH!” basket of warm

horseshit you throw out for every scumbag trick these LP Fucks use to steal

money from accounts … it’s got nothin’ to do with “conditions”, and

EVERYTHING to do with the fact they don’t want to make a market or be liquidity

providers when markets are moving cuz it might mean scalpers are picking them

off for easy profit … and this is bullshit! … Easy peezee, make a legit fucking

market or go home! … so again, today so far, and I’ve been watching it closely,

both oil and USDCNH behaving like they’re supposed to … what’s so different

about today versus yesterday once the news flow was over? … somebody

enlighten me … well, I don’t need to be enlightened, it’s a case of pure greed,

and of course the house doesn’t mind cuz they’re splitting the extra spread split

with the LP … everybody wins except the client [us] … you know, the natural

order of things from their perspective.


And when it’s all said and done, we’re right back to square one having to trust

these Assclowns no matter how much you show ‘em that they are LIARS, and talk

out of both sides of their collective mouths … we don’t have any other choice if

we are gonna trade, and outside of EURUSD, the layer of “variable spread

thieving” is alive and well, and you never know when it’s gonna strike the market

you happen to be trading … yea OK great fellas, the spreads on both oil and

USDCNH are where they are supposed to be … great … now fucking keep ‘em

there! … we’ll see won’t we?


For the PAMM then, it’s pretty much an obvious approach I’m gonna take going

forward with today’s trade … nothing I’d rather trade than crude oil and USDCNH

with the right & proper tight spreads, cuz one or both of ‘em are usually moving

somewhere … and if by chance they both die or Coinexx pulls another “variable

spread SCAM”, I’ll go to “Plan C” which is to trade EURUSD … granted, a lot

depends on LP behavior, but it’s outside of our control to do anything about it

… we either trade or don’t trade, but I’m not gonna pay mafia rates to trade

anything … fugetaboutit!


Turning to today’s “Fun-O-Rama” inside the world’s largest & most corrupt

casino [where’s my free lunch buffet for playing?], news out of the ChiComs on

the inflation front not having much affect … oil inventories come at 10:30 AM EST,

so get ready for that spin of the roulette wheel [spread holding at 1 - 2 cents going

into the NYSE open], and generally “Stock Bellies” took a valium overnight and

are steady and a little higher in a very nervous trade … and for those who have

the SIMPLE FX [live or demo, doesn’t matter] MT4 platform up & running, watch

AAPL & TSLA in the “Stonks” CFD section under “U.S. Equities” for NDX100

clues … the drubbing in Apple especially making people very nervous.


As for oil [WTI and/or Brent, take your pick], it’s no secret the Saudi’s have got

their fingers on the pulse of supply, and now that supreme energy expert Joe

Biden has depleted the U.S. SPR to record low levels, any increase in demand

from the Pacific Rim, and don’t expect them to loosen supply … any guesses

what happens then? … only a worldwide depression will take demand lower, and

IMHO that probability, while out there, is still relatively low for now … that most

likely means a decent floor under price, where it’s a BTFD trading philosophy

going forward until something changes … all I ask for is a fair spread … is that

too much to ask for and expect? … so far today, it’s holding OK, but we’ll see

how things go going into the oil inventories and then after its release.


For its part, USDCNH not doing much since before the sun came up in New York

… will need to see something from “Stock Bellies”, or the market is simply

waiting for tomorrow’s CPI release from the U.S. … that’s the big event risk on the

calendar, now that the ChiComs have released their inflation figures last night

… so, it could be “Dullsville” in USDCNH ‘til tomorrow … but we’ll see, it’s still

early yet … this pair needs to be moving in order to trade it, otherwise you get

stuck in and around the spread, and nobody wants that … and since I’ve been at

the screens, all bottoms in price, and the turn in the UFT oscillator, have been “V”

bottoms straight out of the gate … overnight, all of ‘em were some type of failed

double bottoms … go figure.


Oil inventories come & go, and of course on the release Coinexx LP’s feel the

need for a 20 cent spread … what a fucking joke … however, to their credit,

within 5 minutes it’s back to normal of a 1 - 2 cent spread, so at least for today

so far, they’ve done their job adequately, but the day ain’t over yet so I can’t do

handstands just yet.


Meanwhile over in other markets, the 10 YR. busting 4% on the downside, but

ain’t nobody cheering … tech “Stonks” getting beat up, especially APPL & NVDA,

and the NDX100 can’t rally to save its sorry ass life … somebody somewhere

better get the trillions in China stimulus ready to go, cuz it looks to me the

meltdown in tech “Stonks” is just starting, and any further weakness could really

pick up steam just when you least expect it … things that should rally these

“Stonks” ain’t, and that’s a big fat red flag going up the flag pole of warning!

… EXIT QUESTION: “does a drubbing in tech “Stonks” = any kind of meltdown in

crude oil?” … half an hour ago I wrote the above question … and then APPL,

NVDA, and the NDX100 go over a cliff via “Thelma & Louise” … and natch, crude

oil stumbles from these recent high levels … well, that escalated quickly didn’t it?


NDX100 hits a new low, NVDA gets crushed, then everything reverses … and off

that reversal at the NDX100 bottom, we get a low in crude oil, followed by a failed

double bottom that hits a new low for the move but comes back, and on the

oscillator turn, that’s the buy signal for crude for a scalp … gee, who coulda

possibly seen this coming? … and as the world revolves around the high flying

tech darlings, it’s almost as if every oil trader sees the NDX100 as a proxy for

economic oil demand … cuz what does a meltdown in tech darlings mean if not

economic catastrophe immediately down the road? … now you know why

imports crashing in China ain’t good news for tech “Stonks” … so, when SHTF

in “Stock Bellies”, oil is gonna pay attention!


And cuz I do extensive weekly research looking for houses to trade crude oil, I’ve

found a gem in Australia … Fusion Markets, and not just for crude oil, but also

for gold  … for gold, 10 - 12 cent spread with 5 cent per OZ. round turn

commission, and for margin purposes 500X leverage … this is this easily the best

I’ve seen for XAUUSD … FOR CRUDE OIL [Brent or WTI], a 1.6 cent per bbl

bid/offer spread, no commissions, marginable leverage at 200:1 … this is the best

I’ve seen so far for oil, and it looks like it mirrors front month WTI … they trade

the XTIUSD CFD, and it’s quoted at 3 decimal places … this weekend on the

Sunday blog, I’ll have a bunch of decimal place “vegas mql4 code” for support /

resistance levels with the 4 Risk Models [RM] of volatility, and crude at 3

decimals will be in it.


I want to stress a very important feature of the “Vegas Super Scalper Trading

Algorithm V3” … with the RM =1 & RM =2 already up on your MT4 m1 chart, it’s

easy to see if the slope is “positive” oriented or “negative” oriented … if it’s

positive oriented corrective activity to buy and get long is most likely gonna be

a “V” bottom kind of formation, maybe with a doji or inverted hammer, or simply

a reversal pattern … in any event, this can be bought when the UFT oscillator

turns LIME OVER RED … however, when the RM’s are negatively sloped, it’s a

different story … markets going down are more complicated and usually need

more time to bottom and then come up … not always of course, but most of the

time … I don’t care about missing a profitable trade off a “V’ bottom with the

RM’s negatively sloped, cuz I care more about getting caught in a 1, 2, 3 or even

4 m1 tiny rally and then in a second it collapses and goes lower with a

vengeance … if the RM slopes change, then fine, I’ll cross that bridge when it

happens, but being early to a trade off a down move can be very, very expensive

… cuz remember, there ain’t any rules anymore when it comes to how low any

of these markets can go … they can go a lot lower than you have money in your

account to abandon with “stupid shit” … so, for the PAMM and for

“The Syndicate”, I will most always wait for the failed double bottom …from

today at IQCENT, one of the trades for “The Syndicate” directly below … even

though the Fisher Transform is not the version I use on the MT4, where the

values are smoothed and these aren’t, the crossover happens at the same time

… a bottom, then price comes back about half way and fails to go lower and

then it’s out the top … a nice 20+ PIP scalp in less than 2 minutes.


click on chart to enlarge

Today is Wednesday, and in oil we always have the oil inventories report at 10:30

AM EST, unless it’s a shortened Holiday week with a Monday Holiday and then it

comes on Thursday … it messes up the trading day a little cuz you don’t want a

position through the roulette wheel spin, and the number is usually very volatile

with sigma misses, so a lot of bad shit can happen if you play it … only 1 algo

buy signal I took today in WTI crude oil … PAMM UP SLIGHTLY … spreads held

well at 1 - 2 cents and my fills were good, with no slippage … so far so good, now

keep it that way … over at IQCENT, some trades in Bitcoin and USDCNH and

“The Syndicate” is UP APPROXIMATELY 0.4% … tomorrow sees CPI data at

8:30 AM EST, so that will create some Rock ‘N Roll for sure … onto tomorrow!


…  OUTTA HERE … “The future’s so bright I need 2 pairs of sunglasses 😎😎,

and my own Brinks armored truck” 💓!! … Onward & Upward!! 


-vegas



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