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Tuesday, August 1, 2023

IT’S AUGUST, DOES ANYBODY CARE?

 

“Yes, I’m crude … I’m also light & sweet … so says WTI!!”

Question is after yesterday, can we get any movement at all, or are we stuck in

“chop Hell” until September? …. supply keeps getting squeezed, and demand is

picking up, and the OPEC+ “Thugs & Dictators” [T & D] are doing a pretty good

job of controlling supply … meanwhile, energy expert Joe Biden has allowed the

SPR [Strategic Petroleum Reserve] to get to historic low levels, from which it will

take years if not decades to replenish, so the Banana Republic is vulnerable to

energy shocks … Vampire Squid just upped their year end forecast for crude to

$93 for Brent [currently as I write at ~$85], and those looking for cooling inflation

ain’t gonna find it from the energy sector anytime soon … not that it will dent any

enthusiasm for “Stock Bellies”, cuz they’re in their own universe of delusion.


Gold looks to benefit as well, but the key question remains can the price vault

back over 2K anytime soon? … doesn’t matter that the FED has hundreds of

BILLIONS in losses on the books from shorting gold … CNTRL-P it, and who

cares? … nobody audits them … when does the FED throw in the proverbial

towel? … and while I most definitely believe gold has much higher prices ahead

of it, I’m also a realist who sees massive short manipulation in gold by the FED

Lounge Lizards … prove to me you can move higher! … and then stay there and

move higher still!! … without getting the living shit beat out of you in a fraction

of the time it took you to rally.


NYSE opens & closes, what a money laundering scam … why not just have 10

minutes of trading at 9:30 AM EST and 10 minutes of trading at 3:50 PM EST?

… what’s the point of everything else, other than it’s a complete scumbag LP

bank run scam to fuck order flow? … what’s the point really other than that, cuz

I can’t really see one? … seriously FUBAR in the land of delusional trading

environments.


Then comes the other government scam, the release of so called “economic

reports” … whether from the math whiz kids or from government sponsored and

“in the tank” institutes, who knows what’s real and what’s made up from Fairy

dust? … and just like that, although today’s installment of data came in right as

expected, markets blow up as the 10 YR goes through 4% and currently sits at

4.049%, the high yield of the day … can anything move without either a POL, an

Apparatchik, or some bogus numbers? … I’m beginning to think “NO” … and

when it’s all over, the only thing left after bank front running is the wailing &

gnashing of teeth.


Gold for its part, can’t go anywhere on the upside with a heavy anchor of yields

above 4%+ on the 10 YR … a couple of attempts to go lower below 4% failed, and

since the banks blew up some shorts on the release at 10 AM EST, it’s been

straight down … rallies only coming on some light short covering, and then price

gets blasted again lower … and since there are no rules anymore, gold can go

down to anywhere … literally name a lower price, no matter how unlikely, and yes

it can get there! … without wind at its back, no market goes anywhere! … crude

oil fiddle farting around the 81 level, and trading is lackluster to say the least … a

little up/down, but the trade lacks volume and any kind of sustained interest in

moving anywhere more than 10 -  15 cents … moves are quick & sharp, and

correct even faster … quite frankly, there’s nothing here.


I’m gonna add back USDJPY to the PAMM trade mix, simply cuz it’s the only

market that’s moving … don’t really wanna do this, but then again I don’t want

to sit on my ass throughout the entire month of August either while gold and oil

fuck around a median price and do nothing but chop … high yields weighing on

gold and the resistance is formidable above 1980 … econ data, no matter how

bogus could get oil moving, but it’s gonna have to surprise to the upside to do it

… we’ll see … and outside of the ridiculous “Stock Bellies”, where liquidity is a

big issue cuz there is none, that only really leaves USDJPY for me to look at and

potentially trade … and the last half of the week looks particularly vulnerable to

some big price moves.


Quite frankly, trade conditions in the U.S. session are becoming a total joke

… no trades today, there isn’t anything here to trade … USDJPY about the only

thing keeping active traders alive … other than that, you might as well be

playing baccarat at a casino, you’d have better conditions … tomorrow sees the

fun start for the week … can’t be any worse than this shit now … onto tomorrow. 


 …  OUTTA HERE … “The future’s so bright I need 2 pairs of sunglasses 😎😎,

and my own Brinks armored truck” 💓!! … Onward & Upward!! 


-vegas



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