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Tuesday, March 21, 2023

WHICH MAJOR FIAT GOES TO ZERO FIRST?

 

“It’s only comical if you’re not in it!!”

Gold, and to some extent Bitcoin, are pretty much telling the world that people

have “Zip, Zero, Zilch, & Nada” [what a good name for a law firm] confidence in

fiat paper … since the 2008 financial crisis, it’s been a race to zero for central

banks, based on the idiotic belief that a weak currency helps exports … if that

were true, Zimbabwe would lead the world!


And I got news for the POLS & Apparatchiks at the FED and other central banks

… people are not gonna accept or use your Authoritarian, police state,

government spying app digital currency … go ahead, outlaw Bitcoin and see

what happens next … then outlaw gold [again], and see how many Sheeple line

up to turn it in to government … it’s gonna be a long wait!


And since they all are massively involved in “QE Infinity”, where the CNTRL-P

machine goes “Brrrrrrr” 24/7/365, the $64,000 question becomes, “which one of

these go tapioca first, and when?” … do any of ‘em survive when the Ruskies &

Chicoms make the Ruble & Yuan, respectively, gold backed currencies? … cuz

that is gonna happen, and when capital flows to those, along with Bitcoin, who

the Frick wants fiat backed by nothing? … fiat is a “PONZI SCHEME” and always

has been … it allows governments to rob their citizens of wealth via inflation and

money printing that debases its future purchasing value …can’t do that with a

gold backed currency, nor can you do it with Bitcoin … and it’s the reason POLS

& Apparatchiks hate both with a burning passion, and spend 24/7/365 attacking

both … they can’t be cheated! … everything else government dreams up can be

cheated … imagine if government allowed the money taken from you every

paycheck and dumped into Social Security could be put into Bitcoin and/or gold

… not used immediately for slush fund payments to places like Ukraine, but put

away for YOUR BENEFIT! … nope, can’t do that cuz it would rob the government

of money NOW, for fiat it’s gonna cheapen & debase over your lifetime and then

pay back to you at a fraction of the value when you were forced to give it to them

… it’s a classic inflation PONZI SCHEME! … and they sit there with a straight face

and tell you that inflation at 2% IS GOOD FOR YOU & THE COUNTRY

… BULLSHIT! … inflation is only good for government! … it’s pure poison for

people! … since the FED was created in 1913, the U.S. Dollar has LOST 98%+ OF

ITS PURCHASING POWER … money or wealth left to you by your grandparents

in a trust, or in some other way, if it’’s in financial assets like bank accounts or

bonds, you’ve gotten destroyed.


So which one goes first? … and to what extent do they change rules, use the force

of the police state, and otherwise harass and intimidate people to delay people

from exiting the system? … good questions … don’t know when, only it’s gonna

happen … and in the trading world there will be major ramifications of these

future developments … but for my money, the 3 most likely to go tapioca are EUR,

GBP and JPY … all 3 countries complete basket cases of ineptitude, negligence,

incompetence, corruption, and stupidity of the highest order when it comes to

international finance … one glance at their central bank Apparatchiks, and you

can’t stop laughing … which brings me full circle to GBPJPY & EURJPY as

trading vehicles.


As I’ve stated before, there is nothing on the board that doesn’t come without

major warts, pimples, scars, & blemishes … so, bottom line is 1) cost to trade and

the “Trading Ratio” [TR], and 2) the 20 Day Range MA of the pair to get a glimpse

of present volatility [VIX] … the first concentrates on intra day VIX, and the second

close-to-close VIX … directly below an interesting table of stats … check it out.


click on table to enlarge

Isn’t it interesting that over the last 3 years or so, that the 20 Day Range MA is

about HALF [that would be 50% for you Biden voters] the 20 WEEK Range MA

… which I find interesting as all get out, cuz I think it plainly shows each day is

its own bull / bear market, and thus it HAS TO TRADE … it doesn’t go straight like

USDJPY did when it went straight up for all of those weeks before the BOJ

intervened above 150 … it can of course in small spurts, but overall it trades, and

tends not to go straight … this is the essence of a tradeable market … a slightly

better and more consistent bid/offer spread in EURJPY, and for that you give up

a few range PIPS each day / week … does it really matter? … no, I don’t think it

does … granted, it’s six to one half dozen the other whether or not it goes

higher / lower than USDJPY, but you got more ways to see movement … from a

trading perspective, I think it makes more sense to trade the cross via the

EURUSD in the numerator, than GBPUSD … today sees me switch over to

EURJPY from USDJPY … I also think we’ll get better fills in the cross … just a

hunch, but we’ll see.


I came into today wondering how gold would react … whether we would see

another assault on 2K, or “Thelma & Louise” from the forces behind the “Rally

Protection Team” [RPT], which hates gold and will do everything in its power to

crush long specs … well, that didn’t take long to see which one prevailed

… meanwhile USDJPY had its move overnight, along with the crosses, and it

didn’t leave much for U.S. trading, which not incidentally, is on purpose cuz

tomorrow is Lounge Lizard day … I started to follow EURJPY around Noon EST,

and it hasn’t done much of anything since then as it awaits tomorrow’s

clusterfark at 2 PM EST … no trades today for the PAMM, the day over before it

began as 20 Day Range MA’s blown to shit again, and order books cleaned out

before the sun comes up.


Oh well, thanks central bankers … the trading algorithm models EURJPY better

than about any market on the board, although it’s a close call versus some of the

other YEN crosses … onto tomorrow … OUTTA HERE … “The future’s so bright I

need 2 pairs of sunglasses 😎😎, and my own Brinks armored truck” 💓!!

… Onward & Upward!! 


-vegas








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