CRYPTO TICKER

powered by Coinlib

Monday, July 18, 2022

CROSSES DEMYSTIFIED

 

“I now resume normal programming!”

Why wait? … and with that burning question on the lips of the Mrs. &

“Miss Gimpy”, I can’t help but agree with female logic, and release the

algorithm parameters for FX crosses in today’s blog post … full details, along

with charts and other considerations will be in the version 3.0 of the trading

manual released this upcoming Sunday … and with the upcoming ECB interest

rate decision coming Thursday, and then Vlad’s decision whether or not to

allow the Natty Gas via Nordstream 1 to start flowing again on Friday, I can

obviously see their point.


PARAMETERS FOR FX CROSSES


On the MT4, I use the m1 candlestick chart … 3 indicators … 1) HULL MA

COLOR, PERIOD 23, lime = up, red = down, solid line … 2) HULL MA COLOR

PERIOD 40, lime = up, red = down, dashed line … this is a short term support /

resistance “tunnel” … 3) HULL MA COLOR PERIOD 100, pale green = up,

pink = down … this is intermediate trend.


The algorithm is in “buy mode” when ALL 3 ARE POINTED UP, AND IN

“sell mode” when ALL 3 ARE POINTED DOWN … mixed color combinations

= no trades.


Concurrently on the Netdania 15s candlestick chart, 2 indicators … 1) TEMA

[7, 0.09], and 2) EMA [40] … BUY SIGNALS on the 15s are initiated when 1) all 3

indicators on the MT4 m1 are pointing “UP”, and 2) when TEMA CROSSES

OVER EMA … similarly, SELL SIGNALS on the 15s are initiated when 1) all 3

indicators on the MT4 m1 are pointing “DOWN”, and 2) when TEMA CROSSES

UNDER EMA … DIRECTLY BELOW from today, a split screenshot of EURJPY.


click on chart to enlarge

Scanning Turnkey’s spreads this morning, only EURJPY makes the list for crosses

with spreads under 1.3 PIPS, currently running around 0.7 - 1.0 PIPS … USDJPY

carrying a higher spread for no reason.


This just in over on ZH, RE the Ruskies declaring “force majeure” on delivering

Natty Gas to Germany … the link directly below.


https://www.zerohedge.com/energy/gazprom-declares-force-majeure-will-halt-

gas-flows-germany-indefinitely


And if that’s not bad enough for you, try this … link directly below.


https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/germanys-crisis-about-get-even-worse-

rhine-water-levels-plummet


No market price reaction as of yet to these 2 posts, which I find puzzling, as a

stoppage of gas will literally kill the German economy going into winter … we’ll

see how this plays out, with all eyes on Friday. In any event, how do you square

this circle with a screaming higher EURUSD?


Quite frankly, I’m more than a little confused by the news flow today … rates

higher, and the Ruskies are claiming “force majeure” on Natty Gas to Germany,

yet EURUSD screams higher, USDJPY moves lower, and EURJPY goes and hits

a new high for the day right around the London Fix [yea, somebody got “fixed”

alright] … none of this makes any sense whatsoever … meanwhile the crosses

algorithm just performs exceptionally well in EURJPY … the lesson for me is

simple … turn the frickin’ news off and just pay attention to the cross,

nothing else!


There were a boatload of algo buy signals today, and if I had followed them

we’d be singing from the rafters … instead, before said Ruskie news, one algo

buy signal in EURJPY … TURNKEY PAMM UP SLIGHTLY … is the Ruskie news

bogus? … seriously, I kept waiting for some hard drops to show up, but they

never materialized in the slightest … sorry, I find it hard to believe EURUSD

rallies hard into news like this, and it made me highly skeptical of taking signals

… THE RAMP into the London Fix, simply the same old bullshit manipulation of

the banks, that they usually pull almost every single day, so nothing new there

… of course, now that the “Fix” is over, EURJPY can move lower, natch, cuz all

the corporate & institutional Chumps have been filled at the top … the bullshit

never ever stops.


I will say, though, I’m extremely pleased with the way the cross algorithm

modeled price in EURJPY … this was not an easy day … multiple reversals seen

again, so there was no “straight shot” all day to give the algorithm a false sense

of security … fills and latency also OK, so I got no complaints about the platform

… this should serve us well into the future … onto tomorrow!


 … outta here … “The future’s so bright I need 2 pairs of sunglasses 😎😎, and

my own Brinks armored truck” 💓!! … Onward & Upward!!


-vegas





No comments:

Post a Comment