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Monday, December 24, 2018

WHAT HAPPENS NOW?

“When government turns it all to shit almost immediately … markets included!”

Well, somebody showed up in Asia to ramp gold higher, no doubt thinking of 
Sec. Treas. Mnuchin’s comments on markets and the “Plunge Protection 
Team” [PPT] this weekend, indicating “Everything Is F-ing Awesome Baby!” 
bullshit, that scared the living shit out of some traders and prompted a mini 
rush into gold … well, that fizzled, and now we find ourselves slightly higher in 
dull trading that is slowly stepping higher. I certainly don’t see any urgency on 
anybody’s part to be long up here … maybe that changes when New York gets 
going here in a little while, we’ll see.

And while gold is struggling to go higher, it sure as hell is struggling more to go 
lower … even the mildest of dips goes nowhere, and for now, the sell stops of 
those who are positioned long, seem … somewhat safe for today … but, what’s 
 “safe” in gold isn’t written in stone, but upon shifting sands. “I think what 
really matters today, in this shortened Christmas Eve session, is where the SP500 
goes, and if it gets “monkey hammered” again like Friday, will the PPT show up, 
or are Mnuchin’s words just bullshit jawboning? … we’ll see, cuz markets usually 
end up testing the will of government when they lay down a marker”.

So, the question going forward well into 2019, is how does gold respond to all 
the volatility and chaos created by world governments? … so far, rather muted 
if you ask me, and the “Comex Con Game” seems very much still in play … I 
don’t get the sense there are any bullion dealers changing their approach to 
gold, but in fact doubling down on selling any and all rallies with both hands 
… and in all of this, trading action is getting worse, not better, and what 
baffles me is that the very people who need a functioning, vibrant market are 
doing the very things that lead the market to die … go figure!

More action than I had foreseen early today, but given what’s happening 
elsewhere, it’s not a total surprise. Stock indices melting down, and of course 
what the government Twits & Apparatchiks don’t get, is the more they go on 
shitboxes like CNBC and say “Everything Is F-ing Awesome Baby!”, the more 
stocks go down … just STFU already.

And after stocks meltdown, it appears the PPT showed up, and that has put 
the proverbial nail in the coffin of gold rallying further today, cuz now it’s 
simply a choppy mess … “as I’ve said before, gold has morphed into a market 
that does not “trade” anymore … it simply lurches to a spot and then dies, before 
lurching to another spot and repeating the process … corrections should be 
traded, but too often they are the end of the move, leaving you with nothing but 
heartburn … and the below historical norms for volume, liquidity, and range 
are sadly lacking in substance, which makes trading even worse … you can say 
whatever you want, but when other markets are flying and yours sits and doesn’t 
do Mr. Jack Squat, in the scheme of things it doesn’t bode well going forward, 
and in fact defines a classic “death spiral” … just ask silver, and that market can 
tell you all about it”.

And, to bring this point home, look at today’s action … a small rally while the 
SP500 is getting “monkey hammered”, but when the PPT shows up, that’s it 
… there’s nothing left, thanks for playing, see ya later … “OK, where’s the 
trade? … and that’s my point, there isn’t one, until the next lurch to somewhere 
that comes out of nowhere”.

Quite frankly, I am loathe to trade Holiday shortened markets … this market 
will be here on Wednesday, so why get stuck in mud? … “sure, it’s easy looking 
back in hindsight, but only the Mrs. & the dog do that … get involved in some 
kind of bullshit predicated on some other market correlating gold’s moves [read 
SP500], and your asking for trouble in a major way before the Christmas Holiday 
starts. So, it’ll be here day after tomorrow, where I’m still looking for some kind 
of break that extends the range lower in order to buy … so far, over the last 
couple of weeks, we really haven’t seen that at all”.

For all of my readers, have a wonderful and joyous Christmas Holiday, and 
I’ll be back on Wednesday, ready to tackle the gold market once again … until 
then mi amigos … Onward & Upward!!

Have a great Christmas Holiday everybody!!

-vegas

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