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Friday, April 28, 2023

FORGET THE MARKET … READ THE PLAYERS

 

“How the winners of any game get their edge!!”

In any sophisticated game, like trading for a living, you’ve got to know the “who /

what / where / when” list of players … their strengths, their weaknesses, and how

to take advantage of them … an easy task you say? … hardly … most people got

no clue what they’re up against in trading, simply cuz they have no idea how the

game is actually played … and just like the NFL draft, pre draft selection,

everybody is a first class LIAR and looking to deceive divisional rivals … “oh,

this player is great, a sure first round pick! … really? … how come nobody picked

him then?”


The propaganda surrounding trading is vast and legendary … mainstream advice

is pure bullshit and will get your trading account destroyed … just like the

scumbag banks want it! … mainstream trading is a pure “HUSTLE” … the game

is rigged from the start, and since 2008 at a minimum, right up to now, the overt

manipulation of markets by central banks and their BFF buds the scumbag TBTF

& TBTJ banks only gets worse by the day … phantom bid / offer quotes, mystery

tick fills [a/k/a “slippage”], using variable spread pricing as a tool to fuck specs

and make it appear on the surface the market is one way, but in reality it’s

something far worse, “spoofing” orders and front running, and then having the

nerve to add on commissions … you look at this objectively, and you’d be better

off simply playing baccarat at a casino and getting free beers and a buffet … in

other words, you better know how to beat the banks [your opponent] … know

their logistics … know their games and dirty tricks … understand stop hunts

… and if you don’t do that, you got no chance of winning.


It ain’t so in crypto! … specifically Bitcoin with millions of spec players and

almost ZERO INSTITUTIONS … no scumbag banks … no worse than scumbag

central banker types … and finally … FINALLY! … a rigged FREE market WITH

PRACTICALLY NO COST TO TRADE … DO YOU UNDERSTAND THE

SIGNIFICANCE OF THIS? … this is “floor trading” without the “floor” [a/k/a a

trading pit], without any cost, without any expensive exchange membership to

buy, without government involvement to FUBAR things … only “players”

bringing money, almost as if they’re at a poker table … Bitcoin is like gold in one

very important respect … there are no “fun-durr-mentals”, ONLY FEAR & GREED

and a psychological mindset that says … “Wow, this shit can move! … and that

means plenty of FOMO & PANIC at almost every turn … and that means “market

runs” … farther and faster than you can imagine, cuz when people panic they

don’t usually fuck around but panic in haste! … understanding the “players”

and how they react and perceive chart formations while maintaining losing

positions, will yield to you plenty of profits … profits being driven by “Whales”

who understand how to drive a spec crazy by shoving price past certain

chart points. 


At the end of the day, you got the “Wild, Wild West”! … only wailing, gnashing of

teeth, howls of despair from about 85% - 90%+ of the spec players, who see their

money go to the other 10% … thank you, come again! … and trust me, they will!


Quite frankly, I can’t stop laughing … over at forexlive.com, one of their stellar

analysts takes a shot at Bitcoin by saying this morning, “no market participant

likes extreme volatility, especially when it’s not tied to news” … TRANSLATION:

“I can’t make any money in this cuz it makes no sense!” … well of course not!

… not when you deny reality every day and insist everybody is on an equal

footing, cuz in Bitcoin you’re expecting the manipulators to show up and smooth

things down, just like they do in FX, and that’s what makes sense to you … talk

about not having a clue, this is it in spades! … NEWS FLASH FOR ANALYSTS [or

those who think they’re analysts]: “Bitcoin moves FREELY, without manipulation,

and it only is confusing to you cuz you don’t really know how FREE markets work

or what they’re supposed to do … you’re caught up in your “FED bubble” of

bullshit and can’t see the trading forest from the trees!”


Noon in New York, and today a perfect illustration of the criminal activity of

bullion banks … what a complete fuck job on release of 4th rate econ stats at

8:30 AM EST … buy stops AND sell stops taken out within a millisecond of each

other … $12 per OZ movement of nothing but pure pain for anybody trading this

shit … “gold is wonderful … gold trading is bullshit” … these people should be

in jail, but we all know why they aren’t … gold can move $12 on pure horseshit

in a second, but can’t move $5 over multiple hours … once they clean you out,

you got no chance to make it back … this is not a “bug”, this is a feature! … gold

hasn’t moved $3 in the last 3 hours … factor in all of the costs to trade it, PLUS

the scumbags running it, and good luck making a living trading this shit … this

is how manipulated markets work in the modern era.


Bitcoin today so far with a choppy $650 range from overnight in Asia to Noon in

New York … that chop has seen numerous bouts of panic rallies and

panic-er-er-er breaks that end up going nowhere … if you’re attempting to trade

it with a total cost approximating $35 per BTC [no matter your notional size, it’s

pro rata], you got a problem cuz like the rest of the Chumps out there paying full

retail boat, you’re asking the market to pretty please go farther than $35 on any

move so you can make 10 cents … and plenty of times it won’t do that cuz the

“Whales” and “arbs” running things know what you need and are Hellbent on

making sure you don’t get it … now you’re stuck! … we trade @ IQCENT, where

we have 1 penny spread and NO COMMISSIONS … do the math Skippy … I can

buy it one second and 2 seconds later sell it $7 higher while the rest of the world

sits and hopes … and if we do end up with only a $650 range today, which is

rather lousy for Bitcoin, when you got a cost structure like we enjoy, IT’S

BETTER THAN FLOOR TRADING WHEN THERE WERE PHYSICAL PITS! … and

the multi-hundred dollar ranges are still plenty large for us to make money … you

just have to know how!


This entire week in gold a complete nightmare … a sell side manipulated market

that can’t move … it can’t rally and it can’t break, it just sits and fucks around,

while scumbag bullion dealers chop the living shit out of anybody attempting to

trade it … in other words, they win, you lose … the natural order of things

don’tchaknow? … No trades for the PAMM today cuz it’s the same old shit,

different day with gold … it doesn’t break enough to get any decent buy signals,

and it can’t rally to bring in new buyers … but when it moves, I’ll be there.


Over in crypto land, “The Syndicate” today via shiploads of BTC trades, UP

APPROXIMATELY 0.5% … just another day at the office.


Before I leave today, I want to impart some educational trading advice for would

be full time BTC traders … 1) understand what it is you’re trading and why it

moves the way it does … 2) understand who the players are and what their M.O.

[modus operandi] is in trading … 3) don’t think, simply react … 4) don’t ever fade

the alternative trading algorithm … ever! … so much energy, time, effort, and

mathematical knowledge went into it, all of the “thinking” is already in it, thus

freeing you up to simply execute … and if by chance Bitcoin is too much for you

psychologically to handle without having a nervous breakdown, then trade

Ethereum, Ripple, or DogeCoin … they’ll give you all you want as well with the

same type of cost structure I enjoy in Bitcoin … more on this coming up in the

Sunday blog update.


… OUTTA HERE … “The future’s so bright I need 2 pairs of sunglasses 😎😎,

and my own Brinks armored truck” 💓!! … Onward & Upward!! 


-vegas





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