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Tuesday, October 18, 2022

I’VE FALLEN AND CAN’T GET UP!

 

“Markets on the left, cash on the right … nobody is happy in this crap!!”

“Speed of light … crickets” trading, all inside condensed ranges of the “‘Flying

Wedge of Death” … “look Mom I’m moving”, and then 10 seconds later it’s

headed the other way with some kind of spike from Hell, as the order flow

shifts from buy to sell and back again … that’s the scenario in GBPUSD / CABLE

… in oil it’s just the freight train running down the tracks destroying accounts in

rapid succession, with almost ZERO corrective activity … ALL moving

practically whenever some PIE HOLE Apparatchik or POL speaks, and then

it dies again ‘til the next time … “markets, you’ve fallen, GTF back up!”


To put it bluntly, we are simply not seeing any of these markets move in either

direction, correct, and then resume the trend in any meaningful way … it’s either

chop or the freight train running down the tracks … you either buy the rally to get

long or sell the break to get short, and pray there’s a bigger fool than you to bail

you out … and if not, well now you’re stuck at extremely disadvantageous levels

either long the top or short the bottom, and there is no corrective activity that

extends the range after it’s over, and now you got a real problem cuz it’s not

moving anywhere for you to make the money back where you got clobbered in a

lightning strike up/down … and in a nutshell, this is the main problem right now

in both Cable and oil … and if this isn’t bad enough, we are seeing an inordinate

amount of movement in “off hours”, where Cable moves better at 5 PM EST than

it does at 5 AM EST when Europe & the U.K. are in their prime trading hours

… ditto with oil where late New York trading sessions see either liquidations or

short covering … today a perfect example in crude oil … nice $4+ range that is

almost worthless, simply cuz everything is a straight shot up or down … oil can’t

rally to save its life, until the mid New York afternoon, where it rips straight up to

absolutely crucify shorts … where are the ups / down that are corrective activity

during the main parts of the trading day? … it doesn’t matter if you want to be

long or short, cuz the problems are the same … you either position yourself at a

big disadvantage upon entry or you sit and wonder where the corrective activity

is … “R U hiding somewhere?” … no, it’s somebody muscling the market and

carving new donkeys along the way, and when they’re done it either rips higher

straight up or it goes into the Loser Formation, neither of which helps us with

algorithm buy signals.


Moving over to GBP / CABLE, you get the same phenomena but only in much

less degree form … and you got the manipulator banks to deal with … today

sees Cable for over 6+ hours in a frickin’ 50 - 60 PIP trading range excluding the

top / bottom move to new high and then new low that came and went in minutes

… for all practical purposes, it’s simply wicked chop with spikes from Hell that

trap both longs and shorts … you’re up on a trade, and then blink your eyes and

you ain’t … and now you can wait 45 minutes or longer while it fiddle farts

around within 3 or 4 PIPS from your entry and does nothing but raise your blood

pressure cuz it can’t frickin’ move to save its life … and then of course comes

the “BINGO, BANGO, BOOM” spike out of nowhere, where you’re wondering

which POL or Apparatchik said something … but there’s no news and it’s simply

order flow the banks used their front running techniques on to screw with specs

… now rinse & repeat the entire day, and you have GBPUSD / CABLE … and if you

get monkey hammered on anything, you have no way short of escalating risk to

the moon to make anything back … and the result is, another “inside day” where

it’s simply the yo-yo “Flying Wedge of Death” [FWD] that frustrates traders to no

end and creates losses cuz the market can’t extend its paltry range to anything

approaching the 20 Day Range MA … moving bat shit crazy [BSC] in the Asian

session cuz of the ChiComs doesn’t help us one bit. 


And it leads to weak algo buy signals cuz the buy fuel isn’t there or is in very

short supply … in other words, “F’d UP” markets in FX … very inconsistent VIX

throughout the day … spikes and then NADA, rinse & repeat … even the idiot

Brit POLS and central bank Apparatchiks can’t get it to move, and it makes for

some ugly trading action … the good news? … it never stays like this for too

long.


No trades today … not for want or lack of effort, simply cuz there’s nothing

here, especially in oil throughout the day and into the New York afternoon

… finally got a short covering rally after 1 PM EST, but trading oil in New York

afternoons isn’t something I look forward to … where the Hell were you at 10 or

11 AM when it mattered? … when price action was good and there was plenty

of time for trades in the mainstream of the day? … well oil, WTF!? … I hate this

sitting, but it’s better than losing money … onto tomorrow.


… OUTTA HERE … “The future’s so bright I need 2 pairs of  sunglasses 😎😎,

and my own Brinks armored truck” 💓!! … Onward & Upward!!


-vegas



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