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Monday, August 15, 2022

WHEN THE OVERNIGHT SESSION AIN’T QUIET

 

“Chasing the “Vix Genie” comes with a price … it’s a long way down!”

Of course, starting to primarily trade gold now, and the overnight session into

New York has a $20+ range … sitting right now at around $27 as the sun comes

up in New York … why would I expect anything different? … at least here early,

welcome to the “Long Liquidation Picnic” hosted by scumbag bullion dealers

… the “Comex Con Game” clearly in force from overnight, and the only question

up for debate is, how low can it go on liquidations bought up near 1800?

… granted, it’s early yet, but the price action as gold attempts to carve out some

kind of low around the 1775 level, is terrible … “Trading Ratio” [TR] hanging in

the low to mid 2’s, telling us just how bad price action really is at the moment

… very lethargic with seemingly little interest … I realize it’s a Monday in August,

but still … price VIX definitely needs to pick up here.


Quite frankly, this is typical trading action for gold [on the downside] when

overnight trading sees expanded ranges to the downside … upside is a little

different and usually more volatile, but downside can be “creepy” cuz of the

crawl price action is taking … today seeing that in spades … I’m left wondering

how New York sees anything remotely close to a $17 range for the 8 hour

session … we’ll see … year to year, you never really know what August is gonna

bring to the table, and not just in gold but everything traded … some years

gangbusters, other years you’re left wondering if anything will ever trade again

…so far, halfway through the month, and while a little slow it’s not that bad

… trust me, it can get a whole lot worse.


Well, gold certainly “woke up” … $10 in 7 minutes after nothing for hours on the

upside … you can always count on virus scum from Wall Street to shake things

up when they hit their trading desks, no doubt led by the top criminal enterprise

in precious metals, JPM … again, why are they still in business? … and even

with the overnight hyper extended range, trading action since about 8:15 AM EST

has been excellent .. a whole Helluva lot better than anything else on the MT4 or

MT5 platform … as I said yesterday in the blog update, gold moves better

up / down better than anything most days … I didn’t say it moves farther, I said it

moves “UP / DOWN” better … no need to FOMO or panic, it finds a way to trade

back & forth, thus providing opportunity along the way … “you like “PIP runs”?

… gold has got ‘em … that’s not to say there aren’t occasional moves with the

attendant “Loser Formations” after a blitzkrieg, cuz there are sometimes … just

not as many as other markets … so far, the trading action is holding up rather

well in this unusual day, clicked off by “risk off” from the ChiComs who are

headed for a “depression”.


Mid morning as we move to the London Fix, and gold has gone “sleepytime” for

a spell, going into an approximate $2 range over the last hour … down about

$26 - $27 from Friday’s close, and having seen some rallies fail, not a lot of

enthusiasm from longs who are starting to recognize that maybe this isn’t the

day for a turnaround, and quite possibly there might be more to go to the

downside … in any event, buying for now has dried up … since mid April [about

12 weeks], there have been 10 good size down days … you can’t just sit there

and say, “oh, it can’t go any lower than this, so I’ll just buy it!” … and the serious

trading flaw here is that there aren’t any rules anymore in anything when it

comes to trading ranges and movement … gold can go down however much it

wants and has done so in the past, and to put some kind of artificial number like

$25, $30, $50, or even higher, is the “stupidest shit” you can possibly do to

destroy your account … and since mid April, that works out to a little more than

once per week! … perhaps a little high over the long run, but it points out rather

well just how often things can get out of hand and land you in the

“Twilight Zone”, a place you don’t want to be when it comes to gold.


One very important criteria about gold is simply this … “this ain’t the same gold

market since before the COVID hoax, the Russian invasion of Ukraine, AND the

fastest rise in interest rates by the FED in over 40+ years!” … the bubbles have

been created and they ain’t going away, and the mathematical FACT is, rates

can’t go much higher without totally bankrupting the U.S. Government via

interest rate payments … both the Ruskies & ChiComs are hoarding gold,

preparing for that day when they unleash their currencies backed by gold

… other central banks are buying as well, and taking delivery in their home

country, not trusting the FED to hold it for them [and why would they?] … miners

and other commercials involved in the production of gold no longer hedge

production forward via futures, having been burned badly by the Obama regime

and price rises over 2008 - 2016 … only the bullion banks sell gold in any great

quantity, and I’m pretty sure that well is running dry … gold going higher is only

going to increase ranges and VIX … are governments gonna stop printing fiat?

… Bwahahaha!, not a frickin’ chance! … a few years ago, gold had daily ranges

of $8 - $15 dollars … today it’s in the mid $20’s … tomorrow or next year when

gold vaults $3,000+ per Oz.? … why not $35 - $50 per Oz. ranges as the norm?

… name for me another market that has this much potential for “range growth”

going forward … FX? … pull-eeeeeze! … “Stock Bellies”? … maybe, but VIX is

inconsistent and as bad as it gets with “speed of light … crickets” trading

increasingly the norm, making ranges & movement an obsolete concept

… like trying to catch butterflies with your bare hands … all we need is a

decent gold bid/offer spread, which for now has been consistent.


Not the best of days to start trading gold from the long side, but it is what it is

… still, being short no piece of cake either, as short covering blitz’s could easily

have ruined a short sellers day … only one decent algorithm signal in gold

… TURNKEY PAMM UP SLIGHTLY … many buy signals negated via the high

readings of the MFI at or above 80, a clear warning sign the spec public is over

extended to the long side and is about at their limit of buying power … given the

fact that the day was really over before it began [thank you ChiComs], making

anything on the long side has to be done almost perfectly, or you face the

inevitable red spikes from Hell on the turn lower … and nobody wants that! … into

the afternoon of New York, and “Stock Bellies” continued resilience to NOT go

lower and instead push higher via the “pain trade” and call the FED’s’ bluff on

higher rates, is giving gold some support, although it’s not really leading to any

decent rally attempts so far … gold hanging around the 1780 - 1782 level, a level

that’s been tough to crack since early going … but who knows, it’s New York and

it’s in the afternoon, and anything can happen … I don’t see gold starting to

move higher, but since when does my opinion matter to gold? .. as we approach

2 PM EST, about a $13 New York range today, somewhat better than I originally

thought starting the day already looking at a $27 dollar per Oz. range … so,

didn’t miss it by much, and there’s still some minutes before 2 PM, so who

knows … one thing I know for sure, is that unless there’s a “Hoover Dam”

good reason to be in gold in the NY afternoon, I don’t want to be … and I don’t

see that reason today ... it's 2 PM EST, day is over.


Looking forward to tomorrow … outta here … “The future’s so bright I need 2 pairs

of ‘golden” sunglasses 😎😎, and my own Brinks armored truck” 💓!!

… Onward & Upward!!


-vegas



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