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Friday, December 3, 2021

MAYBE BTFD HAS TURNED INTO STFR


“Where did all the buyers go!?”
 

Get the feeling nobody wants to be long over the weekend? … who knows what 

silly ass, idiotic, and downright stupid rules government will come up with next 

to ruin economies, over the FUCKING FLU! … WE’RE ALL GONNA DIE! … but 

won’t, and life goes on with the Elites not bothered in the least, while middle 

‘Murica suffers at the hands of idiots & morons. Make no mistake, financial 

markets are not reacting to the actual COVID mutation [Omicron] and fear it 

… what markets are reacting to is the KNOWN QUANTITY OF GOVERNMENT TO 

FUBAR THE ENTIRE RESPONSE, and absolutely do the wrong thing 100% of the 

time … “oh aren’t we lucky the U.S. has got “Taliban Joe” and the disappearing 

Manchurian Candidate as VP … these 2 Dopes couldn’t sell ice cream at the beach 

on a hot day without fucking the entire process up … anybody listen to the “Head 

Dope” lately? … can’t even put two sentences together in a cogent thought 

without mumbling, bumbling, his way through a stack of lying bullshit stories 

… an absolute fucking disgrace, who has no idea where he is or what he’s 

doing … oh yea, things will turn out swimmingly won’t they”?

 

“Buy the fucking Dip” [BTFD] has turned into “Sell the fucking Rip” [STFR], as 

today we learn over on ZH that corporate insiders are unloading “Stonks” at a 

record pace to … wait for it … retail specs! … yup. Mom & Pop have finally figured 

out it’s time to buy “Stonks” cuz they never, ever go down [maybe minutes but 

that’s all], so what can possibly go wrong? … well, to put it mildly, PLENTY CAN 

GO WRONG AND IS!

 

Make no mistake, we’re in the back “6” of the “88/6/6” paradigm, and while the 

ultimate goal here is to make money, the top priority is to not get “whacked” 

… and the last few days has seen the BTFD’ers get a call from Sil & Paulie … and 

it’s been flat out ugly the moves down … get the “Spoos” under 4500, and most 

likely it gets even uglier cuz gamma turns negative quickly, meaning scumbag 

dealers have to sell “Stonks” to cover naked short rising put option prices that 

are going exponential to the upside … it can make for some of the ugliest moves 

in stock market history, and given how much this “”Bubble” is overvalued, and 

the number of Chumps still involved in it, yea the downside has plenty of potential 

for being ugly with a capital “U”!

 

You have to be really careful in the back “6” of the trading paradigm when the 

range for the day gets blown out “bigly & yuge” to the downside … for “Stock 

Bellies” there is a specific “fingerprint” that is golden for buying, and when SHTF 

it appears with regularity … however, like gold and to some extent crypto, what 

looks good one second is dog shit the next, and the red spikes down can be an 

account killer if you’re too eager pursuing the bottom tradeable bounce that isn’t 

what you thought it was … the “Spoos” ain’t the place to be doubling, tripling, 

quadrupling [or more] up when price is running against you, especially in the 

back “6”, where conditions can turn “nasty” in a heartbeat and then you make it 

worse cuz when you get out you’re adding fuel to the fire against you! … the tiny 

rallies you can take advantage of in normal market environments [the “88” part of 

the trading paradigm] via scalping, you have to pass on when in the back “6”, cuz 

they aren’t worth it and will get you into big trouble.

 

As you might have figured out, getting algorithm buy signals in the back “6” of 

the trading paradigm isn’t easy on big down days … there are going to be far 

fewer opportunities than normal … of course, if we knew when the back “6” 

showed up we could get short and make a killing, but they don’t send out emails 

for big down days … and if you consistently try and short the “Spoos”, I hope your 

account is big enough to sustain the regular losses waiting for the “big day” when 

the market goes down hard so you can breakeven if you catch it! … and my 

experience over the decades watching many try, has been watching nothing but 

slow motion train wrecks cuz they’re never around long enough to catch a big 

move down … cuz they’re in the “Trader’s Graveyard”! 

 

Now here we are in the New York afternoon, another “bigly & yuge” range day in 

the “Spoos”, with another reversal day from the lows to the NFP highs, to the 

“Thelma & Louise” drop that commenced next right after that … swings that are 

hard to swallow in a market like the SP500, clipping along with ± 2%+ moves 

within very short periods of time … as I’ve said before, for what you’re trading, 

the VIX when SHTF is 2X - 5X HIGHER THAN BTC AND/OR ETH.

 

Post NFP Idiocy, only one algorithm buy signal today in the SP500 … TURNKEY 

PAMM UP FRACTIONALLY … “hey, when it doesn’t wanna go, it doesn’t go”! 

… every day this week has seen the range get blown out way past the 20 Day 

Range MA … and while some of that can be expected given the initial news on 

COVID, the darker truth is that Spicoli is 1) an idiot that people have just figured 

out, and 2) maybe just maybe, the FED ain’t your friend anymore with the 

“FED Put” … and since this market is sooooooooo overdue for a correction it’s 

laughable, maybe the new COVID is simply the new catalyst for moves to the 

downside for a while … what happens if all of 2022 is a “down market”? … OMG, 

people will be jumping out windows! … oh the humanity!

 

Over in crypto land, “The Syndicate” UP APPROXIMATELY 0.3% on multiple 

trades in ETH … some good scalps in a down market post NFP, where it bounced 

hard off the then bottom … again, crypto with a very good “fingerprint” for scalp 

success ... another grinder day.

 

Given the action this week to the downside, I’m satisfied with our results for both 

the PAMM & “The Syndicate” … not an easy task to make money from the long 

side of things when everything is melting down … I’d like to see a slight decline in 

the bat shit craziness going on, but it’s anybody’s guess if that happens or it gets 

even worse … in any event, we’ll be there for it and make money!

 

… outta here … “The future’s so bright I need sunglasses!! 😎 

… Onward & Upward!!

 

-vegas 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 


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