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Friday, September 4, 2020

ALL YOU CAN DO IS LAUGH

“If you can’t see what’s going on you’re blind!”

Another NFP Friday, only this time we got Labor Day on the other side on
Monday … and just like all other NFP idiocy days in the past, this one produces
fireworks not cuz it means anything real, but cuz some “wonderkids” at the
Department of Unicorns & Fairy Tales make shit up out of thin air so scumbag LP
banks can clean house … could release all of this shit on the weekend, but if they
did that the scumbag banks couldn’t screw orders blind like they do every month.

And quite frankly, with almost ZERO spec interest in anything that isn’t already
showing record long positions, when there aren’t any buyers left what do you
think happens next? … makes no difference what the news is, good or bad, it’s
going lower.

So we start the European day in FX with a buying frenzy, that soon turns into a
selling panic … then the NFP number comes, the stock market tanks yet again for
the second day in a row, and now comes the next wave of liquidations followed by
a turnaround at the bottom that is vicious and straight up into the close
… “somebody tel me again about “honest markets” and how there’s no
manipulation … I dare you”! … all you can do is laugh at these assclowns,
otherwise you’d be crying … as I’ve said before, EVERYTHING is either straight up
or straight down, with all of the accompanying panic you’d expect as people get
their accounts murdered … only of course to see it turnaround and rocket the
other way and bring more tears … what a fucking joke FX has become.

A great day in crude oil, which I will begin trading for the Turnkey PAMM / MAM
starting next week after the Labor Day Holiday on Monday … oil futures will be
closed on Monday, so not looking for the CFD in oil to be very active, but who
knows? … today sees a $2 range, and IVIX INDEX levels that are higher than
anything else being traded … all inside a 2 cent STABLE & CONSISTENT bid/offer
spread with meaningless commissions … the trading algorithm absolutely nailing
this market to the proverbial wall … I traded it today in my own account to finish
out the week and test yet again the trading conditions in “real time”, and they
were spectacular at Turnkey … even in the late Asian session, the spread was
only 3 cents, and when the European session got going around
3:30 AM EST - 4 AM EST, it moved to 2 cents and never strayed from that level
the entire day.

The 20 Day Range for WTI Crude Oil, after today’s trade, = $1.16, or 116 PIPS … a
PIP in FX is usually worth ± $10 [0.00010 * 100, 000 (1 lot volume)] … oil is the
same, worth $10 per penny movement per 1 lot, so I can compare crude oil to FX.

Looking at the other pairs, the 20 Day Range MA for EURUSD = 89 PIPS,
GBPUSD = 118 PIPS, and most of the crosses are at OR under 100 PIPS
.. however, IVIX INDEX levels for crude oil are well elevated over anything in FX
… e.g., looking at the busiest part of the trading day, which is the 15 - 19 server
time [8AM - NOON EST], IVIX INDEX FOR GBPUSD = 100, whereas the IVIX
INDEX FOR WTI CRUDE OIL = 140 … this isn’t anything unusual in crude, but for
Cable seeing a reading at 100 doesn’t happen often … viewed in the context of
oil as analogous to an FX pair, and it would be the only thing you’d trade cuz it
has a 2 PIP [2 cent] bid/offer spread … and the amazing thing is, the CME’s emini
WTI Crude Oil futures contract [500 barrels] has a bid/offer spread of a minimum
of 2.5 cents … now add NFA fees, brokerage house fees, and CME clearing fees,
and your very near or slightly exceeding 3 cents per barrel to trade … about time
somebody [most likely a group of HFT’s and NOT scumbag banks, got together
to make this finally available] got their shit together and made a CFD worth
trading … since Turnkey & COINEXX use the same servers via Turnkey’s IT
subsidiary, I recommend using COINEXX TO TRADE CRUDE OIL … leverage is
set by the client, with MAX at 500X [margin rate = 0.2%], and commission rate is
$2 round turn on a 1 lot [1,000 barrels], and that is prorated down to minimum
volume of 0.01 lot volume [10 barrels] … this means your “cost to trade” = 2.2
cents per barrel, and I don’t know where you’re gonna go to find it less than this.

Today sees crude oil mirror FX almost exactly, although with a much bigger
impact via the range … rally right out of the open, break off the high, and never
look back, with only a late morning 13 minute rally in price before going
“Thelma & Louise” down under $40 … breathtaking to trade and watch this
happen while the algorithm is tracking it and making the calls.

No trades today in the TURNKEY PAMM / MAM.

For those in the PAMM, no worries as I get into the oil market next week and
trading begins in earnest from a very dull Summer of bullshit in FX … and if you
love bullshit, you’d have to love today in GBPUSD, where it’s literally nothing but
straight shots, turn on a dime and then run stops the other direction … straight
up, straight down, then straight up, and after 12 hours of this bullshit, Cable is
right where it was at 3:30 AM EST when Europe opened … literally, within a few
PIPS of the open at 3 AM EST … what rubbish horseshit this is, especially when
you consider there’s no trading in any of this, only PANIC! … and all the while
the scumbag LP banks simply front run institutional orders to their heart’s
content.

To be sure, we don’t need $2 ranges in oil to make good money from the algo, but
if it’s there the more the merrier! … and with the very best trading conditions at
either Turnkey or COINEXX, we finally … “F-ING FINALLY!! … have an Oil CFD
worth its salt and worthy of trade … can’t hardly wait for next week!

Blog update on Sunday … until then … Onward & Upward!! 

-vegas



Thursday, September 3, 2020

GRIFTERS GOTTA GRIFT … STOCK MARKET ARMAGEDDON?

“Laws & rules are for the little people!”

Another political Grifter caught grifting … and in true tinfoil Libtard fashion, has
the gall to demand an apology for getting busted … San Fran Botox Nan at it
again, but why be surprised when viewed in the context of where she came from
and the corruption she represents?

And speaking of “Grifters”, moving over to the world of criminal finance, “how
about them NASDAQ stocks today!”? … just a slight 8% haircut in minutes, no
worries … can’t even imagine what kind of slippage the criminal class of
scumbag LP’s are handing out today, and what sometimes sparkles, turns to
shit faster than anyone wants to believe.

Meanwhile, ever since Monday morning’s highs in FX, where the EURUSD hit 1.20
very briefly, and GBPUSD almost got to 1.35, it’s been almost straight down the
rabbit hole as both banks & the ECB don’t want to see 1.20 yet in the Euro
… especially since there are record long futures positions that need to be
screwed … err, liquidated at lower sell stop prices … get the hint from the ECB
Apparatchiks?

COMMAND DECISION TIME

Back in July, I stopped writing in the crude oil blog … I did this for a number of
reasons, but my main problem with crude isn’t the market, the problem is the
LP’s who make the market … since that time, I’ve been working on a crude oil
algorithm, cuz not only is crude a good market, but my thoughts were that at
some point somebody somewhere would “step up” and make a good CFD
market that was fairly priced, and at that time I would want to trade it again
… “that time” is NOW, and after trading it in my own account first these last days,
I’m ready to trade WTI Crude Oil again for the PAMM / MAM with a 2 cent spread
… a spread btw, which has held recently very steady @ TURNKEY … ditto over at
PRIMEXBT … and with crude’s problems behind it [think May futures expiration
bullshit], it’s back to being a tradeable market again that offers plenty of
movement & opportunity … much better lately than anything in FX, where
inconsistent ranges & IVIX continue to plague the space mightily … so, going
forward, I’m adding crude oil back into the trading options mix … if FX stays
dead, and today Cable was a disaster from a range standpoint in the European
session, although the IVIX INDEX level was adequate, I’ll trade crude oil in the
European and/or U.S. session … all we need is fair pricing, and it appears we
finally have it [about time], and since I care not what it is I trade, but only what
kind of conditions we face, I’ll trade “soiled underwear” futures if it is to our
advantage … and crude with a stable 2 cent spread and meaningless
commissions fits the bill … so don’t be surprised to see me comment on crude
on days when I trade it.

No trades today in the TURNKEY PAMM / MAM.

GBPUSD in the European session nothing but a disaster … a complete joke
… 8 hours of nothing [about 35 PIPS] as the stock market implodes and gets
“monkey hammered”, right along with gold & silver … but Cable? … “nah, let’s
just sit here and not do Mr. Jack Squat”! … I’m at a loss for words to explain the
complete inactivity of FX in the face of stocks & gold/silver getting smashed
… apparently, nobody gives a shit … I traded crude today in my own account,
and the algo was spectacular … good range and excellent IVIX lNDEX levels
above 100 most of the day … as I said earlier and have consistently said for
years, give me the right conditions in a crude oil CFD, at an offshore brokerage
house, and I don’t need anything else! … well, we finally have “those conditions”,
so what’s not to like? … all I ask for is fair pricing and consistency from the LP’s,
whether they be banks or HFT’s … nothing more and nothing less … give me that
and you won’t ever hear me complain … try and screw me and that’s a different
story … we’ll see what happens, but so far for the first time in a long time, I’m
satisfied the crooks have been replaced by legit LP’s, and it’s to my advantage
to trade crude oil again after a lengthy absence. 

If FX wakes the hell up, then fine I’ll trade ‘em, but I am not liking what I’m seeing
in FX right now, especially in pairs like GBPCHF, GBPJPY, EURUSD, & GBPUSD,
and I’m not particularly happy sitting around watching FX go up a PIP, down a PIP,
over hours of bullshit bank manipulation and stop hunts … with a clean 2 cent
spread, oil can work spectacularly, and it rarely sits, so again I say “what’s not to
like here”?

Outta here … until tomorrow … Onward & Upward!! 

-vegas




Wednesday, September 2, 2020

“USEFUL IDIOTS” UPDATE

“So many to choose from, it’s very hard to pick a clear winner!”

“In political jargon, a useful idiot is a derogatory term for a person perceived as
propagandizing for a cause without fully comprehending the cause's goals, and
who is cynically used by the cause's leaders” … so says Wikipedia … for you
Obama voters & Libtard apologists, don’t look too hard into the mirror after
reading this first paragraph, it may cause further brain damage.

For my money, it’s a tough call between “Commander Red”, the Antifa Dimwit who
was caught by police, and then collapsed into a fetal ball and started crying
[where’s John Wayne when you need him?], OR King Lebron of the NBA
hypocrites, who whine & complain and ultimately end up exposing themselves
for the dopes they are … and then there are the useful FX idiots … they’ve been
around forever … and when they lose all of their trading money, they become
“analysts” so they can tell everybody else “how it’s done” … good grief, so many
good entries, how am I supposed to pick a winner today?

Cable coming out of the Asian session would have seen an utterly abysmal IVIX
INDEX level if it hadn’t been for the last hour move lower in price … as it was, it
limps into the European session in the low 40’s … first half of the European
session saw better M1 ranges, but the action confined to very narrow ranges, as
the market awaited the ADP report out of the U.S. at 8:15 AM EST … a big
disappointment here, that should have seen FX pairs move higher, but instead
Cable heads lower … quite frankly, too many longs are in the market positioned
for further gains, and it’s a crowded trade at the moment … and of course, sell
stops now become an issue, as the scumbag LP banks go “stop hunting”
… better IVIX INDEX levels seen in the 15 - 19 server time frame … 11 - 15 = 64,
and the 15 - 19 = 82 … problem is, most of the action to the downside in a straight
line … however, we did see about a 2 hour window today where algorithm signals
became active and ready to go on the buy side, before Europe closed for the day
and action literally died in its tracks.

One algorithm buy signal today in GBPUSD … TURNKEY PAMM / MAM UP
SLIGHTLY LESS THAN 0.1%

Trading conditions better today, but still not where they need to be … it’s good to
see us out of stinky August and into the Fall, and conditions should get better
going forward … can’t complain about the IVIX INDEX levels, but the market
needs to go somewhere, instead of constantly chopping around in a 5 PIP range,
until the banks are ready to move it one way or the other … in other words, order
flow needs to improve … today a good start back to normal conditions, and
hopefully conditions improve further still.

Outta here early today … until tomorrow … Onward & Upward!! 

-vegas





Tuesday, September 1, 2020

STUPIDITY ON STEROIDS

“Burned down cities? … you get what you voted for & now deserve!”

I wake this morning to see over on ZH, that gangs are now running Murder,
Illinois [a/k/a Chicago], the world’s most deadly city … here’s the link directly
below.


Well, simply another Libtard success story, as anybody with a brain has known
for decades that gangs, anarchists, communists, Antifa, BLM, Occupy Wall
Street, etc., etc.., are the enforcement arms of the Libtard DEM establishment
that literally run everything inside these blue hellholes once known as cities
… the murders, drug dealings, etc. sees the money kicked upstairs to POLS &
Apparatchiks, and it’s the reason big city ‘Murica sees no end to what is their
most serious problem … “if the POLS wanted it solved, it would be … but
nobody wants it solved cuz the money under the table would then dry up
… now what”?

And the moving vans are lined up for miles to GTFO of these shitboxes … only,
when you get to your new destination, don’t bring your idiotic Libtard politics
with you!

And the stupidity on steroids doesn’t stop with ‘Murica turning into Venezuela
socially, it continues unabated over at the faculty lounge, where the CNTRL-P
machine never stops … one seriously wonders why anybody pays attention to
the clueless Twits at the FED, or any other central bank, where FUBAR is the
official motto … “buy all the bubbles”! … where the capitalization of Apple is
equal to the ENTIRE Russell 2000, and growing … are there enough “Soyboys” to
buy Apple’s overpriced shit, when millions upon millions of jobs and industries
are being destroyed worldwide? 

I’m beginning to wonder if Europe has it in itself to trade anymore, or are they
just sock puppets for Asian session “Chuckleheads” & dopes for the prop desks
of Wall Street banks? … why should the start of this month be any different than
any of the other ones? … more piss poor trading conditions in the first half of the
European session, where the IVIX INDEX is barely above 50 … and while Asia
didn’t do much, Europe immediately caught the “buy bug” out of nowhere, and
it’s straight up the frickin wall with nary a corrective dip outside of an errant M1
or two, all the way to the high … then Wall Street takes over as the sun comes up
on the East coast, and it’s straight down the elevator shaft to almost the London
“Fix” … straight up, then straight down, then 15 minutes of pure unadulterated
screaming price higher, where it rolls over quickly & viciously  and gets “monkey
hammered” while both Yen & EURO hit new lows for the day … another wonderful
excursion into reversal mode, where everything is literally ONLY PANIC UP OR
PANIC DOWN … calling this a “market” is laughable … this is a manipulated Ponzi
scheme run by the banks, and when they get into this mode of "straight trading”,
it becomes impossible for the trading algorithm to enter any position correctly
… “there’s only straight up & straight down” … there are no corrections in price
inside any movement … there’s only panic to a price point, where it reverses
viciously trapping those who hung around a second too long and are now
“stuck” … today sees shorts get killed first, then it’s the longs turn, as
“The Widow Maker” lives up to its name in glorious fashion … buy the rallies
and/or sell the breaks and it’s only a matter of time until they carry your account
to the graveyard for burial.

No trades today in the TURNKEY PAMM / MAM.

IN the last half of the European day [15 - 19 server time], IVIX INDEX level = 66,
which is good enough on the surface, but again, when all action is straight up or
straight down, it matters little cuz I can’t get any corrective activity to enter … it’s
as if the market has lost its ability to actually “trade” … and so, the bullshit from
August carries over to the new month on this first day of trading … this too shall
pass … no sense getting worked up over it, it is what it is and we move on … until
tomorrow … Onward & Upward!! 

-vegas