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Monday, November 30, 2020

BIZARRO WORLD

 

“Costaza trading! … it all makes sense now, right!?”

With the day already more than half over, looking across the spectrum of the

trading world, it truly is “Bizarro World”, and George Costanza is right on the

money … it’s like you know you’re in a dream but can’t get out of it, no matter

what you do … the manipulations so bizarre, so brazen, so out in the open, and

yet nobody cares … to wit, EURUSD can’t even muster but a 30 PIP range, along

with an IVIX INDEX level that’s so pathetic, it needs to rally just to get to 20!

… meanwhile, Bitcoin hums along in the 130 - 200 zone, and it seems “dull” given

what we’ve seen in the last month or so … “oh, and that Thanksgiving drop,

driven by some “whales”, where BTC got “whacked” by 3K, is now about

60% - 70% higher in 4 days of almost straight up buying … where’s the test of the

lows”? … and while every Bitcoin hater in the world was out over the Holiday

weekend proclaiming “fraud, scam, worth ZERO, etc.”, it’s worth noting these

same people got no problem with central bank manipulation of everything else

that is 100X worse in suppressing volatility into the dust in their efforts to control

the financial narrative … cuz what’s REALLY eating them up is 1) they missed out,

2) BTC can’t be manipulated or controlled by their Stalinist Buds in government,

and 3) they’re too fucking dumb, stuck inside their own paradigm of life where

everything makes sense … NEWS FLASH SKIPPY: “Nothing makes sense as the

world burns down”!


There are very few things that are absolutely certain in this world, with 100%

probability … 1) government fucking up everything it touches, and 2) death

… other than that, we climb right into the probability normal distribution curve

… and right now, we’re spending just about ALL of market trading time OUTSIDE

of 3 𝞼 [sigma, or standard deviations] … it’s either “bat shit crazy” or it’s D.E.A.D.

… neither is particularly attractive from a trading perspective, but it’s all we got,

so there’s no escaping the reality of “Bizarro World”.


Welp! … well that was certainly quick … BTC now back above 19,300 as I write

and climbing, having erased all of the Thanksgiving massacre that wiped out a

whole shipload of longs … now what? … well, one thing is for certain, and that’s

IVIX has gone completely insane … now hovering around 500, if you’re looking to

make a market in this, don’t! … I said the other day, and I will repeat, this kind of

volatility that we’ve seen the last month is not what “The Syndicate” trading

algorithm is premised upon, and quite frankly I dunno if this is simply an

aberration, or if this kind of insanity is now the “norm” … practically every single

day we’ve seen $1,000+ 24 hour ranges in BTC, and given that environment I

don’t know how anybody can “make a market” when it can move against you

$200 in 1 - 3 minutes, only to rebound and go $400 the next 5 minutes. 


The “basis” has gone “loopy” as well, with a reading on Thursday of $-40+ and

now at $+20, and over the last month I’ve seen it at $-50+ to as much as +$100

… these kinds of swings in sentiment are literally insane … meanwhile EURUSD

dies in its own sweat … quite frankly, the world is telling you Bitcoin haters to

shove it, we’ll take scarcity over fiat any day cuz the CNTRL-P machines go

“Brrrrrrrrrrr” 24/7/365 at a record pace … there just isn’t any other market that

compares in the history of trading to that of the crypto pairs, especially Bitcoin,

and I have no idea [and neither does anybody else] just how “crazy” this shit can

get … what if we’re simply in the eye of the CAT 6 HURRICANE? … right now as I

write, BTC is going up/down with M1 ranges exceeding $50+ and it’s as chaotic

as I’ve ever seen a market get … and the amazing thing is, it’s consistently been

like this for about a month now with very little respite from excessive volatility.


Trading EURUSD with a 30-ish PIP range? … do you have any idea how “f-ing”

ludicrous this actually is? … talk about a “bank meat grinder” for specs, it’s a

“death trap” for those dumb enough to think this is anything but order flow

driven banks fading your MT4 or MT5 buy/sell signals for measly PIPS … they win,

you lose … and from their perspective, what’s wrong with that, it’s the normal

course of things? … at some point of course, what’s gonna happen, is that IVIX

INDEX will literally explode from below 20 to about 110 within 15 minutes, and

even if you had some dinky profits, they’ll be gone when volatility explodes

… and again, that’s the “game” the manipulators are playing on you, cuz quite

frankly they know you’re all a bunch of “Pavlovian Dogs” waiting to be led over

the cliff by the elusive “MOMO” that they’re fading … and it’s why you simply

cannot be sucked into extremely low range days [unless of course you like

losses] … EURUSD now trying so hard to bust 1.20 on the upside, looking for

buy stops to save the longs … maybe they get ‘em maybe they don’t, who

cares? … who do you think is going to be selling the buy stops, and if you’re

competing with the scumbag banks to get a decent sell fill, I wish you luck, cuz

your limit sell is simply an MIT order [Market If touched] that is gonna get

butchered like a hog! … and don’t look now, but that’s exactly what happened as

we just hit 1.19918 for a high on buy stops, and within the minute it’s 4+ PIPS

lower from that high … nothing like honest & fair markets with complete

transparency, right? … this is embarrassing.


Over in crypto, BTC trying to vault back above 19,000 again, now only a few

hundred bucks shy of that mark … that shellacking on Thanksgiving Holiday,

only taking out the “Johnny-Come-Latelys” on sell stops, cuz there has been

ZERO interest in taking BTC lower in the last 4 days … quite frankly, this

mornings price is in what I’d call the “Danger Zone” … get to giddy about 19K

being vaulted again and sentiment could change quickly to the downside … sell

it here and get sloppy thinkin’ it just has to go down after that Holiday “Thelma &

Louise”, and volatility to the upside could go out of control and bust your ass

“bigly & yuge” … in other words, a dangerous area for BTC price to be in right

now as I write.


The fun never stops in BTC, now coming within a couple dollars of 20K … and

yes Skippy, we are now at “peak stupid” … 2 things of note … 1) the basis is

now trading +$50 - $100, which is totally nuts, and 2) the IVIX INDEX level is

somewhere around 800 - 850 … and remember, anything over 150 presents

problems … “Houston, we have a problem”! … and as if I’m writing the script

myself, BTC breaks $770 in 19 minutes … OK … meanwhile, as the London Fix

comes and goes and Europe closes for the day, an embarrassing display today

of bank manipulation of EURUSD around the 1.20 level, where stops have been

run and then crushed by the scumbag LP banks a number of times … ho hum,

just another day of thieving! … “and oh looky here, EURUSD gets blasted to a new

low for the day exactly 43 minutes after vaulting 1.20, and with the London Fix out

of the way and Europe closed, leave it up to the virus scum on Wall Street to make

it happen … and we were going along so well, and then the rug gets pulled out

from underneath the pair … this is what happens when there is no volatility &

ranges are tiny, so embrace the suck and know the pattern of how the banks steal

& manipulate you! … come tonight, no doubt the “Chuckleheads” will have

something wrong to say about all of this, along with BTC where you can almost

make “sure thing” book they’ll take BTC above 20K, if it’s not done beforehand.


One market can’t move worth shit, and the other can’t fucking slow down to save

its life … what a dichotomy presented before me … I didn’t do any trades in

anything today … BTCUSD won’t break and has been straight up since

Thursday’s bloodbath, and EURUSD can’t move worth shit to make a difference

& algorithm parameters are all right on top of each other, meaning the usual

suspects are manipulating the shit out of it for the ECB … and if somehow specs

do get it over 1.20, expect some ECB Apparatchik to be sent out post haste to

“tell” markets it doesn’t like that rate and look out below as the scumbag banks

will clean your clock on the sell stops just waiting to be hit off sometime later

this week … this is what’s referred to now as “honest markets” in the era of

central bank manipulation … “just look at the difference between traditional FX

and Bitcoin, and the way they trade … one free the other manipulated as all hell

getting hot! … and now a $770 break off the panic top in BTC in less than

19 minutes, pretty much all straight down … sure, just get an average and you’ll

be OK … NOT! … FUBAR, FUBAR EVERYWHERE”!


I don’t know whether I need a bottle of tequila for BTC, or a sleeping pill for

EURUSD? … the dog says do both [of course he does!] … in any event outta

here … until tomorrow … Onward & Upward!! 


-vegas



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