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Thursday, October 29, 2020

BITCOIN [BTCUSD] SERIES, PART 5

 

“Be careful what you wish for … you might just get it!”

Let’s face it … traditional markets are dying right before your eyes, and you can

deny it if you want, but that doesn’t make it NOT TRUE … almost everyday,

volumes, along with liquidity dips lower … sure, there are occasional days when

the government manipulators [a/k/a scumbag LP banks, the BFF of central banks

everywhere] lift their boots off markets and let them breath, but that’s only to

suck you in again and allow you to hand over to them your money … you know

it, I know it, everybody knows it, traditional financial markets are nothing more

than “chopfest” Ponzi schemes … nowhere is it more apparent than in FX, where

trading action is about as pathetic as it can get while pretending to be open

… and in anything “Stock Bellies”, the back end of the “88/6/6” trading paradigm

is a nightmare waiting to happen at any moment, in the biggest financial bubble in

the history of the world … meanwhile over in “Hucksterville”, a/k/a “spot gold”

[XAUUSD], offered by the LBMA [London Bullion Market Association], one of the

world’s largest criminal organizations by design, it’s biz as usual today with

almost ZERO volumes overnight in Asia, but high bid/offer spreads cuz they can

… what an absolute joke.


And while traditional markets slowly die, thanks mainly to the U.S. government

via the Lounge Lizards over at the FED, smart guys everywhere have been

meeting for months building out the crypto world to bypass government bullshit,

no matter if it’s the FED, ECB, SNB, BOE, or the BOJ … and thanks to Bitcoin &

other crypto pairs, the world of financial trading is moving at the speed of light

in the other direction, and away from central banks, their rules, their feckless

Apparatchiks, and their idiotic policies that see fiat currencies purchasing power

going worthless by the day … as I said the other day, what used to take decades

for even the smallest of changes in trading, now see gigantic leaps within months

or even weeks … go back a year, and what’s happened in 365 days is literally

unbelievable.


What this means for us as traders, is that almost everyday, new offshore

brokerage houses open with a dizzy array of new toys, bells & whistles, claiming

to be “the very best with the lowest commissions and tightest spreads!” … of

course it’s all horseshit, cuz the dirty little “open secret” in trading, is that forever

brokerage house slimeballs have engaged marketing experts to figure out how to

bamboozle the trading public with gimmicks to get them to open accounts … the

client is convinced they’re getting a “deal”, while the brokerage house knows

better … and with the proliferation of crypto trading products, led by Bitcoin

[BTCUSD], you have to spend the time to analyze just what it is you’re getting

when trading at “House A” versus everybody else.


Don’t get me wrong here … I’m not saying they are all bad, but most are and

there’s no difference between crypto houses and the more traditional FX bucket

shops when it comes to making claims they can’t really back up … kind of like

the standing FX joke of “spreads STARTING FROM 0 PIPS!” on their website,

when in fact you don’t have a snowball’s chance in hell of getting a trade off in

ANYTHING at 0 PIPS … today, I’m gonna drift slightly away from Bitcoin, and

look at trading of one of the other “hot” crypto coins that are out there and

making waves in the crypto universe, and happens to be one of my favorites

cuz 1) IT MOVES, 2) it’s reasonably priced, 3) it’s 20 Day Range MA versus the

notional value of the coin is OVER 7%+, versus Bitcoin 20 Day Range MA versus

its notional value is approximately 3%, AND most importantly 4) it trades with

very good volumes & liquidity and most days is in the “Top Ten” of crypto coins

traded … the coin is “LINK”, and it’s ChainLink … directly below, a quick

3 minute read on what ChainLink is about, and how it’s changing the block

chain space.


https://decrypt.co/resources/what-is-chainlink


Now, the reason I’m bringing LINK up today, is that obviously you can trade it at

many offshore, NO KYC brokerage houses, and I want to highlight the difference

in 2 houses when it comes to LINK … the first is “DueDEX” and their marketing

campaign for LINK at “ZERO FEES” trading directly below.


Sounds great doesn’t it? … I mean, what can be better than ZERO FEES?

Then there’s PHEMEX, which offers LINK as well … here, it’s the usual maker [limit

orders] fee of -0.025%, and taker [market orders] fee of 0.075% based on the

notional value of the coin … directly below, spend a few seconds looking at the

two order books side by side at the same time from early this morning around

5 AM EST, and then figure out which house actually offers the best trading

conditions?


click on any image to enlarge if necessary

Well, since I know my readers aren’t brain dead, it’s obvious looking at the 2

platforms, that while DueDEx offers ZERO FEES, it has a 2 cent spread

… PHEMEX on the other hand, has a spread of 0.001 cent, which usually is in the

range of 0.001 - 0.002 as it trades … OK, let’s go with 0.001 cent spread … if

you’re a maker, PHEMEX pays you … if you’re a taker, you pay 0.075%, which at

present price level comes out to about $0.009, or 9/10ths of a cent … OK, add

that to the spread of 0.001, AND IF EVERY SINGLE ORDER YOU EVER PLACED

WAS A MARKET ORDER, AND YOU’RE THEREFORE A TAKER ON EVERYTHING,

your cost to do business is 0.001 + 0.009 = 0.010, or 1 CENT … that’s versus

ZERO FEES AT DUEDEX and pay the bid/offer spread of 2 CENTS … seriously? 


Even my dog knows which is the better “deal” … so, don’t fall for BS hype from

a website, until you check it out and do the math … and again I’ll say, if you want

to trade spot crypto [NO leverage], there isn’t any place I’ve seen that beats

PHEMEX and their ZERO FEES, when you join “Premiere Membership” and pay

$70 per year [19 cents a day] to get ZERO FEES … now, that ZERO FEES doesn’t

apply to contract trading, but still, it doesn’t matter much cuz the spread is so

tight and crypto like LINK moves TWICE AS MUCH AS BTCUSD! … and that’s

saying something … about a 77 cent a day range right now … and for smaller

accounts, it can make a lot more sense to trade LINK than BTCUSD … do the

math and you’ll see what I mean.


And again I’ll mention, PHEMEX has a phenomenal “testnet” demo platform,

where you can get used to crypto trading via the order book, instead of some

dumb ass bank LP pretending to make a market on the MT4 or MT5 … use the link

up in the right column to sign up via my affiliate link, as it allows me to earn a

little crypto over time with NO COST to you ever, and that in some small way

helps support the website and my research time.


Turning to gold today … well, it’s gotten to the point where even the

“Chuckleheads” and Mrs. Watanabe & Gal Pals don’t even want to touch it

anymore … last night's trade in the Asian session was worse than dead

… ranges collapsing, as the scumbag LP bullion banks pull the plug on all of

the gold bulls from the summer, and price can’t go anywhere on the upside

… until of course when it does, and that happens in microseconds when they

clean out all the longs and the “Comex Con Game” can start anew,

iteration # [pick a really high number Skippy!] … but today another perfect

example, cuz when you add in the bloated spread, today averaging well above

20 - 30 cents per oz. and seeing mostly 45 - 70 cent per oz spread after the

ECB presser this morning, you have to be able to capture a pure move that

means something, cuz scalping this stuff is next to impossible given conditions

where there really 1) isn’t anybody in the market making conditions extremely

thin, and 2) when any move is over, there is no corrective activity, there’s simply

chop, and so you find yourself in a position praying you can simply get outside

of the frickin’ spread to close the thing and break even … then you say to

yourself … “self, WTF did I do that for, there isn’t anything here!?” 


And I’m gonna say it again cuz it’s 100% TRUE, “spend 10 minutes watching

LINK or BTC on the order book platform, and you’ll never want to open another

bullshit market again on the MT4 or MT5, in any of these 100% manipulated

markets … for cryin’ out loud, use my link for PHEMEX and make sure you’re

on the “TESTNET” webpage, and open up a demo and see for yourself … when

you’re ready to go live, use the normal PHEMEX webpage and open an account

and fund with either BTC and/or USDT … pretty simple … and sitting here

watching gold do NADA after the ECB interest rate meeting, it’s pretty clear

NOTHING MOVES AFTER EUROPE CLOSES, cuz nobody cares anymore … I think

I have a pretty good sense of the pulse of offshore markets in FX & “Stock Bellies”

… people are tired of getting ripped off, especially in FX, and they’re moving their

money to crypto, where markets are like they used to be before every government

on earth decided it’s important to manipulate them for the global elitists … and

I’m tellin’ you right now, that if you want markets that ACTUALLY TRADE, with

excellent movements up/down many multiple times a day WITH VOLUME &

LIQUIDITY, you won’t find them over in FX or the manipulated “Plunge Protection

Team” [PPT] horseshit of “Stock Bellies” … go find out for yourself, crypto isn’t

gonna bite you!


Today sees mainstream FX pairs getting “monkey hammered” after the ECB

meeting was over … am I supposed to believe gold is gonna rally when EURUSD

is getting killed? … and once the Dipweed Apparatchiks from the ECB got done,

gold went on another “Flying Wedge of Death” [FWD] episode, where it’s straight

down $16, striaght up $16, then back to the middle to die … quite frankly, watching

this stuff today makes me want to simply walk straight into the ocean … IVIX

INDEX levels decent, indicating the M1’s are putting in range, but they aren’t

going anywhere … $1 up / $1 down, rinse repeat, OMG I can’t believe I’m even

watching this flaming dog poo of a market … meanwhile, while it’s dead in the

water the spread comes into the 30”s, but show the least bit of a rally / break

outside of about $1, the spread widens into the 50’s and/or 60’s faster than you

can say, “WTF is this about now”? … and like I said, they simply aren’t going to

allow ANYBODY to scalp and pick them off, cuz that pisses them off cuz that’s

their job, and if you want to jump onto the “MOMO train” you’re gonna have to pay

the piper … and if it suddenly stops? … good luck, cuz now you’re stuck in the

chop … and another “quite frankly” … I seriously doubt anything moves

tomorrow, Monday, or Tuesday until we start getting election results Tuesday

night … I just don’t see volumes pouring into anything that is going to make a

market move … seriously, am I stuck in a bad dream?


No trades today in the TURNKEY PAMM / MAM.


Sure, put on the broken record again … same crap as before on other days

… speed of light, crickets, pretty much nothing in between and then it dies … the

fact is, the world’s “hot money” has disappeared into the crypto space, and I don’t

see what now gets them back into traditional markets anytime soon … maybe gold

at times, but how many times have Chumps bought the gold rally and gotten it

stuffed up their nose? … and these other markets like Cable, DAX30 are a joke

… racing to go nowhere, reverse on a dime and then die to chop you to pieces!

… well, onto Friday where who knows what transpires, and hopefully the

algorithm parameters can climb off of each other and gold sees some buying

interest that lasts longer than the attention span of a 2 year old … maybe? … who

knows, but we’ll see.


… outta here, until tomorrow … Onward & Upward!!


-vegas







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