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Sunday, April 5, 2020

SUNDAY UPDATE: THE GREAT VIX UNWIND

“Quarantine self portrait!”

Ok, between my marathon episodes of “Narcos”, the Sopranos, The Twilight
Zone, The Outer Limits, Hogan’s Heroes [I know nothing!], Jeeves & Wooster,
Upstairs, Downstairs, Sherlock Holmes [Jeremy Brett], and various movies, and
running to the fridge to keep the “Ice Cream King” happy, I managed to get the
stats for this week done … entire Caribbean shut down, nothing in or out,
everything except grocery stores, banks, hospitals, & pharmacies completely
shut down … it’s as quiet as I have ever witnessed it … quite frankly, it’s
awesome!

As we saw last week, even in the chaotic “stock bellies”, VIX is turning around
and slowing down … you can start to see it in this week's charts below for each
complex … quite frankly, they got nowhere to go but down or the world’s
financial system shuts down, cuz it cannot handle this type of volatility for long …
this is a shortened week cuz Friday is “Good Friday, Sunday is Easter, and Monday
is Easter Monday, and historically from about Thursday morning to the following
Tuesday morning it’s the slowest time period for markets there is … could be
some fireworks, but unless the pandemic is rolling over dramatically, I would
expect markets to take everything in stride, and look forward to after Easter to
see if the tide is shifting with regards the number of cases and death toll from the
CHINESE CHICOM WUHAN KUNG FU virus.

Directly below, the “FX VIX MATRIX TABLE” for the current week, followed by
FX 20 Day Range MA’s chart pairs.

click on ANY table or chart to enlarge

FX
GBPUSD, EURGBP, & USDJPY


AUDUSD, AUDJPY, & GBPNZD


GBPCHF, GBPAUD, & GBPCAD


PRECIOUS METALS
XAUUSD


XAGUSD


Directly below, the “STOCK INDICES VIX MATRIX TABLE” for the current week,
followed by STOCK INDICES 20 Day Range MA’s chart pairs.


STOCK INDICES
DOW30


SP500


DAX30 & NDX100


IBEX35 & ESTOXX50


AUD200, CAC40, & FTSE100


HANG SENG 50 & NIKKEI 225


For the last several weeks, I’ve been saying the PAMM / MAM results will be ready
the following week … well, throw another shrimp on the barbie cuz it’s gonna have
to wait … it’ll get here, hopefully after Easter weekend … finally, I want to briefly
mention that “the Mrs.” has gotten into crypto, more specifically BTC, and her last
trade she ALMOST doubled the BTC price in about 2 weeks … bought it in the high
$3’s and sold it at $7250 … at about 15X leverage, do the math, and suddenly she
understands the “allure” of trading … she wasn’t happy with the “vig” she had to
pay, but welcome to the world of scumbag LP banks! … my point, though, is that
she took the step and decided to “do it” … it’s not hard, it’s not complicated, and
for most people it’s a problem of “familiarity” over & above anything else
… Bitcoin could be “widgets” or it could be “diamonds”, WTF is the difference?
… it’s numbers on a screen, and it trades 24/7/365 and is NEVER closed … trade it
at night, morning, afternoon, who cares cuz it moves … and most of the time [not
always for sure] the moves are “purer” than more traditional markets … quite
frankly, I like trading it, and the trading algorithm works exceptionally well … in
other words, it’s not F-ing rocket science, it’s simply “trading”! … of course, for
these last days since she got out of her trade, about $1000 higher than me, I’ve
heard nothing but how there’s “a new Sheriff in town”, which is par for the course
and I can take it for sure … so, if you’re sitting out there and missing out, do you
think the money is just gonna get up and find you?

Stay safe everybody … until tomorrow mi amigos … Onward & Upward!! 

Have a great rest of your weekend everybody!

-vegas















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