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Friday, July 26, 2019

A DISTURBANCE IN THE FORCE

“A disturbance coming in 3 … 2 … 1 … !”

With Super Mario’s less than exhilarating performance yesterday, and basically
passing the easing buck back to the FED without giving them cover, I sense more
than a little disturbance in the gold bull’s force … with 3 to 4 interest rate cuts
already priced into markets over the next year, and those pesky economic
numbers not showing the weakness needed to cut rates, the FED’s in a “pickle”
of its own choosing … forget the massaging bullshit this time around come next
Wednesday … markets want cuts, not talk … and yesterday’s gold action showed
there’s some nervous longs out there not willing to give the benefit of the doubt.

Today, we get our first look at 2nd Qtr. GDP, and a print above expectations is
gonna put another nail in the interest rate cut coffin, something gold isn’t gonna
like one bit. We’ll see of course, but as we countdown to next Wednesday’s FED
meeting, a lot of people are getting nervous with their positions. Not really a
surprise Asia did Mr. Jack Squat last night … markets waiting for the GDP number.

Well, knock me over with a feather … first some good GDP news, that sees gold
break quickly, then a steep rally to new highs for the day on the announcement
E.U. countries central banks won’t sell gold anymore [cough, bullshit, cough],
then a steep drop almost back to the GDP lows on the “blah blah, yada yada”
from one half of the comedy team of “Kudlow & Mnuchin”, that the U.S. won't
intervene in currency markets, and now back to around 1420 - 1421 … got it?

Quite frankly, these markets [everything on the MT4] an utter embarrassment to
the word “market” … just shut ‘er down until Wednesday at 2 PM EST, and save
the world the horror of getting repeatedly mugged by a group of robbers &
thieves known as “liquidity providers” … of course, that won’t happen cuz the
world’s elites need the cash to make the world go around [translation: mistress
funds need replenishing], and the banks provide the cash at trader expense via
bagged trades & slippage … not on the official books of course … remember
FXCM that got busted out of the U.S. for sending customer trades to an LP they
controlled? … yea, something like that, where the cash that was stolen from your
account via trade bullshit, ends up in an IBC in a tax haven to be later distributed
to POLS, Apparatchiks, regulators, exchange pooh bahs, & brokerage house
execs … and of course, the non stop attempt to manipulate market opinions via
headlines from the very people stealing the money … a bigger fraud in the history
of the world has never been seen.

And so, here we are bumping along until the next planted headline drops, thus
alternately screwing longs & shorts, and nothing is really happening … all
controlled, managed, & massaged by the banks computer systems that know
“Hoover Dam” everything about gold’s dynamics up to the second … who’s
long/short and from where, and more importantly where the stops are at … where
all of the resting order are, and what it takes to run stops in terms of volume … all
at the push of a button, and all we see are the blimps on our screens … by the time
you see it, it’s too late to do anything about it … nice work if you can find it.

In all of this clusterfark, add the front running of futures orders by the banks who
make up the LBMA, which is where XAUUSD is traded in London, and in
conditions that are a total mess, you’d have better luck playing Keno in Las Vegas
… at least there, they’ll give you free drinks and maybe a buffet. Add it all up, and
unless the market is actually moving somewhere, you’re the chump at the poker
table if you decide to play … welcome to gold.

However, back to my premise for today … unless the FED provides some
unexpected juice come next Wednesday, which I highly doubt, positioned gold
longs got nowhere to go over the short term … and given the banks are heavily
short, I would expect some kind of cleansing in gold … and if the NFP numbers
coming Friday are as good as last month, the rout could be on … fact is, gold is
having a hard time rallying the last couple of weeks.

Again today, which I have noted before, gold in New York can’t break and start
the day unless we are coming off a high, or there is/was specific news … and
while the banks are doing their “Hoover Dam” best to sell the shit out of it on
rallies, gold simply refuses to entertain any “profit taking” [thank you, Bob
Pisani, CNBC hack] and allow the banks to run sell stops early … sure, yesterday
saw sell stops get hit off, but it was on a very big reversal off of highs for the day
… that kind of selling into the New York afternoon, usually isn’t the greatest for
buying since there isn’t a lot of time left in the trading day … what’s frustrating, is
after days like yesterday’s selling, there is literally no follow through to the
downside today … that means algorithm buy signals, if we get them, are going to
be weak in scope, something that today bears out … and suddenly, we find
ourselves back in the position of risking $200 to make $30 … simply put, another
shit day for gold … for being in a bull market, unless you happened to be trading
in the “dark hours” or in Asia on a few days the past month, you’d be very hard
pressed to show me any gains at all in price … “Is close your eyes and pray an
investment or trading strategy”?

One cursory look across the MT4, and there isn’t anything else moving either
… what the manipulators have done to major markets over the last 5 years is
nothing short of breathtaking … VIX [volatility] has been ripped out of everything,
and the great game stacked so against traders by the scumbag banks, it’s a
wonder any hedge fund is still in business. By all measures, FX has suffered the
worst, and there aren’t ANY CFD’s that make sense from a trading perspective
… all are complete ripoffs that only enrich the scumbag banks who offer them. So,
in some respects gold is escaping the havoc wrought in other markets … God
forbid if you’re a EURUSD trader, looking to make a living from that complete
mess … talk about zero volatility, the ECB has so fucked up that market with
manipulation, I can’t imagine anybody seriously trading it anymore.

Afternoon in New York, and by all outward appearances, gold looks like it’s gonna
settle below last Friday’s close around 1424 … not going to hang around and find
out … with Europe closed now, gold turns into the “Squid & JPM  shitshow” going
into the weekend … more than likely Monday, Tuesday, and up until 2 PM EST on
Wednesday, gold is going to redefine the term “ugly trading” … sorry to say, this
is simply reality … all eyes turn to the faculty lounge Twits come next week.

No algorithm buy signals today … this week sees one of the worst weeks for
trading conditions I can remember … take away the hellish spikes from reports,
POLS & Apparatchiks, and gold would have been declared dead by Tuesday
… outside of that, there was literally nothing here the entire week except the
drubbing it took yesterday, which as I have already said there was zilch follow
through … yea, I love to trade … what we saw this week wasn’t trading, it was
nothing short of a “manipulation scheme”. Hopefully, gold can get back on track
after the FED shenanigans come Wednesday … blog update on Sunday … until
then mi amigos … Onward & Upward!!

Have a great weekend everybody!

-vegas


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