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Monday, October 17, 2022

WE ARE NOT IMPRESSED

 

“Markets not impressed with the British flip flop on taxes!!”

It’s very tough to “undo” first impressions … after becoming PM just a few

weeks ago, and running on cutting taxes, here comes Truss with the POL flip

flop, and nothing is gonna get cut, and quite possibly taxes go up … MARKETS

ARE NOT IMPRESSED … “oh yea, that will grow the economy and make things

better, won’t it?” … and as a result, Cable languishes, the panic short covering

squeeze over for now … meanwhile, conflicting supply / demand currents

affecting the oil market, and crude is drifting as well here in the mid 80’s.


Today sees markets reacting to the “Spoos” rally starting at 8 AM EST … and

now we’re back to where everybody is a “Spoos”  trader, no matter what it is

you’re trading … the only question is, how much does it correlate, and when does

it stop … oil today so far, a pathetic range off the “V” shaped bottom in New York,

where 6 hours later you can’t get this stuff to move out a $1 and short change to

save your life … in other words, the yo-yo chop made infamous by the “Flying

Wedge of Death” [ FWD] … meanwhile Cable not much better, cuz after the initial

move in the “Spoos” lifted FX pairs, here comes another MOMO melt up to the

1.14 level to quickly blow some shorts out of the water … got some time

corrections, but no really anything in terms of price … you either buy the rally

near the top, cuz that’s the only way to get in, or you sit … and I don’t buy rallies

… and when it’s over, a whole bunch of specs get to get squeezed out of longs

cuz it ain’t going back up … now what, as the New York afternoon beckons after

the London Fix and a run higher in GBPUSD? … so while the range in Cable

today is decent enough on the surface, the trading action wasn’t that good

… better than oil, but that ain’t sayin’ much … again, if the “Spoos” sputter, oil

most likely ain’t gonna do Mr. Jack Squat … welcome to another useless

Monday, and at 3 PM EST, oil has a daily range of about $2.50, well below it’s

20 Day Range MA … and that means buy signals are weak as well and subject

to fast & vicious corrections, where by the time you see the red spike down, it’s

already too late for your fill cuz it has the potential to be ugly.


And while I could have traded Cable today, I stuck with oil and it did nothing

… onto the rest of the week … no trades today in the PAMM … about 25% of the

day saw a shit spread from Turnkey, which put us on the sidelines, and the other

75% of the day was chop with no real directional bias … here late in the day,

sellers have emerged again in crude, but in the final analysis it all depends on

whether or not the “Spoos” get jacked or monkey hammered in the final 30

minutes into the 4 PM EST close … onto tomorrow where things should pick up.


… OUTTA HERE … “The future’s so bright I need 2 pairs of  sunglasses 😎😎,

and my own Brinks armored truck” 💓!! … Onward & Upward!!


-vegas


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