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Tuesday, October 11, 2022

MARKETS ARE IN A DEPRESSED COMA

“I was told crude oil would be moving … when? .. where? … I’m dyin’ here!!”


Two days in a row of wicked chop … this after all of last week moving while I was

sick, natch … New York as well as daily ranges extremely subdued versus 20 Day

Range MA’s, and other markets stumbling, bumbling around aren’t helping one bit

… there really isn’t much to the trade right now except chop … chop that’s tight

and on occasion wicked via the m1 spikes from Hell, that inevitably go nowhere

fast … this is a no win situation for trading, as the relatively high spread +

commission [if any], and of course the scumbag HFT slippage will chew you up

… we can barely get 10 cent moves over 10+ minutes, then get a 25 cent move in

15 seconds … hours later crude is at the same price.


Some banks today reporting production cuts won’t see the 2 million bpd OPEC+

goal, as well as world GDP being downgraded a notch … that put a damper on

price right out of the European open, and since the U.S. showed up around 7 am

EST, we’ve been in about a $1.25 per barrel yo-yo range, befitting the tag of

“Flying Wedge of Death” [FWD], I should have gone fishing instead …”Stock

Bellies” weakness and general malaise, along with lower Natty Gas prices in

Europe cuz of large LNG imports, along with slightly warmer forecast weather

temps in Europe, have also put a lid on crude rallying today … so be short then?

… unless you have a death wish, supplies are still unbelievably tight, and the

same problems you get from the long side, you get in spades from being short

… so no, IMHO it’s a bad bet.


No trades for the PAMM today, as trading conditions are terrible and warrant no

action … inflation tomorrow + inventories, so action tomorrow should be much

better … can’t see how it can get much worse … OUTTA HERE … “The future’s

so bright I need 2 pairs of  sunglasses 😎😎, and my own Brinks armored

truck” 💓!! … Onward & Upward!!


-vegas













 

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