“The shady & corrupt underworld belly of financial trading!!”
The shit we’re in now is beyond the pale … I dunno if it’s cuz the financial
community has gotten the snot beaten out of it this year, whether it's Biden’s
negative wealth effect kicking in, or whether markets have hit the wall cuz they
can’t take the news bombshells that seem to hit every other day … maybe a
combo, I dunno … what I do know, is that both in GBPUSD / CABLE & crude oil,
ranges are dropping faster than Biden’s diaper from their 20 Day Range MA’s,
and it’s making for literal “stink bomb” trading conditions … don’t be deceived,
it won’t stay like this for long, and you simply can’t do “stupid shit” and expect
not to get hit when the outdoor stall is tipped over.
Turnkey for its part today, making oil untradeable with spreads in crude that
would make Vito Corleone blush with envy … basically 4 - 7 cents with an
occasional 3 cent quote to fool the unwary … homey ain’t payin’ that kind of
vig to trade oil … not that it matters much cuz the range over multiple hours in
crude is a paltry approximate 60 cents … and again, as has happened so often
before, in the New York afternoon when the “Spoos” make their move to
somewhere under or over the rainbow, crude tags along with some kind of
correlated move that gets people to do stupid shit, and then it doesn't … today it
decided to un-correlate and move slightly higher while the “Spoos” get monkey
hammered … no matter cuz we ain’t trading it anyway cuz the cost is too high
… that leaves Cable, where now after the London Fix, “Stock Bellies” are
dropping some and GBPUSD / CABLE is scraping the bottom of its pathetic
range of about 30 PIPS over the last 7 - 8 hours and threatening new lows for
the day … in other words, nothing here cuz algo parameters cannot get in sync
for signals cuz they are compressed on top of each other … meanwhile to
further frustrate us all who live in this part of the world, all of the trading action
occurred in the Asian session … “wonderful, nice … when do I move to frickin’
Thailand!?” … and now that the world has spoken via the Pacific Rim, the rest
of you can eat the shit sandwich and enjoy CHOP.
GIVEN THE NEWS FLOW in GBPUSD / CABLE, have you ever seen a worse
market than the shit we’ve seen this week in terms of trading action? … nope,
not even close … Cable should be flying and it’s D.E.A.D. … sure, there have
been worse periods for price action, but not given the news flow there haven’t
… and given the premise the trading algorithm operates under, which is decent
VIX, seeing complete INCONSISTENT VIX of spikes mixed with way too many
m1’s that completely suck, it leads to the logical conclusion of algorithm metrics
on top of each other and at odds with each other … in other words, there isn’t
enough VIX to get them in sync for s high probability / profitable trade … and so
here I sit waiting patiently for conditions to improve, and every day it seems they
get worse … it’s not like I’m asking for the world here, simply normal VIX given
the ranges … but when all of the action comes in off hours or in the Asian
session, and we’re left with table scraps from the feast, there isn’t anything I can
do but sit … or get lucky, or lose money … sorry, this isn’t a viable trading model
… that’s the bad news … the good news? … it won’t stay like this for long.
Then there’s oil, where even if Turnkey had their shit together and the spread was
acceptable, watching oil go up/down over hours for 60 cents is an insult to
markets … so while I’m hoping the spread goes back to normal, like tomorrow,
even if it did, I want no part of 60 cent oil ranges … talk about chop and getting
eaten up by the alligators in the swamp, this is it in spades.
No trades again today, and again not for want or lack of effort … can’t trade the
“Stock Bellies” at Turnkey cuz they are rip offs with not only high spreads
relative to other houses, but the slippage is on a par with gold … that’s a recipe
for losses … we simply need slightly better, more consistent VIX in Cable and the
algorithm trades will show up … and they will, this shit goes in cycles, so like I
said, the goods news it won’t last for long … onto tomorrow.
… OUTTA HERE … “The future’s so bright I need 2 pairs of sunglasses 😎😎,
and my own Brinks armored truck” 💓!! … Onward & Upward!!
-vegas
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