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Wednesday, January 10, 2024

WICKED CHOP AHEAD OF BTC ETF APPROVAL

 

“Just approve the “Hoover Dam” ETF and let’s move on!!”

Is there anything the government CAN’T FUCK UP? … well no actually, as

incompetence, stupidity, graft, & corruption to name just a few headlining any

effort at anything … already a “hack” and a fake approval yesterday late in the

day for “shits & giggles”, no doubt setting laughter roaring in the hacker

community … why does anybody with a functioning brain trust any of these

government Morons??


Something has been “gnawing” at me for days on end, and up ‘til last night when

I had a “moment of clarity” in a pit flashback from yesteryear, it was starting to

bug me like an itch that wouldn’t go away … then BOOM! … and suddenly in

seconds it all lays before you and you realize just how fucking stupid you can

be for not seeing it earlier … back in the day, “Spoos” futures were the craziest

shit on earth, and people would walk into the pit from other pits and say to me

something along the lines of, “this shit is wild, how can you trade it? … the

money swings are fucking insane!” … fast forward, and can you not hear the

same of Bitcoin today?


As long as BTCUSDT [Bitcoin] is “quiet”, meaning ranges are shit and trading

action relatively subdued, IQCENT can handle BTC trading and you can scalp

there or day trade easily … but get ANY VIX stirred up at all, and it’s a totally

different story! … it wasn’t that many weeks ago when BTC had a 20 Day Range

MA of less than $500, and price was down in the 25 - 30K area … much different

today! … at most major crypto houses, which are open order book platforms

[OOB], spreads are 1 penny but commissions are 0.12% unless you’re a very

active trader … at current price of around 45K, that means if you trade at

Binance or Phemex you’re gonna pay about $54 to trade 1 BTC, and that

doesn’t include OOB slippage … it makes IQCENT look awesome! … but IQCENT

has changed, and you can’t trade it like you could 6 months ago … about the

only thing you can do now at IQCENT with BTC is “arb scalp” it when

BASIS PREMIUM gets totally ridiculous.


Meanwhile at Coinexx, the commission on BTC is based off the FX model, which

is $1 per side per 100,000 notional, so a round turn [RT] trade in BTC on a 1 lot is

about $0.90 … good enough, but then the spread is about $25 - $35 under

somewhat normal VIX conditions … still a better deal than what traders get at

Phemex or Binance by about a factor of 40% - 50% better … given that the

current NY session 20 Day Range MA is about $1570, that approximate $35

cost to trade = ~ 0.0222 … looking at gold, it comes to about 0.02 - 0.03

depending on slippage … it’s only cuz the dollar money swings are huge do

people sit up and take notice of Bitcoin and label it bat shit crazy [BSC]

… outside of a day or two every 6 months to a year, I don’t hear any of that when

people speak of gold … but the “silent” difference here is that crypto moves and

moves well … if the ranges are there, it doesn’t sit, and the corrective activity

within trends is much better and more conducive to profits than anything gold,

FX, or “Stock Bellies” can give a trader.


There are dozens upon dozens of multiple hundreds of dollar moves in a day in

BTC … most days there ain’t shit in traditional markets, and if they don’t go

straight up/down, there are only 1 maybe 2 chances for corrective activity, and

that’s if you’re lucky … only free markets in crypto offer any chance of trading

activity … so while range is important, what’s more important is VIX and what

volatility is present when you trade it over the expected course of the day's

session activity … for sure there isn’t a higher value market than BTC … so, why

embrace anything less than what BTC gives us? … onto BTC for the PAMM when

this ETF shit is over and done.


I’ll resume normal trading for the PAMM and “The Syndicate” once Idiots in

government approve the Black Rock ETF in Bitcoin, whenever that comes here

shortly … more on BTC in tomorrow’s blog.


… OUTTA HERE … “The future’s so bright I need 2 pairs of sunglasses 😎😎,

and my own Brinks armored truck” 💓!! … Onward & Upward!!


-vegas









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