“After a hard day of buying highs & selling lows, an FX trader heads home!”
I’ve been wondering for weeks when this would show up … and why not,
every other damn thing “tail risk” used to be, is now “normal” … so where is
the day, or God forbid group of days, when there is no range, no liquidity, no
volume, and shit fills from scumbag LP’s? [Hint: How about this week?]
“Dave … Dave … We don’t have a problem do we Dave”?
Again today, and it’s been a trend that has been repeatedly showing up in
EURUSD for weeks, and that is the first half of the European session [4 - 4 ½
hours] is literally “dead” … hell, today for example, until the almost useless
crap reported @8:30 EST came along, EURUSD had less than a 25 PIP range
… “what the hell am I supposed to do with this”? Anything you do, subjects
you to the high/low “strange attractors”, and places any stop, buy or sell, at
risk of getting filled within seconds, at a price you’re not gonna like.
And away we go to the downside, but if you think being short is some
panacea, guess again … the up spikes are just as vicious as the down spikes,
and unless you throw risk management out the window, there’s no way you
can hang on or stay short as it’s rocketing against you, simply cuz you’re
playing “analyst”, instead of trader. Not only has EURUSD seen a large drop
in intraday liquidity and volume this week, the ranges have been terrible
going forward from the European open … very choppy, vicious trading
action, where the scumbag LP banks are doing their level best to hand out shit
fills like candy on Halloween … today no exception.
Only one trade today … again, PAMM up slightly, nothing significant.
The “setup” was good, and I couldn’t ask for a better scenario … I hit the
scumbag LP bank offer when it was quoted at 1.23389, and I got filled at
1.23414 … “would you thieves like some blood too … maybe you could sell that
for extra profit as well? Do I get a salami log roll, or box of candy at Christmas
this year along with that fill”? It took me all of 6 seconds to close the “OK box”,
bring up the liquidation order box and immediately see I was up money
… click, I’m out … as I’ve said before, when you get bent over a railing for
unprotected and unsolicited trading intercourse by the scumbag LP bank, you
look to get out, with any profit, ASAP cuz it most definitely skews your profit
outlook … if I had gotten filled properly, that jump is what I’m looking for to
liquidate upon any sign of weakness in price … it isn’t to be held onto with a
hope & a prayer … from there, time to reevaluate and look for the next
opportunity.
Well, that was the only “setup” worth taking, in my opinion, the entire day
… yes, there were a couple of small rallies, but the down spikes off these bumps
up were really vicious … if you’re a millisecond late, only God knows what
your fill is gonna be, cuz it could be anywhere from 3 - 5 PIPS away from that
price you had your eye on and expected to see.
What bothers me more than anything, is the way EURUSD has been trading
this week … this is the second day in a row I’ve gotten horrible fills from the
scumbag LP’s … “yea, we all know they’re crooks and thieves; everybody knows
that, but today’s 7-11 robbery went beyond their normal Vito Corleone
shakedown, to a level that frosts my cupcake. Yea HAL, we got an F-ing
problem”!
Cuz what the market has done this week so far, is to change the risk/reward
dynamic in its internal trading structure … even though I’ve been right there
on the proper upticks, most of my fills have been off the market on entry or
liquidation. This increase in slippage, is a result of lower volumes and
markedly lower ranges, and the scumbag LP’s are looking for protection from
any and all orders because of their supposed increase in risk by filling an order
and not being able to cover it without losing money … so, to cover that, you get
slippage … and sometimes that slippage is large.
Scanning other markets, trading conditions aren’t any better anyplace else
either … Cable [GBPUSD] has gone to sleep, with small ranges becoming the
norm; stock indices are a joke; gold is an even bigger joke; USDJPY is all over
the place … watching that market for a few minutes, the price gaps are even
worse than EURUSD … so, there isn’t any other market that is escaping the
turmoil of high slippage, low ranges, and rotten fills.
As it is, EURUSD barely had a 60 PIP range today from the extremes up to the
European close … into the afternoon U.S. session we saw new lows … Ok, that
takes us to 70 PIPS, still not that big of a deal when you’re trying to buy the
bottom … if you had tried to buy all the other 5 or 6 bottoms from the
European open, you’re gonna need a 20+ PIP rally on volume to just break
even from the “monkey hammering” from the first 5 or 6. Cuz bottom line is
this: “you can’t keep buying bottoms with no range and expect good results, and
you pretty much have to leave New York afternoon new highs or new lows alone,
cuz if you aren’t right, you’ll get carried out with sizeable losses … and, as I will
remind you again, getting “whacked” is not part of the plan … at least not in my
PAMM. I love to make money as much as the next person, but I don’t “take
shots” … “shots” are for idiots who mostly now lie in the “Trader’s Graveyard”,
and never had a clue to begin with in understanding what trading is really all
about … which is, of course, controlling risk and then identifying “setups” with
high probability of profit”.
Another frustrating day for me, as I sit here and see the brutal carnage in
spikes, both up and down, and wondering when this crap will end … all inside
relatively small daily ranges, which makes things worse cuz it takes literally
nothing in terms of PIPS to get the market nervous and for those high/low
“strange attractors” to start exerting their influence … “and let me tell you, the
scumbag LP banks & large hedge funds will use all of their resources to get you
to do something you don’t want to do, which is to buy the spike up or sell the
spike down cuz you have to cut your loss … they know this, and you end up
adding fuel to your own fire”!
Tomorrow sees nothing of importance on the E.U. docket for release, and for
the U.S. there are housing starts [8:30 EST]and consumer confidence [10:00
EST]; we’ll see if Europoe can do anything coming out of the Asian session
… if so, it would be the first time this week. If not, it’s another case of “hurry
up & wait” ‘till New York gets going with the first batch of reports, starting
with housing starts.
Add it all up, and it’s another day of small profits … not thrilled about it, but
it comes with the territory … the important issue is “up money & equity”. I’m
sure there are plenty of others who would trade places with us right now, no
questions asked. In any event, we’ll see what tomorrow brings … I’m outta
here … until tomorrow mi amigos … Onward & Upward!!
PAMM spreadsheet directly below.
Have a great day everybody!
-vegas
OUR TURNKEY FOREX “PAMM/MAM” IS NOW OPEN AND
OPERATIONAL; SEE “PAMM/MAM MONEY PROGRAM” IN
“DOWNLOAD LINKS” SECTION IN RIGHT HAND COLUMN
FOR DETAILS [VIEW ONLINE AND/OR DOWNLOAD] AND
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