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Friday, April 14, 2023

THE CASINO RESTS

 

“Once in, never out? … like that’s a bad thing!!?”

“In a universe far, far away!”  … that’s the takeaway I remember from FX futures

trading way back in the day, way before government central bank manipulators

got involved … quite frankly, back then the world’s major dollar pairs traded like

Bitcoin does today … born free so to speak … born to run free, as free as the

wind blows … nothing like the complete bullshit we see today, where TBTF

scumbag banks run the show on behalf of Apparatchiks with agendas

… welcome to the maze! … once in, never out, but who wants to be “out”?

… back then, weekends were the saddest 2 days of the week!


In 1992 the Nazi lover and collaborator, one George Soros of now infamous

Libtard fame, bet so heavily against the BOE, where he was short Cable and long

the D-Mark that he almost bankrupted the BOE when John Major’s Tory

government decided against joining the E.U. and give up Pound sovereignty

… that ushered in a little over 2 decades of FX volatility that left many a trader

[me as well] thinking FX could never go “sleepytime” or die on the vine … and

then came January 2015 and the EURCHF clusterfark … and that was a game

changer, cuz from that date on, central banks clamped down on FX volatility

“bigly & yuge”, and we’re still seeing the ramifications of that to this day … take

any FX pair and simply look at the monthly chart since 2015 versus the monthly

charts before 2015 … not even close to the same kind of market.


And so here we are back to the one FX pair, not even Coinexx can fuck up … I

mean, they’ll try to be sure, cuz like Biden, they FUBAR everything they touch

… stay away from big reports and central bank interest rate decisions and most

likely conditions will be OK … every day sees a host of ECB Apparatchiks on the

wires attempting to influence EURUSD opinion and price levels, but long ago the

market stopped paying attention to these Asshats … the main advantage of

trading EURUSD, is arguably its got the lowest cost to trade on the board,

roughly 0.3 - 0.4 PIPS total cost [spread + commissions] … and not incidentally,

IQCENT matches favorably with total cost of 0.1 - 0.3 PIPS! … BUT WHAT

SEPARATES THEM FROM THE CROWD at places like Coinexx [or other houses],

is they offer much higher leverage for those who want it, currently 500 : 1 … I

don’t recommend utilizing leverage that high, but like I said yesterday, it does

give aggressive traders a Helluva lot more flexibility … so, even if you dislike

binary options, OTC binary options, and/or crypto [can’t figure this one out, cuz

money is money], IQCENT IS STILL THE PLACE TO BE TO TRADE FX, especially

the dollar pairs … even in non dollar crosses, their total cost to trade is

favorable with others, and you still get the same high leverage, although

USDJPY is “only” 300 : 1 … and, if someday you “see the light” and decide to

trade crypto pairs cuz the cost to trade is, for all intents & purposes,  ZERO,

and given the VIX and ranges, it’s waiting for you patiently! 


Take the bullshit of retail sales and add a bigger pile with consumer sentiment,

and you got “lightning in a bottle” hit FX, followed natch by “Crickets” … well, it

is Friday, and quite frankly nobody gives a shit most Fridays so there’s that to

consider … overnight to retail sales an utter trading graveyard, with EURUSD

only seeing a whopping 30 PIP range … and didn’t the scumbag bank LP’s sure

screw somebody on the retail sales release? … it’s who they are and what they

do, so nobody in my house is shocked by it.


No trades today for the PAMM … EURUSD “Trading Ratio” [TR] below 3 the entire

day, dragging along near 2.5 and even under that at times … and that means it’s

not worth trading … not surprised on a Friday, and after a nice run higher as well

from the 1.06 level to today’s thieving high of 1.10710 … post retail sales,

absolutely NADA on the upside, with almost ALL on the downside in terms of

trading action … I’m not a dollar bull, and while the market does need somewhat

of a rest / break, today’s downside momentum does kind of surprise me, as it’s a

one-way street … quite frankly, this is why I developed the TR, cuz it shows the

trading volatility of a pair and takes into account both up & down action … when

it’s below 3, it means there isn’t enough “oomph” in the market if the trend is

against the side you’re attempting to trade … EURUSD is in a longer term bull

mode, so I don’t want to be short or trade it from the short side … I’m looking for

long signals, and today’s action sure as Hell didn’t give any … there were some

underneath the trend down, but the TR shows it’s not worth pursuing cuz it’s too

poor, and looking at today’s m1 chart you’ll see that’s the case … in any event,

I’ll pick it up again come Monday’s Asian session.


A different story in Bitcoin … a good, solid rally out of the gate in Asia, and most

of the day’s range put in before China even opened … multiple trades in BTC for

“The Syndicate”, and we’re UP APPROXIMATELY 0.8% … love this market, and

now that we’re over at IQCENT, I love it even more!


Moving into the New York afternoon, and this defines drifting lower price action

in FX going into a weekend … comments from a FED PIE HOLE and rates

climbing … and it looks very much like the FED put the kibosh on gold and silver,

with the “Rally Protection Team” [RPT] going full retard “Thelma & Louise” on

price to the downside, and that’s spilling over into FX and creating sell side

pressure, and most likely some long liquidations … again, not surprising after a

400+ PIP move up in EURUSD … ranges not bad across the board, but again the

TR’s stink, and from my perspective looking at EURUSD it’s worse than other FX

pairs … blog update on Sunday.


… OUTTA HERE … “The future’s so bright I need 2 pairs of sunglasses 😎😎,

and my own Brinks armored truck” 💓!! … Onward & Upward!! 


-vegas



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