What’s going on in USDJPY is concisely and brilliantly elucidated in a short article
posted today over on ZH … couldn’t have been better written if I had done it myself
… the link directly below.
https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/move-big-deal-yen-tumbles-after-boj-
intervenes-cap-jgb-yields-amid-global-selloff
Key resistance areas are 125 & 135 for USDJPY, and if 135 gives way, you have to
go back to the pre 2000 internet, electronic trading era, when “pits” ruled the
world … talk about a currency meltdown, this isn’t some third world shithole here
… no, this is the highly industrialized shithole of Japan, the home of QE, funny
money, and the insane MMT [Modern Monetary Theory] of “Peter Pan” Kuroda
… shit is getting very real here quickly!
We started the day off in the Asian session where yields on the 10 YR. Treasury
skyrocketed … Kuroda showed up and put a ceiling on 10 YR JGB’S AT 0.25%,
THUS CHOOSING YIELD CURVE CONTROL OVER THE YEN FX RATE … and all
Hell proceeded to break forth to the upside culminating in a 300+ PIP rally to over
125, in the last hour of the Asian session … more than a mini melt up, this was a
true blowout … and since then U.S. yields have fully backtracked back down to
where the day started … this should cause some heartburn for any newly
positioned longs above 124, but panic knows no common sense! … so much for
the “slow Monday theory”! … here at mid morning in New York, about an hour
into the criminal NYSE money laundering operation, commonly known as “daily
trading of Stonks”, yields are trying to get below Friday’s closing level … in
theory this should see YEN buying [USDJPY lower], but in this FOMO panic
atmosphere it’s not having much of an affect [for now] … yes, the overriding trend
for yields is higher, but today’s reversal kinda pulls the rug out from underneath
USDJPY longs to see more gains … I mean c’mon, we already got a massive blow
off 300+ PIP range today … who’s looking for an extension of the range on the
upside now? … add to this the ”classic” Asian session types [Chuckleheads &
Mrs. Watanabe & Gal Pals] who ALWAYS buy the high AND/OR sell the low
… “how ya feelin’ now?”
I’m not exactly thrilled with the technical picture of USDJPY either … up 14 of the
last 16 trading days, over 1,000 PIPS! … today’s blow off top at the end of the
Asian session, the cherry on top of the cupcake … more than likely we’re due for
some tests of the highs into the 124’s that fail, and more consolidation chop for a
very rough trade over the next few weeks into Easter Holiday [April 17 this year
… yes, very late!] … IMHO, we got more downside long liquidations to come
… nothing serious just some shakeouts … if we just go ramping back up through
125 with no problems, it’s gonna be an ugly end when we get there … very ugly.
“Asia flies, the rest of the world dies!” … none more so than today … oil, BTC, and
YEN going bat shit crazy [BSC], before dying into Europe and then the U.S.
session … what the Hell is left? … the day over before it began, but did get one
algo buy signal in USDJPY … TURNKEY PAMM UP SLIGHTLY … meanwhile, BTC
can’t do shit outside the Asian session … go figure … the world is full of surprises
ain’t it? … can we get a decent trading day, or does everything have to be FUBAR
24/5? … I’m beginning to wonder … onto tomorrow.
… outta here … “The future’s so bright I need sunglasses”!! 😎😎
… Onward & Upward!!
-vegas
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