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Monday, March 14, 2022

FED WEEK … HURRY UP & WAIT FOR WEDNESDAY

 

“FED Lounge Lizards announce themselves for the March 2022 meeting!”

And yes, thanks for asking, I’m feeling fine … will they or won’t they, and by

how much? … whatever it is, I’m sure they’ll twist themselves into pretzels for a

FUBAR explanation … Oh, and don’t forget, they gotta plan for the next

government mandated “crisis” or “pandemic hoax”, so there’s that to consider.


But for right now, all POL eyes are on Ukraine … not for the pain, suffering, &

dying … that’s for the TV cameras … nope, gotta send more “AID”, specifically

weapons, cuz that’s where the POLS, their fam members, and their biz cronies all

get filthy rich off of kickbacks, crooked “no bid” government defense contracts,

and commissions … both parties, not just the Libtards … got to keep the war

going to keep the weapons shipments moving, cuz that means MONEY! … SORRY

if I’m the one that had to break it to you if you didn’t know, it’s the way of

“The Swamp”.


Turning to markets today … gold at Turnkey a major disappointment, as the

scumbag HFT LP’s can’t seem to make a legit & honest market, expecting us to

pay upwards of almost a dollar for a bid / offer spread … what bullshit … they’ve

completely ruined oil CFD’s for a generation, I guess gold is next on their greed

agenda … makes no senses but they do it anyway, simply cuz they don’t want

anybody to scalp the market on their watch, cuz quite frankly they aren’t liquidity

providers, they’re “market makers”.


EURUSD with a decent range today, but as so often is happening in dollar pairs

these days, it’s straight up and/or down for hours on end, and we end up getting

shafted on signals … today sees that in EURUSD first on the upside coming out

of the European open, then on the downside … not until you start to approach

the “London Fix” is there any real trading … I spent a lot of the weekend taking

another look at EURJPY, which lately [last few years] has lost steam it enjoyed

earlier in the 2000’s … although it lacks the ranges of GBPJPY, it makes up for that

with the lowest consistent bid/offer spread of a non dollar cross, coming in around

half a PIP, and if the Yen can just not DIE [I know, a big “IF”], and keep ranges

above the 55 - 60 PIP range area for a 20 Day Range MA OR HIGHER, then EURJPY

can give us something that right now is lacking in the dollar pairs … and that’s

“trading” … as long as the Yen just moves a “little bit”, the ranges + signals from

EURJPY come more often and we see more of them … quite frankly, I don’t see a

downside to trading EURJPY versus EURUSD … 3 out of the 4 scenarios favor the

cross, while only YEN going Up / EUR going down is the least likely scenario right

now unless the war footing with Russia / Ukraine takes a turn for the worse and

things escalate … oil and gold, at least right now, are saying that isn’t likely and

there’s been very heavy liquidation in commodities … and while I’m quick to

defend either trading dollar pairs long or short and staying there, it’s more

complicated in the non dollar crosses cuz there’s obviously no dollar component

… either EUR is rising against the YEN, or the YEN is rising against the EUR

… it’s a “risk on / risk off” equation where EUR goes higher with “risk off” and

YEN goes higher pretty much solo via “risk on” … granted, there are days they

move together, when there’s broad dollar strength or weakness, but that’s

something that has to be endured to get more signals more consistently

… tonight sees me in EURJPY, where we’re likely to stay … I just don’t see the

disadvantages consistently outweighing the advantages for us, and it can be

traded both long & short.


Only one algorithm buy signal today in EURUSD for the TURNKEY PAMM

… UP SLIGHTLY … given the range & better VIX of late, we should have had more.


Over in crypto, BTC still a trading disaster … for over 2 weeks now, outside of

one day, it’s been toiny ranges and bullshit action … all I can do is wait for better

trading conditions.


… outta here … “The future’s so bright I need sunglasses”!! 😎😎

… Onward & Upward!!


-vegas



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