“Taliban Joe”, the moron who shuts down oil & gas drilling in the U.S., and cancels
a pipeline from Canada, is now begging the Saudi’s to pump more oil … is there
anything this Dope has gotten right in the 50 years he’s been in “The Swamp”?
… of course the answer is NO, but I find it hilariously ironic he claims he wants
more oil, but does everything he can to shut it down … but hey, 81 million votes,
right? … and I’m pretty sure everyone in OPEC+, from the Saudi’s to Vlad, are
LOL at his stupidity … when Vlad smells “blood in the water” he acts … when
“Taliban Joe” smells blood he checks his diaper.
Turning to our markets for today … well, that escalated quickly in crude oil didn’t
it? … a market that woke up this morning and thought it was Bitcoin … it ain’t!
… very sharp moves both UP & DOWN, and then vicious corrective moves the
other way … as I’ve often said, the trading algorithm isn’t designed to “pick
bottoms”, it’s designed to pinpoint “buy fuel” about ready to be unleashed with
a very high probability … of course, buy fuel shows up at “V” shaped bottoms
that then scream, but those who attempt to buy bottoms in traditional markets
[like oil] when price is plummeting, end up with handfuls of shit … cuz when it
keeps going lower after that “ONE M1” that rallied and then tanks again, there
goes your account, or a sizeable part of it … today sees a “double reversal” in
crude, with the second reversal doing what they usually do, and that’s go
nowhere! … cuz when I saw that new screaming high, and the correction after it,
crude had one chance to show me it had the potential to go higher, and it failed
miserably … welcome to double & triple reversals when they show up … they are
not a traders friend by any means, but quite the opposite … unless they can
prove themselves, you got to leave them alone, cuz if you don’t all that’s left is
chop and losing trades … and remember, we got a 3 cent spread to climb over,
so a tiny pop of 10 cents isn’t gonna do us any good, we need bigger fish … and
since the double reversal has been put in, crude has been in chop mode doing
NADA! … see my shocked face! … the order book wiped clean heading to the
afternoon, and the trade is wicked choppy, taking no prisoners no matter what
side you trade from, long or short … a couple hours later into mid afternoon, and
it’s worse than I had thought it would be, but when you wipe out the order book
on both sides, don’t expect “Noobs” trading oil to rush back in for more pain
… again, without specs driving order flow, what's an oil company or refiner to do?
Quite frankly, while the entire world is bullish on crude, it’s way too early for price
to be vaulting through the $80 - $82 level in WTI on cold weather fears … we’re still
over 2 months away from the calendar start of Winter! … granted supplies are low,
but specs are already long and getting longer-er-er by the day, which only means
a “washing out” is coming … and if the weather does cooperate, a bigger washing
than those who remain long are bargaining for at a minimum … and today’s double
reversal in price, which wouldn’t take much by the close to be a “triple reversal” to
the downside, is an indication to me that we’ve reached a short term top … now,
that could easily change with a word or two from Vlad, or the Saudi’s, or even more
stupidity than normal from idiot POLS like “Taliban Joe”, or the weather doesn’t
cooperate and an arctic blast or two is in the cards, thus ushering in another
spike higher very quickly … but, the history of double & triple reversals is not
good for traders, cuz the vast majority of the time they make that new high or low,
and then go nowhere or retrace, and then leave traders stuck at the mercy of
scumbag LP’s … and when it comes to putting a boot on your throat, there are
none better than scumbag LP’s in a choppy market that won’t cooperate at all,
and oh btw, enjoy some slippage pie as well!
No trades today in the Turnkey PAMM, simply cuz we got no buy signals off of
the “V” shaped bottoms, which the algorithm isn’t designed to capture … and
most of the time bottoms in crude aren’t “V” shaped … of course they can be, as
today highlights perfectly, but they don’t make up a good percentage of bottoms
that are reliable for profitability … the big problem with “V” shaped bottoms is
that there’s no criteria for the move off the bottom that says, “YUP, it’s the
bottom!, nor is there any indication of the scope of what comes next … cuz if you
chase bottoms up, you end up buying the corrective high, and now what? … so,
it is what it is, and I just move onto tomorrow.
Meanwhile over in crypto, BTC for its part spending most of the day acting like
corn spreads … talk about dull, into the afternoon in New York and we’re [so far]
over $1,000 in range from the 20 Day Range MA, but the market is attempting to
go lower after a multiple day runup … still, you gotta remember that in BTC, on a
“dull” day the M1’s will average for their ranges somewhere in the $70 - $80 area,
and on an active “fire breathing” dragon kind of day, they will average over $130+!
… so when I say BTC is “dull” it’s still 50X - 200X more volatile than the other crap
on the MT4 / MT5, which can’t move to save its sorry ass life … “The Syndicate”
today UP APPROXIMATELY 0.7% from multiple trades in BTC … look for higher
returns as I’m now ready to move higher volumes into the mix … right now I’m
preparing a project I’ve mentioned briefly before, and that should wrap up at the
end of the month … after that, I’ll be posting a weekly results history for “The
Syndicate”, as well as for the PAMM … and that right now is of higher importance
… but no worries, it’s coming! … more details to follow in the days ahead, so stay
tuned! … and tomorrow sees the blog focus, yet again on BTC, and specifically
why it’s so “Hoover Dam” profitable to trade it.
… outta here … “the future looks so “crudely” bright, I need sunglasses”! 😎
… Onward & Upward!!
-vegas
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