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Tuesday, July 18, 2023

LEARNING TO LOVE FAILURE

 

“Losing trades & missed opportunities … exchange for information!!”

You lose money trading cuz 1) your trading model [algorithm] failed and gave

a “false positive”, OR 2) you engaged in some form of “stupid shit” … if you

know your algorithm “inside & out”, you will know and understand where and

when it’s most vulnerable … every algorithm has AT LEAST ONE LIMITATION,

& QUITE POSSIBLY A WHOLE HELLUVA LOT MORE … the “Super Scalper

Algorithm” needs VIX, & therefore a “Trading Ratio” [TR] of at least 2.7

… anything under that and fugetaboutit! … for NDX100 & Bitcoin, this isn’t a

problem … you also need to be able to execute trades under conditions that

are most favorable … for Bitcoin that’s trading at IQCENT where the spread is

1 penny and there are no commissions … there are a lot of houses where you

can trade NDX100 at around a 0.7 index point spread when the NYSE is open

[9:30 AM EST - 4 PM EST] … and if you have a house that you’re comfortable

with trading NDX100, great … why I like IQCENT, is the fact that for marginable

leverage they give you 500:1 leverage for accounting purposes … that’s a lot of

rope for anybody, and you can be as aggressive as you wish! … I don’t know of

any other house that gives that high of leverage for stock indices … taken

together as a “Plan A & B”, IQCENT allows this option to be viable … I don’t

know of another house that does.


Learn from “stupid shit” … “stupid shit” = valuable information that can prevent

it from recurring … everybody at some point does “stupid shit” … yours truly is

right at the top of the list … remember it, don’t do it again, and “let it go!” move

on Skippy!


The biggest killer of missed opportunity is THINKING while trading … quite

frankly, the algorithm has done all of the thinking already, my [your] job is to

“just do it” … yesterday a perfect example in the NDX100, where rotten data

from overnight with the ChiComs has indices throttled … how can it rally?

… and then it does, in spades, with the New York afternoon ripping shorts to

pieces … and along the way some great algo buy signals … and when you sit

back and think about the day when it’s over, before letting it go and moving on,

you realize that for decades everybody and their pet rabbits have been

screaming DEPRESSION & STOCK MARKET CRASH … AGAIN! … and outside

of the COVID HOAX, all of the Wall Street “experts” get it wrong almost 100%

of the time … and more importantly, looking at the data, the “88/6/6” paradigm

of trading in stock indices is alive and well and ain’t goin’ away anytime soon!

… there is no other market complex that gives LONGS more favorable

advantage than U.S. stock indices [DOW30, SP500, & NDX100] … NONE, not

even close!


And yet, your brain starts finding reasons not to jump on the “rally train” as it’s

leaving the station … “oh, but what about that overnight bad data?” … yea, what

about it? … nobody cares!, and price rising is telling you that … and as a short

term trader, you have to pick up on this … the world loves tech “Stonks” and the

news doesn’t matter after about 3 minutes … and the BTFD-ers are always

waiting and lurking around, as well as the “Plunge Protection Team” [PPT] to

screw shorts unmercifully … unless the ticker tape is telling you it’s going down,

IT AIN’T!


Turning to today’s “Slots-A-Rama” inside the “Stock Bellies” pavilion inside the

world’s most corrupt and rigged casino, the day’s econ highlights are retail sales

at 8:30 AM EST … Vampire Squid [GS] looking for a “big miss” to the downside,

so you know they’re positioning their “Muppets” for slaughter.


Well, that escalated quickly didn’t it? … the “du jour” let’s screw news traders

comes & goes … a double reversal here at Noon … sure, why not … double / triple /

??? / why not in the freight train that only knows one way to go, except when

they clean out longs for the hustle … I shouldn’t be surprised, but I am … good

grief, what a bunch of delusional FUBAR markets … THE FINANCIAL BUBBLE IS

BEING REFLATED QUICKLY!


I said earlier you need decent execution … maybe I should have reread that line

on my first trade today … how long have I been in this biz? … just stunk the joint

up … multiple NDX100 trades today,  PAMM DOWN A LITTLE MORE THAN 0.1%

… the trading algorithm was brilliant … I wasn’t … No trades for “The Syndicate”

today … onto tomorrow.


… OUTTA HERE … “The future’s so bright I need 2 pairs of sunglasses 😎😎,

and my own Brinks armored truck” πŸ’“!! … Onward & Upward!! 


-vegas



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