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Wednesday, July 5, 2023

COCAINE IN THE WH … WHO EXACTLY IS SURPRISED?

 

“He’s the smartest guy I know!!”

Is he really this stupid? … or is this a ‘false flag” plant by somebody else looking

to shove Biden out the door? … where’s Kammy, the “Manchurian

Candidate” word salad VP and any of her staff of Dimwits? … who had access

to the area where it was found, and who was in the WH via logs? … no worries,

though, the crack Gestapo agents who harass parents at school board meetings

will surely get to the bottom of it! … sometime in 2026 … just another “nail in the

coffin” for Biden, who’s gonna have a tough time convincing anybody he’s in

control of anything … cocaine in the White House … see my not so shocked face!


The casino comes out of a 4 day weekend, and at least through the Asian session,

not anything to show for it … Europe opens and Cable / Yen gets monkey

hammered right out of the gate for about 30 minutes, and then it’s the usual

“we ran out of gas” selling we’ve seen lately … and that means it’s time for the

sloooooow crawl up into the U.S. session … this is the 4th trading in a row where

trading action in GBPJPY is psychotic inside a very tight range … and this

highlights a problem with crosses sometimes, to a much more prevalent extent

than dollar pairs, of when does the wind shift? … in other words, it’s always best

to trade from the “easy side” of the equation of long / short cuz it’s the side

where money is made the easiest and fastest … OK you say, and how do I

determine that exactly? … well as Bill S. so aptly put it, “there’s the rub” … and

what you realize very quickly, or should, is that you’re not walking on flat

ground, but on curved space in a probability distribution curve of Gaussian

parameters [ohhh shit!, math!!] … and no matter how hard you try,

it’s inescapable.


And when things tighten up, meaning ranges shrink and the chop sets in,

separating random bank bullshit [meaning rip off mystery tick order fills] from

the start of a move can be very tricky … like I said, it’s a distributive curve

whether you like it or not … sure, if Cable / Yen had Bitcoins range every day

[and believe me it used to!] it would be a slam dunk … but central banks won’t

let that happen anymore … from the start of GBPJPY trading in electronic

format to the ‘08 financial crisis it did trade like Bitcoin … post January 2015

EURCHF debacle, and it’s a completely different story.


STIRS no help today, as the 2 YR T-Note firmly stuck right around 4.91% … and

while BOJ Apparatchiks give verbal warnings about intervention, it’s a hollow

threat unless USDJPY rallies while the other major dollar pairs rally as well, and

specs pile in for some of that “easy money” … and central bankers hate this with

a burning passion … “how dare you make money off our policy stupidity!” … on

the other hand, who really knows with a group of insane central bankers? … as

long as U.S. yields stay “sticky high” and/or go higher, USDJPY going lower looks

& feels like a very big losing proposition.


Over the Holiday weekend, I worked on a problem specific to Miss Gimpy … she

needed help on putting a face to Bitcoin FOMO panic on the upside, and sheer

panic fear on the downside … specifically, does the market give us any hints as

to support / resistance numbers on moves so she doesn’t get out too soon?

… [“well, if that’s all you want, why didn’t you say so earlier!?”] … and the answer

is “YES”, and while in a free market like BTC I can see it in my head unfolding

before my eyes, I fully recognize many would find a “visual aid” more than helpful

… in fact, it becomes easier to visualize and remember when you see it unfold

… and if you think of GBPJPY as a quasi crypto pair, there’s usually enough VIX

to make it function well there as well … only thing it needs is some slight

modification of the parameters cuz of the large price differential … and so, I did

that as well … the Bitcoin [BTCUSDT] aid for anybody trading Bitcoin [I’ll do

Ethereum this weekend cuz I know some like that pair as well], e.g., “The Mrs.”,

& Miss Gimpy, as well as for “The Syndicate”, and the GBPJPY aid for the

PAMM … I should have it all wrapped up for publication & release come

Sunday’s blog update.


It was a slow return to trading day for the world … Cable a pathetic range, and

not much better in YEN … 4th trading day in a row of very sick trading action,

where just when you think something in terms of price can make a move, BOOM!,

it changes direction faster than Biden falling down stairs … only 1 algorithm buy

signal trade for the PAMM today … UP SLIGHTLY … OVER IN BTC,

“The Syndicate” UP SLIGHTLY AS WELL … a very tough day in both spaces

… onto tomorrow.  


… OUTTA HERE … “The future’s so bright I need 2 pairs of sunglasses 😎😎,

and my own Brinks armored truck” 💓!! … Onward & Upward!! 


-vegas



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