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Tuesday, June 13, 2023

WHY SHOULD TODAY’S DATA BE BELIEVED?

 

“Sure, I’ll believe government data! … when pigs start flying!!”

Now that everybody is long cuz inflation will be dead come 8:30 AM EST, who’s

left to buy? … everybody and their pet rabbit looking for whisper numbers on CPI

to sigma beat to the downside … never underestimate the ability of large groups

of people to do more “stupid shit” in large quantities! … brace for impact … new

ATH’s for “Stock Bellies” by the end of the year!


Well, that escalated quickly didn’t it? … not quite the low number everybody

thought it would be … call it a “happy number”, Wall Street loves labeling shit

like this for their “Muppets” … and it surely won’t stop “Stock Bellies” and the

FOMO chasing crowd, but it looks like STIRS will be “sticky high” for some time

to come … until the FED Lounge Lizards go in and start buying STIRS shoving

yields lower, and then the “Bubble 2.0”: can start again with fresh vigor, just in

time for the 2024 election cycle.


“Stock Bellies” long ago gave up any semblance to reality, it’s simply a casino

board game with 0DTE options and “gamma squeezes” for the masses .. in other

words, roulette for the “edumacated”! … those in the lower half of American life

need not apply … so far, USDJPY looks and feels like it wants to go lower, but

nobody is pulling the trigger … “hey, you go first, OK?” … and so we sit above

support that’s held for about 3+ weeks … I’m guessing the 2 YR. Treasury Note is

gonna need to break the 4.48% yield floor for USDJPY to go “Thelma & Louise”,

and so far it ain’t doin’ it … question is, do the manipulators do it in New York

trading or do the ChiComs do it for them in the overnight Asian session?


Meanwhile, in the cable TV sitcom known as real life in the D.C. Swamp, the

Burisma big shot isn’t as dumb as the Biden’s thought he’d be … nothing I’d

rather listen to than Biden on tape taking a bribe and selling out the U.S. for

cash … he saw the “action” the Clinton Crime Family was getting with all of

Cankles pet projects raking in the illegal cash, and figured it was a slam dunk

for his crooked family in a shithole known as Ukraine, especially with a

completely compliant, in the tank MSM … what could possibly go wrong?

… prison is too good for this Traitor!


Back in fantasy land, rates suddenly shoot higher, “Stock Bellies” go full retard

basket of kittens on meth to the upside, and the dollar rallies … sure, makes

perfect sense, if you’re insane … “wait, I thought the CPI came in “happy”

… why are rates rising then? … shhh! … don’t tell anybody about “the math” on

Trillions upon Trillions of new spending.”


Don’t look now, but the roller coaster STIRS of ±10 bps moves, 3 inside about 2

hours [yields up / down / up], which I can’t remember the last time this happened,

has led to temporary insanity in FX fantasy land, especially USDJPY … the

trained lab monkeys go nuts over free bananas when the bell rings, and let the

panic begin … straight down / straight up, what’s it matter? … now stuck in the

familiar chop of bullshit FX is famous for most of the time … it’ll only change

when the manipulator central banks are driven from the market, and that ain’t

happening anytime soon.


I feel like I’m on an FX merry-go-round of bullshit … pretty much everything

that’s supposed to make sense doesn’t, and just when you think correlations

should be working but don’t or vice-versa, you want to get off but the speed of

the merry-go-round will kill you if you get off, OR, you won’t be able to get back

on when you want to … to that end, then there’s Coinexx and dealing with the

thieving LP’s they got … not so much in major FX, but in everything else that

makes you stay on the merry-go-round! … ranges in FX have started to soften,

irrespective of today, and so expect the thieving via slippage to get worse as the

Summer goes on … to that end, I feel that I have no choice but to move the

PAMM trading back over to GBPJPY, cuz it’s got the greater ranges with a

half-decent spread … back testing the alternative algorithm shows that just

following it yields the highest results in GBPJPY from about 5 AM EST onward

towards the middle to end of the NYSE day … quite frankly, 1) we can’t trade the

CFD’s cuz they suck so badly, and 2) looking at the cross and the 2 components,

the components don’t give us any advantage over the cross, so why not just go

with the cross and deal with the warts & blemishes there? … this

“Whack-A-Mole” bullshit has got to end, and with this move I plan on ending it!

… while the components go straight up / straight down, the cross isn’t nearly as

bad, although it’s got its moments as well … but hey, so what? … how can it be

any worse than now in either of the major pairs making up the cross? … so, I’ll

deal with the blemishes & warts and hope the pig has plenty of lipstick on so

as to not make me cry when I kiss it! … no trades today for the PAMM, but that’ll

change tomorrow I can promise you.


Over @ IQCENT, Bitcoin still stuck in mud, so “The Syndicate” is trading the

“Spoos” [SP500] … 0.4 - 0.5 index point spread, no commissions, 500:1 leverage,

and I haven’t suffered any slippage as of yet that I can see … what’s not to like?

… too bad Coinexx can’t do the same, but thieving LP’s make that impossible for

scalping … multiple trades today, and “”The Syndicate” is UP APPROXIMATELY

0.3% … SHOULD HAVE DONE SLIGHTLY BETTER, but hindsight is always 20/20

… onto tomorrow and the FED Lounge Lizards from the Reichstag with an

interest rate decision at 2 PM EST … pretty much a done deal for a “pause”,

but we’ll see.


… OUTTA HERE … “The future’s so bright I need 2 pairs of sunglasses 😎😎,

and my own Brinks armored truck” 💓!! … Onward & Upward!!


-vegas



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