Unreal … what else is there to say? … VIX one day so bat shit crazy [BSC] you
can’t even measure it, it’s so high … the next day it’s so low, it’s barely above
ZERO … events flying by we’ve not seen in decades! … ho hum … spreads
blown out at random, and slippage increased to not allow traders to take short
term profits under 5 PIPS, without wondering whether or not you’re gonna get
hosed … then we get the 40 - 50 PIP range in 8+ hours, where spikes from Hell
[UP & DOWN] are all over the place, and bid/offer quotes can be literally
anywhere within 1 second of each other … and through it all, not a single
advantage for us as traders, and every bit the avalanche of advantages for the
scumbag bank LP.
Some frickin’ deal isn’t it? … and today couldn’t be more 180 from yesterday if
you scripted it … and as an added bonus, since there is ZIP, ZILCH, ZERO, &
NADA for liquidity & volume in FX, and everything of significance from a volume
perspective is being front run by scumbag banks via their offshore ILLEGAL
prop accounts, the entire market structure is nothing but spikes from Hell
followed by “crickets”, until the next time … we’ve had a literal ton of buy signals
in Cable, and every single “Hoover Dam” one of them blown through by spikes to
the upside, where if you click the buy button, you’re gonna get filled at the top
wherever that finally happens to be … then when the order is screwed, it’s back
down at the speed of light … quite frankly, this can’t be traded in its present form
without a terrible reward / risk ratio nobody would accept unless they’re nuts.
Meanwhile, crude can’t hit, or even come close to its 20 Day Range MA, and the
trading action is anything but stellar … early on in Europe, barely acceptable is
more like it, but with a high relative spread to other markets, barely acceptable
isn’t gonna cut the mustard … it’s early yet, a long way to go, but so far
disappointing [gee, that never happens] … I’d like to see better ranges and
trading action in the European morning than what we’re seeing … more on crude
later … USDJPY is simply a joke … “crawl, crawl, crawl, WHAP!, here’s your fill
… enjoy … now go back to sleep … and what we’re left with is EURUSD, which
although not as bat shit crazy [BSC] as Cable, its VIX CONSISTENCY is one
Helluva lot better than Cable’s … and at the end of the discussion, everything
hinges around VIX CONSISTENCY, cuz it’s what you need to know in order to
properly trade a market … it simply does us no good in any FX pair whatsoever
to see down 500 PIPS, UP 600 PIPS, then DOWN 200 PIPS, in about 4 -5 hours,
then the next day we can’t get Cable to move 25 PIPS from a median price over 8+
hours to save its STINKIN’ LIFE! … until of course Europe closes and the poker
game continues with JPM & Squid, and rates suddenly rise straight up the wall
… somebody enlighten me, how the FRICK do you trade that!? … EASY PEEZEE:
“you can’t!”
The big problem with today’s trade, and it surfaced in multiple markets [not crude
though], is the “dead cat bounce” effect right out of the gate with the
Chuckleheads & Mrs. Watanabe & Gal Pals in the Asian session … and this early
session group of rallies has a very high probability of not being sustained … so
what happens? … it stays elevated all frickin’ day AND WON’T BREAK until AFTER
THE EUROPEAN CLOSE … well, isn’t that convenient? … and natch, with the
Dumbo Europeans out of the picture, rates can rise to near 4% on the 10 YR.
Treasury, and here we go lower … LOWER that should have happened much,
much earlier … manipulated much?
I set out today looking specifically at crude oil, and while lately the daily ranges
have come in some, it’s still between $3.75 - $4, which ain’t chopped liver by any
means … as I have stated many times, the critical key to crude is what kind of
spread are you getting, with most houses being absolute crap … Turnkey has
had their moments of infamous glory, but on their VPS server, the spread & latency
is about as good as it gets … until today that is, but it was simply the feed leaking
from the regular MT4 over into the VPS … and that technical problem getting fixed
took all day, right into NOON EST in New York … so while there were some
“muy bueno” algorithm signals in crude, we couldn’t take any of ‘em unless I
wanted to pay Vito Corleone an extra 2 or 3 cents a barrel PLUS SLIPPAGE
… thanks Vito, I’ll wait for the IT fix on the server … can I make a college football
bet in the meantime? … and for the record, crude was no “great shakes” today,
putting in a range that was about 25% lower than its 20 Day Range MA, so it’s
not like we missed the crude oil Olympics or something in terms of price
movement … and while unfortunate, it got fixed and things are back to normal
… shit happens and I can’t blame everything on Turnkey.
The lesson here I think is obvious … even when crude is less than normal, it’s
still better than the other shit infecting the MT4 and subject to bank manipulation
cuz they are all backed by central bank QE CNTRL-P machines … can’t deliver or
produce a barrel of crude oil with QE … largest physical commodity market the
world over, where EVERY COUNTRY USES IT AND IS INTERESTED IN ITS PRICE
… can’t say that about FX.
I’m trying to keep a “bright face” on things, so our PAMM yacht is out of the
harbor, but today we had some issues with port and starboard engines and some
main sails … had to get them fixed … they eventually were, so we’re sitting here at
dusk ready to hit the ocean voyage at dawn tomorrow to pick up our EXXON
VALDEZ tanker filled with cash … when there are issues, you got no choice but to
get them fixed cuz it’s in your best interests … this is no different, although it’s not
like I had a choice in the matter … either give Vito extra “vig” or wait … Vito ain’t
getting extra “vig” … one day does not matter, so it’s onto tomorrow for crude!
… now that we’re back live on the VPS server, the spread is 2 cents with an
occasional 3 cents on the fringe … RT commissions are about 0.15 cents per
barrel, so not an issue at all … here at mid afternoon, crude has a $3.04 range,
and with a 2 cent spread, the “Trading Ratio at the London Fix = 8 … a 3 cent
spread would = 5.2.
OUTTA HERE … “The future’s so bright I need 2 pairs of sunglasses 😎😎,
and my own Brinks armored truck” 💓!!… Onward & Upward!!
-vegas
No comments:
Post a Comment