As the sun comes up in New York today, and the U.S. session gets started,
overnight from the Asian close / European open we got about a 20 - 25 PIP
Range in EURUSD, and an even worse range of sub 20 PIPS in USDJPY … some
action in the Asian session, which managed to blow out some USDJPY shorts
despite Spicoli’s “bone” thrown to the rest of the central banks of the world by
going “dove” on rate hike projections going forward … but quite frankly, we
haven’t seen anything in EURUSD, as Cable [GBPUSD] gets slammed lower on a
meek 25 bps hike in rates, followed by a very negative assessment of the UK
economy … in theory, that might help EURGBP, but it’s pretty tepid at the
moment … looks like the world thinks Spicoli might be full of shit? … imagine
that, a lying POS central banker … oh, and don’t forget tomorrow is NFP Friday,
so a fun filled pile of shit awaits us into that fairy tale report.
And suddenly the dollar gets stronger and new lows for the day in EURUSD, and
a new high for the day in USDJPY … 10 YR Treasury rate not doing much of
anything since last night’s close so far, hanging around 2.93% … I thought
coming into today, from late yesterday afternoon’s blow out of stops, that
there’d be some follow through to dollar selling … only in the Asian session, as
nobody else is buyin’ what Spicoli is sellin’! … since everybody trades
expectations, the order flow dynamics here can and might get very interesting
over the next few days, cuz if the dollar buying continues, the ramifications for
EUR & YEN are gonna be quite nasty in terms of price ,,, and especially so in
USDJPY … the BOJ is trapped like a rat in a corner with their idiotic monetary
policy, and Spicoli threw them a “bone” yesterday with his dovish tone bullshit
from what was expected.
But get USDJPY to go through 131 now, & EUR below 1.05 on a clean break, and
there is gonna be Hell to pay in FX … we’re already seeing it in Cable, are these 2
next? … dunno, but as of right now, the FX market isn’t playing the game the FED
wants them to … meanwhile crude oil goes nuts cuz OPEC+ had their meeting and
are doing exactly what they’ve said for weeks, while “Taliban Joe” buys back oil
for the SPR … wait WUT? … again, never done anything right in his entire life, and
you think he might be an oil trader? … bwahahahaha! … Turnkey spread at 4
cents which is unacceptable, and the roller coaster spread game being played to
see just how much they can steal and still have some semblance of plausible
deniability … ain’t nobody buyin’ that bullshit! … crude now above $111 and it
looks like a breakout on the daily candle of a large upside wedge … trade it at
XBTFX or SIMPLE FX … the Mrs. is makin’ me sick with profits … I never even
got to the “loan” part of my question, and the answer is NO!
And while Cable, EURUSD, and the entire “Stock Bellies” indices get monkey
hammered, as the 10 YR Treasury goes north over 3% [now as I write at 3.045%
and rising], USDJPY can’t keep the pace, barely so far being able to hang onto
the 130 level … just really “squirrelly” action, as it looks to me central banks are
attempting to protect the YEN from further declines … maybe tomorrow’s NFP
helps that cause, or maybe it doesn’t, but if the YEN goes down the rat hole you
can kiss the world’s monetary system goodbye rather quickly … ‘ain’t nobody
gonna be able to pick the pieces of this turd up and make it right … anybody got
a few extra hundreds of TRILLIONS of YEN laying around the BOJ can use?
… didn’t think so”!
And then right near the London Fix, here comes dollar buying in another mini
panic, sending the 3 amigos [EUR, GBP, JPY] to their low for the day … and this
is a direct assault on the FED’s credibility, cuz nobody believes the lying Spicoli
… oh won’t tomorrow’s fairy tale report gonna generate a shitstorm? … then
what Kuroda, Lagarde, & Spicoli?
Big ranges over the course of the day, masking the panic driving markets and then
they literally die for hours on end … rinse, repeat and here’s your day!
… corrective activity no matter up or down so fast, it’s literally only a minute or
two or LESS and then it’s back to the grind of the daily trend set by scumbag
banks … I for one, ain’t interested in being in YEN or EUR for 30 - 40+ minutes to
hopefully capture 6 - 8+ PIPS, in some kind of crawl trend of death, only to have
them take it all away in seconds … lately [2022 so far], this has been the M.O. of
FX around central bank interest rate decisions and other major reports like jobs &
inflation, to see “speed of light … crickets” not only in the moves themselves, but
also inthe corrective activity, and when it happens [like today] in FX, the algorithm
isn’t fast enough inside markets that have relatively the lowest VIX, to get
effective buy / sell signals … and of course, then there is the huge problem of the
Asian session to deal with, where too often it blows away everything else in the
day that still is to come, simply cuz the 20 Day Range MA’s get blown through like
a blow torch through a soft stick of butter … panic / FOMO or it’s literally dead,
then sit around and wait for the panic / FOMO to come from something one of the
Apparatchik FED PIE HOLES says or does in the U.S. session, where it then
screams panic / FOMO yet again … all by design from scumbag banks who can
see spec order flow in real time and we can’t, and they ain’t sharing the
data / results anytime soon! … however, not all is lost … excellent sell signals
today in Cable after their BOE shitshow circus this morning, and if you’re trading
Cable somewhere where the house and LP’s are legit [not Turnkey that’s for
sure] in pricing and execution, the trading algorithm was flawless … ditto with
WTI Crude Oil and “Stock Bellies”, where there’s plenty of VIX and the algorithm
shines … and as I write, in the time it took to write the last sentence, USDJPY
drops straight down and takes out the last 45 minutes in under 2 - 3 minutes!
… and this is the kind of bullshit I’m talkin’ about that’s been prevalent the
entire day, both in EURUSD and YEN.
The 10 YR Treasury just hit 3.10% … central bankers better hope tomorrow’s
NFP jobs number is “soft”, cuz if it comes in hot look the hell out going into the
weekend … the “Spoos” giving back everything PLUS SOME to the downside,
and one wonders when Spicoli gets “cold feet” and QE to infinity starts again?
No trades today for the PAMM, not for want of being here locked and loaded
… just never got signals both buy & sell, that didn’t get trapped inside small
“Flying Wedges of Death” [FWD] that didn’t show corrective activity well enough
for a signal before shifting entirely … shit happens, and hope it doesn’t repeat
anytime soon … onto to tomorrow’s stupidity & profitable trading.
… outta here … “The future’s so bright I need sunglasses”!! 😎😎
… Onward & Upward!!
-vegas
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