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Thursday, December 30, 2021

WHAT HAS 2021 TAUGHT US ABOUT MARKETS?

 

“Auto sensory switches have been activated!”

Most of what 2021 imparted onto us from a trading perspective was NOT good

… there are some bright spots, but in traditional markets typically available on

MT4 / MT5 trading platforms, this has been a dismal year … first the traditional

market highlights … 1) world “Stock Bellies” had their moments, but nothing

compared to the FED  manipulation circus enjoyed by U.S. indices … pick your

poison; “Spoos”, DOW30, or NDX100, they all end up roaring higher via the

“Plunge Protection Team” [PPT] efforts, and the never ending CNTRL-P money

printing that artificially caps interest rates at very low levels and allows zombie

corporations to float debt to do stock buybacks … and those buybacks

eliminate stock float, raise EPS, and cause stock prices to inflate at every

opportunity, all the while making members of the Board of Directors filthy rich

via stock options, as the company doesn’t do Mr. Jack Squat in terms of

producing anything of value … it’s all a financial Ponzi Scheme.


And 2) crude oil [both Brent & WTI] had a stellar year, with 20 Day Ranges

expanding steadily over the course of the year … gone is the 2020 pandemic

hoax freefall that culminated in the April 2020 futures contract going off the

board at -$40 per barrel … OPEC+ got smarter, demand for oil came back

quickly, oil oversupply got worked off, and “Taliban Joe” did his best to kill

U.S. domestic oil production thus further tightening supplies.


As for the bad news from 2021, it’s pretty simple … the entirety of FX, including

gold, sees further loss of trading volumes & liquidity as specs of all shapes &

sizes desert the space for greener pastures … all that’s left is institutional

money flows, which the scumbag banks front run … and that’s it! … the space

is dead meat and getting worse … how do I know that? … EASY PEEZEE:

‘traditional forex heavy brokerage houses are now starting to offer commission

free trading for months on end … why do you suppose they do that, cuz they’re

so profitable and want to share the wealth?" … right, and I got some Atlantic

ocean farmland to sell you, if you’re interested … they’re trying to generate

some volume, which has left and ain’t coming back … gold is simply so over

manipulated via the bullion banks it’s not even worth discussing … the rest of

FX is a trading joke … stack up ANYTHING in FX and compare it to either

“Spoos”, crude oil, or anything in crypto, and any objective analysis will show

quite easily it’s time to leave FX for good.


Then there’s crypto … what a year, what a year! … the highest VIX anywhere

in any market space, technological advances that see “open order book” [OOB]

platforms proliferate, razor thin spreads, and the ability to GET PAID FOR LIMIT

ORDERS … there has never been in the entire history of trading any group of

markets that are better for scalp trading than crypto pairs … for the most part

all available offshore in total privacy, security, and anonymity cuz there is NO KYC

… of course government hates it, they can’t control, manipulate or tax it so they

“poo-poo” it at every opportunity … cuz if I know anything, I know government

at all levels hates with a passion all specs who trade any market, and the FED

especially does everything they can to destroy spec traders by manipulating VIX

… boo hoo, they can’t do that with crypto! … and the CNTRL-P machine doesn’t

mean shit in crude oil either, and can’t produce or deliver a barrel of oil

… boo hoo again.


The year of 2021 has overall been a decent to good year for “The Syndicate”

… started at the end of November, first part of December 2020, we’re at the end

of our first approximate 13 months … during the year, we had the May crash of

BTC and the alt-coins, followed by 2 months of really low range bad trading

conditions that didn’t see me do much of any trading … that picked up again

quickly, and until the second week of December this year, when conditions dried

up “el quicko”, we haven’t seen a pickup but only slightly … the proof is in the

pudding so to speak, as over the last 2 weeks, 20 Day Range MA’s in ETHUSD

have dropped about $120, losing MORE THAN A THIRD! … to do that in such

short time, simply means there are many really bad trading range days in there

… so here at the end of 2021, “The Syndicate” is UP APPROXIMATEY 102%

FROM INCEPTION … that includes trading profits and investment in Ethereum

from around $2,000, as the trading account is held in U.S. Dollars … that

means that original participants who put in $250 worth of BTC, now have a

hair over $500.


Looking ahead into 2022 FOR CRYPTO, there are some developments that need

to be recognized … 1) I’m no longer trading “spot” markets, cuz the commission

free aspect has been discontinued, and so I’m trading leveraged perpetual

futures, mostly in ETH cuz it's the closest to a “perfect market” you’re ever going

to find .. at times other alt-coins exhibit those characteristics and I trade them as

well … DOTUSD [PolkaDot] was a favorite for some weeks, before falling off the

wagon and volumes & liquidity dried up for my liking … but overall, ETHUSD

remains my favorite crypto pair … 2) for most of the year, I didn’t have much of

my own funds in “The Syndicate” … the Mrs. has stepped up and added larger

amounts … and overall, I’m ready to boost leverage some for even better results

… bottom line is I will be disappointed in results for 2022 if they aren’t

SUBSTANTIALLY  GREATER THAN 2021 … for participants, it means we’re on

schedule to see ALL OF YOU in the “millionairehood” within the next 3 years or

so, plus or minus some months of leeway … so, there’s reason to cheer at the

end of 2021.


Priscilla The Trading Gorilla [PTTG] will be starting to trade her “c0c0nutz fund”

starting Monday in the new year, from funds received from algorithm sales and

those that chose her more aggressive style … all of you that purchased the

algorithm will see her start to trade come Monday … for both her and

“The Syndicate”, starting Sunday, January 9, 2022, there will be results posted

for the prior week, including a chart of weekly NAV going forward … this will

also be done for the Turnkey PAMM … PTTG will post her results on her

website at


www.c0c0nutzfund.blogspot.com


As a convenience for my readers, I have linked to her web page in the right

hand column … simply click on the pic and you’ll be directed to her website.


There is literally ZERO trading activity today in “Spoos”, now into the New York

afternoon with a 12 index point range since the European open around

3 AM EST … yea, that’s no typo, simply sick trading conditions … crude oil [WTI]

doing better, but still way below its 20 Day Range MA of $2.65, with a range since

5 AM EST of $1.62 … that’s way better than I originally thought it would be today,

and there have been some really good algorithm buy signals … I literally chose

not to trade today simply cuz volumes & liquidity everywhere and in every

market are unbelievably thin to say the least … had I known oil would even come

close to this today, I would have been ready to trade it … this just proves the

dynamics of today’s oil market, where supplies are unusually tight for a variety

of factors … once we get into next week after New Year’s this weekend, this

complex looks set to really outperform both in price and VIX … nest week also

sees an OPEC+ meeting on the 4th, but not much is expected to change … still,

oil has been higher now for 7 days in a row, and you know what happens when

anything attempts to go parabolic … at some point next week, there’s gonna be

some sell stop hunting … my only hope is that it isn’t confined to the Asian

session … we’ll see.


For the “Spoos” there’s a date on the calendar for a “reckoning”, and most likely

it comes concurrent with a drop in oil … dunno, we’ll see … and despite the

higher “dot plots” and calls for aggressive tightening, I’ll believe it when I see it

… and “Stock Bellies” look poised for more “bubble” moves higher, the only

question being can it actually “trade” on its journey or is it gonna be more of the

same “straight shot” scheme we see from the manipulators … make no mistake,

the FED’s only metric they care about is the price of the SP500 … everything

else is bullshit, so don’t buy into the lies & propaganda.


Going forward into 2022, I’m not gonna be commenting on anything in FX

… before I ever look at that shit again, it’s gonna have to prove itself with

multiple weeks of actual HIGHER VIX, rather than the usual one day a month the

scumbag banks let it trade some with a range, in order to let off a little “VIX steam”

that might build up, and then it’s back to putting the “VIX Genie” in chains until

next month on some lucky day they choose to do it again … hello rinse & repeat! 

… until it dramatically changes, which I doubt it ever will, there’s no point in

talking or writing about a bunch of dead markets nobody gives a shit about … in

every way, shape, or form, the “Spoos” or crude oil or both are clearly better

trading vehicles for either “day trading” or “scalping”, or a combo of both for

the PAMM … FX is dead and belongs in the Traders Graveyard! … such

potential, but there’s nothing you can do when central banks have their jackboot

over the throat of the FX space and choke it to death … it is what it is.


I don’t know what New Year’s Eve brings tomorrow if anything … maybe in ETH

there might be something, but I’d be surprised if anybody does anything in other

markets, like any of the “Stock Bellies” … crude could surprise again, but I’m

very leery of volume & liquidity conditions and is why I have backed away … the

market will be here on Monday and the start of the new year, so there’s no reason

to feel compelled to doing some “stupid shit” on the day before New Years Day

… hell, I’m not even sure Monday will produce anything, if history is any guide,

as often times it takes a full week for everything to return to normal … I’m not sure

that applies to crude, though, but we’ll see … no trades today in anything for

obvious reasons … ranges are dreadfully low and trading conditions are horrible,

even ETH feels dead … like I said, only crude did anything today, which surprised

me somewhat cuz I wasn’t expecting it … onto tomorrow and the end of 2021,

which for my money can’t come soon enough … tomorrow’s blog will be a primer

on WTI crude oil, which I have traded extensively in the past … not lately, but

that’s about to change “bigly & yuge”.


…  outta here … “The future’s so bright I need sunglasses”!! 👍😎

… Onward & Upward!!


-vegas



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