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Friday, April 30, 2021

I’VE SEEN THIS RODEO ACT BEFORE

“What “Fat Cats” know that you don’t!”

It has always been a favorite trick of government & the “moneyed class”to change

the rules of the game mid-stream, so that the so called “right people” are the ones

making money … guess where your place is at on this totem pole? … long before

government ruined the Hunt Bros. in conjunction with the COMEX, in the infamous

silver debacle back in 1979 - 1980, today’s latest example can be found with “Wall

Street Bets” [WSB] … in the history of U.S. financial regulation, I don’t ever recall

a fraud uncovered BEFORE the “right people” [that would be you] got hosed

… think REFCO, STOTLER, PFG BEST, & MF GLOBAL for starters … and lately,

JPM in precious metals, who has been fined over $10 BILLION dollars over the

last decade while making a cool Trillion, for trading abuses, and of course

nothing ever happens … and in case you’ve been living on Mars for the last 10

years, and simply don’t know, any person a citizen or resident of the U.S., is

treated like a LEPER by the world financial community, and they want nothing to

do with you … while the rest of the world enjoys financial freedom, Sheeple in

the “U.S. of China” are lumped in with Yemen & North Korea.


I had planned on addressing a bunch of things today, but some international

events behind the scenes has come to my attention, and it forces me to address

them now rather than later … I’m gonna have to delay the release of the algorithm,

PATREON, & “live chat” to sometime in May … hopefully sooner rather than later,

but I can assure you IT WILL HAPPEN … I need some answers from some well

placed sources, and Friday in Spring ain’t the day to get them … hopefully next

week I can get the answers I need, cuz that will greatly influence the markets I

will focus on going forward … I don’t want things to be in “flux” as I bring this

project to fruition … at worst, there might be minor changes, but on the whole

things will progress … I simply want to be able to give my readers accurate &

truthful information, and not simply guess and then be wrong … so, hang onto

your “big girl panties” everything will proceed, just a little late is all … and when

I finally have “answers”, I’ll be able to freely discuss what’s going on and how

I address it.


One important item I want to reiterate, is that the trading algorithm can be used

in ALL MT4 OR MT5 TRADEABLE MARKETS … the key element, though, is

volatility … you pick a market that is basically dead, has very small ranges & very

little action, and then expect the algorithm to make you money, you’re gonna be

disappointed in the results, if not outright pissed off … that won’t be the

algorithms fault, that’ll be your fault! … as we all should know, markets ebb &

flow in terms of volatility [VIX], and what’s great today may not be nearly as

good tomorrow … e.g., last summer when Bitcoin was at about $6,000 I

remember some days it didn’t even have a $100 range for the day … now look at

how “bat shit crazy” it is … I can remember month after month where the DAX30

had 20 Day Range MA’s of over 250+ index points … looking at the last few

months, it ain’t anywhere near that … so, ALL markets go through this, and it’s

important you have a mix of markets that can be traded, so at a moments

notice, you can switch and trade something that will “bring home the bacon”,

and not sit there and watch paint dry, like FX these days! 


To that end, one thing will be certain … and that is, TURNKEY will be at the

center of that trading, for me as well as the PAMM! … granted, I have given them

a ton of shit over time, but in their defense it’s almost always been the LP’s, not

Turnkey itself, that’s the problem … to their credit, they do listen better than any

other brokerage house I’ve traded at, and have instituted some changes I’ve

recommended, something other houses haven’t done … they just stick with

what’’s not working … but with the changes made here recently with Bitcoin,

and the subsequent pricing of trading it with Turnkey versus other venues, it

makes the decision to make them a cornerstone of trading much easier.


As things stand now, here is how the different markets break down on the MT4

at Turnkey … 1) FX … currently abysmal in every pair across the board

… GBPUSD [Cable], if it ever can get its shit together and get a 20 Day Range

MA ABOVE 100 PIPS would be nice, but the entire space suffers mightily from a

manipulated lack of volatility, thank you very much central bank manipulators

… even with razor thin total costs [spread + RT commish] of less than a PIP,

you’re gonna ideally need to see ANY FX pair have to have CONSISTENT 100+

PIP range days … not once every 10 trading days, but every “Hoover Dam” day

… Cable sees a 150+ PIP range today, but what good is it, when there’s no

CONSISTENCY OF VOLATILITY? … 60-ish PIP ranges and then we had yesterday

at 44 PIPS, and so how is anybody supposed to know today sees 150+ PIPS and

trade accordingly? … you simply can’t win in this scenario, cuz you’re

constantly wondering if the day is gonna be shit or worth something … screw

that! … it’ll drive you to the nut house! … believe me, I know how it goes … you

hang on to a position and the day turns out to be 44 or 62 PIPS for a range, and

you beat yourself up for not taking a tiny profit when you had the chance, so

next day you scalp out of everything and there it goes! … congrats!


2) GOLD [XAUUSD] … total cost to trade is as good as it gets via Turnkey, and I

don’t think you’ll find another house with better conditions … of course, the

problem here is heavy, heavy central bank sell side manipulation AND SLIPPAGE,

especially on buy / sell stops at century marks in price … if gold can

CONSISTENTLY MAINTAIN $20+ 20 Day Range MA, it can be traded … however,

lately the 20 Day Range MA has been contracting, and with today’s pathetic

$9 daily range [so far, but it’s Noon in New York], currently it’s at approximately

$20 & change, just slightly above that crucial benchmark … of the last 11 trading

days, trading action has been terrible, and the daily ranges contracting, and

today takes the proverbial cake with not even $10 to show for the entire

stinkin’ day!


3) Crude Oil CFD… waste of time, cuz it’s a rip off … 4) “Stock Bellies”

[a/k/a stock indices] … the ONLY index that can be CONSISTENTLY TRADED is

the DOW30 CFD … all other indices suffer from high spreads & unacceptable

levels of slippage … spread is usually 1 - 2 index points with an approximate

RT commish of 65 cents per 1 lot per side … 5) Turnkey Crypto … only BTC &

LTC [LiteCoin] are candidates for trading, cuz ETH & BCC have spread issues

… AND 6) Other Crypto … All coins on BINANCE & PHEMEX ARE SUPPORTED

BY THE ALGORITHM, but again you need to consider spread + “gas fees” and

see if trading a specific coin makes sense.


Starting Monday, when I come in near the European open, my pick of markets to

trade for the PAMM will be gold, Cable, DOW30, & Bitcoin … and if for some

reason none of these 4 markets are moving, then nothing else will be moving

either so it won’t matter … just as an aside, I’d love to trade crude oil, but

as history has shown, the CFD’s are an industry joke, with inconsistent and

volatile spreads from scumbag LP’s … nobody has ever been able to offer an

OIL CFD that makes sense, that didn’t last but less than a week with their initial

costs … then, out of nowhere, here comes the cost hike that never goes away,

and we’re stuck with a piece of shit CFD … so, it’s not worth the effort to even

watch it.


Today sees one algorithm buy signal in the DOW30 … TURNKEY PAMM UP

SLIGHTLY.


As little as a couple of months ago, the DOW30 had a 20 Day Range MA of over

450+ index points … today it stands right around 250 index points … and

looking at today’s range, that’s right where it stands as we move into the New

York afternoon … and for the 11th trading day in a row, the DOW30 has been

trapped inside an approximate 400 - 450 index point range … quite frankly, I have

no idea how long this gigantic financial “Stonks” bubble can last, but the FED

seems hellbent on fueling it much higher … they really have no choice but to

print, PRINT, AND PRINT SOME MOAR! … they talk rate hikes, and they talk

ending the tapering [bond buying], but somehow IMHO will never get around to

it, cuz there will always be some “bogeyman” around the corner so they can

remain in dovish mode … cuz they also know, the next crash in “Stonks” will

end the system as you know it, and that’s why they are so terrified of even the

smallest break in price … “got to nip it in the bud, lest Sheeple get nervous, and

that’s when it can slip out of their control and then it’s ALL lost down the rathole

very quickly”!


With these 4 markets, PAMM trading will noticeably pick up starting Monday, and

quite frankly the trading algorithm works beautifully in all 4.


Over in crypto, multiple algorithm signals in ONTUSDT today … “The Syndicate”

UP APPROXIMATELY 0.45%


Coming right out of the European open, some very good ONT buy signals … TRX

looks to be slowing down some and losing volatility [much like Cardano has

these last weeks going back to February when it had the “Mary” hard fork] … no

problem, I simply switched to another of my favorite coins, which is ONT

[Ontology] … as for BTC, at about 9:30 AM EST [NYSE open] it just took off to the

upside … 2 hours and $3200 later, and as I’ve always said after a big move in

anything, when it corrects YOU DON’T WANT IT! … granted, it was an OPEX

today, but still that’s a monster move that went STRAIGHT UP with ZERO buy

signals along the way.


Blog update on Sunday … outta here early today … “the future’s so bright I need

sunglasses”! ðŸ˜Ž … Onward & Upward!! 


-vegas


 

Thursday, April 29, 2021

NEVER A DULL MOMENT

“Essential training for Bitcoin trading!”

I don’t know with 100% certainty that what has happened in BTC at Turnkey is

the correct explanation, but it’s the only thing that makes sense … to recap, over

the last week BTC pricing at Turnkey has gone from ridiculous to “prime” … now,

I fully understand an HFT’s dilemma in providing liquidity provider [LP] services

to a brokerage house in something like Bitcoin … you simply can’t afford to get

sloppy and get whacked, while at the same time stop with the thieving of accounts

… there is a “middle ground”, and I think maybe Turnkey has found it.


BINANCE is the world’s largest crypto exchange … already today in the last 24

hours, BTC volume at BINANCE is roughly $14.4 BILLION DOLLARS … plus or

minus a few bucks from the most recent trade, the order book is at LEAST 2 - 5

Bitcoin deep in current bid / offer … an HFT doing arbitrage between BINANCE

and an outfit like Turnkey would be getting the very lowest “gas fees”

[commissions] they offer … that would occur with an API [Application

Programmable Interface] that allows them to go back & forth with trades that

either hedge a profit or book a profit from anything done by a client of Turnkey’s

… in essence, that would allow Turnkey to quote and price trading that is below

current “gas fees” any individual could get on his/her own, unless they trade

billions per month which is unlikely … directly below, a split screen of Turnkey

versus BINANCE ORDER BOOK FOR BTC.


click on image to enlarge

The only “mystery” in all of this, is whether or not the HFT gets greedy and blows

the spread out to earn more FREE MONEY … and here, “FREE MONEY” means

yours! … for example, over at PHEMEX, I can trade BTC with ZERO FEES IN SPOT,

but the spread is usually between $7 - $25 … so when Turnkey quotes BTC with a

spread of $5, or even $10, how can they do it with normal “gas fees” that are

roughly 0.1% [round turn] which equals about $55? … the answer is that the HFT

is using its enormous “economies of scale” in pricing and ULTRA LOW

“GAS FEES” and passing it on in order to make guaranteed money from trades

… this is the only thing that makes any sense as to the how / why Turnkey can

quote BTC like they do … even if you get “clipped” by $5 - $10 on any buy/sell,

you still come out ahead cuz there is a GUARANTEED “gas fee” of about $55 on

the round turn trade [0.1% of $55,000 = $55]. 


Now, the $64,000 question is, “can they keep it here!”?, or does Turnkey piss away

this opportunity to make a crypto name for itself … you probably know what I’m

thinkin’, but what I’m thinkin’ about it is completely irrelevant … only time will tell!

… and again, I’ll remind readers this is completely new in the last week or so, cuz

before that their BTC trading was a cruel joke … maybe once this is established,

they can go to work on ETH? … we’ll see, but so far that pair is horribly priced.


So far since the European open, there was one stretch where BTC spiked UP

about $700 in 15 minutes, and the spread at Turnkey blew out some to about $30

[a month ago it would have blown out to over $100+] … that’s still better than the

GUARANTEED $55 [or higher] you’re gonna pay on any “open order book”

platforms, unless you do billions per month in BTC volume, and I don’t think that

describes anybody I know … now that price has settled down somewhat and BTC

is back to normal “bat shit crazy”, eyeballing the Turnkey spread it’s about

$7 - $15 … so even assuming a little “scumbaggery” on the part of the HFT, which

is to be expected, we’re still better off in terms of pricing.


Turning to the manipulated markets on the MT4, gold gets “monkey hammered” &

Cable wins the “FUBAR Volatility Award” for the day, with a stellar 44 PIP range

… seriously, can this shit get any worse? … I can’t wait for the smartest people in

FX to go to 6 decimal trading, that way it can look volatile while nothing happens

… quite frankly, I shouldn’t give them any ideas … meanwhile, over in our favorite

yellow pet rock, it seems higher rates today in the 10 YR Treasury spooked some

longs … well not really, just the same old, same old “Comex Con Game” at work,

ringing the Pavlovian bell for the specs right on schedule … seems “Santa Joe”

and his great socialist $6 TRILLION DOLLAR giveaway has got bonds spooked

today … go figure … you people that live in the U.S., you’re sooooooooo screwed,

and it’s all unfolding before your eyes just like I said it was going to months ago if

this “Ding Dong Fartbag” and his “Manchurian Candidate” VP stole the election

and were “installed” … anybody unfortunate enough to have to watch this

demented Doofus speak last night to Sycophants in the “Clown College”, you

have my deepest sympathies … and there goes your country down the toilet!


Bitcoin for its part, seeing one of the smallest range days in months, excluding

April Fools Day … as I’ve said before, BTC is trading like the manipulated pieces

of shit in FX, namely EURUSD & USDJPY … and you see this today in spades, as

price mirrors mindless chop while the “whales” have a field day running stops

… just like the scumbag LP banks do over in FX … and when BTC goes “choppy”,

back the hell away before you get hurt, cuz with the velocity with which this puppy

moves, PLUS SLIPPAGE, you ain’t gotta a prayer to make coin in this thing

… “hello, piece of meat? … meet the meat grinder”!


No trades today in the TURNKEY PAMM.


With Cable and gold playing dead, I turned my attention today to BTC … and while

there were a few close algorithm signals, BTC simply NOT providing the

necessary range OR volatility today to get the algorithm in sync and produce a

trade … and good thing, cuz looking at the M1 chart it looks like pasta thrown up

against a wall … nothing here but trouble today, and if you let it, BTC can sure

give you plenty of that.


Ripple [XRPUSDT] is back trading at PHEMEX … not that it matters much today, cuz

the alt-coins putting in a very slow day in terms of ranges & trading action … TRX

slowing down to a range you got to go back to when it was quoted under 10 cents,

back in January & February … good grief, there were times this morning I thought

the internet had gone out, it was so slow … nevertheless, multiple algorithm

signals today in both TRXUSDT & ONTUSDT, and “The Syndicate” IS UP

APPROXIMATELY 0.11%


And quite frankly, given the trading action, I consider myself fortunate to have

made that! … VIX dropping way off today, right along with Bitcoin and its

pathetic performance … oh well, not everyday can have perfect conditions, and

you take the good, bad, & ugly when they come … we can’t control it, we only

trade it!  


… outta here early … “the future’s so bright I need sunglasses”!  😎

… Onward & Upward!!


-vegas