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Thursday, February 11, 2021

PLAYING THE VOLATILITY TIME BOMB

 

“You’ll wake up when it explodes in your face!”

Another day, another lesson in volatility compression … it’s unreal the level of VIX

suppression these manipulator asshats are doing … that is, until they let it loose

and either gold, silver, “Spoos”, or some other pair like oil or Nat Gas go orbital

into space … and when it’s over, you got nothing but heartache, and if you’re on

the wrong side they rub salt into your account wound … this is the world

traditional markets now live in … what a bucket of shit, thank you FED

manipulators.


Today I’m also adding back BTCUSD at Turnkey, cuz there are times the bid/offer

spread represents value … too bad it’s only about 50% - 60% of the time, but it is

what it is … I noticed last week, as I wiped the other crypto pairs off my screen,

that Bitcoin was doing better, meaning much better trading conditions … that’s

provisional of course, cuz about 40% - 50% of the time when BTC takes off [up or

down it doesn’t matter], the spread goes “bonkers” and can easily be $100+

… then it goes back to $10 - $20 until the next time.


Most offshore “open order book” platforms have “maker” [limit order] & “taker”

[market order] fees at 0.05% of the notional value of your order … that of course,

means a RT commish of 0.1% … right now with BTC at 47K, the “gas” you pay to

get the order done and on the block chain is approximately $47 … PHEMEX round

turn with 1 limit and 1 market order would be 0.05%, or around $24 … so, anything

under or at approximately at $20 for a Turnkey spread would be excellent … and

we see that, the problem being when it starts to make a strong move … then the

scumbag HFT LP gets its “big girl panties” bunched up and demands protection

against a run, mostly cuz they don’t want you picking them off on a quick scalp,

something that pisses them off greatly … so, they widen the spread so it makes

it very hard to do that against them … “liquidity provider” my ass, they’re fucking

thieves, but we already know that, so whatevs … point is, though, at some

algorithm signals the spread is excellent and so why not take the trade?

… starting tomorrow I’ll do that … in the meantime, it would be nice if gold, silver,

or the “Spoos” could get their collective asses in gear and trade, instead of this

mindless chop we see day after day, immediately followed at some point by mini

explosions … up / down who cares, they come out of nowhere and usually go

nowhere, their only purpose is to torch specs loaded up the wrong way on order

flow.


I’ll give Bitcoin a whirl tomorrow at Turnkey, and attempt to take advantage of

these lower spread conditions. I didn’t do any trading today in anything, as even

crypto [most notably DOTUSD], except for ALGOUSD [Algorand], was on the dull

side after Europe opened … so what else is new?


… outta here … until tomorrow … Onward & Upward!! 


-vegas





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