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Monday, April 1, 2019

IS THIS AN APRIL FOOLS JOKE?

“Here’s your pot o’ gold at the end of the rainbow!”   

File today, and Friday as well, into the “dead cat bounce” [DCB] directory 
… early rallies fail, as dealers suck in new buyers AND force shorts to cover, 
but there isn’t anything to the rallies, as the usual suspects sell the shit out of 
it … and when the “buy fuel” runs dry, look out below. The major problem 
from a trading standpoint are twofold; 1) we don’t have access to true order 
flow [and I don’t mean the quote stuffing bullshit in the corrupt futures 
market], and 2) up moves and down moves are very much NOT symmetrical 
… what takes hours to take up, only takes seconds or minutes to go down.

The key to these DCB’s, are the timing … they come early, not late, and the 
“buy fuel” gets spent too early to sustain itself … and of course, the move gets 
faded like a cheap suit. Forget the economic numbers from the Department 
of Unicorns & Fairy Tales … it’s bullshit and everybody knows it, scammed 
66 ways from Sunday to statistically produce something for growth, so 
whoever is in power can claim the economy is growing … “uh, sure”. Trade 
off this crap and you're toast.

Gold looks, acts, and feels like it’s simply biding its time to go lower still 
… not that it will stay there, but it all depends on other central bank buying 
and whether or not they allow 1280 - 1276 to get busted lower … my gut feel 
is that it’s gonna be a big chore, but that ultimately they’ll clean out stops 
where they know they’re sitting … from there, who knows. Today, though, 
it’s nothing but a bag of shit … a tiny bit up, a tiny down, throw in some 
mystery ticks & spikes from hell … you know, the usual assortment of 
bullshit from scumbag bullion dealers, and gold isn’t really moving 
anywhere. Price is where it was at 10 - 12 hours ago, and it’s nothing but 
dealer manipulation via front running corporate and spec orders.

GBPUSD sees some more “most important Brexit votes evahhh”! [until the 
next one], and so it’s a tad psychotic … every little rumor or half wit idea 
floated in the Brit MSM moving Cable up/down like farts in the wind … only 
as we get very near the NYSE close at 4 PM EST, are we gonna get any idea 
what passed, what was voted down, or what the hell is next … as a result, we 
are at a very big disadvantage trading Cable in this environment … no way 
can I or you or anybody else get the jump on what’s really happening behind 
the scenes … and trust me, all the large scumbag LP banks got reps every 
fucking 10 feet, lurking in shadows all over Westminster looking and 
PAYING for what’s really going on … how the hell do we NOT get hurt by 
this, cuz we have no way to compete with that flow of information … by the 
time you see the first spike on your screen, it’s too late to do anything about 
it … hit the buy/sell button and gaze in horror at your shit fill off the market. 
So, there isn’t any way I’m risking capital in this roulette game … market 
will be here for us after it kills a whole bunch of people later in the day.

The way the day turned out for gold, from Asia to New York, and then the 
rally on economic stats, and then the same drop on more economic stats 
minutes later, only confirms the DCB … what we need to see is a move out 
of the New York open that opens to the downside … it doesn’t have to be big, 
simply down a couple of bucks will do, and then start the rally … so far, we 
haven’t seen this, but it’s what is needed to get the market to start to rally 
again.

Nothing really to do today … this is a sick joke … hopefully the morons in 
Britain will vote to get something done and end this fucking circus a/k/a  
“Brexit”, and thus free Cable to trade normally again, rather than its 
current state of the roulette wheel of FX … until tomorrow mi amigos 
… Onward & Upward!!

Have a great day everybody!

-vegas






 

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