“Liberal logic easily
explained!”
The
country has hit ABSOLUTE peak idiocy; “yes,
by all means, ban all history that’s “uncomfortable”, burn books you don’t like
and think people shouldn’t read, only allow credentialed elite liberals with
the right indoctrination and pedigree to speak, use violence to curb speech you
don’t like cuz you disagree with it; make all women wear Cankles “Captain
Kangaroo” dress coat and fat pants and/or Mao jackets, only allow the most
egregious hypocrites on the planet to mandate social behavior via their utter
immorality and debauchery, and by all means ban Christianity cuz Christians
mostly have morals while you don’t, and you don’t like that cuz it makes your
secular humanism seem wrong”.
In
a sane world, you would simply laugh out loud, and demand psychiatric
evaluations of “nut jobs” like Nancy Pelosi, who said yesterday with a straight
face that all Confederate statues in the Capitol should be removed at once cuz
they’re “offensive” … “maybe somebody
should remind Ms. Dingbat, that just a couple of short years ago she was “Speaker
of the House” and didn’t do a damn thing to eliminate said statues that are
sooooooooooooo offensive; why not? And where were the “Congressional Black “milk-the-taxpayer-for-free-money”
Caucasians? How come they never complained, or hit the nearest TV camera to
explain their pain … hmmmm”? Of course, we all know the answer and it’s
simply SJW bullshit … if it weren’t for double standards, liberals wouldn’t have
any.
And
through all of this planned charade by Libtard Nation, what do we learn? Well,
we learn that the guy who organized the march by the Neo-Nazi’s was an Obama supporter
and organizer … surprise! … and we learn the girl next door who got arrested
for admitting she helped pull down the statue, is a committed communist
supporter of Kim Jong Un, a member of the WWP [World Workers Party] that
actively promotes the destruction of the U.S. by any means, and is a staunch
socialist and anti-capitalist; and you thought this was spontaneous? …
surprise! …. And we also learn that no matter what you say or do, condemning
the violence and everything else that went on, liberals and the MSM will
constantly and forever continue to “shift the goalposts” to a new “outrage
dujour” starting with the next news cycle. Nothing is ever enough, and when it
is, they simply erase all memory and move on. EXIT QUESTION: “But … but … what about Russia? Oh, that’s so
yesterday. And the real crime by Trump in all of this bullshit? It’s calling
out ANTIFA as a domestic terrorist organization and the thugs in it … the Left’s
newest social darlings, with all the morality of Robespierre of French
Revolution fame, who upon closer inspection, was himself guillotined he was
such a louse … oh, the horror to be publicly outed”!
Cuz
they think [Libtard Nation, that is], that they have all of the superior “moral
authority”; they always do, and that makes everything Ok in their book. You can
beat innocent people up, stop free speech, burn & loot others private
property, all because the end justifies the means. And the most sickening thing
in all of this to me? The spineless Republicans who run for cover and shake at
the altar of liberals; and that would be the usual band of suspects from the
House & Senate, but mostly the publicity hounds in the Senate like Graham,
McCain, Corker, Flake, and some other douche bags as well. While I am sickened
by the sheer ignorance and stupidity of the Left and Democrats in general, I
detest RINO’s for their utter hypocrisy and levels of deceit [repeal ObamaCare
anyone?].
Last
night, I got an email from an old client/reader from way back, and I haven’t
heard from him in a while, but he sent me an interesting email that I read,
re-read, and went through all of the charts he attached. Basically, cutting to
the chase, he’s telling me that after dissecting the “Kumo Cloud”, and comparing it with my first published algorithm
called “Tunnel Trading”, that it’s basically the same thing”! And he wraps
it all up by telling me, “welcome to back to the future”!
Now,
1) I’m a lot more proficient with computers, MT4, and coding than I was back
then, 2) markets 15 years ago had much higher spreads and trading conditions
that were terrible in terms of “net” cost, and 3) for the most part, “pits”
still ruled the world. However, he showed me my data that I used back then,
modified it to use it in the M1 time period, and then used ‘Square of Nine’
profit points in the trade that coincide with Fibonacci numbers; if you look at
the rules I’ve got today, entries/exits would be very close, but that my
original work stills stands as better! And he had a spreadsheet to prove it!
And while he enjoys and likes my work and research, he still claims “ain’t
nothin’ better” than what you gave me 15 years ago!
Well,
what can I say … stayed up late last night anyway to see if stocks tanked [they
didn’t … yawn], and while watching USDJPY & SP500 out of the corner of my
eye, took a good look at what he sent me. So, over the weekend, I’m gonna
reintroduce all of you to my original “Tunnel Trading Method” on Sunday night,
for viewing online and/or download in PDF. 15 years ago for example, USDJPY had
the low, low spread of 4 full PIPS, EURUSD was 4 PIPS, & GBPUSD was 5 full
PIPS; you simply had to trade over longer time periods to defeat the spread, so
I originally developed and modified it for use with the HR1 [one hour]
candlestick. We don’t need to do that any longer, cuz of course we now have the
lowest “net” cost in the Biz at about 0.004 PIPS for a round turn trade via
Turnkey.
I
can tell you, there are some subtle differences and there are similarities;
some will like the “Kumo Cloud” better, and some will gravitate to “The Tunnel
Method”. The “Cloud” & the “Tunnel” act basically as the same thing, but in
the “Tunnel Method”, there are bands for taking profits as the market rallies
or drops … it’s super easy to follow, and it got so popular back on Forex
Factory back then, it had over 200,000 followers before I had to scale back answering
questions about it cuz I was getting hundreds of emails a day; I simply had to
stop going there cuz people would get mad at me for not spending my entire day
and night answering questions. So, what I’ll be doing is modifying it for the
M1 for use in USDJPY & EURJPY, although it can be used in any FX pair with
either 5 digit or 3 digit pricing, and it will be available Sunday night
sometime.
Turning
to today’s trading … we’re all SP500 traders today … overnight action very
light and choppy after a quick selloff of USDJPY on the European open that saw
the pair go to the 109 area for a test and a run of some sell stops … mission
accomplished, and now time to chop and wait and see if the other “shoe” can
drop and take the selloff lower still at or near the open in New York. Doesn’t
look like it, as no doubt the “Plunge Protection Team” [PPT] is out in full
force today [like last Friday] to make sure the weekend papers aren’t filled
with sell panic.
But,
as I have said before, a rally at the open is the worst thing that can happen
to this stuff, meaning that every professional trader in the world knows the
selling isn’t over until you get capitulation on the open or during the early
part of the trading day. And on que, right before the European close on a
Friday, here comes political news that blows the living hell out of every short
position for the last 8 hours, and fills stops at God knows where, and leaves
some very ugly marks on traders who got caught.
I
started the European day wondering when this was going to happen, but we got a
30 PIP slide right at the opening European bell; even after some lousy rally
attempts, the tone was negative and traders were out for blood … only blood
that got spilt was their own; not only was there no sell signal to go on, but
the move down was a struggle like yesterday. At what point, does the tsunami of
dealer buying wipe some shorts away … well, didn’t have long to wait for that “well
placed” Bannon rumor to hit the market … gosh, what a coincidence it comes
right as Europe closes … probably nothing [WTF].
But
as usually is the case, the problem here for traders is logistics … there
simply is no way you can safeguard this kind of action we are seeing on a
regular basis … yes, I passed on some short trades earlier cuz I didn’t want to
get caught in this nightmare of getting filled on a buy order in a mini melt up
… there simply isn’t enough volatility to make this kind of “hit” back anytime
soon. There isn’t anything “normal” about trading anymore … these spikes come
out of nowhere and catch either long or shorts over extended, and the stops get
run and filled at the extreme. And now, after yesterday’s very rare double
reversal, today we get a reversal from almost 100 PIPS … and you wonder why I’m
cautious about putting on large numbers with stops? Pluhleeze! This is nuts, is
what it is; and of course, as you’d expect, once the high of the day is taken
out at 55, it’s a straight drop of 15+ PIPS before you can say, “Wha”? Simply
put, “mission accomplished” from whoever it was with more money than I’ll ever
see, shoving USDJPY into buy stops to take the other side, and not only cover
longs but get short, which is more than likely the reason for the stop hunt.
What’s next now for today, new lows?
And
now the market finds itself hostage to not only the SP500, but politics as well
… before, you couldn’t get an uptick to save your life; a little bottoming
action, a change in short term momentum, and BAM!! … oh, so sorry, you short? …
what looked like gold now turns into bat guano in less than a second, and you
can attribute it all to “The Golden Rule”; he who has the gold makes the rules …
now, you can’t get a down tick to save your life. This is why lately, aside
from the slippage we’ve experienced the last 2 days which pisses me off
greatly, I’ve been extremely careful about trades, especially with any kind of
size that can see sizeable losses … you simply have to realize who’s long, who’s
short, and when do the stops get set off to get the dealers out … just when you
think you got the trade of a lifetime on, it changes in less than a second on
news … sometimes bullshit news [like today] … and you think the rumor was
coincidental to the European close? Ha, what a joke … well placed, well timed,
and pre-planned in advance to catch shorts off guard and make them pay. Thanks,
come again!
Here
in early afternoon, it’s tough to tell if the market “used up” all the buying
power for the day, or whether there is anything left … the problem is
compounded cuz it’s Friday, and people need to adjust positions for the
weekend, and if stocks start to slide again, who the hell knows what happens
next. You certainly can’t just sit there and say, “oh well, it’ll come back”!, and then it doesn’t. And if you
happened to get caught in that clusterfark, there isn’t any way to get the PIPS
back … not a chance in hell … lose 40+ PIPS in a second on multiple lots, and
it’s a B.I. Itch making it back … yea, there’s a reason I’m wary of this stuff
lately, cuz it isn’t acting “normal”; all we get are FWD’s, massive reversals
with huge spikes from hell, and yesterday’s double reversal, which I hope is
not a precursor of things to come. Start injecting Pols into this, along with
rumors, and it’s a volatile mix of wampum explosives ready to be set off. It
would certainly help, if markets could regain some semblance of normal
activity, but it’s something you have to deal with if you want to keep trading
for a living.
Late
afternoon, and as I thought highly likely earlier, the SP500 doesn’t have
enough “buy power” off the Bannon rumor to keep it higher … certainly, it’s
nice to see stock indices have higher volatility, and that keeps things
interesting in USDJPY [our stock indices proxy], but does every damn day have
to be a FWD or some combination of crazy reversals on vicious spikes? All told,
only one trade today, a profitable small gain … a very small range to start the
day, things picked up around 90 minutes before the NY open … I assumed today
would see stock indices “take the lead” in terms of trading, and didn’t think
it was likely USDJPY would see much of a range and/or trading opportunity unless
stocks suddenly got slaughtered starting in Asia … that didn’t happen, so
nothing to do until New York stocks were set to open … that said, USDJPY shaved
30 PIPS out of the box, and it was rather dead until the New York open … early
action had me very nervous to be short, and the reason was the price action in
the market; the snap back retracements up were a hell of a lot faster than the
drops down, with only the spikes down providing any comfort if you were short,
and of these, pretty much all of them came back in a 3 steps down, 2 up fashion
… unless stocks were going to go “Thelma & Louise” on a break of 2420 to
the downside, I thought all along both markets were getting “set up” … I’m not
some kind of hero looking to pick a bottom, so I waited until conditions improved
and also wanted an algorithm signal before I got long … I did get that, and the
market immediately went up for us … when it started to come back quickly, I
liquidated, figuring there are more of these if we can just not see stocks get
creamed any more today. We were coming up off a correction down, and I’m
debating whether to get long, wondering what the Europeans were gonna do with
about 10 minutes to their close; would they be buying or selling USDJPY and/or
the SP500? And BOOM!, the Bannon news, and we take off like a rocket straight
up catching shorts in a complete “death liquidity trap”; if you have to buy
into this, you want to talk about slippage? Anyway, one trade … cuz after that
both the stock market and USDJPY had pretty much used up all the oxygen
necessary to lift prices even higher … now, all that’s left is trouble. Of
course, it’s better than losing money, and no slippage today from the scumbag
LP, so that’s helpful, but the chance for a good gain out the door with the
Bannon rumor cuz we weren’t long at that point; still, would have liked to make
more in profit, but when the “setup” for any trade [until the one I took] is
rotten, you just have to wait. So, I’ll take the small gain and be back on
Monday.
We
got about an hour to the close, and if you look at a chart, once the panic
spent itself with a new high [which was a stop hunt for sure, nothing more], it’s
been nothing but down, to where we simply sit doing nothing … the market can’t
even manage a 3 PIP rally, and now the pressure is on down to the most recent
break in the 109.200 area, and nobody knows just how low it can go if stocks
decide to break again. First the shorts get crucified, now it’s time for the
longs to suffer … all of these markets have been a B. I. Itch to hang onto
anything longer than a few minutes, with changes in sentiment and direction
fast and extremely wicked, and today is no different.
I
had planned on getting the PAMM spreadsheet back up today, but I spent all my
time last night looking over my friend’s email with “The Tunnel Method” results
and charts he sent me … I’ll post it Sunday night when I upload “The Tunnel
Method” into the “Download Links” section of the website.
Beach
time! … the dog and I are outta here … until Sunday night.
Have
a great weekend everybody!
-vegas
OUR TURNKEY FOREX “PAMM/MAM” IS NOW
OPEN AND OPERATIONAL; SEE “PAMM/MAM MANAGED MONEY PROGRAM” IN “DOWNLOAD LINKS”
SECTION IN RIGHT HAND COLUMN FOR DETAILS [VIEW ONLINE AND/OR DOWNLOAD] AND
START YOUR JOURNEY FROM WHERE YOU ARE AT TO “ESCAPE
TO SUCCESS”!
Also of note is the fact that Gold was toying with the idea of breaking through $1300 before the 'Bannon news' hit the wires and mercilessly slammed it back down.
ReplyDeleteAt least the VIX managed to close above 14, which could make things quite interesting next week.