In my entire professional trader life, which spans decades, I’ve never seen a
more crowded trade, a more overbought trade, a trade with as much “hopium &
hype”, than what is currently being seen in Bitcoin [BTCUSD] … I thought peak
idiocy came back in late Summer when gold went over $2,000 and the spec
public couldn’t get enough … y’all know what happened next! … hell, that’s a
“Boy Scout picnic” compared to crypto … there’s a crypto analytics firm out
there, that according to their most recent data from only a couple of days ago,
98%+ of ALL e-wallet addresses in BTC OWN BITCOIN WITH A PROFIT! … “yup,
I’m pretty sure all of ‘em will make for an orderly exit when that moment comes”!
… and that moment gets closer & closer every 5 minutes … cuz here’s the dirty
little secret about crypto … before the “whales” take it down, the take it up to sell
to you, and when they want to buy, first they take out support on every chart you
can pull up so you hit the sell button, then back the truck up and buy the living
shit out of it … and after they get all the BTFD-ers to pay outrageous bid/offer
spreads and let them make a little coin on some bounces, they move in for the
kill, and one of these “dead cat bounces” is gonna turn ugly quickly, and that
$3,000 drop we saw on Thanksgiving will look like mild “profit taking” [thank
you Bob Pisani, CNBC perma-bull hack], and a whole lot of $600 “FREE” money
from “da Gubermint” just got handed to stronger hands.
Now, it could come in 5 minutes from now, this weekend, or it could come at 30K,
40K, or even 50K+ if we get there … who knows? … but the longer this
“Chumpfest” of every single frickin’ day going up 3%+ in BTC lingers, the worse
it’s gonna be on the downside when literally everybody hits the exit gates at the
same time … any guess where Turnkey’s scumbag HFT LP’s in crypto will make
the bid/offer spread when that moment comes? … you think $300 is bad news
when you want to get off the BTC train, just wait, it’s got the potential to be a
whole lot worse than that … and all I gotta do is remind people of Ripple
[XRPUSD], which lost 70% of its value within a week … granted much different
circumstances cuz of idiot Government, and quite frankly Ripple execs should
have known better than to give the middle finger to the finance arm of the
“Deep State”, and attempt to replace U.S. banking with ODL [on demand
liquidity] … think JPM or Squid was just gonna sit around and accept crypto
victory over 1950’s high fee banking? … bullshit, anybody with a fucking brain
knows the SEC action is prompted by pure financial politics … and that’s what
they get for being inside the U.S., where only Dopes still think it’s a
“fair & honest” system … in other words, they were “centralized” inside the
U.S. … meanwhile, BTC, ETH, and a host of others are ALL decentralized and
are everywhere but nowhere, giving the middle finger to the likes of the SEC
and all the other corrupt alphabet soup agencies with agendas.
Today sees the “Chuckleheads” BTC puke in Asia to the tune of $1,000+ in
seconds, only to rally all the way back up to the highs so they can pull in
European & U.S. traders, cuz they got “buy signals” … oh, you got a buy signal
all right, right straight from the folks who planned all along to give you all you
wanted … then the trap door opens up, panic sets in, spreads go “bat shit
crazy” in every pair, and have a nice New Year’s Eve … nothin’ like 2 times in the
same day! … oh, and thanks for picking up tonight’s champagne tab along with
the little weenies wrapped in bacon … “Hoover Dam” we love those things!
I could post more tick order boxes, but today isn’t any different from the entirety
of the whole week … yes, when SHTF all of the bid/offer spreads in BTC go
“bonkers” … however, at PHEMEX the cash spot market goes back to $4 - $9
very quickly, while Turnkey stays at $50+ … even now, a full hour plus after the
“Thelma & Louise”, the bid/offer spread at Turnkey is over $40 and PHEMEX
spot rate is hovering around $7 - $8 … sure, pony right up an click that button,
I dare you.
And while gold isn’t doing “Mr. Jack Squat”, there is some inverse correlation
between crypto’s meteoric rise and the U.S. Dollar going down … and before
crypto pairs even started their decline today, EURUSD [and to some extent Cable,
although Cable is the wild stallion of FX and doesn’t really correlate well with
anything] was weak and couldn’t hold any rally … something to keep an eye on
as we head into 2021.
All of the crypto pairs at Turnkey today, once action picked up, a complete joke
… “OK, lemme get this straight … even in LTCUSD, I can trade it and GET PAID
AT PHEMEX, while their “open order book” platform rarely ventures more than
$0.15 cents in the bid/offer for perpetual futures contracts, and if I want to trade
“spot”, the bid/offer is almost always under $0.10 … and you want me to trade
LTCUSD at your dumb ass house, with $0.50+ bid/offer spread PLUS SLIPPAGE
… seriously, some days I think they’re on crack … now, if you can keep it around
$0.15 or so ± a couple of pennies, I can trade it at Turnkey … but looking at the
order ticket tick chart, your quoted spread of about $0.17 currently is a FRAUD
… with slippage in the bid & offer from your thieving LP’s, the spread is at least
$0.30 - $0.40 cents, and if SHTF and market conditions get a bit “messy”, that
spread goes out to almost a full $1.00, as this morning proves … meanwhile, it
stays the same at PHEMEX, and you sit there and are incredulous when I call
them thieves … “WTF bro, you gonna believe me or you lyin’ eyes”!
No trades today in the TURNKEY PAMM / MAM.
No crypto pair they offer is stable today except very early on after the
“Chuckleheads” did their thing and donated a final payment to the crypto market
for 2020 … quite frankly it’s a sick frickin’ joke … eventually, nobody trades it
and the HFT’s are forced to lower spreads, but only when dumb ass specs finally
realize they’re being had … today being New Year’s Eve, I didn’t want to venture
into FX, where it’s obviously “end of year” as well as “end of quarter” and the
flows can be quite haphazard & disjointed as institutions of all stripes close the
books for the year & quarter and position square their holdings … no ranges to
speak of in either Cable or EURUSD, so it’s not like I’m missing anything, and in
prior years I most definitely wanted nothing to do with New Year’s Eve FX trading.
Now that Cable has finally seen the end of the dreaded BREXIT, GBP can get back
to being the orphaned & wild “Widow Maker” it always has been before this 5 year
saga of complete bullshit started and now has ended … quite frankly I’m amazed
anything got done … I guess they finally figured out which POLS & Apparatchiks
are gonna see a drop in graft, bribery payments, & overall corruption and take
less Bitcoin in their e-wallets … so while Cable isn’t a truly “FREE” market like
crypto, it’s much better than the other major FX pairs, and with the end of this
sorry ass chapter in British finance, it’s on to screwing over specs at every turn!
… onto the madness! … of course, all of this means Cable can now be traded by
the PAMM / MAM starting Monday, if crypto keeps up with the bullshit insanity of
outrageous bid/offer spreads they’ve shown this week … so no worries
PAMM / MAM participants, I’ll be trading on Monday … and what’s truly remarkable,
is that the HFT LP’s they have in FX are exceptionally good, and their bi/offer
spreads are as good as you’ll find anywhere, along with meaningless RT
commish … why the hell can’t they be consistent?
For “The Syndicate” today, multiple “market making” trades today in LTCUSD,
and we’re UP APPROXIMATELY 0.48%
A good day with plenty of action, and even though the market was moving
“fast & furious” the spread didn’t balloon much at all even at the height of the
BTC panic move lower … the trading algorithm [MODIFIED TUNNEL TRADE [TT]
METHOD] really nailed some good trades where our bids were hit, and unlike
Turnkey, the conditions here are as good as it gets!
Remember, in order to trade LTCUSD “The Syndicate” holds dollars … can’t have
it any other way on an “open order book” platform … I’m not to worried about BTC
running away to the upside, as I explained earlier in a blog that BTC would have
to go to $5 million in the next 5 years to surpass what “The Syndicate” will make
in the same period … all without the overnight & weekend risk crypto is becoming
infamous for lately … and again I will mention, if any of my readers wants to join
our informal body, you’re welcome to come on board, simply email me for details
… I’m talkin’ those that want to participate, not those simply curious … all I ask is
that whatever you want to put in, it not be more than USD $500 … so far, we are
an informal group … when enough money is made to pay for the legal bullshit, I’ll
pony it up and we can go from there … right now, I know of no “open order book”
platforms that host anything like PAMM / MAM for managed money participation
… if there was one I’d check it out and if reasonable we’d do that … but there
aren’t any … sure, there’s an element of trust here … why, you thinkin’ I’m goin’
somewhere? … cuz here’s the deal folks … ANY platform that has traditional LP’s,
whether they are HFT’s or scumbag banks, are gonna fuck with the spreads, run
stops, and NOT honor limit orders … PLUS, for all intents & purposes, they ARE
THE MARKET, and you have no way to compete with them for trading business,
and for sure THEY DON’T PAY YOU! … so until “open order book” platforms get
some kind of money management programs going, and I know of NONE now, it’s
either join us informally or miss out … it’s that simple … and since these crypto
markets are “bigly & yuge”, we can handle the increase in participation by more
people with ZERO problems, either in terms of trade size or the number of
participants … so, it’s available, and unless Trump can pull the proverbial “rabbit
out of the hat”, the Communist Fraudsters known as “JoeMala” take over next
month, and with the plans they have FOR YOUR MONEY, I might be the “lifesaver”
of your future life! … laugh now, you won’t be laughing later.
So onto the New Year, it would be nice if Turnkey can get their HFT LP’s in crypto
to get their shit together, but only time will tell … in any event, if they don’t and
crypto becomes laughably untradeable, Cable will do nicely now that the
nightmare of BREXIT is O.V.E.R. … meanwhile over in “The Syndicate”, I’ll
continue to trade the alt-coins under trading conditions most would/should drool
over.
I’ll be trading over the 3 day weekend in LTCUSD and I’ll update results tomorrow
if I trade, otherwise on Sunday’s blog update … stay safe tonight on New Year’s
Eve and have a blessed New Year to all ... I’m outta here … I’m full steam
ahead! … Onward & Upward!!
-vegas
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