“Traders gather for another day of trading gold in New York!”
Well, the question has to be asked … it doesn’t matter if it makes anybody
“uncomfortable”, it still has to be asked … “is New York, at least in gold
trading, turning into the “Asia of old”, where before the rise of China, the Asian
session was boring, had little movement, nobody paid much attention to it, and
prices moved very little”? Again today, the Asian session into early Europe sees
gold put in a $10+ range, and it didn’t take 6 - 8 hours to do it … compare that
to an ever shrinking trade in New York that is lucky lately to see $4 over 6
hours. Tune into Sunday’s update blog and notice that for 4 weeks now, the 20
Day Range MA for the 8 hour New York session as I define it
[7AM - 3PM EST.], in New York has moved lower, while at the same time the
20 Day Daily Range MA has moved higher. Just a coincidence, or is there
something deeper going on here?
Like so many other “truisms” in life, back-in-the-day when there were actual
trading pits, one of the oft repeated lines you would here was, “if you don’t
know who the “Chumps” are in a trading pit, assume you’re one of them”. I’m
reminded of this, cuz as a gold trader … right now … I feel like I’m one of the
“Chumps” … I get up, I survey the landscape for the day’s trading, I see Asia
& early Europe putting in decent ranges, and then I sit here daily and watch
fucking grass grow for 10 hours. The bullion dealers step in, and gold can’t
move $3 to save its fucking life … not over minutes, but over hours … so who’s
the “Chump”? The guy/gal who trades in Asia and gets the range, or me sitting
here wondering why shit can’t move in New York? “Quite frankly, I look in the
mirror today, and all I see is a Chimp waiting to be handed a fucking banana”!
I dunno, maybe it’s the upcoming election on Tuesday that’s gotten traders on
this side of the world “frozen”, maybe it’s something else like the rapidly
accelerating rise of China on the trading landscape, or maybe it’s simply a
coincidence … dunno, don’t fucking care … simply put, once Tuesday is over,
New York has some ‘splaining to do, cuz if ranges don’t pick up “right fucking
now”, I’ll sacrifice and trade in the Asian session into early Europe … I’m not
gonna sit here and put up with this shit … I’m not anybody’s trading
“Chump”, and the metals dealers can “intercourse thineselves”, if they think
I’m gonna participate in a banana handout in New York, while Asian traders
get “filet mignon”, in terms of price & intraday volatility, and I just sit and take
it. “F that”!
It’s a little after 5AM EST, as I write this, and the day’s range is now $12+
… and like yesterday and days recently past, it begs the question of, “OK New
York, WTF are you gonna do when it’s your turn? … do we sit and play dealer
“tiddlywinks”, or can this range be extended? … sorry, but recent experience
says we sit in mind numbing boredom and chop … go ahead and surprise me, I
fucking dare you”!
As far as I’m concerned, today’s New York action is KEY … another failure to
do anything with regards price and intraday volatility, with yet another $12+
range coming into the session, is gonna send unwanted signals to the gold
trading community … “I guarantee you, I’m not the only one noticing this
bullshit trading environment in New York RE gold … today, tomorrow
[Friday, NFP day … oh joy], and then Monday … Tuesday sees the midterm
elections … all 3 plus Tuesday, are key to how the market is shifting to a trading
paradigm that I wrote about in a previous blog … which is, slowly but surely,
gold trading is shifting East in importance, and leaving New York in the dust, to
fucking bumble & stumble around like drunks … and if in fact that’s the case,
you can lay the blame right at the feet of the scumbag metals bullion dealers,
specifically JPM & HSBC”.
And if in fact I go to the Asian & early European session to trade the PAMM
in XAUUSD, why shouldn’t we take advantage of the “Chuckleheads” & Mrs.
Wantanabe & Gal Pals? “Quite frankly, I fail to see how it can be any worse
than what we’ve witnessed these last weeks in attempting to trade gold in New
York, with plenty of days 30% - 50%+ under the 20 Day Range MA 8 hour
... and prices just drift while the dealers screw everybody in sight with bullshit
chop, and spikes from hell in seconds that go nowhere … how could it be worse?
… what’s the downside? … Bueller? … Bueller”? So New York, you’re on
“double secret” probation as of this moment! [Note: “All metals dealers please
report to Dean Wormer’s office immediately for registration”!]
Turning to today’s gold market … traditional close-to-close volatility is
picking up, as it should … no reason to be hugging 10 year lows, I showed the
other day … news items that affect gold are unbelievably bullish for price
headed into 2019 … just as a side note, take it or leave it … LBMA [London
Bullion Market Association] members in a poll, have given their forecasts for
gold’s price 1 year from yesterday … average price end of October 2019 is
1530 per OZ. … how they get this I haven’t a clue, but I simply wish to add,
“from your lips to God’s ears”.
I see Vampire Squid yesterday, says the midterm election Tuesday will be a
“yawn” for markets … maybe, but I doubt it, especially for gold. If “R’s” win,
I don’t think it has much impact, but if “D’s” win, look the fuck out on the
upside. A more important factor, IMHO, is the potential change in FED “dot
plots” for interest rates … any change from tightening to “softer” conditions in
the near future, will see the USD go “tapioca”, and gold go scooting higher
… this is where the SP500 versus gold inverse relationship breaks down … see
2008 to 2011, in both markets, for actual results! In any event, “REAL”
interest rates haven’t got that much room to go higher anyway, no matter the
scenario, cuz already housing, autos, & the stock market have noticed the
pinch … “you Twits at the FED really want a depression? … keep this shit up
and that’s how you get one”!
Here at the start of our day, and already the dealers have pushed gold lower
by $4 off the highs set earlier … “I sincerely hate these scumbags”. Now, I
suppose, we can sit in $2 range for the next 6 hours … is the circus hiring?
Well, lo & behold, somebody in early to mid morning Europe is either throwing
in the short gold towel, or getting long, and gold is roaring upward … an hour
before the NYSE open, and we’ve already breached the 1230 level, so I got
some premium selling to do in options at the open, for the C2 advisory signals
service, as gold has exploded and extended the day’s [so far, more please]
range [bless you trading Gods] to over $16 … and what this move up in
volatility is doing is widening the premiums for options I want to sell [a good
thing, cuz the more expensive the better], and at the same time allowing the
ITM [In The Money] strike prices to go upward FASTER, cuz they have
much higher deltas. Today’s action will see at least one closed options position
in our C2 advisory signals, and the spreadsheet will be at the end of the blog
later for details, with some commentary. “I will be shocked if New York
continues this up move ... and everybody out there reading this, I got a NEWS
FLASH for you … this is only the beginning of volatility in gold … you ain’t
seen nothing yet”!
And for all of you that I warned about trading gold off of the SP500 up/down
manipulations, today sees that correlation get blown to hell, and once again
our old friend USDCNH comes back to enter the game again, and is down
600+ PIPS from its high … “what? … nobody sent you the email to tell you it
was changing? … must have been an error somewhere”!
Noon here in New York, and it’s the same old bullshit “chop” we’ve seen
before from gold, once it gets into dealers hands … $19+ range today, so far,
but you think we can get any movement that means anything? … 3 ½ hours
into this clusterfark [starting an hour before the NYSE opens], and we can’t
even move but about $4 and change, and we’re where we were at 3 ½ hours
ago, hanging slightly above 1230 ± a few cents … fucking pathetic … “oh,
sorry pathetic, didn’t mean to insult you”!
Now into the New York PM, and it’s inching up with no back off to get long
… either you can’t get a good point to get long, or they bomb the shit out of it
from the top and you got no idea where it ends … those red down candles are
effing brutal. “Can’t wait to see how this brutal day plays out tonight and into
tomorrow in Asia & early Europe”.
Three algo trades today … PAMM down about $40.
Two worked, and one didn’t, and even the 2 signals that worked, it was an
excruciating wait & climb by pennies … and as I have said before, when
ranges are tight, which New York’s were until gold hit a new high, the effing
red spikes down are brutal … I was long from 60, it went to 70 bid, and then in
about 3 seconds, it went 50, 30, 07 and whaddaya gonna do? Cuz if you hang
around, it could be much worse seconds or a minute later … granted, the
market is strong today, but not from fucking New York, where the dealers
again play spoiler to anything that happens in Asia & Europe.
Quite frankly, New York is pissing me off … why wait to next week to see what
they do … screw that … starting tonight, I’m trading the last half of the Asian
session into Europe … after I capture a “pony ride”, I’ll get some shut eye and
resume when the NYSE opens & check to see if there is anything to do via the
C2 Options Advisory Signals for subscribers … when this Sunday comes, from
where I’m at in the Caribbean, I’ll be one hour ahead of New York, cuz nobody
in the Caribbean changes their clocks forward & then back again in the Fall
… that means the NYSE, for me, will open at 10:30 A.M. each morning and go
to 5 P.M. I’m sick and tired of these “piddly” gold ranges in New York
compared to what’s happening elsewhere … it’s time to start making some
money and leave the “Chump change” on the table.
Today saw me liquidate my options positions for C2 … it was a combo
strategy looking for volatility, which we got in spades over the last 4 days
… C2 Options Spreadsheet directly below. “If you don’t know “options”, it’s
time you did … everything you need is in “Download Links” … I put everything
there so you could access it very easily if you need to … and even if you’re a
complete Newbie, I guide you through all trades via signals … you get 3 months
FREE, and then it’s 60 cents a day … yea, I’m downright greedy aren’t I
… pullleeeze, don’t even”! … I’ll have more on the options this weekend in my
Sunday blog update.
click to enlarge
And again today … and there won’t be anymore … Asia & Europe hog the
action, leaving New York with Mr. Jack Squat … onto tomorrow … I’m outta
here … not happy at all with the trading action, as the New York dealers again
crush gold VIX, after a good start for the day … what the hell are you
supposed to do with $3 - $4 ranges over hours of mind numbing chop?
… screw this, we’ll take money out of Mrs. Wantanabe’s pocket, starting
tonight! … until tomorrow mi amigos … Onward & Upward!!
PAMM Spreadsheet directly below.
click to enlarge
Have a great day everybody!!
-vegas
OUR TURNKEY FOREX “PAMM/MAM” IS OPEN AND
OPERATIONAL, AS WELL AS OUR C2 OPTIONS ADVISORY
SERVICE. DETAILS IN “DOWNLOAD LINKS” SECTION IN
RIGHT HAND COLUMN. START YOUR JOURNEY FROM
WHERE YOU ARE AT TO “ESCAPE TO SUCCESS”!
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